Latest Posts By richtan - Supreme About richtan |
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17-Aug-2009 10:44 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Frankly, imo, those who short are really asking for trouble, anyway good for those who long, they will later have to chase up to cover their short
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17-Aug-2009 10:42 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Intraday, as at now, it is bouncing up from the 15ema just like STI, a dragonfly doji now.
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17-Aug-2009 10:29 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Frankly, imo, I m unfazed by this dips as it presents a good buy opportunity. Look at it in perspective, it is down bcos of the general mkt is down, nothing wrong with this counter, the wise will be buying.
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17-Aug-2009 09:54 | Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Looks like bouncing up from the 15ema
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17-Aug-2009 09:49 | Others / AFTER 9 MONTH RALLY-WAT MUST WE DO Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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17-Aug-2009 09:46 | AusGroup / AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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China May Boost Energy, Mining Acquisitions by Half (Update2) By John Duce Aug. 14 (Bloomberg) -- China, unfazed by failures to invest in Rio Tinto Group and Unocal Corp., will boost spending on oil and mining acquisitions by at least half this year to take advantage of lower valuations after commodity prices slumped. State-owned Yanzhou Coal Mining Co. yesterday agreed to buy Australia’s Felix Resources Ltd. for about A$3.5 billion ($2.9 billion), a day after Sinochem Corp., China’s biggest chemicals trader, offered to buy Emerald Energy Plc for 532 million pounds ($881 million) to gain oil fields in Syria and Colombia. China National Petroleum Corp.’s plan to buy Repsol YPF SA’s Argentine unit may push Chinese purchases of overseas commodity assets to $43 billion this year, a 48 percent increase on 2008, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. “The Chinese don’t have enough nickel, don’t have enough oil, and they don’t have enough copper,” Jim Rogers, chairman of Rogers Holdings and the author of books including “Investment Biker” and “Adventure Capitalist”, said in a telephone interview yesterday. “There’s a crisis coming. They are going around the world buying up what they can. They’re preparing for a rainy day.” Bids for resources by China, whose $2.1 trillion in currency reserves are the world’s largest, have been met with opposition in the U.S. and Australia. Neither concern over its growing influence nor the arrest of four Rio executives in Shanghai have stopped Chinese companies from buying assets abroad as the nation’s 4 trillion yuan ($585 billion) economic stimulus spurs demand. ‘Bolder Deals’ “China will see larger and bolder deals,” said Brian Gu, the Hong Kong-based head of mergers and acquisitions for greater China at JPMorgan Chase & Co., the third-ranked adviser by transaction value this year. “The growing outbound mergers and acquisitions activity is going to be a long-term trend and the volume and activity are here to stay.” The Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index, which tracks 19 raw materials, dropped 36 percent last year, the biggest annual decline since at least 1957. The measure has gained 15 percent this year on signs that the recession may be ending. Chinese energy companies have spent at least $13 billion on overseas assets since December as they take advantage of lower valuations caused by the slowdown. Yanzhou, China’s fourth-biggest coal miner, is offering A$18 a share for Felix, including a dividend and stock in a spin off of a unit of the Australian company. ‘Inferior’ Offer The offer, recommended by Felix’s board, is “inferior” and shareholders should reject it, Sophie Spartalis, an analyst with Macquarie Group Ltd., said in a report today. A bid of between A$23 to A$25 a share would be “more reasonable,” she wrote. Felix rose 4.1 percent to A$17.60 in Sydney trading. Yanzhou climbed 2.3 percent in Hong Kong to HK$12.40 while its Shanghai shares rose 3.7 percent to 20.72 yuan. The state-owned parents of PetroChina Co., China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. and Cnooc Ltd. are studying investments in companies in Africa, Latin America, the Middle East and Central Asia, according to JPMorgan’s Gu and Mike Arruda, a lawyer at Jones Day in Hong Kong who advises on mergers and acquisitions in the oil and gas industry. Both declined to