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Latest Posts By richtan - Supreme      About richtan
First   < Newer   921-940 of 3268   Older>   Last  

27-Aug-2009 15:45 Midas   /   Midas       Go to Message
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Noticed tat Midas train had moved up by one gear, support moved up from 25ema to 15ema.

All the emas are uptrending and intact.

Shortists can at most tickle the daily price gyrations to incite fears but do not have tat super-natural powers to derail this train unless Midas fundamentals changed or something unfortunate happens, touch wood.

If Midas FA changed or something untowards happen, I will not hesitate to exit and abandon the train.
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27-Aug-2009 15:37 Others   /   DOW       Go to Message
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U-hoo, mkt is beginning to go up now, still going strong, still no correction, so far, so good.

Mkt movement is not so simplistic and not cast in stones, not necessary means Fri, it must go down, it may go up or down, nobody knows unless saints with divine powers.



Integrity      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 13:15) Posted:

Market is beginning for correction as sellers is currently more than buyers, tomorrow is Friday so do expect even more downturn.
Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 15:31 AusGroup   /   AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m       Go to Message
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Do not be too eager-beaver to take profit, remember, the 3rd golden mantra:

3) Cut losses short n let profit runs with trailing stops, we need to let profit runs as much as it can to cover all the losses
made n yet make net gains. When we hit the cut-loss, never be emotional, be mechanical, immediately exit n never regret even if later it goes up bcos if dun cut, wat if it continues to go down, preserving ammunition to fight another day is the key. We can always re-enter if there is another buy sign candles, even if buying at a higher price.
Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 15:28 AusGroup   /   AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Lets HUAT together

bennykusman      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 15:21) Posted:

huat!

richtan      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 15:07) Posted:

Trade Summary still shows heavy humongus buy-up:

5GJ (AusGroup)
 WEIGHTED AVG PRICE :  0.7198   LAST DONE PRICE :  0.730 
 SPREAD/PRICE RATIO :  0.0068   AVG TRADE SIZE :  59.969 
< />
Last Trades Vol BuyVol Mid SellVol
0.705 43 1,812 1,723 0 89
0.710 78 6,006 4,432 0 1,574
0.712 1 30 0 30 0
0.714 2 744 0 744 0
0.715 333 17,810 9,897 0 7,913
0.717 2 130 0 130 0
0.719 2 265 0 265 0
0.720 267 17,079 2,772 0 14,307
0.725 192 14,050 6,273 102 7,675
0.728 1 200 0 200 0
0.729 1 120 0 120 0
0.730 191 9,036 2,231 0 6,805
0.735 13 243 0 0 243
TOTAL 1,126 67,525 27,328 1,591 38,606
 


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27-Aug-2009 15:07 AusGroup   /   AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m       Go to Message
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Trade Summary still shows heavy humongus buy-up:

5GJ (AusGroup)
 WEIGHTED AVG PRICE :  0.7198   LAST DONE PRICE :  0.730 
 SPREAD/PRICE RATIO :  0.0068   AVG TRADE SIZE :  59.969 
< />
Last Trades Vol BuyVol Mid SellVol
0.705 43 1,812 1,723 0 89
0.710 78 6,006 4,432 0 1,574
0.712 1 30 0 30 0
0.714 2 744 0 744 0
0.715 333 17,810 9,897 0 7,913
0.717 2 130 0 130 0
0.719 2 265 0 265 0
0.720 267 17,079 2,772 0 14,307
0.725 192 14,050 6,273 102 7,675
0.728 1 200 0 200 0
0.729 1 120 0 120 0
0.730 191 9,036 2,231 0 6,805
0.735 13 243 0 0 243
TOTAL 1,126 67,525 27,328 1,591 38,606
 


richtan      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 09:44) Posted:

Trade Summary still shows heavy humongus buy-up:

5GJ (AusGroup)
 WEIGHTED AVG PRICE :  0.7187   LAST DONE PRICE :  0.735 
 SPREAD/PRICE RATIO :  0.0068   AVG TRADE SIZE :  67.32 
< />
Last Trades Vol BuyVol Mid SellVol
0.705 43 1,812 1,723 0 89
0.710 72 5,894 4,320 0 1,574
0.712 1 30 0 30 0
0.714 2 744 0 744 0
0.715 208 11,945 5,667 0 6,278
0.717 2 130 0 130 0
0.719 2 265 0 265 0
0.720 109 8,648 0 0 8,648
0.725 19 4,218 1,631 102 2,485
0.729 1 120 0 120 0
0.730 141 7,218 1,376 0 5,842
0.735 13 243 0 0 243
TOTAL 613 41,267 14,717 1,391 25,159
    
 



fartist      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 09:41) Posted:



Hi y'all!

