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Livermore
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03-Nov-2008 12:31
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Hope the broke out last Friday can be sustained
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Blastoff
Elite |
03-Nov-2008 08:30
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Strong end to a brutal monthInvestors muster gains at the end of one of the worst months in Wall Street history. Good news: Stocks rally this week.By Alexandra Twin, CNNMoney.com senior writer
The Dow Jones Industrial average (INDU) gained 144 points or 1.6%. The Dow also gained Thursday, making this the first time in October the blue-chip indicator has gained two sessions in a row. The Standard & Poor's 500 (SPX) index gained 1.5% and the Nasdaq composite (COMP) added 1.3%. Stocks have rallied sharply this week, with investors stepping back in to select areas of the market, at the end of a nearly two-month bloodletting that hit its stride in October. (For details, click here). For the week, the Dow was up 10.1%, the S&P 500 was up 9.5% and the Nasdaq had gained 9.8%. The gains this week reflect all the selling in the previous weeks - and that investors have already priced in a pretty severe economic downturn, said Rob Lutts, chief investment officer at Cabot Money Management. On a short-term basis, these factors are giving stocks a lift. He said that next Tuesday's presidential election has also played a role in the rally this week. "No matter what happens, we are going to have a new administration and that's going to give us a bounce," Lutts said. Beyond that, the focus returns to the recession, he said, and stocks probably have another leg down amid questions about the depth and length of the slowdown. "This is a dangerous market and obviously people have lost a lot of money this year," Lutts said. "But I'm not sure the market has fully discounted the slowdown yet." Despite the gains this week, investors pulled more money out of equity mutual funds than they did in the previous week, according to fund tracker Trim Tabs. Withdrawals from stock mutual funds in the week ended Oct. 29 rose to 9.2 billion from 6.5 billion the previous week. Investors have gone from fear to panic to the current cautious mode, said Joe Arnold, wealth manager at Dawson Wealth Management. "I think people are feeling a little numb right now," he said. "They're ready for the economy to turn around, and they know it will eventually, but we still have a ways to go before that happens." A variety of economic reports were released Friday, including readings on personal income and spending, regional manufacturing and consumer sentiment. Results: Chevron (CVX, Fortune 500) reported sharply higher sales and earnings in the third quarter that topped estimates, thanks to the surge in oil prices through the first part of the quarter. On Thursday, Exxon Mobil reported the biggest quarterly profit ever and other oil services firms have also reported big profits. But the energy sector was an exception. With roughly 65% of the S&P 500 results out, profits are currently on track to have fallen 11.7% versus a year ago, according to the latest data from tracking firm Thomson Reuters. Insurers continued to tumble, with Cigna (CI, Fortune 500) losing another 10% in active New York Stock Exchange trading after reporting a big drop in third-quarter profit and said that 2008 profit won't meet earlier forecasts. Video game publisher Electronic Arts (ERTS) posted a wider quarterly net loss Thursday night and said it is cutting 6% of its workforce to trim costs. Shares fell 17.9% Friday. Among other movers, General Motors (GM, Fortune 500) continued to retreat on general worries about the automaker sector and on speculation that a potential deal with Chrysler won't come through due to lack of financing. GM lost 4.6% Friday. It's down nearly 40% in October and almost 80% this year. Financial stocks led the advance, with American Express (AXP, Fortune 500), Citigroup (C, Fortune 500), JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500), Wells Fargo (WFC, Fortune 500) and Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500) all gaining. Market breadth was positive. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners beat losers eleven to four on volume of 1.57 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, advancers topped decliners three to one on volume of 2.50 billion shares. Economic news: Personal income rose 0.2% in September, edging forecasts for a rise of 0.1% following the previous month's rise of 0.5%. But that didn't correspond to increased spending, which fell 0.3% in the month versus a flat reading in the previous month and forecasts for a dip of 0.2%. The Chicago PMI, a regional read on manufacturing, plunged deeper into recessionary territory, in tune with other regional manufacturing readings. PMI fell to 37.8 in October from 56.7 in the previous month. Economists thought it would fall to 48. Consumer sentiment fell to 57.6 in October from 70.3 in September, according to a University of Michigan report Friday. It was the biggest month-to-month drop ever. The employment cost index, a measure of total compensation costs, rose 0.7% in the third quarter, in line with forecasts and following a rise of 0.7% in the previous quarter. Other markets: The dollar gained against the euro and fell against the yen. COMEX gold for December delivery fell $20.30 to settle at $718.20. U.S. light crude oil for December delivery rose $1.85 to $67.81 