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Peg_li
Master
21-Sep-2009 23:50     
 
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CW,miss?

od uncle lah!



lookcc      ( Date: 21-Sep-2009 23:49) Posted:

ms cheong wee, wat say u???

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lookcc
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21-Sep-2009 23:49     
 
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 Alert Admin 		ms cheong wee, wat say u???
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lookcc
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21-Sep-2009 23:23     
 
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 Alert Admin 		for 1 year, likely.
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lookcc
Master
21-Sep-2009 23:20     
 
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 Alert Admin 		still jobless recovery.
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richtan
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21-Sep-2009 23:17     
 
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 Alert Admin 		U.S. Leading Economic Index Increased 0.6% in August (Update1)
Share | Email | Print | A A A



By Shobhana Chandra

Sept. 21 (Bloomberg) -- The index of U.S. leading economic indicators rose for the fifth straight month, capping the longest stretch of gains since 2004 and signaling a recovery is under way.

The Conference Board’s gauge of the economic outlook for the next three to six months rose 0.6 percent in August, in line with forecasts, after a 0.9 percent increase in July that was larger than previously estimated, according to data that the New York-based group released today.

The gains in stock prices, consumer confidence and homebuilding that are buoying the leading index bolster Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s view that the worst recession since the Great Depression has probably ended. At the same time, rising unemployment and tight credit are a reminder that a rebound will be slow and gradual.

The report “is another signal that economic growth is turning sharply positive this quarter,” said Dean Maki, chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital Inc. in New York. “All of the elements for a robust recovery are falling into place. As we look ahead, job losses will end and the unemployment rate will stop rising, but we’re not there yet.”

The index was projected to rise 0.7 percent, according to the median forecast of 58 economists in a Bloomberg News survey, after an originally reported increase of 0.6 percent in July. Estimates ranged from unchanged to a gain of 1 percent.

Stocks Fell

U.S. stocks fell on speculation a six-month rally has outpaced prospects for profit growth. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was down 0.9 percent to 1,058.82 as of 10:43 a.m. in New York. Treasuries rose, pushing the yield on the 10-year benchmark note to 3.42 percent from 3.47 percent on Sept. 18.

Seven of the 10 indicators for the leading index are known ahead of time: stock prices, jobless claims, building permits, consumer expectations, the yield curve, factory hours and supplier delivery times.

The Conference Board estimates new orders for consumer goods, bookings for capital goods, and the money supply adjusted for inflation.

The Conference Board’s index of coincident indicators, a gauge of current economic activity, was unchanged in August after increasing 0.1 percent the prior month. The index tracks payrolls, incomes, sales and production.

Lagging Indicators

The gauge of lagging indicators fell 0.1 percent following a 0.5 percent drop in the prior month. The index measures business lending, length of unemployment, service prices and ratios of labor costs, inventories and consumer credit.

Five of the 10 indicators in today’s report added to the leading indicators index, led by a gauge of supplier deliveries, interest-rate spreads and the stock market.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has soared 57 percent since March 9, when it hit a 12-year low, as optimism grew that the U.S. was pulling out of the downturn. A jump during August in the S&P 500 average from July’s average added 0.3 point to the leading indicators gauge.

Building permits, a sign of future construction, and a gauge of consumer expectations also contributed.

Permits rose 2.7 percent to a 579,000 annual rate in August, the Commerce Department said on Sept. 17. The Reuters/University of Michigan index of consumer expectations six months from now, considered a proxy for future spending, rose to 65 in August and this month climbed to 69.2, according to a preliminary reading.

‘Improving Trends’

Officials at some companies are already seeing a pickup in demand. Best Buy Co., the world’s largest electronics retailer, raised its full- year earnings forecast last week even while reporting a drop in second-quarter profit, citing “improving trends” for sales.

“Customer traffic patterns have started to indicate signs of stability,” Jim Muehlbauer, chief financial officer for Richfield, Minnesota-based Best Buy, said in a Sept. 15 statement.

Money supply adjusted for inflation, which has the biggest weighting in the leading index and subtracted the most of any measure in the August report, took away 0.3 point.

The average number of weekly applications for unemployment benefits rose in August from the prior month, subtracting 0.09 point from the leading index and a reminder that consumer spending is unlikely to lead the recovery.

Jobless Rate

Economists predict claims will subside gradually. Claims dropped by 12,000 to 545,000 in the week ended Sept. 12, according to Labor Department data, while the total number of people collecting benefits rose.

The economic expansion projected to start this quarter won’t be enough to keep the unemployment rate from reaching 10 percent by the end of the year for the first time since 1983, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists this month. The rate rose to 9.7 percent in August, from 9.4 percent in July.

