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bsiong
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28-Jan-2011 14:50
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Paper market pulling down gold prices Published on: January 28, 2011 at 09:05By Dan Norcini This morning news came down the wires that the rating agency S&P had downgraded Japan’s sovereign debt from ‘AA’ to ‘AA-‘. This is no small development. The reality is that Japan’s finances are in even worse shape than those of the US when its overall indebtedness is compared as a percentage of GDP. Japan is approaching a debt to GDP ratio of nearly 200%! Yes, you read that correctly. The only nation in the entire world that is higher is Zimbabwe. In effect, it would take the sum total of all economic activity generated in Japan over a two year period to eliminate the nation’s debt. Think about that! What this means is that the rating agencies, who are watching these sovereign debt woes which have struck various countries in the EU, are concerned about the same problem beginning to surface in other quarters around the globe. Quite simply they are looking at the huge deficits being run by many nations in the West (and Japan). In other words – TOO MUCH DEBT! That led to selling in the long end of the US yield curve this morning as bond traders are starting to be more than a bit fearful that the same thing is going to happen to the US’s ‘AAA’ rating at some point in the future if the US does not get its financial house in order. They are watching massive amounts of QE2 and another ballooning of the federal budget deficit and are selling even as the Fed attempts to jam the market higher with its purchases. AT this point, the only thing holding the long end of the curve is the Fed. How long can that last especially without affecting the Dollar? More and more we see the integrity of sovereign debt being brought into doubt which leads to the question among many investors; “what is a safe haven that is actually safe?” Who wants to take the chance of holding a nation’s bonds if overnight they face the real risk of being downgraded? The real world impact of this is that nations whose debt gets downgraded will have to offer potential investors a higher rate of return to compensate them for the increased risk of holding their debt. For nations already hopelessly in debt, that means borrowing costs begin to rise forcing them to borrow even more money just to keep their heads above water. The whole thing becomes a vicious cycle with rising interest rates compounding the problem. The US has been able to sneak by and thus far avoid a rating agency’s downgrade partly because its borrowing costs are so low. Should these agencies begin to train their sights on the US and give closer scrutiny to its miserable financial condition, there is a chance that a downgrade could follow. Such a development, were it to indeed occur, would force the US to offer higher rates of return on its debt. That of course would raise its borrowing costs at a time when it can least afford it not to mention short circuiting the QE policy which is deliberately designed to lower borrowing costs. This is why the take down in gold, after yesterday’s nice performance, is so remarkable for its perverseness and why long term oriented holders of the metal should not be the least bit concerned as to the antics taking place in the paper market. Sovereign debt woes are not behind us – the problem lies squarely ahead of us and no amount of wishful thinking is going to change that hard reality. This being said, one of the things we now want to monitor will be the performance of gold when priced in terms of the Yen. Courtesy: www.jsmineset.com |
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bsiong
Supreme |
28-Jan-2011 14:43
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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bsiong
Supreme |
28-Jan-2011 14:42
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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* Gold headed for the 4th consecutive week of loss * Gold to fall to $1,290-technicals By Rujun Shen SINGAPORE, Jan 28 (Reuters) - Spot gold fell to a four-month low on Friday, as an improved economic outlook in the U.S. and Europe continued to depress safe-haven demand, but physical buying is expected to lend some support. U.S. housing and factory data on Thursday showed the economy still gaining strength in December but at a pace unlikely to cause the Federal Reserve to rethink its stimulus program. The gross domestic product data due later today is expected to show the world's biggest economy picking up speed but short of the pace needed to bring down unemployment. Spot gold fell to a low of $1,308 an ounce, and was trading at $1,312.16 at 0350 GMT.Gold is on course for a fourth straight week of declines, its longest losing streak in a year. It was headed for a 7.4 percent monthly fall, it biggest since October 2008.U.S. gold fell about half a percent to $1,311.9."It does seem sentiment has been shaken and technical charts aren't looking fantastic," said Yingxi Yu, an analyst at Barclays Capital."We remain optimistic on gold prospects for the next few months, but the near-term correction could continue for quite some time. We've seen some speculative positions in gold being liquidated in the past few days, as well as some outflow from the ETF."Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell to an eight-month low of 1,226.546 tonnes by Jan. 27, after a record daily outflow of 31.262 tonnes on Jan. 25.Spot gold is expected to fall more to $1,290 per ounce, as a downtrend is intact and bearish momentum strong, |
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bsiong