disclose details of deals they are advising on. Controlling Stake China National Petroleum, the parent of PetroChina and the nation’s biggest oil company, is considering offering $13 billion to $14.5 billion for a controlling stake in Repsol’s unit, three people familiar with the matter said last month. China Petrochemical Corp., the country’s second-biggest oil company, in June agreed to buy Geneva-based Addax Petroleum Corp. for C$8.3 billion ($7.6 billion) in China’s biggest overseas takeover to date. Purchasing Addax, which has oil reserves in Iraq’s Kurdish territory, shows Chinese oil companies are “going for bigger transactions,” said Arruda, who is advising on what he described as “significant” acquisitions. “These deals seem to reflect an appetite we have not seen before.” China bought record volumes of oil and iron ore in July, according to customs figures released Aug. 11. The world’s fastest-growing major economy consumes more than a third of the world’s aluminum output, a quarter of its copper production, almost a tenth of its oil and accounts for more than half of trading in iron ore. Last year, China bought $211 billion worth of iron ore, refined copper, crude oil and alumina, according to government data. Demand, Imports China’s oil consumption doubled in the last decade, rising to 8 million barrels a day last year from 4.2 million barrels in 1998, according to BP Plc’s Statistical Review. The world’s third-largest economy imported 3.6 million barrels of oil a day last year, meeting about 45 percent of its needs. China’s increasing reliance on imported crude means the scale of acquisition deals has to increase, said Paul Ting, president of New Jersey-based Paul Ting Energy Vision LLC, a consulting company specializing in Chinese oil and gas markets. The country’s crude needs may rise to more than 11 million barrels a day in five years with China’s ageing oilfields unable to produce the extra capacity needed, Ting said. China National Petroleum said on May 13 it wants overseas crude production to match domestic output by 2020. Chairman Jiang Jiemin said CNPC produces less than 8 percent of its oil overseas and foreign acquisitions and ventures must be increased. “We want overseas production to contribute half,” he said at the time. Australian Opposition Bids for resources by China have been met with opposition from lawmakers in Australia. Melbourne-based Rio, the world’s third-largest mining company, abandoned a tie-up with Aluminum Corp. of China, or Chinalco, in June. The arrest of four Rio executives in July has strained relations between the countries. They were formally arrested on charges of trade secrets infringement and bribery, China’s Supreme People’s Procuratorate said Aug. 11, according to a Xinhua report. Some 57 percent of Australians said Chinese mining investments should be resisted because the nation’s interests would be “better served” with local ownership, according to a poll of 890 people conducted by Essential Research in April. Opposition to Chinese investment helped block Cnooc’s $18.5 billion bid for Unocal in 2005 while Haier Group Corp. lost out in the race to acquire U.S. appliance maker Maytag Corp. in the same year. Unocal, Repsol Cnooc, 66 percent-controlled by state-owned China National Offshore Oil Corp., abandoned its cash offer for Unocal after being outmaneuvered by Chevron Corp, the second-largest U.S. oil company. Chevron purchased the El Segundo, California-based oil and gas producer for $17.8 billion amid political opposition to the Chinese approach in Washington. CNPC’s approach for Repsol’s Argentine unit is unlikely to face such obstacles from Spain, according to Nitin Sharma, an analyst at JPMorgan Cazenove Ltd. in London. “We do not believe that the Spanish government will veto Repsol YPF plans to divest a controlling stake in YPF,” Sharma wrote in a report last month. To contact the reporter on this story: John Duce in Hong Kongt . Jduce1@bloomberg.net Last Updated: August 14, 2009 04:40 EDT |
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17-Aug-2009 09:24 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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From OCBC
Midas will be building three downstream fabrication lines for a total of ~S$45m that will be able to process 1000 train cars/year. The three lines are part of Midas’ strategy to cement its dominance and sustain margins in the domestic railway industry as it transforms into one-stop shop for aluminium train profiles and components. The company’s RMB1.4b order book will likely be filled more when the PRC government awards its 2nd phase of train contracts for 4000+ train cars. Today, Midas’ firm order book and more anticipated contract wins in Sep-Nov 09 for both NPRT and itself will serve to under-gird valuations. We have pegged Midas at 20x (prev. 18x) FY10F PER and our fair value is S$1.05 Maintain BUY. (Kelly Chia)