Can someone post the time and sales for this counter today? Seems like it may actually beat ytd volume, my ie cant show dont know why. Good day!
Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 14:43 Genting Sing   /   GenSp starts to move up again       Go to Message
x 1
x 0 		Intraday, looks like forming a reversal candle now, but dyodd n BOSAYOR.

richtan      ( Date: 26-Aug-2009 23:22) Posted:



Below is my chart analysis for sharing and exchange pointers.

My TA chart is posted to share n exchange pointers with those TA practitioner whom believes in TA.
 
If u are a TA detractor, plse just ignore n refrain from peeping at my chart posting n start

making unconstructive comments and plse do not be so childish or lunatic as to abuse the

rating system by rating it as "bad post", accumulating for yourself and your

next generation, "bad" karma for your "bad" deeds.

If u think it is a bad post, then be constructive and kindly post your TA for sharing.

This is only my view n I may be right or wrong, so dyodd and SOBAYOR.


Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 14:33 Genting Sing   /   GenSp starts to move up again       Go to Message
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x 0 		Oh...oh Un believable leh... Genting dozing off in the pm now, quickly wake it up plse

risktaker      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 11:01) Posted:



believed or not. Genting will wake up in the afternoon.

HUAT AH
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27-Aug-2009 14:25 Midas   /   Midas       Go to Message
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x 0 		richtan      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 11:52) Posted:



I love all these shortist, when they start to panic and cover their shorts, they help to push up the price just like a compressed spring when released.

Those shortists are "risktakers" taking extreme risk of being burnt as Midas is always in the habit of springing surprise announcements of contracts award, dun be caught off-guard, see OCBC write-up below:

From OCBC Investment Research:

Midas's firm order book of 1.4 billion yuan (S$296 million),  more anticipated contract wins in Sept - Nov 2009... will serve to under-gird valuations"
Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 14:22 Midas   /   Midas       Go to Message
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Personally. I m not bothered by all these "seems" whether Midas is going to drop or up today or tomoro, as long as the mid to long term trend is up n no reversal sign, I m not unduly worried by all this predators noises to instil fear in weak holders and savage them up, only to later see the prices goes up.

I believe in the trend (mid to long term), I always remember one of my 3 golden mantras: "The trend is your friend", until the trend changes and turn down or I see a reversal sign, then I will exit, I m a trader, so I dun fall in love with any particular stocks



risktaker      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 13:33) Posted:

I really hope i am wrong. But it seems to me Midas is going for a drop.



bennykusman      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 13:25) Posted:

ok.. so u predit this share will go up or down today


Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 14:14 Midas   /   Midas       Go to Message
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SmileySmileySmiley , OIC, No offence intended, I hoped it is not bcos u r waiting to buy at lower price, so try to "talk down", just to let u know, its an exercise in futility, the mkt is too big to talk up or down in a forum.

As I said, let the mkt talks by itself, just as "we might see it go up in the afternoon",  it is anybody's guess unless u have divine powers or u r right just by sheer luck, tikam-tikam.



risktaker      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 12:47) Posted:



Long Term. Midas is extremely well. I am still holding and wanting to buy more @ lower price.

However we might see drop coming in the afternoon. To Contra player better exit asap. 
Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 14:06 Midas   /   Midas       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		U r most welcome, but remember, I m just sharing wat I saw, so dyodd n BOSAYOR.

Laulan      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 14:04) Posted:

Thks Richtan, I saw your post in Swiber.  Actually bought Swiber early in the morning after lifting halt, then sold for a 6 cents profit.  Bought at 95 cts and sold at 1.01 sameday.  Now it is going up, but no regrets. Cheers.


richtan      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 11:29) Posted:

See my posting in Swiber thread, negative write-up by DMG fy
Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 12:42 Others   /   Clarification Needed       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		If u are selling the 20 lots tat u bot today to contra, u must indicate in your online sell order by clicking the "contra" button b4 submitting the order.

vthnay      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 12:37) Posted:

Hi Guys, I need clarification on the following scenario. I bought 20 lots of X shares some time again. I bought another 20 lots of the same share yesterday. If I sell it today, or within the next few days, is it still considered Contra? Cheers!
Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 12:35 Midas   /   Midas       Go to Message
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Personally. I m not bothered by whether they will go up by tomoro or next day, as long as the mid to long term trend is up n no reversal sign, I m not unduly worried by all this predators noises to instil fear in weak holders and savage them up, only to later see the prices goes up.