Unemployment rose in 27 U.S. states in August, with California, Nevada and Rhode Island reaching record levels of joblessness, the Labor Department reported Sept. 18 in Washington. California’s unemployment rate reached 12.2 percent and Nevada’s climbed to 13.2 percent.

“There’s still a fair amount of weakness in some of the larger states,” said Steven Cochrane, director of regional economics at Moody’s Economy.com in West Chester, Pennsylvania. “State finances are probably going to be among the last of all the various components of the broad economy to turn around.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Shobhana Chandra in Washington schandra1@bloomberg.net Last Updated: September 21, 2009 10:44 EDT
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erictkw
Veteran
18-Sep-2009 14:47     
 
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From CMIB Daybreak - 18 Sep 09

Non-Oil Domestic Trade - Reason to be optimistic about 3Q GDP

Second consecutive month of sequential growth. After a mild contraction (- 5.0%) in June, non-oil domestic exports (NODX) rebounded 5.9% seasonally adjusted in July. Last month, NODX grew again, by 1.3%, the first back-to-back increase in half a year. NODX had been alternating between contraction and expansion for several months, highlighting the uncertain state of external demand.

Yoy contraction narrowed to 7.1%, the smallest in a year. This was slightly lower than consensus expectations of -5.0% and our forecast of -4.8% yoy. Adjusted for working days, NODX was S$484m a day, the strongest in 10 months. We need an average of S$512m a day for NODX growth to turn positive yoy. Yoy, NODX to all of the top 10 markets, except Hong Kong (+13.1%), South Korea (+14.3%) and Taiwan (+9.1%), decreased in August. The largest contributors to the decline were the EU 27 (-26.7%), US (-21.4%), Indonesia (-20.8%) and India (-28.3%). The good news is that the rates of yoy decline continued to narrow for most key markets, especially the US.

Another month of uplift from pharmaceuticals. After a jump of 56.4% in July, drug DX “moderated” to 25.8% yoy growth to S$1.43bn, accounting for 11.8% of August’s NODX (13.4% of July’s NODX). As in July, a depressed year-ago base of -45.3% in Aug 08 exaggerated the strength of the annual growth this year. This suggests that stronger pharma output may again lift August’s manufacturing output (MPI), just as it did in July. MPI data will be released at the end of next week (growth of 6-8% yoy?). In July, a 139% yoy jump in pharma output lifted yoy MPI growth to 12.4%.

Improving tech and petrochemical clusters. Petrochem DX (7.3% of August’s NODX) fell 12.1% yoy, the smallest yoy decline in almost a year. Tech DX (37.2% of August’s NODX) contracted 13.7% yoy, the smallest since September last year. After 30 months of yoy contractions, year-ago bases (especially in 2H08) are undemanding. As such, the rates of contraction should narrow sharply going into 4Q09. Indeed, leading indicators such as US ISM New Orders suggest continued improvements to Singapore’s tech DX in the coming months.

Positive implications for 3Q09 and 2009 GDP. Sequentially, total trade increased 0.9% mom SA in July after a 5.5% rise in July (-0.5% in June). Yoy, total trade declined 22%, the least in six months. Although this recovery is still susceptible to risks such as rising unemployment and reduced household spending in OECD countries, the relatively decent DX showing in July and August, helped in part by the pharma cluster, points to further improvements in 3Q09 GDP. Advance 3Q GDP will be released before the middle of October and drugs could again provide a boost to Singapore’s 3Q09 GDP, just as they did in 2Q09.

We expect 3Q09 GDP to expand by 11-12% qoq SAAR (+21% in 2Q09) to narrow the yoy decline to 0-0.5% with the biomedical cluster alone contributing 2- 3% pts to the yoy reading. With global trade improving by the day (albeit gradually) and the local economy on the mend, Singapore GDP is likely to decline by 3% this year vs. our start-of-the-year estimate of -5% (revised to -7.5% to -6.5% after the terrible 1Q09 showing). With the fear factor diminishing, Asian exporters are starting to benefit from global inventory restocking, and this should have a positive impact on manufacturing production and NODX in the coming months. Given the depressed base in 1H09, we may get a strong yoy rebound in 1H10 GDP to lift 2010 GDP growth to 6% from our previous estimate of 2%, assuming the current improvements are sustained! But we may still be a year or so away from a real broad-based recovery, when global labour-market conditions actually improve.
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aleoleo
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17-Sep-2009 17:49     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Thursday September 17, 4:10 PM