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17-Aug-2009 01:13 | Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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From Credit Suisse publication "Research Daily - Asia Equity Focus": [BrokeragesReport] Asian equities to extend rally after Q2 earnings surprises Q2 earnings surprises and strong liquidity extend Asian equity rally. We reiterate our pro-cyclical equity strategy and overweight position on Asian equities against an improving macro and fundamental backdrop amidst the Q2 reporting season. We expect three key positive drivers to extend the Asian equity rally further in H2 2009. First, the Asian markets have entered an earnings upgrade cycle, which turns out to be stronger than market expectations. After the trough of the Asian earnings downgrade cycle in April, the pace of consensus EPS upgrades has been accelerating in July and August with broader breath in the positive earnings revisions. 2009E consensus EPS for non-Japan Asia has been upgraded by 7.5% in the first 10 days of August and 6.2% in July, accelerating from the 3.3% and 3.4% upgrades in June and May respectively. Consensus EPS for 2010E has also been upgraded 6.1% so far in August, accelerating from 4.4% in July and 2.5% in June. It is noteworthy that August so far offers the biggest monthly earnings upgrades for non-Japan Asia since the 2001 global recession. The accelerating earnings upgrade momentum is a very positive indicator for the equity markets, as it offers a strong fundamental driver to extend the Asian equity rally going into H2 2009. Secondly, Asia is poised to benefit from an accelerating global asset relocation process to diversify from the rising risk of USD weakness and to increase exposure to the high-growth regions. Net foreign buying in Emerging Asia (ex-China & Malaysia) hit anew record high of USD 10.2 bn in July. Asia has remained the leading region to attract the largest portion of global fund inflowsto GEM equities since March 2009. On YTD basis, all GEM-dedicated equities have attracted approximately USD 36 bn inflows,which almost double the amount received each in 2005 and 2006 and close to the value recorded at the last cycle peak in 2007. This sharply contrasted the USD 50 bn YTD outflows from developed markets and indicated continued global asset reallocationfrom developed markets to high-beta emerging markets. Lastly, we do not expect any imminent risk of a major reversal of global monetary policy. As the recent FOMC meeting reaffirmedthe Fed's policy stance to keep near zero interest rates for an extended period in order to nurture an economy recovery while inflationary pressure is expected to stay subdued. The sharp deceleration in China's new loan issuance and moderation in fixed asset investment in July should mitigate the risk of premature policy tightening and asset bubble running out of control in China. The low interest rate environment and loose liquidity conditions provide a favorable investment environment for equities. Tactically, our technical strategists believes the global equity markets have entered a short-term consolidation phase extending into late August, as short-term momentum reading has topped out for most of the global indices. At current levels, we regard the Asian equity markets as fairly valued at 14.9x 12-month forward P/E at mid-cycle valuation. Our base-case 12-month index targets imply a modest 4% upside for MSCI Asia ex-Japan and 5% upside for MSCI Asia Pacific. We note the abundant liquidity and underinvestment of institutional and private investors underpin potential upside risk for the Asian markets to overshoot our fundamental index targets. Strong global liquidity inflows into the region could drive the Asian markets to test our optimistic 12-month index targets, which offer an aggregate upside of 24% for MSCI Asia ex-Japan and 18% for Asia Pacific. To ride on the earnings-driven rally, we recommend investors to focus on our favourite recovery leaders and reflation plays in Asia, including selected technology, banking, cement, metals and mining companies. Cheuk Wan Fan, Phone: +852 2841 4841, cheukwan.fan@credit-suisse.com |
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17-Aug-2009 00:44 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hi raymondho, U r most welcome, but always remember not to follow anyone's post blindly. Remember, dyodd n BOSAYOR as it is fair tat we can't blame the poster for our losses (we take responsibilty for our own actions) as likewise we dun share our winnings with the poster, right.
