Latest Posts By ozone2002 - Supreme About ozone2002 |
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20-Aug-2008 09:15 | Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors Go to Message | ||||
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STI pls go up ore so i can short it..thank you.. | ||||
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19-Aug-2008 16:03 | Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors Go to Message | ||||
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long put warrants! testing next support level 2400+..woohoo! | ||||
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19-Aug-2008 09:21 | Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors Go to Message | ||||
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of course..broke the suppport already..chiong ah!..downwards..ahaha | ||||
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19-Aug-2008 09:00 | Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors Go to Message | ||||
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i LONGED my put warrant..hahah | ||||
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15-Aug-2008 17:46 | Others / Singapore got chance for medal at Table Tennis! Go to Message | ||||
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bookmarker odds goin @ 1.5 to 1 for s'pore...keke | ||||
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15-Aug-2008 13:22 | GLD USD / Gold going up this year? Go to Message | ||||
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Gold correction is due to a bounce in the USD. But I foresee the USD's bounce shortlived.. SO BUY GOLD USD! Gold is real money indicator! All currencies are backed by gold. Personal opinion...to make it into fruition is at your own judgement.. |
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15-Aug-2008 12:58 | Others / things every retail investor/trader should know Go to Message | ||||
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if its a hot lady giving the course ..i don't mind man :):):) | ||||
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15-Aug-2008 11:45 | Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors Go to Message | ||||
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STI always hovering ard 2800 level... be it up or down market... | ||||
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15-Aug-2008 09:44 | GLD USD / Gold going up this year? Go to Message | ||||
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gold correcting again..good for some accumulation in bits again.. collect on dips ..sell on big rallies :) | ||||
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15-Aug-2008 08:56 | Indofood Agri / Indofood Agri Resources Go to Message | ||||
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with CPO prices correcting..will it be able to improve profitability?
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14-Aug-2008 16:13 | Indofood Agri / Indofood Agri Resources Go to Message | ||||
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it all depends on the risk reward ratio, would it be better to invest if the price had run up 40% or when price had correct 40%... its all abt the risk u want to tolerate.. with human emotions..everyone get excited with prices running ...but feel dejected when prices correct downwards..
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14-Aug-2008 15:54 | Indofood Agri / Indofood Agri Resources Go to Message | ||||
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up 10c..close to 10% gain... | ||||
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14-Aug-2008 13:48 | Golden Agri-Res / GoldenAgr Go to Message | ||||
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read brokers report with a pinch of salt | ||||
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14-Aug-2008 12:00 | Golden Agri-Res / GoldenAgr Go to Message | ||||
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undervalued + technically good entry NOW NOW NOW!!.. | ||||
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13-Aug-2008 11:53 | Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors Go to Message | ||||
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nice..then my put warrants will turn into blue chip prices
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13-Aug-2008 11:40 | GLD USD / Gold going up this year? Go to Message | ||||
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let me congratulate u early... ya going to be a rich man.. its all abt capital preservation n acceleration if u know how to do it :) stagflation,inflation... gold will outperform in such scenarios!