Temasek Holdings says net profit down 67 percent



Singapore state investment firm Temasek Holdings said Thursday its net profit plunged 67 percent to six billion Singapore dollars (4.25 billion US) in the year to March. Net profit fell from the record 18 billion dollars achieved in the financial year ending March 2008 as a result of the global financial crisis. The value of its worldwide investment portfolio also fell 30 percent to 130 billion dollars as of end-March from 185 billion dollars the previous financial year. Temasek chief executive Ho Ching said at a news conference the firm was building up liquidity to prepare for a possible downturn. "However, we did not anticipate the speed and ferocity of the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression," said Ho, wife of Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong. "Looking ahead, we believe the worst of the global meltdown risks are behind us. While there are some 'green shoots' of growth, some structural risks still remain for the medium term." Chairman S. Dhanabalan said in the company's annual report that the profit drop "reflected the generally weaker operating performances of our portfolio companies as well as realised gains and losses from our divestments during the year." Temasek's investments were hammered by the financial and economic crisis that led global markets to plummet in the second half of last year. Some of its losses came from investments in Western financial companies that were in need of a capital injection as the economic crisis unfolded following the collapse of US investment bank Lehman Brothers. It took a stake in Wall Street icon Merrill Lynch but when the US firm was bought by Bank of America, Temasek divested its interest. It also bought into British lender Barclays but later also offloaded that stake. It is estimated Temasek lost more than 5.4 billion US dollars from the sale of its holdings in the two banks, according to sources quoted by Dow Jones Newswires. Temasek made its divestments just markets began to recover earlier this year. In July, the company rescinded the appointment of US businessman Charles Goodyear as its new chief executive due to differences over strategy. Goodyear would have been the first foreigner to run the once-secretive sovereign wealth fund and his appointment just a few months ago was hailed as part of an effort to transform Temasek into a truly global enterprise. Ho, a former civil servant who ran state-linked firms, will stay on as CEO and executive director of the firm, which manages a global portfolio invested in a range of sectors including airlines, resources and consumer products.
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richtan
Supreme
17-Sep-2009 17:18     
 
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From AMFraser:

Najeeb Jarhom6236-2816najeeb@amfraser.com.sg

SINGAPORE MARKET

Continuation of higher series of trading ranges since March low raises odds of successful test of 2740-
intermediate target to reach next historic resistance at 2006 high/close of 2919

 

The STI’s behaviour since double bottom at lows of 1474 last October and 1455 in March, shows that it was
worth it to remain in the market even though some time had to be taken up to build strong bases prior to
tackling major multi year stumbling blocks around 2000, 2300-2400 and2500-2600.

With the next historic target at 2919 (2006 high/close) base-building periods should theoretically be even
lengthier to solidify the ground for its successful test like others.

After all, trading chances in small to mid caps continue to be exciting even when STI does not perform as well as wished.

The intermediate area between 2000 peak of 2608 and 2919 is around 2750 which has yet to be tested but having
all the way to cover the big hole from the crushing 6-month gap between 2740-63 and 1455-from last Sept to March,
it is hard to imagine the efforts will go to waste and this gap is not fully covered.

Of course if there is another unforeseen shock in coming weeks of the scale of sub-prime or Lehman then all bets are off.

Traders and investors should not fret too much if the index takes time to finally clear the initial resistance around 2700
as it will turn this psychological number into strong support just as 2400, 2500 and 2600 had done in the last 2 months.

After all it is just over a month that 2700 was first tested on Aug 4 followed by 2707 on Sep 10 and although it slipped
quickly below 2700 on both occasions, the prognosis for further upside remains promising.

High on the list of positive medium term signals is the continued rise ofthe monthly MACD which sank to record low in March,
and just cut signal line barely 6 weeks ago.

Barring the unforeseen, the climb ought to continue in the months ahead judging from the low position of the MACD
which now stands around same position as it was near market bottoms in 2001 and 2003(see chart).

Having lifted its weekly low to 2631 this week (near the 50% recovery mark of 2643 between 3831 and 1455),
the STI is signaling that very soon it is making 2650 area as new strong support and when the advance to 2750 takes place,
pullbacks should be confined to 2650 or even higher.

Finally the 2919 multi year target should be tested by year-end or early 2010 which is still more than 3 months away,
making it a realistic target as the surge from 1455 to 2700 took place within 6 months.

But of course the next historic resistance after 2919 is the 2007 close and 2008 high of 3466-3344, which is even more
distant than between 2608 and 2919 – over 500 points to be precise.

It would definitely be a tougher call but not impossible if earnings and economic fundamentals continue to surprise
on the upside next year.

