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Latest Posts By ozone2002 - Supreme      About ozone2002
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16-Oct-2008 17:31 Others   /   How to profit from current crises???       Go to Message
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i bought put warrants everytime i get a bad post..
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16-Oct-2008 16:15 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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u mean amazing bear trap..
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16-Oct-2008 15:23 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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making this $2 mil during the great crash of 2008 :)

jackjames      ( Date: 16-Oct-2008 11:38) Posted:

orchard condo from high 5 millions drop to 2 millions only last 3 years, and now back to 5 millions, the price didn't even drop near to 4 millions... you have to wait a bit longer... by the way, make sure you have at least 2 millions first ba~

ozone2002      ( Date: 16-Oct-2008 10:11) Posted:

eyeing condo in orchard area..gonna be cheap cheap!.. :)


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16-Oct-2008 13:50 ST Engineering   /   ST Engg       Go to Message
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short la.. :)
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16-Oct-2008 10:11 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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eyeing condo in orchard area..gonna be cheap cheap!.. :)
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16-Oct-2008 09:44 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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more downside to come..

brace urselves pple!

have u PUTTTTTTTTTT yet?



ozone2002      ( Date: 14-Oct-2008 09:35) Posted:



monstrous rallies are good opportunities for downside..

prepare ur puts n CFD shorts..

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14-Oct-2008 23:10 Others   /   Forex Junction       Go to Message
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shorted EUR/USD 1.36468 and close out @ 1.36270 .. total of 198 pips.. from 1034pm to 1038 pm

4 mins 198 pips..> USD$500
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14-Oct-2008 17:33 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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from 100+ to close 50+ ...@ 1.8 bil vol..man..something's gotta give..

don't look so rosy here..
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14-Oct-2008 11:21 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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vol hitting 1bil by lunch time..

strong vol on the up day
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14-Oct-2008 09:38 Others   /   Forex Junction       Go to Message
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Forex : its all abt strategy..

seal ur downside by minimizing ur losses and let ur profits run..

I solely rely on TA.. making consistents gains of USD $500 or more per day..

U can too..if u are discipline and use the right strategy that is consistent with ur risk appetite..
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14-Oct-2008 09:35 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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monstrous rallies are good opportunities for downside..

prepare ur puts n CFD shorts..
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13-Oct-2008 11:32 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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For some investors, it's back to stocks

The four most dangerous words for investors are: This time is different.

In 1999, technology companies with no earnings or sales were valued at billions of dollars. But this time was different, investors told themselves. The Internet could not be missed at any price.

They were wrong. In 2000 and 2001 technology stocks plunged, erasing trillions of dollars in wealth.

Now investors have again convinced themselves that this time is different, that the credit crisis will push economies worldwide into the deepest recession since the Depression. Fear runs even deeper today than greed did a decade ago.

But in their panic, investors are ignoring 60 years of history. Since the Depression, governments have become far more aggressive about intervening when credit markets seize up or economies struggle. And those interventions have generally succeeded. The recessions since World War II, while hardly easy, have been far less painful than the Depression.

"The fact is, there are a lot of tremendous bargains out there," said Heebner, who manages about $10 billion in several mutual funds. Indeed, by many measures stocks are as cheap as they have been in the last 25 years.

He pointed to Chesapeake Energy, a natural gas producer that he owns in his CGM Focus mutual fund. In July, Chesapeake traded for $63 a share. On Friday, it fell as low as $11.99.

He says that investors with a stomach for risk and a long time horizon should consider following Warren Buffett, who in the last three weeks has invested $8 billion in Goldman Sachs and General Electric.

Heebner expects world economies to contract over the next year. But he said the market plunge in the last week was no longer being driven by rational analysis. Stocks are probably falling because of a combination of panic and forced selling by hedge funds that must meet margin calls from their lenders, he said.

Heebner's funds have not avoided the carnage this year. The CGM Focus fund is down about 42 percent so far in 2008. But his long-term track record is impressive. In the decade that ended Dec. 31, 2007, CGM Focus rose 26 percent a year, including reinvested dividends, making it among the best-performing mutual funds.

Heebner is not alone in his optimism.

"I think in years to come — I wouldn't say months to come — we will perceive this as being a great value-buying opportunity," said David Stowell, a finance professor at Northwestern and a former managing director at JPMorgan Chase. "Two and three years from now, it will seem very smart."

Even before their jaw-dropping plunge of the last month, stocks were not expensive by historical standards, based on fundamentals like earnings and cash flow. Now, after falling 30 percent or more since early September, stocks in stalwart, profitable corporations like Nokia, Exxon Mobil and Boeing are trading at nine times their annual profits per share or less. Many smaller companies are even cheaper. Some of those stocks are trading at five times earnings or less.

Those ratios are historically low. Over all, the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index is trading at about 13 times its expected profits for 2009, its lowest level in decades. In contrast, at the height of the technology bubble in early 2000, the stocks in the S&P traded at about 30 times earnings, the highest level ever. At the same time, the 10-year Treasury bond paid about 6 percent interest, compared with less than 4 percent today.

Investors have fled stocks in favor of government bonds, insured bank deposits and other low-risk investments because they are deeply afraid of the worldwide economic crisis, said Stephen Haber, an economic historian and senior fellow at the Hoover Institution. But he said he believed that fear might have gone too far.

"If there is good and wise policy, and government moves effectively, this need not play itself out in ways like the Great Depression, which is the image that is playing itself out in people's mind," Haber said. Government action typically does not work immediately, and banking crises around the world often require multiple interventions, he said.

