imho.
Gap down with "effort" in closing above it's lowest price is not really considered a breaking of support. However, it does require more justification. Do note previous gaps up also.
im seeing sti heading towards 3200 before next rally cos last week sti broke the parallel support channel.
any sti ta guru care to comment?
| Nov 4, 2007 |
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China's Wen cautions about HK investment plan
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| HONG KONG - CHINESE Premier Wen Jiabao urged caution on the eagerly-awaited plan allowing mainlanders to invest in Hong Kong stocks and set conditions for the implementation of the scheme, a report said on Sunday.
The as-yet-unfulfilled promise of the trial programme has sparked a bull run on the Hong Kong market since the end of August on the expectations that billions of dollars could flood into the city. But Mr Wen said four conditions must be fulfilled before the scheme is approved, signalling a further delay of the plan as the government finalises the rules for it, the South China Morning Post reported. He said Beijing should pass a law to regulate outward mainland funds to minimise the shock to domestic stock markets and look into how this might negatively impact the Hong Kong bourse. Work should be done to raise Chinese individual investors' understanding of the risks of investing in Hong Kong stocks, he said, and that Beijing should seek the opinions of financial regulators before the plan is implemented. '(We) should make scientific judgement and analysis on what impact the massive funds flooding into Hong Kong's financial market would have,' Mr Wen said in his first remarks on the issue during a visit to Uzbekistan. Mr Wen also suggested a gradual integration of the Hong Kong, Shenzhen and Shanghai markets, the report added. The State Administration of Foreign Exchange said on Aug 20 it would allow some mainland individuals to buy Hong Kong-traded stocks. Although it did not specify an investment quota or say when the plan could start, the announcement triggered a rise of more than 40 per cent on the Hong Kong bourse. Analysts fear the move could recreate in Hong Kong the volatility of the Chinese bourses, which is partly caused by frenetic speculating by individual Chinese investors betting on short-term gains. Mr Wen said the government had been working to prevent price fluctuations and the formation of asset bubbles on the mainland. Chinese share prices have more than doubled in the past year. -- AFP |
From my personal unique anaysing, placing the 30 sti index counters against the sti graph (and other factors), i am expecting to see minor rises with larger drops in coming weeks and hurting those without holding powers, this could be worst during a time when the hsi bubble burst, might go on till end of the year before sti starts shooting up and perhaps hitting around 4,000 points mark come feb 2008.
These are just my personal homework using my own unique style of reading from a different angle, so please don't 'f' the hell out of me if it does not happen or if you do not agree, but i am sticking to my own graph.
Thanks
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工銀亞洲董事黃遠輝表示,受到港股直通車無法短期落實消息的影響,預計明日股市將有調整。 黃遠輝表示,預計明日港股有機會下試3萬點,實際跌幅要視乎市場承接能力。 Let's see how STI going to surprise us on monday. |
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I think these writedowns will already to priced into the US Indices. Resignation of CEO historically causes share price to go UP not Down.
Downgrades on US financial stocks were already carried out on Friday. And the indices finished positive despite MER -8% and Citi -2%. Volatile as it may be.....I think buy on dips and hold what you have bought because these bad news will pass really fast. Unless you expect Citi or MER to go bankrupt....that's crazy talk. BIG BOYS should be buying now to prepare for year-end rally.....you don't miss it.
166,000 jobs created instead of the expected 80,000. The US economy is quite resilient right? More jobs = more spending = economic growth
This coming trading week, there is nothing much...except bad news, alot of back news from Wall Street. like this one...
Shake-ups on the StreetThe mortgage morass has unleashed a restructuring wave on Wall Street as banks attempt to clean house. A look at some of the major moves. By Grace Wong, CNNMoney.com staff writer |
Be mindful, have profit, take some and compensate for losses from other traded stocks. Be prepare for volatile trading....YA!!!
Stock selloff deepens on credit market fears (source...money.cnn.com)
Help!!!!!!!!!!! |
| Merrill (green), Citigroup (aqua) and Bear Stearns (yellow) have all fallen about 30 percent in the last six months. |
STI is following, mirroring Wall Street come Monday....
. It has started today.
Straits Times Index Last:3715.32 Vol:2,401.1 m
-88.24
Regionally we painted a rosy picture, while Wall Street just realized something is not very right with their economic.....and was concerns about their earnings and downside in their finanicals.