Blue chip trading continues to be profitable for traders who time their buys on days of sharp market drops like Monday
and taking advantage of temporary scares like Monday’s property market clampdown and over-reaction by such stalwarts as
CityDev (10.50). The latter as predicted broke $10.20- 30 support but only briefly entered our buy target of $9.75-95,
bottoming out at $9.94 before swiftly bouncing to $10.60 this morning.

Our first TP of $10.80 remains.The 10 index stocks on Wednesday’s list have all rebounded from time of trading calls
led by SIA, KepCorp and the banks.
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des_khor
Supreme
17-Sep-2009 15:45     
 
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Yells: "Tell me who is the God or MFT from this forum??"
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 Alert Admin 		Drop our water face!

richtan      ( Date: 17-Sep-2009 15:43) Posted:

Smiley Alemak!! Wah Piang oii!!. like sai like tat

STI follows the weakest exchange

Asia Europe America Commodity(** = 30 mins delayed)
Index Last Change % High Low Time
STI 2682.08 7.66 0.29% 2699.12 2677.45 15:40:45
Hangseng 21809.40 406.48 1.9% 21929.79 21636.52 15:40:47
Nikkei225 10443.80 173.03 1.68% 10443.80 10340.14 15:00:43
SSE 3060.26 60.55 2.02% 3064.23 3015.59 15:00:28
KLCI 1216.41 3.43 0.28% 1220.47 1215.35 15:39:00
SET 714.73 4.48 0.63% 719.76 714.57 14:39:41

 



richtan      ( Date: 17-Sep-2009 14:35) Posted:

 
Asia Europe America Commodity(** = 30 mins delayed)
Index Last Change % High Low Time
STI 2680.03 5.61 0.21% 2699.12 2677.45 14:33:15
Hangseng 21832.63 429.71 2.01% 21844.10 21636.52 14:33:18
Nikkei225 10443.80 173.03 1.68% 10443.80 10340.14 15:00:43
SSE 3054.43 54.72 1.82% 3064.23 3015.59 14:32:05
KLCI 1215.79 2.81 0.23% 1220.47 1215.35 12:09:46
SET 716.13 5.88 0.83% 719.76 714.57 12:30:11


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richtan
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17-Sep-2009 15:43     
 
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Smiley Alemak!! Wah Piang oii!!. like sai like tat

STI follows the weakest exchange

Asia Europe America Commodity(** = 30 mins delayed)
Index Last Change % High Low Time
STI 2682.08 7.66 0.29% 2699.12 2677.45 15:40:45
Hangseng 21809.40 406.48 1.9% 21929.79 21636.52 15:40:47
Nikkei225 10443.80 173.03 1.68% 10443.80 10340.14 15:00:43
SSE 3060.26 60.55 2.02% 3064.23 3015.59 15:00:28
KLCI 1216.41 3.43 0.28% 1220.47 1215.35 15:39:00
SET 714.73 4.48 0.63% 719.76 714.57 14:39:41

 



richtan      ( Date: 17-Sep-2009 14:35) Posted:

 
Asia Europe America Commodity(** = 30 mins delayed)
Index Last Change % High Low Time
STI 2680.03 5.61 0.21% 2699.12 2677.45 14:33:15
Hangseng 21832.63 429.71 2.01% 21844.10 21636.52 14:33:18
Nikkei225 10443.80 173.03 1.68% 10443.80 10340.14 15:00:43
SSE 3054.43 54.72 1.82% 3064.23 3015.59 14:32:05
KLCI 1215.79 2.81 0.23% 1220.47 1215.35 12:09:46
SET 716.13 5.88 0.83% 719.76 714.57 12:30:11


richtan      ( Date: 17-Sep-2009 11:01) Posted:

 
Asia Europe America Commodity(** = 30 mins delayed)
Index Last Change % High Low Time
STI 2689.69 15.27 0.57% 2699.12 2685.93 11:00:30
Hangseng 21731.86 328.94 1.54% 21809.87 21636.52 11:00:18
Nikkei225 10391.32 120.55 1.17% 10413.21 10358.16 11:00:44
SSE 3044.30 44.59 1.49% 3052.73 3015.59 11:00:32
KLCI 1217.32 4.34 0.36% 1220.47 1215.82 11:00:30
SET 719.57 9.32 1.31% 719.68 718.74 10:00:24


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richtan
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17-Sep-2009 14:35     
 
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Asia Europe America Commodity(** = 30 mins delayed)
Index Last Change % High Low Time
STI 2680.03 5.61 0.21% 2699.12 2677.45 14:33:15
Hangseng 21832.63 429.71 2.01% 21844.10 21636.52 14:33:18
Nikkei225 10443.80 173.03 1.68% 10443.80 10340.14 15:00:43
SSE 3054.43 54.72 1.82% 3064.23 3015.59 14:32:05
KLCI 1215.79 2.81 0.23% 1220.47 1215.35 12:09:46
SET 716.13 5.88 0.83% 719.76 714.57 12:30:11


richtan      ( Date: 17-Sep-2009 11:01) Posted:

 
Asia Europe America Commodity(** = 30 mins delayed)
Index Last Change % High Low Time
STI 2689.69 15.27 0.57% 2699.12 2685.93 11:00:30
Hangseng 21731.86 328.94 1.54% 21809.87 21636.52 11:00:18
Nikkei225 10391.32 120.55 1.17% 10413.21 10358.16 11:00:44
SSE 3044.30 44.59 1.49% 3052.73 3015.59 11:00:32
KLCI 1217.32 4.34 0.36% 1220.47 1215.82 11:00:30
SET 719.57 9.32 1.31% 719.68 718.74 10:00:24

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richtan
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17-Sep-2009 14:34     
 
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richtan      ( Date: 17-Sep-2009 11:03) Posted:


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Peg_li
Master
17-Sep-2009 13:43     
 
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should be "怕输".

don't think it will have big correction. at most around 100 point!

but b4 correction, it should can get 2750.



equator2010      ( Date: 17-Sep-2009 13:39) Posted:

kiasu or kiasi ? correction month coming....pray pray kena burnt


Peg_li      ( Date: 17-Sep-2009 13:37) Posted:



STI is still sleeping.

really a kiasu market!

 
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equator2010
Senior
17-Sep-2009 13:39     
 
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 Alert Admin 		kiasu or kiasi ? correction month coming....pray pray kena burnt


Peg_li      ( Date: 17-Sep-2009 13:37) Posted:



STI is still sleeping.

really a kiasu market!

 
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Peg_li
Master
17-Sep-2009 13:37     
 
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STI is still sleeping.

really a kiasu market!

 
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Blastoff
Elite
17-Sep-2009 13:32     
 
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TOKYO

JAPANESE share prices rose 1.17 per cent in morning trade on Thursday, tracking fresh gains on Wall Street where stocks climbed to 11-month highs on upbeat factory data.

The benchmark Nikkei-225 index advanced 120.55 points to 10,391.32 by the lunch break. The broader Topix index of all first section shares added 7.09 points, or 0.76 per cent, to 938.52.

HONG KONG

Hong Kong share prices ended the morning 1.82 per cent higher on Thursday, with resources firms boosted by improving commodity prices, dealers said.

The benchmark Hang Seng Index finished the session 389.70 points higher at 21,792.62. Turnover was HK$45.86 billion (S$8.36 billion).

SHANGHAI

Chinese shares rose 1.48 per cent by midday Thursday helped by rising metal and crude oil prices, dealers said.

The Shanghai Composite Index, which covers both A and B shares, was up 44.46 points at 3,044.17.

'The Shanghai Composite Index gets support from the rising outside markets (and) higher commodity prices,' Li Nian, an analyst Shenyin & Wanguo Securities, told Dow Jones Newswires.

The Shanghai A-share index added 46.68 points, or 1.48 per cent, to 3,194.89, while the Shenzhen A-share index rose 17.61 points, or 1.60 per cent, to 1,115.63.

KUALA LUMPUR

At 12.30pm today, there were 325 gainers, 199 losers and 245 counters traded unchanged on the Bursa Malaysia.

The FBM-KLCI was at 1,215.85 up 2.87 points, the FBMACE was at 4,038.83 down 33.43 of a point, and the FBMEmas was at 8,176.68 up 19.48 points.

Turnover was at 542.724 million shares valued at RM718.912 million (S$292 million).
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richtan
Supreme
17-Sep-2009 11:03     
 
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richtan
Supreme
17-Sep-2009 11:01     
 
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Asia Europe America Commodity(** = 30 mins delayed)
Index Last Change % High Low Time
STI 2689.69 15.27 0.57% 2699.12 2685.93 11:00:30
Hangseng 21731.86 328.94 1.54% 21809.87 21636.52 11:00:18
Nikkei225 10391.32 120.55 1.17% 10413.21 10358.16 11:00:44
SSE 3044.30 44.59 1.49% 3052.73 3015.59 11:00:32
KLCI 1217.32 4.34 0.36% 1220.47 1215.82 11:00:30
SET 719.57 9.32 1.31% 719.68 718.74 10:00:24
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smartrader
Elite
16-Sep-2009 21:35     
 
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 Alert Admin 		small caps will play catch up tomorrow...
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smartrader
Elite
16-Sep-2009 21:08     
 
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 Alert Admin 		so today dow will test 9700... inflation in check
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