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will u be still around in SJ ?

BullishTempo      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 20:22) Posted: Please continue to guide the newbies. I will be gone from STI after this week. All the best!  iPunter      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 19:45) Posted: This goes to show that the stock market is great for betting...     Even with the best of the best TA indicators, it is still betting...

 

Since all is betting,

    All a newbie needs to know is how to bet well.

          Which means to bet intelligently.

                Anyway, I am sure many newbies and veterans,

                      including myself, will like you to to be here.

                            How can you foresake them and us when they

                                    need you so much here? You must be here...

                                          Otherwise Gaecia, EPLiew, IceTomato,

                                              Crystal18, Civic, Bladez, Daniel, D_Khor,


                                              etc, etc, and me,  will all be missing you a lot.

                                                  Anyway, I may also be going away for good ...

BullishTempo      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 20:22) Posted: Please continue to guide the newbies. I will be gone from STI after this week. All the best!  iPunter      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 19:45) Posted: This goes to show that the stock market is great for betting...     Even with the best of the best TA indicators, it is still betting...

 

Please continue to guide the newbies.

I will be gone from STI after this week.

All the best! 

iPunter      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 19:45) Posted: This goes to show that the stock market is great for betting...     Even with the best of the best TA indicators, it is still betting...

 

This goes to show that the stock market is great for betting...

    Even with the best of the best TA indicators, it is still betting...

 

" ... Singapore stock market dropped everyday for this week, to the surprise or most... "

          That first line of your post is such a jewel...    hehehe...   

BullishTempo      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 18:59) Posted: 1. Singapore Week Ahead Singapore stock market dropped everyday for this week, to the surprise or most. Straits  Times Index (STI) had its first weekly drop in two.   The drop of Singapore market was sharp this week, at least as far as blue chips were concerned. STI dropped 4.2% for the week and was down 7.1% from the recent peak. The reasons given for the sell down, at least as explained by the media were mostly about funds flowing out of the region, and China raising interest rate. However surprisingly, U.S. and European stock markets were largely unscathed and were mostly up for the week.   Technically, STI had broken the three month low and neckline support of about 3120. As such, the chart do point to further down trend ahead, possibly to about 2980, the 50% retracement of formed by the recent six month high low of STI.   Notwithstanding the above, STI may have a strong rebound next week as the drop this week was too sharp. Furthermore China Shanghai Composite Index was up this week despite the rate hike and Hong Kong Hang Seng Index that also dropped sharply this week bounced up significantly from the three month low support of about 22500 this Friday. Many Singapore companies shall announce full year results for the next two weeks and profitable companies usually declare dividends with their full year results, which should also be positive for the market. Lastly hope of some budget goodies next Friday should also spur positive short term sentiment for investors.   In short, market may have some strong rebound next week but further downside thereafter. Investors need exercise caution for the next few weeks.     Regards,

 

1. Singapore Week Ahead

Singapore stock market dropped everyday for this week, to the surprise or most. Straits  Times Index (STI) had its first weekly drop in two.

 

The drop of Singapore market was sharp this week, at least as far as blue chips were concerned. STI dropped 4.2% for the week and was down 7.1% from the recent peak. The reasons given for the sell down, at least as explained by the media were mostly about funds flowing out of the region, and China raising interest rate. However surprisingly, U.S. and European stock markets were largely unscathed and were mostly up for the week.

 

Technically, STI had broken the three month low and neckline support of about 3120. As such, the chart do point to further down trend ahead, possibly to about 2980, the 50% retracement of formed by the recent six month high low of STI.

 

Notwithstanding the above, STI may have a strong rebound next week as the drop this week was too sharp. Furthermore China Shanghai Composite Index was up this week despite the rate hike and Hong Kong Hang Seng Index that also dropped sharply this week bounced up significantly from the three month low support of about 22500 this Friday. Many Singapore companies shall announce full year results for the next two weeks and profitable companies usually declare dividends with their full year results, which should also be positive for the market. Lastly hope of some budget goodies next Friday should also spur positive short term sentiment for investors.