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28-Jan-2011 14:01
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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The great disconnect of Silver supply, demand and prices By Dr Jeffrey Lewis There is no more silver! Really, there isn’t any left. There is a danger lurking in the shadows of the COMEX silver market. Prices are (generally) rising, but the supply of silver is falling, and it’s falling quickly. Why, you ask? Unfortunately, there has been confusion in the paper and physical metals market…as if silver investors hadn’t already noticed. Silent Market in Control With the rise in silver prices came new speculative interest from bankers, average investors, and even the next-door neighbor. The problem is very simple: the supply of silver for the investing class is imaginary—a product of the banking system and fractional reserve silver. In order to supply investment demand, investment banks (JP Morgan and others) have been selling off paper silver in droves, hedging their bets on the futures market, and hoping that no one ever bothers to take delivery. It has become evident, especially in this most recent move toward $30, that the price of silver and the supply of silver are no longer related. What we have now is a market where the real, physical silver is flying out of the COMEX (since few seeking to buy real silver are interested in certificates or exchange-traded funds), and the tangible stocks are replaced with paper silver. What happens when the market realizes that the well is tapped, there is no remaining silver, and that the positions most hold are diluted to a point that they hold only a small percentage of what they believe they hold? Future Surge in Silver Prices It has become commonplace for analysts, investors and others to forecast higher and higher silver prices. These analysts, investors, and analysts are 99% wrong. Most of them are playing the fool’s game, buying and selling paper silver to accumulate paper. The remainder sees opportunity for silver that brings silver prices higher, and they’re wrong as well. Silver prices are not technically rising, but they’re becoming realistic. The current pricing structure is dependent on a supply of silver that does not exist. When this realization comes to life, silver prices will rise, but in truth, prices have already exploded. Those trading the COMEX are paying $25-30 for the CHANCE at taking delivery of an ounce. If we put the current, real supply of silver at 10% the open interest, then prices are already $250 per ounce. How Disconnects Happen Prices from the COMEX trickle to the NYSE where the SLV ETF is traded, which then trickles back to the futures market, and then to the average investor, who through his or her own market action, sends that information down to the retail coin shop. Thus, the physical markets on the local level are selling silver based on a price that flows from a crooked market. Is it any wonder demand is high, and supply (individual investors are the only ones who can actually prove ownership) is shrinking? I think not. The author is a medical practitioner and serves as the editor of Silver-Coin-Investor.com |
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bsiong
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28-Jan-2011 10:00
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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SINGAPORE, Jan 28 (Reuters) - Spot gold held near a four-month low on Friday, after falling by more than two percent in the previous session, as economic data from the United States and Europe pointed to steady growth, which depresses safe-haven demand from investors. FUNDAMENTALS * Spot gold was little changed at $1,313.25 an ounce by 0041 GMT, after falling to $1,308.70 in the previous session, its lowest in nearly four months. * U.S. gold futures fell 0.4 percent at $1,313. * U.S. housing and factory data on Thursday showed the economy still gaining strength in December but at a pace unlikely to cause the Federal Reserve to rethink its stimulus program. * Euro zone economic sentiment was broadly flat in January, pointing to a good start to 2011, but inflation expectations jumped among companies and households, adding to European Central Bank policy headaches. * Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell about three tonnes to its eight-month low of 1,226.546 tonnes. MARKET NEWS * Strong corporate earnings led Wall Street to a 29-month closing high for a second day on Thursday, but another run of big gains may be harder to achieve. * The yen nursed broad losses on Friday after Standard & Poor's cut Japan's credit rating by a notch, though it fared relatively better against the U.S. dollar which had troubles of its own. |
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bsiong
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28-Jan-2011 09:57
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold ends solidly lower, hits 4-month low, on technical selling |
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bsiong
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28-Jan-2011 08:56
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 1/27/2011January 27, 2011At 4PM (CT) the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
