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Are Analysts Effective?
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Hulumas
Supreme |
07-Sep-2010 09:05
Yells: "INVEST but not TRADE please!" |
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Only during the bearish period ! | ||
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hotokee
Veteran |
04-Jan-2010 08:26
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Looking back, I found I made more on my own picks and lost miserably on upgrade reports. This is a testimony and not a discouragement against analysts' reports and recommendations. Nonetheless there are a few small wins, but hard to cover the losses. |
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purelotus
Senior |
02-Jan-2010 01:28
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Then what i should depend on? For fundamental analyst this is important rite ? except if i am technical analyst
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Livermore
Master |
01-Jan-2010 13:02
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Don't depend on them to much | ||
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purelotus
Senior |
01-Jan-2010 10:56
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Hi, All brother here, can anyone tell me where i can get those financial report / research of certain company? Or i only can get from their web site? Currently i only get from sgsharetalk, but the report is very limited, pls help all the brother here. Thanks in advance. |
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Reveal
Member |
06-Jun-2008 16:56
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It sure does make a lot of sense. Another thing is that the reports were issued long after they have make the buy or sell themselves. In trading, timing is everything! |
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178investors
Veteran |
06-Jun-2008 16:17
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aiyoh! how come i so fast reached veteran status liao. die lau kok kok liao 
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178investors
Veteran |
06-Jun-2008 16:09
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Analysts work for whoever are their big clients. These big clients are their paymasters. Analysts don't work for retail investors. That's not their function. When analysts come out with reports, one has to conjecture if those reports are partial or impartial. Using an example for discussion purpose here only. If DBSAM is a big shareholder of Ezra and DBSV research came out with a report stressing a strong buy on Ezra. One has to determine if such is partial or impartial relative to what one knows about Ezra. One will also need to compare analysts' reports from different reseach houses for a better overall picture of Ezra. Does it make sense. Hope it helps. |
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cyjjerry85
Elite |
06-Jun-2008 15:36
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gotta see their consistency and depth of report...clear cut ones are still ok | ||
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limkt009
Veteran |
06-Jun-2008 15:35
Yells: "Watch your front, grab $$$$$ at your own time" |
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It speaks loudly to all that not all analysts (if not the majority) are correct in their reports and recommendations. Do your homework before putting your money on the table. | ||
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tanglinboy
Elite |
06-Jun-2008 15:24
Yells: "hello!" |
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Interesting article. Got it from another forum. Analysts Lose 17% for Investors in Brokerage June 6, 2008 (Bloomberg) -- Investors who followed the advice of analysts who say when to buy and sell shares of brokerage firms and banks lost 17 percent in the past year, twice the decline of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index. Buying shares on the advice of Merrill Lynch & Co.'s Guy Moszkowski, the top-ranked brokerage analyst in Institutional Investor's annual survey, cost investors 17 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Deutsche Bank AG analyst Michael Mayo's counsel to purchase New York-based Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. lost 59 percent. Citigroup Inc.'s Prashant Bhatia still rates Merrill ``buy'' after its 56 percent retreat from a January 2007 record. Of the 38 analysts tracked by Bloomberg who follow stocks in the Amex Securities Broker/Dealer Index, 31 produced losses for investors. Investors who bought brokerages on ``buy'' recommendations, sold when they switched to ``hold'' and speculated prices would decline when analysts said ``sell,'' lost 17 percent in the last year through June 3, compared with the S&P 500's 8.5 percent drop. ``One would expect that if there was any industry Wall Street estimates would be more precise on, it would be their own,'' said Richard Weiss, who oversees $60 billion as chief investment officer at City National Bank in Beverly Hills, California. ``But this particular debacle was so global in nature and pervasive, you can't blame them for missing this one.'' The Amex index of 11 companies fell 38 percent in the past 12 months as the meltdown of the subprime mortgage market forced the world's biggest financial firms to report $386 billion of losses and writedowns. `Worst Excesses' ``Ten years ago, the expectation was that analysts would simply avoid the worst excesses,'' Bove said in an interview. ``The idea was just to beat the benchmark. Today, analysts have got to make you money in both up and down markets. You don't have any excuse.'' Bove said other analysts may have made money-losing recommendations because they based their reports on brokerage earnings rather than examining risk in credit markets. Peabody and Devine didn't return calls seeking comment. Analysts lost influence after 10 securities firms paid $1.4 billion in 2003 to settle allegations that they used tainted research to promote investment banking clients. Regulation FD, a Securities and Exchange Commission rule implemented in 2000, prevents companies from disclosing information to analysts that they don't tell the public. |
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