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gasoline prices fell another 4.3 cents overnight, to a national average of $2.504 a gallon, according to a survey of credit-card activity by motorist group AAA. It was the 44th consecutive day that prices have decreased. During that time, prices have fallen by $1.35 a gallon, or 35%. Lending rates: The credit market continued to improve, with Libor, the overnight bank-to-bank lending rate, falling to 0.41% from 0.73% Thursday, according to Dow Jones. The 3-month Libor fell to 3.03% from 3.19% Thursday. (Full story) The yield on the 3-month Treasury bill, seen as the safest place to put money in the short term, rose to 0.44% from 0.4% late Thursday, with investors preferring to take a small return on their money than risk the stock market. Last month, the 3-month yield reached a 68-year low around 0% as investor panic hit its highest level. Treasury prices inched higher, giving up bigger gains. The advance lowered the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to 3.96% from 3.97% Thursday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions. A brutal month: Stocks have bounced back this week, finding some momentum at the end of a wretched October. Yet, despite the recovery, October still goes down in the history books as one of Wall Street's worst months of all time. In the month, the Dow lost nearly 1,526 points, the Dow's worst month ever, according to Stock Trader's Almanac info going back to 1901. On a percentage basis, the decline of 14.1% doesn't rank in the top ten. The S&P 500 lost nearly 198 points, or 16.9% in the month, and is currently on track to post its worst month ever on a point basis and eighth worst ever on a percentage basis, going back to 1930. The Nasdaq dropped 361 points, or 17.4% in October, tracking its seventh-worst month ever on a point basis and its fifth-worst month on a percentage basis, going back to its inception in 1971. |
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handon
Master |
03-Nov-2008 00:52
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US gng into production eco... outsourcing will cut.... no go for others but good for US... DOW will cheong far far... next look at 9.5 to 9.8..... SL triggered at 9.0 while kooning... now get 9.0 n 9.3.... not gng to sell cheap... haha... me think those who short indices will enjoy big 'profits'.... hehe... |
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Livermore
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01-Nov-2008 09:07
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Dow just broke out a tight trading range. Let's see if this is sustainable | ||||||||||||||
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Livermore
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31-Oct-2008 14:43
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From chart Dow looks like in trading range | ||||||||||||||
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Blastoff
Elite |
31-Oct-2008 07:27
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Stocks get a boostWall Street advances after Fed, other central banks cut rates, lending improves and GDP shrinks at a slower-than-expected pace.By Alexandra Twin, CNNMoney.com senior writer
The Dow Jones Industrial average (INDU) gained 190 points, or 2.1%. The Standard & Poor's 500 (SPX) index rose 2.6% and the Nasdaq composite (COMP) gained 2.5%. All three major gauges had been higher in the early going, but the buying momentum eased a bit as the session wore on. Stocks seem to be in the process of putting a bottom in place, said Gary Hager, founder and chief executive of Integrated Wealth Management, citing the recent bear market lows hit on Oct. 10. Looking forward, he said "We're still going to see significant swings, but the volatility should start to decrease once we get past the election and get through the end of the year." Rate cuts: Stocks zigzagged Wednesday after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, as expected, and also issued a dour assessment of the economy. The central bank cut the fed funds rate, a key bank lending rate, by half a percentage point to 1.0%. That matched an all-time low for the rate last seen in June 2004. In its statement, the central bank painted a bleak picture of the economy, touching on the lingering impact of the financial market crisis, the lack of available credit, and the erosion in consumer and business spending. The statement indicated the Fed could cut rates again if necessary. But world markets rallied on the news, with Asian exchanges surging overnight and European markets up at the close. Hong Kong and Taiwan cut interest rates Thursday following the actions by the Fed, and by China earlier Wednesday. Speculation mounted that Japan would cut its key rate at a meeting this Friday. The Fed has cut rates for more than a year in an attempt to help the struggling economy. The central bank has also made potentially trillions available to financial institutions as part of a broader attempt to calm roiling financial markets and get banks to start lending to each other again. Lending has been improving slowly. On Thursday, the Fed said that the market for commercial paper grew last week, the first such expansion in nearly two months. Commercial paper is a critical form of short-term funding that companies rely on for their daily operations. Lending rates: The credit market continued to improve, with Libor, the overnight bank-to-bank lending rate, falling to 0.73% from 1.14% Wednesday, according to Bloomberg.com. The 3-month Libor fell to 3.19% from 3.42% Wednesday. (Full