COMMENTARY: The precious metals market is down this afternoon. Some say the safe-haven demand of gold and the other metals is down amid the optimism of the global economic outlook. The Euro zone is increasing the lending capacity of its bailout fund, so it will be able to lend more to countries with a coming sovereign debt crisis. Moody’s just released a report that shows that Connecticut, Hawaii, and Illinois are states with the highest combined debt and pension liabilities. On a smaller scale, the state of New York’s “watchdog board” will assume control of Nassau County’s finances amid financial issues. This is after a state bailout of $100 million was given to them in 2000. Despite all of this “optimism,” renowned global investor Jim Rogers says the money is in commodities. “If the world economy gets better, commodities are going to make a fortune,” he says. “If the world economy does not get better, commodities are the place to be because they are going to print more money, and that’s how you protect yourself.” Gold spot price is down $20.00. Silver spot price is down 22 cents. Platinum spot price is down $7.70. Palladium spot price is down 40 cents. |
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bsiong
Supreme |
27-Jan-2011 23:58
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold just cannot afford a five percent fall By Shyamal Mehta January 27 2011 11:10 GMT MUMBAI (Commodity Online): In International markets, Gold future prices went up on Wednesday on technical rebound and short covering. Itlast traded at 1341 USD per ounce. Gold prices have fallen by more than five percent from its recent peak of around 1410. Gold prices are likely to fall further and may test 1300-1260 levels in the next few weeks if prices sustains below 1320. Gold looks bearish in short term because of weak physical demand and fell in ETF holdings also weighing on prices. Gold prices bounced yesterday after the U.S. Fed’s announcements to continue buying its USD 600 billion US treasury QEII program. |
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bsiong
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27-Jan-2011 23:54
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 1/27/2011January 27, 2011At 8AM (CT) the APMEX precious metal prices were:
COMMENTARY: Precious metal prices surged yesterday on the Fed announcement that the economy was not showing significant recovery and therefore, they will continue increasing the money supply through buying bonds.There was news this morning supporting their concerns a Standard & Poor’s downgraded Japan’s long term debt rating. This surprise announcement raises red flags. We have heard much about possible municipality defaults, but states are also a growing concern. Pension costs keep piling up adding to the states debt. Giant corporations AT&T and Proctor & Gamble both came out with disappointing earnings results. Gold spot price is up $1.40 – Silver price is up 40 cents – Platinum spot price is up $12.10 – Palladium price is up $9.10 |
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bsiong
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27-Jan-2011 23:52
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold falls 1 pct on waning demand, ECB commentsJan 27 (Reuters) - Gold fell more than 1 percent on Thursday as physical demand retreated, and after comments on inflation from a euro zone official supported the view that euro zone interest rates could rise sooner than expected. Spot gold XAU= fell to a session low at $1,331.10 an ounce, and was later bid at $1,332.36 an ounce at 1252 GMT, against $1,346.36 late in New York on Wednesday. |
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bsiong
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27-Jan-2011 16:34
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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LONDON, Jan 27 (Reuters) - Spot gold prices held steady on Thursday on slowing physical and fund demand, though cautious economic views on the economy offered by the U.S. Federal Reserve lent support. PRICES * Spot gold XAU= was bid at $1,342.9 at 0745 GMT from $1,346.3 late in New York on Wednesday. * Silver XAG= was at $27.48 from $27.49.MARKET NEWS* The dollar index .DXY =USD fell to an 11-week low after the Federal Reserve showed it was in no rush to scale back its easy policy the previous day.* Brent crude hovered at below $98 after better than expected U.S. home sales data and the Federal Reserve's pledge to keep monetary policy steady drummed up market sentiment.* The S&P 500 closed at a 29-month high on Wednesday led by gains in tech and commodity shares, as investors largely ignored the U.S. Federal Reserve's lukewarm economic assessment.* European shares were set rise, tracking gains on Wall Street and in Asian markets after the Fed's pledge helped cement hopes that monetary policy will remain loose for the time being.FUNDAMENTALS |
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bsiong
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27-Jan-2011 09:40
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold demand driven by jewelry consumption: WGC Published on: January 26, 2011 |
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bsiong
Supreme |
27-Jan-2011 09:14
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold steady on Fed's cautious outlook, weak dollarSINGAPORE, Jan 27 (Reuters) - Spot gold held steady on Thursday, after snapping a four-day losing streak in the previous session, as a cautious outlook by the U.S. Federal Reserve and a weaker dollar lent support. FUNDAMENTALS * Spot gold inched down 0.2 percent at $1,344.39 an ounce by 0031 GMT. * U.S. gold futures gained 0.8 percent at $1,343.8. * The Federal Reserve showed on Wednesday that it was in no rush to cut short its efforts to rescue the U.S. economy, saying high unemployment still justified its $600 billion bond-buying plan. * U.S. new home sales in December rose faster than expected to their highest level in eight months and prices were the highest since April 2008, raising cautious optimism for a housing market recovery. * The dollar index held near its lowest level since mid-November, after Fed gave cautious economic outlook. * China's annual economic growth is expected to ease to about nine percent in the first quarter while consumer inflation is projected at five percent, according to a government think tank report published in the official Chinese Securities Journal. * Option investors expect gold futures to rebound, reversing a recent trend in which buyers increased protection against a price decline. MARKET NEWS * The S&P 500 closed at a 29-month high on Wednesday led by gains in tech and commodity shares, as investors largely ignored the U.S. Federal Reserve's lukewarm economic assessment. |
