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Happy Chinese New Year !
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krisluke
Supreme |
20-Feb-2011 23:33
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lesson learnt:   1) Feb again mark the worst month for ST index, which was influence by funds outflow into developed countries (europe).   2) A stubbornly high food price due to poor weather and limited crops output.   3) From CLSA feng shui chart, it is noticeable that the best months to enter equity market is Jun/Jul where QE2 has end.   4) US market continues to print more money could be offset by interest rate hike and improve country productivites.   5) Crude oil to cross USD 100-120 mark seems  impossible for 2011, OPEC may increase oil outputs if economy demands turn high.   6) Most experts, including singapore  tipped second quarters will improve and ease on inflation.   7) Southern hemisphere winter is June to September, but the areas are  less populated and weather much milder than the northern ones. |
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krisluke
Supreme |
07-Feb-2011 04:48
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krisluke
Supreme |
06-Feb-2011 03:23
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English version Nov 30, 2010 – As Master Andy Goh had predicted, global economic recovery within the US Wall Street market and other major stock exchanges is set, although the pace is slower than anticipated. The US dollar will continue its downward trend leading to an inevitable currency war. Of late, discourses on foreign exchange rates have become quite contentious. Countries across the globe have taken various drastic measures, in pursuit of economic recovery. China, in particular, has been held responsible for triggering artificial depreciation of exchange rates among major economies. It is argued that Chinese exporters get undue advantage because of the artificially undervalued or cheap yuan. Although the new economic policies embarked by Obama’s administration team will benefit the debt stricken state to narrow the trade deficit, it will undoubtedly bring adverse effects to other nations. Let us analyse how will US benefit from the implementation of new policies: 1. A weakened US dollar enables the state which is struggling to improve its less-than-spectacular economic performance to compete more effectively through cheapening of its exports. 2. The US can increase its market share as a tourist destination with a lower valued US dollar. A lower US dollar translates into lower cost for travelers, and that attracts travelers who were previously discouraged by the high cost. Tourism business can be a great economic boon as influx of tourists drives sales and creates   job opportunities. 3. The aviation industry will be able to reap the benefits of the increased tourism activities with higher volume of international travelers. 4. China and Japan, two of the largest holders of US Treasury Bills, will have nothing to gain from the weaker US dollar. 5. Investors worldwide will be attracted to invest in the US due to the lower US dollar. 6. Hence, we see that the 'quantitative easing' policy adopted by Obama’s administration to bolster its economy can be beneficial to the US in the above mentioned ways. The ultimate objective of administering such a plan will be to regain confidence and trust that the US citizens once had in Obama’s administration. This will not only help Obama consolidate his power within US but also retaliate criticisms that the government is lacking in its efforts to rebuild the fallen US economy. Recent polls have shown a large dip in support of Obama’s administration in response to slow US economy pick up. However, as US allows its dollar to weaken against other currencies, protectionism is unavoidable as economies are pressured by domestic businesses to protect national trade. The most critical time will come when US announces that it will raise the interest rate. The higher interest rate will most definitely trigger a ‘domino-effect’ From 2008 till today, real estate prices within the Southeast Asian countries have been spiraling upwards. The rocket-high prices are in fact indirectly caused by the buy-in from market investors who have traded US dollar for other Southeast Asian currencies. Master Andy Goh predicts that from the second half of 2011, the inflation of property prices will cease due to the upwards adjustments of interest rate by the US Federal Reserve. This is especially for the Southeast Asian countries, such as China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore.   Even today, governments across the globe are still trying to prevent the formation of the property market bubble. Master Andy Goh wants to remind all to remember how the 1997-1998 Financial Crisis arose. |
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krisluke
Supreme |
06-Feb-2011 03:15
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krisluke
Supreme |
06-Feb-2011 02:58
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kok2009
Member |
05-Feb-2011 17:05
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Singapore huat ah!  | ||||
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bsiong
Supreme |
05-Feb-2011 11:42
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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iPunter
Supreme |
04-Feb-2011 17:23
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teeth53
Supreme |
04-Feb-2011 15:37
Yells: "don't learn through life, learn to grow with life " |
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teeth53 wishes all A happy n Prosperous lunar Rabbit CNY 2011 | ||||
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hpong5
Master |
03-Feb-2011 20:31
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ya...agree with your scenarios. next 2 weeks see how the market moves. cny 15 days like you mentioned.
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krisluke
Supreme |
03-Feb-2011 17:40
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I picture " the rally"   into two likely scenarios 1) institute players buy back underwater counters  and  re-decorating  the  portfolio. 2) investors become more selective  on stocks market, thus light volume. I don't think it  was of  cny rally then.
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hpong5
Master |
03-Feb-2011 17:15
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Is yesterday considered a cny rally?!?!? | ||||
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tanglinboy
Elite |
03-Feb-2011 17:04
Yells: "hello!" |
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Happy New Year to all! | ||||
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krisluke
Supreme |
02-Feb-2011 18:07
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  ARE U  READY FOR MID FEB SUPER BULL RUN ?     |
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krisluke
Supreme |
24-Jan-2011 10:08
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krisluke
Supreme |
24-Jan-2011 09:00
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weblink error previously, try this one. or alternatively, delete http from search : ) https://www.clsa.com/assets/files/reports/CLSA-FSI-2011.pdf
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krisluke
Supreme |
24-Jan-2011 08:46
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CLSA FENG SHUI INDEX 2011 RABBIT YEAR IS OUT INTERESTED ^^, CLICK !! https://www.clsa.com/assets/files/reports/CLSA-FSI-2011.pdf?disclaimer=on&accept=+Yes%2C+I+Agree&username=nganp&password=2389 |
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krisluke
Supreme |
24-Jan-2011 08:39
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Here’s a look at some of the interesting customs behind Chinese New Year.
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niuyear
Supreme |
21-Jan-2011 17:01
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You are right, these ppl are selling ....
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Laulan
Master |
21-Jan-2011 16:55
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Bo bian, all our stocks know only how to move down. Don't know how to move up. All these years except the bullish pre global financial crisis. | ||||
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