 

In short, market may have some strong rebound next week but further downside thereafter. Investors need exercise caution for the next few weeks.

 

 

Regards,

 

I read one ang mios article says PRC ah wen and ah wu retire next year.

 

I believe whatever the analysts and technical students keeps on repeating the same company fundamental (business) and number (support.resistance). can find all this data in any seach engine. I think most  stocks end low at 2002/3 level during sub-prime...

1) QE package 2 end in june this year, US might increase bank  interest rates by year end...

2) Wall Streets talk, " Sell in May and go away" , will the history repeats...

3) february is the worst month for DJ due to CNY and valentine day + 28/9 calendar days, did the  history repeats....

4) food inflation due to bad weather (drought, flood, volcanic etc), not ppl picky on foods, will scattering of seeds and farming improve the current pics.....

5) PRC is like double edged sword, will interest rate increase affects their exporting goods/goals...

6) Who is willing to buy oversea property when the " growth rate" is low, eg birth rate, employment rate, currency rate....

7) propety bubbles is for speculative plays, but no speculative players  (buy high and wants to sell higher)  bank would suffer, beside loose monetary measures....

my view

muifan      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 14:02) Posted: Still a bet of infact i feel is less than 50% odds of us retailers winning... we lose first hand news to ...insiders.....traders......reporters...journalists....even peter lim's maid got faster news than us... and we cant do TA and charting for what is next move for the BBs..... cannot calculate wars....egypt riot.....terrosism....interest rate hikes... so our chance is actually very slim.. tiancai007      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 12:54) Posted: By using TA and charting will increase the probability to > 50%? Since any betting for px to go up or down is 50% (like playing Big Small in casino), but if u use charting/TA, this will ensure that the chances of following the px history is > 50. Am I right to say that? Can increase the likeliness to 60-80%

 

why compare hang seng during st index trading hours ? ??  becos of   globex. you may opts dow jones which covers 24 hrs...

 

1997/8 Asia financial crisis Scenario, NOT NOW!!! WHY, the worst knee jerking crisis is  start  by  sub prime, first about mortage loan, then something about mini-mini structural investments burst... The economy did recover after 2 QE measures from USA +  low interest rate and infrastructure project going world wide. BUT... one observation is stock market  volume is still  light, no one seems to put money  there even with current bank deposit rate  in ultra low.

Read singapore cope the 1997/8 crisis.

Singapore

As the financial crisis spread the economy, Singapore dipped into a short recession. The relatively short duration and milder effect on its economy was credited to the active management by the government. For example, the Monetary Authority of Singapore allowed for a gradual 20% depreciation of the Singapore dollar to cushion and guide the economy to a soft landing. The timing of government programs such as the Interim Upgrading Program and other construction related projects were brought forward. Instead of allowing the labour markets to work, the National Wage Council pre-emptively agreed to Central Provident Fund cuts to lower labour costs, with limited impact on disposable income and local demand. Unlike in Hong Kong, no attempt was made to directly intervene in the capital markets and the Straits Times Index was allowed to drop 60%. In less than a year, the Singaporean economy fully recovered and continued on its growth trajectory.

??? my view?? hang seng is the best trading exchange, can make U a Billionaire, not ST index for sure   ????

 

Very clearly put (well said).


    Stock players must never confidently think

          that all their super TA indicators  are very reliable.

                  Thus, for practical purposes, the idea of  'high probaby' in the stock market,

                          be it a 'high' 1% or high 99%, is all only in the heads of the players.

                                      In short, the stock market is simply unpredictable,

                                              and is thus great for betting purposes...

muifan      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 14:02) Posted: Still a bet of infact i feel is less than 50% odds of us retailers winning... we lose first hand news to ...insiders.....traders......reporters...journalists....even peter lim's maid got faster news than us... and we cant do TA and charting for what is next move for the BBs..... cannot calculate wars....egypt riot.....terrosism....interest rate hikes... so our chance is actually very slim.. tiancai007      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 12:54) Posted: By using TA and charting will increase the probability to > 50%? Since any betting for px to go up or down is 50% (like playing Big Small in casino), but if u use charting/TA, this will ensure that the chances of following the px history is > 50. Am I right to say that? Can increase the likeliness to 60-80%

 

Crisis? every day, even in seconds there'll be  one crisis outbreak. insiders might use this opportunity to sell down bad apples into the market to confuse us.  world index (due to open market policy)  is programmed and tracking with many many more other indexs,  simple to say   index LS component stock automatic LS too...

