The complacency of the market is unbelievable.
There is a run on the derivative markets so much so that if they are mark to market the whole system will collapse in spite of such massive infusions of credit to buy time for the banks invoved to prevent a run on the banks.
Warren Buffett says he is sympathetic to the instituitional reluctance to face the music.
The recent meltdown in much of the debt market has transformed this process into marking to myth.
newmoon,
my personal view is that carrytrade will NEVER end as long as there is a BIG difference in the interest rate between USD & JPY, GBP & JPY, EUR & JPY. Unless JPY hike their interest rate to be on par with the rest of the currencies, there will always be an interest in carry trade. Its has been like this since donkey years.
Yen to rise to 109 by year end putting an end to carry trade- bloomberg
penny recovery after the blue chips...still have few weeks of good trading (do not be greedy though)...good luck
| Posted: 06-Sep-2007 17:15 | |
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everyone is entitled to his/her own opinion but market is always right...but if you have bought some good shares when we made the call in the week 22nd August, the recovery will earn you more than 10-50% of profit (more coming)...we do not foresee the very long term but at least for short term, certainty is there is market...more recovery to come and penny after the blue chip...good luck :) |
the market is always right and belongs to those who listen to it, not to those who have all sort of opinions and want the market to listen to them...the market will not listen to you and you better listen to the market as the market is always right...since then a big move 0f 400-500 points up and people still do not listen to market....really do not understand....good luck
Yup,
You can bet the STI will shoot up at least 4% in just one day for a start if such news really come... hehehe...
$come$go,
If Chinese $$$ really coming then we can see STI crossing 4000 points by year end...
Wait till you hear money coming from the mainland... that can trigger the most astounding local bull market of all time !...
Some are hoping for STI to crash and some are hoping for reverse.
STI is up surprisingly..
8:44am: Lower open seen after Chinese central bank raises reserve rates; strong sales from Wal-Mart can't overcome. (more)
yup, oil and gas companies are going to do well. Go check out www.oilpods.com
You may want to invest in Oil and Gas fields.
You may want to invest in Oil and Gas fields.
Despite DOW closing -ve, STI still perform well to close in +ve.
But looking at the charts do make you worry whether it can sustain the bull....
Especially with numbers of counter in oil and gas. The rebound seems too fast to sustain long bull run. Look like the build up of tropical storm.
Be cautious, trade with care...
A back to back triple digit fall in the dow is very possible.
To expect a head after a tail in coin tossing is known as gambler's folly .
Try red and black in Genting-a run of 13+ black or red is not uncommon .
Despiet all the bears, companies in oil and gas are going to do well year after year
Dear CWQuah,
Next two months STI will hit new high!!!
I dread to think what would happen if US Fed Reserve only drops the interest rate to 5% instead of 4.75%... Unfortunately the market is expecting and pricing in such generosity.
STI trading volumes are nowadays barely more than 2 billion. In the earlier run-up before the correction, 3 billion traded volume was a daily affair.
Oil, the lifeblood of developed economies, just hit US$76 recently. What would a businessman read of this?
ECB just offered more $$$ to European banks to decrease lending rates and keep money markets moving.
Yen which used to be around 118Y to the USD, now goes for around 115Y to the USD - significant yen carry trade unwinding in the last few weeks of turmoil. The real big boys worldwide are having reservations in borrowing cheap currencies for investment capital gains.
Let's see what happens in the next 2 mths. Caveat emptor.
ECB injects another 42.2 billion euros to prevent credit crunch for today-FT report 6./09/07
That serious?
Fishing- Give me a rod. I need to fish out of the dangerous water off the coast of STI.
Looking at the recovery, upside potential very little room to manoeuvre,
but the downside risk a lot more.
Market sentiments tell us that the players are more cautious nowadays.
A waiting game is unfolding........... WAIT. I guess there's more to it...... Tremours 1, 2 & 3...
everyone is entitled to his/her own opinion but market is always right...but if you have bought some good shares when we made the call in the week 22nd August, the recovery will earn you more than 10-50% of profit (more coming)...we do not foresee the very long term but at least for short term, certainty is there is market...more recovery to come and penny after the blue chip...good luck :)
real fishing not bottom fishing..
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