I believe in the trend (mid to long term), I always remember my 3rd golden mantra: "The trend is your friend", until the trend changes and turn down or I see a reversal sign, then I will exit, I m a trader, so I dun fall in love with any particular stocks



risktaker      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 12:23) Posted:

Lacking of a shield like Genting. I dont think it will go up by tomorrow.

bennykusman      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 12:18) Posted:

huat
Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 11:52 Midas   /   Midas       Go to Message
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I love all these shortist, when they start to panic and cover their shorts, they help to push up the price just like a compressed spring when released.

Those shortists are risktakers taking extreme risk of being burnt as Midas is always in the habit of springing surprise announcements of contracts award, dun be caufght off-guard, see OCBC write-up below:

From OCBC Investment Research:

Midas's firm order book of 1.4 billion yuan (S$296 million),  more anticipated contract wins in Sept - Nov 2009...

will serve to under-gird valuations"



richtan      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 11:46) Posted:

Afternoon "might also" be very green. Anybody's guess. Also be equally careful.

Anyway, doesn't really matters whether today green or red, this are just noises, doesn't negate Midas strong FA and mid to long-term trend.



risktaker      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 11:39) Posted:

Afternoon "might" be very red. Becareful.
Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 11:46 Midas   /   Midas       Go to Message
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Afternoon "might also" be very green. Anybody's guess. Also be equally careful.

Anyway, doesn't really matters whether today green or red, this are just noises, doesn't negate Midas strong FA and mid to long-term trend.



risktaker      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 11:39) Posted:

Afternoon "might" be very red. Becareful.
Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 11:29 Midas   /   Midas       Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		See my posting in Swiber thread, negative write-up by DMG fyi

Laulan      ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 10:37) Posted:

Turning attention more to Swiber.

Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 11:28 Swiber   /   Swiber       Go to Message
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Swiber Holdings: Capital raising again (NEUTRAL\S$0.94\Target: Under review)


Serene Lim (62323897, serene.lim@dmgaps.com.sg)


Yet another capital raising exercise.

Late last night, Swiber proposed, unexpectedly, the issuance of US$78m convertible bonds due 2014.

An additional US$22m, referred to as Up-size Option is also made available. The convertible bonds will bear interest at the rate of 5%, payable semi-annually. The conversion premium is 28% over last Monday’s last trading price of S$0.94.

We note that this is the second capital raising following a placement of 84m shares to raise proceeds of S$73.9m in Jun 09.

We do not view this favourably. We have previously cautioned on Swiber’s negative free cashflow in our
2Q09 results note.

We are currently making revisions to our earnings model and assumptions. As such, our NEUTRAL rating and target price are under review.

Convertible bond. Swiber announced the issuance of up to US$100m convertible bond at the
convertible price of S$1.20 late last night. The convertible price represents a premium of 25% above
Tuesday’s closing price of S$0.96. Interest on the convertible bonds is at an annualised rate of 5%, 90bp
above Swiber’s effective interest rate of 4.10% for FY08. Assuming no exercise of Up-size Option and
no conversion made, we estimate the increase in interest cost will impact Swiber’s FY09/10 bottomline
by 3%/8%.


Dilutive impact on Swiber shares.

Assuming no exercise of the Up-size option, the number of outstanding shares will increase by 19% from 505 million to 600 million upon full conversion of the convertible bond.


Impact of news.

We think this capital raising exercise is unexpected, as this follows shortly a placement
of 84m shares conducted in Jun 09.

We do not view this favourably, as this raises concerns related to

1) usage of funds, 2) execution capabilities, 3) working capital requirements.
Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 11:18 Others   /   DOW       Go to Message
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Hahaha... will H.S. Dent be dented like Roubini (see below):

Applying Roubini Wisdom to Stocks Means Missing Out (Update3)
Share | Email | Print | A A A





By Whitney Kisling


Aug. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Making money on the thinking of Nouriel Roubini isn’t what it used to be.

The New York University professor, who in 2006 foretold the worst financial unraveling since the Great Depression, has yet to say the economy is worth investing in again. “There is a big risk of a double-dip recession,” wrote Roubini, also known as Dr. Doom, in his column in the Financial Times this week.