Most important of all,   is the ability to pick  the right  apples among the bad ones from the " massive" apples cart  falls. ^^

 

 

hpong5      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 14:27) Posted: Unless there is some sort of crisis coming ya? hpong5      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 11:22) Posted: You mean the mkt is going to drop further after bouncing up a bit

 

Unless there is some sort of crisis coming ya?

hpong5      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 11:22) Posted: You mean the mkt is going to drop further after bouncing up a bit? BullishTempo      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 00:06) Posted: Read the below news clips to find out. Anyway next week will be more like a dead cat bounce for STI. Once the top formation is formed, get ready to short it down again.  A major factor that caused the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis is the mass withdrawal of foreign capital. I see some similarities here.

 

Still a bet of infact i feel is less than 50% odds of us retailers winning...

we lose first hand news to ...insiders.....traders......reporters...journalists....even peter lim's maid got faster news than us...

and we cant do TA and charting for what is next move for the BBs.....

cannot calculate wars....egypt riot.....terrosism....interest rate hikes...

so our chance is actually very slim..

tiancai007      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 12:54) Posted: By using TA and charting will increase the probability to > 50%? Since any betting for px to go up or down is 50% (like playing Big Small in casino), but if u use charting/TA, this will ensure that the chances of following the px history is > 50. Am I right to say that? Can increase the likeliness to 60-80%. iPunter      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 12:24) Posted: But what makes you think that  the probability         at any given moment in time is > 50%...

 

By using TA and charting will increase the probability to > 50%? Since any betting for px to go up or down is 50% (like playing Big Small in casino), but if u use charting/TA, this will ensure that the chances of following the px history is > 50. Am I right to say that? Can increase the likeliness to 60-80%.

iPunter      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 12:24) Posted: But what makes you think that  the probability         at any given moment in time is > 50%...  tiancai007      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 12:14) Posted: But in stock the proability of winning is higher than 50%. In casino or any betting, no betting proability is higher than 50%.

 

For instance,

    Are you willing to declare that the probability of an uptrend next week is  > 50% ? ... 

iPunter      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 12:24) Posted: But what makes you think that  the probability         at any given moment in time is > 50%...  tiancai007      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 12:14) Posted: But in stock the proability of winning is higher than 50%. In casino or any betting, no betting proability is higher than 50%.

 

But what makes you think that  the probability

        at any given moment in time is > 50%... 

tiancai007      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 12:14) Posted: But in stock the proability of winning is higher than 50%. In casino or any betting, no betting proability is higher than 50%. iPunter      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 11:47) Posted: The stock market is all about betting.     Long-term players bet on a longer-term basis (big risk),           while shorter-term players bet on a short-term basis (small risk).                   But make no mistake about it -                       All are betting just the same...

 

But in stock the proability of winning is higher than 50%. In casino or any betting, no betting proability is higher than 50%.

iPunter      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 11:47) Posted: The stock market is all about betting.     Long-term players bet on a longer-term basis (big risk),           while shorter-term players bet on a short-term basis (small risk).                   But make no mistake about it -                       All are betting just the same...

 

The stock market is all about betting.

    Long-term players bet on a longer-term basis (big risk),

          while shorter-term players bet on a short-term basis (small risk).

                  But make no mistake about it -

                      All are betting just the same...

 

CFD is superb for betting long... or betting short...

          It's the best invention since Blue-Tack and Post-It...

rotijai      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 00:38) Posted: ok, gonna get my cfd acc ready :) BullishTempo      ( Date: 13-Feb-2011 00:34) Posted: Yes 3120. If it breaks resistance, go long, otherwise short.