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13-Aug-2008 11:12 | SPC / SPC Go to Message | ||||
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stop thinking that high oil price will benefit SPC..its in the refining biz..(majority) ... minority in exploration.. did u read the 2Q earnings?.. revenue was up but PROFIT only up marginally! |
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13-Aug-2008 10:27 | SPC / SPC Go to Message | ||||
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wait for mao shan wang price! | ||||
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13-Aug-2008 10:24 | GLD USD / Gold going up this year? Go to Message | ||||
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Fiscal meltdown The cold years of disinflation are over; now we're facing a decade of inflationary fire Andy Xie Updated on Aug 12, 2008 If you hope inflation will disappear soon, I have bad news: it may pose a problem for the next decade. The two-decades-long ice age of disinflation is over. The decade of inflationary fire awaits us. During the ice age, businesses, households and governments added layers of debt to stay warm. They should shed the fat as quickly as possible, or they may become extinct. Globalisation brought on the ice age. The fall of the Berlin Wall triggered a general collapse of the former socialist economies. The resulting collapse in demand caused energy prices to stay low, and they embraced an export strategy to rebuild their economies, which sent the price of manufactured goods on a two-decades-long descent. These forces pushed inflation down across the world. Central banks took the credit, and printed money generously to celebrate. This led to one asset bubble after another. The ice has been melting. After years of export growth, the former socialist states have rebuilt their economies and have been consuming. Inflation showed up first in the commodity markets. Competition for money popped the debt bubble that kept property prices so high in so many cities. The deflating property-cum-credit bubble redistributes money to where it can cause inflation, such as oil and food. Instead of taming inflation, central banks are printing more money to save teetering financial institutions; they are adding fuel to the fire. After two decades of contained inflation, today's central bankers are not psychologically prepared to accept a deep recession to stop inflation. Instead, they are looking for excuses to justify their money printing. Further, globalisation has made inflation global and difficult to fight. The supply-and-demand balances of labour and natural resources are global in nature. Their prices reflect global monetary growth. Any economy that tightens money supply cuts its demand for such global factors; its negative effect on growth is all felt at home, but the dampening impact on inflation spreads across the world, benefiting everyone else. The misalignment of incentives for inflation-fighting creates disincentives. This is why almost everyone, including the US, complains that their inflation is "imported". But the world as a whole cannot import inflation from someone else. Another excuse for inaction is that inflation exists only in isolated pockets, such as oil and food prices. But, money flows to where it can inflate. In the first stage of an inflation cycle, food and energy inflate first, as their demand and supply are relatively inelastic in the short term. Further, their price rise attracts speculation, which accelerates the transmission from money-printing to inflation. In the second phase, the prices of products and services rise. Finally, wages rise as workers demand compensation for their deteriorating living standards. Most analysts argue that the final stage will never happen, because labour unions are no longer strong. But, union power is probably demand- rather than supply-driven. As economies boomed and inflation stayed low, workers didn't need unions. As inflation squeezes their living standards, they can organise quickly, to pressure their employers for wage rises. To stop a slide into a decade of rampant inflation, the world needs co-ordination to tighten simultaneously, which would spread the pain evenly among all economies. The US' need to bail out its financial system makes such co-ordination impossible. Further, the US financial system may be bankrupt as a whole. America's financial sector has US$15 trillion of debt for warehousing assets. If the assets depreciate by 10 per cent, a likely outcome, the equity base of the US financial sector would be wiped clean. The right way to address this problem is for the government to nationalise failing financial institutions, recapitalise or liquidate, and then privatise again. That is what Asian countries did during the financial crisis 10 years ago. The US is trying to leverage the dollar's global status for the easy way out. When foreigners want their money back, the Federal Reserve pulls out a few more printers and asks you to line up. The money printing by the US limits how much other countries can tighten. The prices of commodities will continue to rise with a rising US dollar supply. Other economies can limit the price increase by curtailing their demand. But it just gives the US more room to print money. Other economies just don't have enough incentives to tighten. In the decade of fire ahead, you must make a few adjustments to survive. First, shed debts. During the ice age, easy liquidity made debt rollover easy. Central banks will have to raise rates as inflation rises, even though they won't raise them quickly enough to stop inflation. An environment of rising interest rates makes debt rollover difficult. Further, stagflation depresses asset valuations. It is not a winning strategy to hold assets with debt financing. Second, despite the recent roller-coaster ride, precious metals remain the best vehicles for value preservation. Like any bull market, entry is best after a big pullback; buy low, sell high. But, if you are swayed by expert opinions, you end up buying high and selling low. Resist selling after a big pullback. Third, like precious metals, commodities, especially energy, remain in a bull market. However, their volatility is even bigger than that for precious metals. It is not for the weak-hearted. But, one could step back and choose companies that profit from the commodity boom. For example, oil service companies have stable and rising income despite the massive volatility of oil prices. Shed fat, pump iron and wear a swimsuit. That way, you'll survive the fire. |
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13-Aug-2008 09:34 | Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors Go to Message | ||||
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STI back to test the 2700+ levels... put warrants are in the money.. |
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