Anyone attempting to apply Roubini’s wisdom to stocks may be forgiven for missing the biggest rally since the 1930s as the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed 52 percent in six months. While Roubini said in March the advance was a “dead-cat bounce,” that it may “fizzle” in May and warned in July that the economy’s “not out of the woods,” the MSCI World Index was posting a 58 percent gain, the largest since it began in 1970.

“We’re looking at a bull cycle in phase one,” Laszlo Birinyi said in a telephone interview yesterday. Birinyi was the top-ranked Dow Jones Industrial Average forecaster for most of the 1990s on PBS’s “Wall Street Week with Louis Rukeyser.” “No one wants to come out and say, ‘This is a bull market.’ Everyone’s just dancing around the term,” he said.

The S&P 500 added 14 percent since Westport, Connecticut- based Birinyi Associates Inc., which manages $350 million, said on May 20 that a bull market had begun, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Roubini, who forecast in October 2008 that the U.S. was in a recession that would last 24 months, said on March 9 that the index might fall back to 600. It has risen to 1,028 since then.

$4 Trillion Gained

The S&P 500 increased 0.12 point, or less than 1 percent, to 1,028.12 at 4 p.m. in New York today, rising for the sixth time in seven days. The MSCI World Index slipped 0.4 percent.

About $4 trillion has been restored to U.S. equity markets since March following better-than-forecast corporate profits and signs of an improving economy. More than 72 percent of the S&P 500’s companies beat analysts’ average estimates for second- quarter earnings, matching the highest proportion since Bloomberg began tracking the data in 1993. The Conference Board’s index of leading economic indicators has risen four consecutive months.

Roubini’s July 2006 warning about the financial crisis protected investors from losses in the S&P 500’s worst annual tumble in seven decades. He also correctly warned investors to avoid stocks following the steepest advances in 2008.

On Dec. 12, he said U.S. stocks might fall 20 percent after the S&P 500 gained 17 percent in three weeks. The index lost 23 percent through March 9, 2009. During an 18 percent jump in the index between Oct. 27 and Nov. 4, Roubini warned the S&P 500 might reverse course and lose 30 percent. It dropped 28 percent through March.

‘Understand the Market’

He may have missed this year’s bull market because Roubini isn’t focused on stocks, according to Birinyi.

Roubini has “done a very good job on the economy,” Birinyi said in an interview Aug. 24. “Our approach is to try to understand the market and not try to do much more than that.”

Jonathan D. Goldberg, a New York-based spokesman for Roubini, said he wasn’t available to comment because he’s on vacation.

Roubini, 51, wrote this week in the Financial Times that the economy may worsen again even after it stops shrinking this year. The global contraction will bottom in the second half of 2009, and the recession in the U.S. won’t be “formally over” before the end of the year, he said.

‘Fizzle Out’

The forecast was a reiteration of Roubini’s call for an 18- to 24-month contraction that he made in October 2008. The recession began in December 2007, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research’s Business Cycle Dating Committee.

Roubini told Bloomberg Television on May 13 that the stock market’s rally “might fizzle out,” citing expectations for weak growth in earnings. On March 9, he said it was “highly likely” the S&P 500 would fall to 600 or below because of plunging profits, an accelerating contraction in the global economy and a deteriorating outlook for banks.

The index reached a 12-year low of 676.53 that day and has since climbed for almost six months. Reports on industrial production, housing starts and car sales, along with comments from the Federal Reserve that the economy is “leveling out,” helped boost equities in the world’s largest economy.

In July 2006, Roubini predicted the financial crisis that led to $1.6 trillion in credit-related losses and writedowns. He forecast a “catastrophic” meltdown in February 2008, leading to the bankruptcy of large banks with mortgage holdings and a “sharp drop” in equities.

Bear Stearns, Lehman

Since then, Bear Stearns Cos. and Merrill Lynch & Co. were taken over, American International Group Inc. and Citigroup Inc. required government bailouts and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed for the world’s biggest bankruptcy. All the companies were based in New York.

Birinyi, 65, who spent a decade on the trading desk at Salomon Brothers Inc. before founding Birinyi Associates in 1989, said on May 20 that the S&P 500 may reach 1,700 by 2011, shifting from his April 13 call that the market had risen too much “by almost every measure.” In October 2007, he told investors to avoid bank stocks, saying bad loans and lower revenue from underwriting would damp earnings. The S&P 500 Financials Index then plunged 82 percent through March 6, 2009.