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16-Aug-2009 23:33 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hi Bintang, U r most welcome. We are here to built cameraderie n learn n alert each other, tats is the right mindset to adopt
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16-Aug-2009 23:24 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hi raymondho, I had aredi shared with u my views on those indicators as lagging which I dun pay much attention but more as secondary indicators to lend credence and more firm support to my leading indicators if it too agrees with the leading indicators. I learnt from some TA books tat emas are better than sma, thus where I chose 3 emas, one short-term (15ema), one mid-term (25ema) and last one, long-term (65ema). The candles must be read in combination with the vol (daily and weekly), see my annotations in my chart analysis.
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16-Aug-2009 23:14 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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I too hope tomoro, Midas shows up n plse her fans but at the same time gentle reminder not to get emotional and not let go our guard and set our stop-losses, as nothing is guaranteed
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16-Aug-2009 23:08 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hi raymondho. U r most welcome. I too hope to learn from u and all fellow forumers, tats why I m always open-minded n receptive to others views. Learning is a lifelong process. Todays' National Day rally reminds us to "Live and let live", we all have differing views, we discuss and exchange views without the need to flame each other nor rate each other as bad, share a common space here. I graciously extend my hand to those tat does not see eyes to eyes with me to let past grudges, if any, be waters under the bridge, be magnanamous, let go hatred, lets be constructive and harmonious, reply and share your disagreements, I too hope to learn from u.
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16-Aug-2009 18:00 | Others / Play Your Cards Right Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Yes, I fully agree with u.
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16-Aug-2009 17:52 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hi raymondho, Read my ealier reply to Bintang regardind ADX. Personally, I dun read too much into those indicators u mentioned as they are lagging indicators, I pay more attention to the candles, their patterns, the emas and the vol as these are leading indicators to me. Stoch is moree applicable when the stock price is range-bound but lose its significance in a trending stock. This is based on my knowledge, feel free to disagree by sharing your knowledge, so tat we can learn from one another..
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16-Aug-2009 17:38 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Looking at the chart, the 25ema had been providing very strong support (at 0.84). Personally, I will exit if it closes 2 days continuous below it (to avoid one day fake breakdown) but this is not a call to buy or sell, dyodd n BOSAYOR. Note my annotaion in my chart "Price rise on increased vol but corrects with decrease vol", this shows to me tat BBs are the big buyers n not selling during correction, instead only those emotional retail traders sell. |
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16-Aug-2009 17:26 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Below is my chart analysis for sharing and exchange pointers. My TA chart is posted to share n exchange pointers with those TA practitioner whom believes in TA. If u are a TA detractor, plse just ignore n refrain from peeping at my chart posting n start making unconstructive comments and plse do not be so childish or lunatic as to abuse the rating system by rating it as "bad post", accumulating for yourself and your next generation, "bad" karma for your "bad" deeds. If u think it is a bad post, then be constructive and kindly post your TA for sharing. This is only my view n I may be right or wrong, so dyodd and SOBAYOR. |
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16-Aug-2009 17:22 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hi raymondho, To post your charts, follow this steps: 1. In your chartnexus, click "File", "Capture charts", saved it to your hard disk 2. Go to http://tinypic.com/, click "Browse" and search for tat saved chart" and click "Upload now" 3. Copy "Direct link for layouts" 4. In sharejunction, click "Insert/modify image" n paste step 3 in "Image url" n click "OK"
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16-Aug-2009 17:08 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hi star-trader, No offence or insult intended. I m open-minded n rceptive to others views and here to share my knowledge and exchange pointers. Neither is last Thurs nor last Fri's candle a "hanging man" as it does not fulfil the rules below (even if it is a hanging man, confirmation is definitely required with a lower low and lower high black candle): "Rules of Recognition" for hanging man 1 The small real body is at the upper end of the trading range. 2. The color of the body is not important. 3. The long lower shadow should be much longer than the length of the real body, usually 2 to 3 times. 4. There should be no upper shadow, or if there is, it should be very small.
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16-Aug-2009 01:03 | Trading Techniques / Advices to newbies Go to Message | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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This is just one of my few cut-loss strategies, there are others, eg break below a chart pattern for at least 2 days continous, as one day break could be a fake.
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