11:02am: Deutsche Bank analyst sees mortgage fallout affecting earnings through end of year; Merrill, Citi to be hit hardest. (more)
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USA
The only solution that the banking regulators and the politicians and the Fed can think of at the moment is to do what got them into this problem in the first place-create more debt .
Shanghai;
The stock market boom in China has created the 5 largest companies in the world by market value.
This is a source of great pride for the Chines government but this honour could soon turn into a big headache.
final 25 minutes of the week, dun play play, exit all my market positions and have a nice weekend
cheers to all
Newmoon... :)
As usual, you have inspired us much...
The bursting of most asset bubbles has been postponed by Bernanke.
The result of his policy is hyper inflation and great volatility.
Quote of the Day;
Were there a mountain made of gold
doubled that would not be enough
to satisfy a single man
know this and live accordingly.
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UPDATE 2-Gold regains strength, takes aim at $800 an ounce
(Updates with closing in Tokyo) By Lewa Pardomuan SINGAPORE, Nov 2 (Reuters) - Gold bounced on Friday as bargain hunters resurfaced after price declines the previous day, with the metal on track to breaching the psychological level of $800 due to high oil prices and a struggling U.S.
dollar.
Spot gold
Gold also attracted safe-haven buying as Asian stocks fell more than 2 percent, led by financial shares after broker downgrades of U.S. banking giant Citigroup
"I wouldn't be surprised if it went through $800," said David Moore, a commodity strategist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
"I still think in the longer run it probably won't sustain those levels but in the near term, I think that's quite possible. The gold price has been higher than I thought it would be." Speculative buying had pushed up gold to $799.30 on Thursday, its highest since January 1980, when it hit an all-time high of $850 an ounce, before profit taking dragged down the price to as low as $784.10.
"A terminally ill looking U.S. dollar, geopolitical tensions and the onset of increased demand ahead of the northern hemisphere winter are all supportive for oil," said Investec Australia in a daily report.
"While for gold, the risk of inflation can also be added to the melting pot. Volatility will continue to be the dominant feature of both markets," it said.
Gold often tracks crude oil because of its role as a hedge against inflation. A weaker dollar also makes dollar-priced gold cheaper for holders of other currencies.
U.S. oil
After adjusting for inflation, gold's record high of $850 is equal to $2,079 an ounce at 2006 prices, according to metals consultancy GFMS. Prices have jumped 25 percent since the latest rally began in mid-August.
Philip Klapwijk, chairman of GFMS, said inflation worries and a weak dollar were likely to push gold towards $850 in the first half of next year. [ID:nSEO262094] The key August 2008 gold contract on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange <0#JAU:> ended 46 yen per gram lower at 2,937 yen.
The dollar was flat at 114.61 yen
Trading was muted as investors awaited U.S. employment figures due at 1230 GMT that could offer clues on what the Federal Reserve will do at its next policy meeting in December.
The Fed earlier this week cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.5 percent but moderated expectations for further rate cuts by saying inflation risks were equal to the possibility of slower growth.
Tokyo's Nikkei average <.N225> ended 2.1 percent lower, while MSCI's measure of other Asia Pacific stocks <.MIAPJ0000PUS> shed 2.4 percent.
"I still think we are in an upward trend momentum," said William Kwan, a dealer at Phillip Futures Pte Ltd in Singapore.
"Where will we be heading? Firstly, of course we will break out of $800. Once it's taken out, a lot of stops will be triggered. They will conquer a lot of short sellers," he said.
COMEX futures inched down in Asia, with the most active December contract
In mining news, AngloGold Ashanti Ltd
Silver
Precious metals prices at 0646 GMT Metal Last Change Pct chg YTD pct chg Turnover Spot Gold 788.10 1.10 +0.14 23.97 Spot Silver 14.10 0.00 +0.00 9.73 Spot Platinum 1434.00 -10.00 -0.69 26.68 Spot Palladium 368.00 0.00 +0.00 10.84 TOCOM Gold 2937.00 -46.00 -1.54 20.12 105036 TOCOM Platinum 5162.00 -98.00 -1.86 21.34 42663 TOCOM Silver 523.30 -17.40 -3.22 6.08 2957 TOCOM Palladium 1377.00 -24.00 -1.71 9.72 419 Euro/Dollar 1.4432 Dollar/Yen 114.57 TOCOM prices in yen per gram, except TOCOM silver which is priced in yen per 10 grams. Spot prices in $ per ounce.
Help!!!!!!!!!!!