story) The TED spread, the difference between what banks pay to borrow from each other for three months and what the Treasury pays, narrowed slightly to 2.82% from 2.84% Wednesday. The spread hit a record 4.65% earlier this month. The narrower the spread, the more willing banks are to lend to each other. The yield on the 3-month Treasury bill, seen as the safest place to put money in the short term, slipped to 0.4% from 0.57% late Wednesday, with investors preferring to take a piddling return on their money than risk the stock market. Last month, the 3-month yield reached a 68-year low around 0% as investor panic hit its highest level. Treasury prices slipped, raising the yield on the benchmark 10-year note yield to 3.97% from 3.85% late Wednesday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions. GDP: Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of the nation's economy, fell at an annual rate of 0.3% in the third quarter after growing at a 2.8% rate in the second quarter. The drop was not as bad as expected, with analysts having forecast that GDP would slump 0.5%. However, the decline was still the worst performance for the economy since the last recession 7 years ago. (Full story) Company news: Exxon Mobil (XOM, Fortune 500), the oil services giant, reported a profit of $14.83 billion, the biggest quarterly profit in U.S. history. Shares rose modestly. (Full story) But Exxon was an exception. With roughly 59% of the S&P 500 results out, profits are currently on track to have fallen 23.8% versus a year ago, according to the latest data from tracking firm Thomson Reuters. Hartford Financial Services (HIG, Fortune 500) tumbled 51.6% after the life insurer reported a massive quarterly loss and also cut its full-year profit forecast. Motorola (MOT, Fortune 500) warned that fourth-quarter profit would miss forecasts and said its troubled cell phone unit will continue to weaken next year. As a result, the company will delay its planned spinoff of that unit. The company will also cut 3,000 jobs as part of a restructuring. Motorola shares fell 5.3%. Avon Products (AVP, Fortune 500) reported weaker-than-expected quarterly profit and warned that the impact of the recently stronger dollar will hurt fourth-quarter and full-year growth rates. Shares fell 15.4%. In other company news, American Express (AXP, Fortune 500) announced that it will cut 7,000 jobs, or more than 10% of its staff, amid the ongoing credit crisis. Dow component GM (GM, Fortune 500) slumped over 10% amid ongoing woes for the company and the auto sector. The governors of six states sent a letter to federal officials asking that they intervene to help the hard-hit domestic automakers. GM and Cerberus, the parent of Chrysler, are in talks about a merger, but need financing. Also impacting the stock was GMAC, the troubled auto finance and mortgage lending company that's 49% owned by GM. GMAC said it's in talks with federal regulators to become a bank holding company, so that it can access government funds. Complicating matters further, Cerberus owns the other 51% of GMAC. Market breadth was positive. On the New York Stock Exchange, advancers beat decliners by four to one on volume of 1.38 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, winners beat losers five to two on volume of 2.55 billion shares. Other markets: The dollar fell against the euro and gained versus the yen. U.S. light crude oil for December delivery fell $1.54 to settle at $65.96 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. COMEX gold for December delivery fell $15.50 to settle at $738.50 an ounce. Gasoline prices fell another 4 cents overnight, to a national average of $2.547 a gallon, according to a survey of credit-card activity by motorist group AAA. It was the 43rd consecutive day that prices have decreased. During that time, prices have fallen by $1.31 a gallon, or nearly 34%. A good week, a brutal month: Stocks have bounced back this week, finding some momentum at the end of a wretched October. For the week, the S&P 500 is up 8.8% as of Thursday's close. But at the same time, investors pulled more money out of equity mutual funds than they did in the previous week, according to tracking firm Trim Tabs. The amount of money withdrawn from stock mutual funds in the week ended Oct. 29 rose to 9.2 billion from 6.5 billion the previous week. Despite the recovery, October will go down in the history books as one of Wall Street's worst months of all time. As of Thursday's close, the Dow had lost 1,670 points, the Dow's worst month ever, according to Stock Trader's Almanac info going back to 1901. On a percentage basis, the decline of 15.4% doesn't rank in the top ten. The S&P 500 lost nearly 212 points, or 18.2% in the month, and is currently on track to post its worst month ever on a point basis and ninth worst ever on a percentage basis, going back to 1930. The Nasdaq dropped 384 points, or 18.4% in October, tracking its seventh-worst month ever on a point basis and its sixth-worst month on a percentage basis, going back to its inception in 1971. October also brought lows that could constitute a market bottom, analysts say. However, bottoming out is a process. In the last bear market, stocks made lows in the summer of 2002, "retested the lows" in October 2002, and then retested them once more in March 2003 before finally making a sustained gain over the next few years. The major gauges seem have hit a low on Oct. 10, when the Dow dipped below 7,900 and the S&P 500 fell below 840. The Nasdaq initially made a low on that same date, before retesting it a few weeks later and falling below 1,500. Stocks may need to fall back to those lows again before moving higher this time. Although with the depth of the recession and the ongoing credit crisis, the stock market now is not likely to see an advance comparable to the more than 4-year bull market that followed the last bear market. "Stocks are building a good base right now," said Will Hepburn, president and chief investment officer at Hepburn Capital Management. He said that stocks will likely keep moving sideways in the short term, but could be setting up for a multi-month rally six months out as the economy begins to stabilize and banks start lending again. |