“Both of them just have a pretty deep understanding of the history of economic and business cycles,” said Eric Teal, who oversees $5 billion as chief investment officer at First Citizens Bank in Raleigh, North Carolina. “Roubini has just had more of an academic background, whereas Birinyi has been much more in the spotlight managing money and working in capital markets.”

Growth Forecasts

The U.S. economy has contracted four straight quarters. It will expand 2.2 percent during the third quarter and 2 percent in the fourth, before growing 2.3 percent in 2010, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

Roubini, who received a Ph.D. in economics from Harvard University in 1988, was a member of Yale University’s faculty until joining NYU in 1995. He started his consulting firm, Roubini Global Economics LLC, in 2004, providing subscribers access to written and broadcast commentary and archived data. The firm’s 1,300 institutional clients include asset managers and hedge funds, as well as investment banks and universities. Roubini doesn’t invest any money on behalf of customers.

“There’s a lot more weight behind pundits who put their money where their mouth is,” said Jack Ablin, who oversees $60 billion as chief investment officer of Harris Private Bank in Chicago. “Where I get up and pay attention is when I see someone who’s been bearish go bullish.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Whitney Kisling in New York at wkisling@bloomberg.net.

Last Updated: August 26, 2009 17:43 EDT
Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 10:47 AusGroup   /   AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m       Go to Message
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From Kim Eng:

AusGroup – Broke above key resistance of $0.66 and poised to take out next short term target of $0.82

AusGroup hit a 52‐week high with a white candle breakout above the key resistance level at $0.66 yesterday.

The move was accompanied by a significant expansion in volume, with RSI persistently holding above the 50 mark
over the past 30 days.

Directional Movement Indices are also turning positive, laying the ground for further upside.

The stock is likely to test the next resistance level at $0.82 in the near term.

Recommend buy with stop‐loss below $0.67.

The engineering and construction company, which mainly services the mineral resources and oil and gas markets
in Australia, has just reported a 52% jump in FY09 net earnings to A$21.9m (4Q09: A$6.9m) on a 26% rise in
revenue to A$478m (4Q09: A$118m). Overall, the group expects a contraction in revenues over the next 12 months
due to reduced activities in the mineral resource sector, which is facing strong margin pressure but management
is hopeful of a pick‐up in activity in 2HFY10. At $0.71, the stock iscurrently trading at a FY09 P/E of 10.9x
Good Post  Bad Post 
27-Aug-2009 10:44 AusGroup   /   AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m       Go to Message
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From Kim Eng:

AusGroup – Broke above key resistance of $0.66 and poised to take out next short term target of $0.82
AusGroup hit a 52‐week high with a white candle breakout above the key resistance
level at $0.66 yesterday. The move was accompanied by a significant expansion in
volume, with RSI persistently holding above the 50 mark over the past 30 days.
Directional Movement Indices are also turning positive, laying the ground for further
upside. The stock is likely to test the next resistance level at $0.82 in the near term.
Recommend buy with stop‐loss below $0.67.
The engineering and construction company, which mainly services the mineral resources
and oil and gas markets in Australia, has just reported a 52% jump in FY09 net earnings
to A$21.9m (4Q09: A$6.9m) on a 26% rise in revenue to A$478m (4Q09: A$118m).
Overall, the group expects a contraction in revenues over the next 12 months due to
reduced activities in the mineral resource sector, which is facing strong margin pressure
but management is hopeful of a pick‐up in activity in 2HFY10. At $0.71, the stock is
currently trading at a FY09 P/E of 10.9x
short term target of $0.82
AusGroup hit a 52‐week high with a white candle breakout above the key resistance
level at $0.66 yesterday. The move was accompanied by a significant expansion in
volume, with RSI persistently holding above the 50 mark over the past 30 days.
Directional Movement Indices are also turning positive, laying the ground for further
upside. The stock is likely to test the next resistance level at $0.82 in the near term.
Recommend buy with stop‐loss below $0.67.
The engineering and construction company, which mainly services the mineral resources
and oil and gas markets in Australia, has just reported a 52% jump in FY09 net earnings
to A$21.9m (4Q09: A$6.9m) on a 26% rise in revenue to A$478m (4Q09: A$118m).
Overall, the group expects a contraction in revenues over the next 12 months due to
reduced activities in the mineral resource sector, which is facing strong margin pressure
but management is hopeful of a pick‐up in activity in 2HFY10. At $0.71, the stock is
currently trading at a FY09 P/E of 10.9x
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