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bsiong
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27-Jan-2011 09:06
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report –1/26/2011January 26, 2011At 4PM (CT) the APMEX precious metal prices were:
COMMENTARY:The Federal Open Market Committee announcement was not at all bullish on the economy nor was it impressed with the growth seen so far. Precious metal prices began to surge almost immediately afterwards. The FOMC made no changes and gave no indication they would stop pumping money into the economy through bond purchases. The big question is, has gold shrugged off its tepid start in 2011 and ready to go on another record run? There are many reasons to expect that gold may be headed for new higher territories. There is the Euro zone crisis; the risk of financial crisis in Japan; a trade war between the US and China; growing geopolitical tensions and riots…just to name a few. Gold spot price is up $13.40 – Silver spot is up 77 cents – Platinum spot price is up $26.30 – Palladium price is up $29.00 |
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bsiong
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26-Jan-2011 22:34
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 1/26/2011January 26, 2011At 8AM the APMEX precious metal prices were:
COMMENTARY: No matter what your thoughts are on President Obama’s State of the Union Address last night, there were indicators his administration would be more business friendly and there was an appeal that we have turned the corner and we are heading for better economic times. The stock market is poised to open higher on this optimism. Platinum and palladium, due to their industrial uses, are going up this morning as well.Gold and silver were off their morning highs, but appear to be stabilizing for now. President Obama is proposing a 5-year freeze on non-discretionary defense spending, that would lower the US deficit by around $400 billion. Well known economist, Nouriel Roubini, speaking on CNBC today, discounted this cut as just “spare change”. He also brought up that the UK is facing two potential difficult blows in the form of spending cuts and higher inflation. Gold spot price was down $1.40 – Silver price was up 2 cents – Platinum spot price was up $5.20 – Palladium spot is up $6.50 |
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bsiong
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26-Jan-2011 22:13
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Why gold price is not in a bubble Published on: January 26, 2011 at 16:00By Andrew Mickey The “Gold is a Bubble” crowd has been reawakened. CNN warned earlier this week: Gold is a bubble, resist its charms. Gold’s six percent fall in the last six weeks and the Amex Gold Bugs Index (HUI) nearly 20% decline have signaled the gold correction is here. The correction has emboldened the anti-gold crowd more than they have been since the 2008 credit crunch. The correction is has been a tough one so far. But it hasn’t shown itself to be anything more than just a correction. And if history is any example, it will last about two more months and gold will be returning to new highs by the end of 2011. Despite the needed correction, gold’s future is as bright as ever. Contrary to rising opinion, gold is not in a bubble…yet. Here are nine reasons why. 1. Still Waiting for the Blow-Off Top The top of every bubble has been marked by a massive, parabolic surge in prices. The NASDAQ rose from 1500 to more than 5,000 between October 1998 and March 200. That was an 18 month increase of 233%. The last gold bubble ended in three years of significant and accelerating increases in annual average gold prices. Gold went up 30.81% in 1978. It rose 58.72% in 1979. And “the top” was marked by a parabolic 99.74% increase in 1978. Gold prices have risen at an annual average rate of 18% in this current bull market. In the last three years gold has risen at a 16% annual rate.Even best-case scenario intended to skew the numbers to the most extreme fails to match previous bubble tops. Gold rose at annual average rate of 29.8% from its 2008 lows to its 2010 all-time high. These increases are indicative of a bull market, but pale in comparison to past bubbles. 2. Gold Hasn’t Gone Mainstream…Yet Bubbles suck a lot of investors in at the top. Panic buyers, fearful of missing out on an opportunity to get rich quick, rush in at the end in droves. For example, in 1970, investors had $48 billion in stock mutual funds. By the top of the stock bubble in 2000, investors had more than $7 trillion in stock funds. In 2000 investors plowed $309 billion of new capital into stock funds. That’s five times more than all of the money invested in funds in 1970. Stock fever was well-dispersed too at the top too. The New York Stock Exchange found 7.5 million Americans own stock in 1954. The number of stock investors rose 10-fold to 78 million in 1999. Currently, gold and gold stock investors are still very much the minority. 