Still, optimists remain in the minority on Wall Street. Most investors seem to believe that the credit crisis will do substantial damage to stocks and overall economic activity.

"We have never before seen for such sustained periods of time such a sustained turn away from risk taking," said Steven Wieting, the chief United States economist for Citigroup. "This has broken out of the boundaries we've seen." Economic activity appears to have slowed sharply in September, Wieting said.

The panic last week took the biggest toll on financial companies, as well as companies that are highly leveraged. But stocks fell 10 to 30 percent even for companies typically thought to be resistant to economic downturns, like the manufacturers of consumer staples.

For example, Newell Rubbermaid fell to $12.82 on Friday from $17.34 on Oct. 1, a 26 percent decline in 10 days. Newell Rubbermaid now trades at its lowest levels since 1990, and just eight times its expected earnings for next year.

Yet Newell Rubbermaid, whose brands include Calphalon, is profitable and insulated from the credit crisis, said William Schmitz Jr., who follows household products companies for Deutsche Bank. "There's really no balance sheet risk," Schmitz said. The company also pays a 6 percent dividend.

Newell Rubbermaid said in July that it would earn $1.40 to $1.60 a share for 2008, excluding restructuring charges. For 2009, stock analysts predict it will make $1.53 a share. And while a slowing economy may mean that people will be buying fewer products from Newell Rubbermaid, the recent plunge in oil prices will reduce its costs, Schmitz said.

"The way the stock's reacted, you'd think they were going out of business," he said.

Martin Whitman, a professional investor for more than 50 years, said that as long as economies worldwide could avoid an outright depression, stocks were amazingly cheap. Whitman manages the $6 billion Third Avenue Value fund, which returned 10.2 percent annually for the 15 years that ended Sept. 30, almost two percentage points a year better than the S&P 500 index. The fund is down 46 percent this year.

"This is the opportunity of a lifetime," Whitman said. "The most important securities are being given away."
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13-Oct-2008 10:38 ST Engineering   /   ST Engg       Go to Message
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technicals looking good for a short...

CFD short this bugger :)
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13-Oct-2008 08:55 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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nibbling bit by bit is called dollar cost averaging..

as nobody can catch the bottom of the markets, it's best to go in the markets especially when it tanks big time like last week 7%!, if u can afford 10 lots buy in fractions each time the markets tanks..

picking up shares at a bargain..in fact anything at a bargain should be ingrained in an investors mind..

why pay high for something which will not be worth its value cos its dictated by the forces of dd & ss..

and one more thing...don't need to monitor ur stocks if you are a long term investor.. cos when the bulls come raging back..u'll know it..and that's the time to dispose..
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12-Oct-2008 22:56 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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read words in bold...n act on it!!!
INVESTING IN STOCKS AND PROPERTY
Time to exit, not enter, markets
HAVING made a living as a fund manager and trader for the past 25 years, I have seen the general investing public hurt numerous times when they invest aggressively near the peak of a bubble, whether in stocks or property.

Retail investors should adopt a very long-term horizon to benefit from the stock and property markets.

The starting point of major stock investment or purchasing a property for investment is important. Always try to start major investments during a recession, a global market crisis, a banking crisis or when nobody is interested in stocks, like during the Sars period.

The art of investing can be broken down into three quantitative variables of time, price and size. Investors should pick a 'terrible' environment/time when prices are distressed and commit big (but definitely without leverage).

The opposite is also true. In a very bullish, 'good' environment/time with high prices everywhere, investors should reduce the size of investments and ensure that whatever is outstanding is getting smaller and smaller.

Forget about wanting to liquidate all investments at the top of the market. It is an impossible task.

The basic idea is to invest aggressively (without leverage) near the bottom and get out when markets are euphoric, like now, even if they could go higher and carry on longer.

Global imbalances are currently at an extreme, making the environment ripe for a market crisis like Oct 19, 1987.

Markets (individual share and property) will go up and down over a long period of time, although the general stock index hides this truth as new, strong shares always replace old, declining shares over the years, giving you a misguided view that the index always heads much higher over time.

As Singapore markets become globalised with much foreign participation, Singaporeans would do well to be patient and courageous by investing near the bottom of the down cycle and selling to foreigners near the top of the up cycle and repeating this process.

If you have missed the huge bull market, that's just too bad. Now is not the time to jump in aggressively as the risks are increasing exponentially.

Bull and bear markets always repeat themselves, just like summer and winter. Be very patient and do your homework.

You do not need to be a genius to make money in the markets. You need common sense, discipline and a clear long-term workable plan, without which the markets are like a hot fire and will burn fingers.
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12-Oct-2008 22:28 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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any rally in the next coming days presents a put warrant opportunity play..

or for those long term investors -

to pick up good quality sharing with recurring dividends..slow accumulation..

slow n steady wins the race :)
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12-Oct-2008 22:13 Others   /   Property and it prices - Outlook for 2008       Go to Message
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takes time for pple to get retrenched, reduce wages, be outta jobs etc..

once that happens monthly mortgage instalment payments will not be fulfilled and panic selling will start in the housing market ..

isn't it great to get things on the cheap? rather than fight with everyone for higher prices when everything is rosy..
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10-Oct-2008 17:04 Others   /   STI will touch 2000 points       Go to Message
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excellent vol today.. >1.5 billion..

made up of panic sellers,margin calls,unwinding trades..etc
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10-Oct-2008 13:32 Others   /   STI will touch 2000 points       Go to Message
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Put warrants all the way!
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10-Oct-2008 09:49 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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you forgot education field
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