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handon
Master |
30-Oct-2008 21:49
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stop loss at 9.0.... no trigger no sell.... look for 9.5 to 9.8 range for long position.... got 8.2, 9.0, 9.3.... |
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elisa28
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30-Oct-2008 21:34
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up up & away, YES, DOW UP ++ 200. YEAH CHIONG CHIONG CHIONG |
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scotty
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30-Oct-2008 20:04
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Dow is going to big bang tonight!!! Futures now +300!! |
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freeme
Elite |
29-Oct-2008 23:31
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I think either will fall abit or flat.. going up i think abit hard.
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bola_no1
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29-Oct-2008 23:27
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Later news of interest rates from the Federal Reserve will be realised. Any guess DOW will up or down? | ||||||||||||||
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handon
Master |
29-Oct-2008 22:08
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target 9.3.... got chance.... go koon liao.... | ||||||||||||||
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handon
Master |
29-Oct-2008 22:06
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8.8 becomes the new support.... no sell no sell.... got 8.2.... 9.0..... 9.3.... 8.2 got it while kooning.... |
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AK_Francis
Supreme |
29-Oct-2008 17:28
Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers." |
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Yes, Thu n Fri, profit taking for the angmo liao. If DJ chiong tonite, then considering short 2morow while market opens. AK view only, just keep brain working.
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jackjames
Elite |
29-Oct-2008 16:42
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you should just sell the US shares by tonight...after the federal rate cut (tonight), it should not have any good news but the bad one followed one by one.. so, if you are vested yesterday night, congratulations, today it's time for u to take profit, if not, you are really a fool among all fools. |
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jackjames
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29-Oct-2008 08:40
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anyone hit jackpot last night ? LOL...
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Luostock
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29-Oct-2008 08:36
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Arbitrager
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28-Oct-2008 23:35
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Stock Market Lesson 101 Once upon a time, in a village, a man appeared and announced to the villagers that he would buy monkeys for $10 each. The villagers seeing that there were many monkeys around, went out to the forest, and started catching them. The man bought thousands at $10 and as supply started to diminish, the villagers stopped their effort. He further announced that he would now buy at $20. This renewed the efforts of the villagers and they started catching monkeys again. Soon the supply diminished even further and people started going back to their farms. The offer increased to $25 each and the supply of monkeys became so little that it was an effort to even see a monkey, let alone catch it! The man now announced that he would buy monkeys at $50 ! However, since he had to go to the city on some business, his assistant would now buy on behalf of him. In the absence of the man, the assistant told the villagers. “Look at all these monkeys in the big cage that the man has collected. I will sell them to you at $35 and when the man returns from the city, you can sell them to him for $50 each.” The villagers rounded up with all their savings and bought all the monkeys. Then they never saw the man nor his assistant, only monkeys everywhere! Now you have a better understanding of how the stock market works. |
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novicex
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28-Oct-2008 23:20
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what's teh complete name for morgan stanley? | ||||||||||||||
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AK_Francis
Supreme |
28-Oct-2008 23:10
Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers." |
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great, congrate. | ||||||||||||||
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