3. The “We Buy Gold” Advertising Fallacy One of the often cited signals of a gold market top is all of the “we buy gold” companies which buy jewelry from people. The argument is completely misguided. These are service companies which buy gold at discount (ranging from 20% to 40%) and then have it refined. A higher gold price makes the business more profitable, will attract more customers, and allow for greater advertising budgets, but it’s not a signal of the top.A better signal would be seeing these companies failing as the masses refuse to sell their gold because “it’s going to make them rich.” 4. Gold Pays No Dividend It’s true, gold doesn’t pay a dividend. It has no earnings. It’s not an investment. There is no way to value it using traditional measures of stocks and other financial assets. Gold’s benefits comes during periods when real dividends and income-producing assets’ yields are so low, gold is a much better alternative. These periods where gold outperforms income-producing assets is when real interest rates (interest minus inflation) are negative. Consider this, a long-term U.S. Treasury bond currently pays about 4% per year. Inflation, as tracked by rising cost of living and excluding housing price declines which have kept official inflation numbers down, is greater than 5%. As a result, the real rate of interest is a negative 1%. In real terms, it costs 1% a year to hold the long-term Treasury bond even though it yields 4%. This is why investors turn to gold when interest rates are negative and gold prices are driven higher by negative real interest rates. Gold pays no nominal dividend or income. But it does retain its purchasing power while other income-producing assets decline. 5. Interest Rate Increases Will Not Send Gold Prices TumblingThe current gold correction has been exacerbated by liquidity fears and traders’ risk reduction resulting from expected hikes in short-term interest rates in China, India, and other countries. Many pundits have already started confusing small hikes in short-term rates as the catalyst to pop the “gold bubble.” This makes sense on paper, but is historically incorrect. Interest rate increases determined by the market and not resulting from arbitrarily imposed short-term rates central banks have historically been an indicator of rising inflation. Rising interest rates are bad for stocks, housing, and bonds, but have coincided with increases in the prices of gold.6. Customer Service and Innovation have Nothing to Do with Sentiment In 11 Signs that Gold is in a Bubble That is Going to Burst” the author notes, “For the first time ever, gold ATM machines are dispensing bars of bullion. The first ones opened up in Abu Dhabi, Munich, and Madrid. Next in line are Boca Raton and Las Vegas in the US. What are you doing to do with all that gold? Bury it in your backyard? Have no fear.” Service innovation from businesses which earn wider profit margins as gold prices rise and demand for gold increases are hardly a signal investor sentiment is too high. Whether a bullion buyer picks up gold at a store, online, or at a gold-dispensing ATM, in no way signals sentiment is too high. In a way, these innovations are actually helping turn new investors onto gold by making it easier to buy gold. 7. The Closed-End Fund Indicator Well Within Historical Norms One of the best indicators of true investor sentiment (which is driven by their investment dollars rather than surveys) is closed end funds (CEF). Since CEFs trade at a discount or premium to their underlying Net Asset Value (NAV), they serve as a reliable indicator of extreme optimum and pessimism. For example, at the height of the China bubble in 2007, investors were clamoring to get Chinese “A-Shares.” These shares were only traded in China and most foreign investors were barred from owning them directly. Investors could get direct access to A-Shares by buying the Morgan Stanley China A-Share Fund (NYSE:CAF). At the height of the China bubble, the A Share Fund was trading at a 40% premium to its NAV. A-Share demand and optimism were so high, investors were willing to pay $1.40 for each dollar of A-Shares. It was clearly an extreme high. There are two closed end funds which own physical silver and gold. Both of them show optimism is hardly at an extreme high. The current premium on the Central Fund of Canada (NYSE:CEF) is a mere 3.09%. Its five-year average premium is 9.0%. The current premium on the Sprott Physical Silver Trust (NASDAQ:PSLV) is a bit higher at 14.8%. Although relatively high, that’s still below the new fund’s all-time high premium of more than 17%. When the gold bubble reaches its peak, there will likely be a very large gap between the price of physical gold and paper gold as it’s traded on the major exchanges. As a result, the premiums on the closed end funds which own physical gold and silver reflect that difference through some very large premiums. 8. Gold Stocks Show Gold is a “Hot Money” Trade and Investor Conviction is Low A surprising anomaly in the gold market signals the top in gold is still a long ways away. The price of gold has increased 22% in the past twelve months. The Amex Gold Bugs Index (HUI) meanwhile has only increased 27%. Normally, the HUI would significantly outpace the price of gold, but gold stocks have failed to really outpace gold as they have and will again as gold prices rise. The chart below shows how investors still lack the conviction that higher gold prices are here to stay as gold stocks are still significantly lagging the price of gold. When we do reach the top in the gold market, valuations for gold companies will be significantly higher than they are now. At the top, gold mining shares won’t be based on the current price of gold. They’ll be based on how much higher gold prices can go. Remember price-to-eyeballs and other new valuation metrics for dot-coms? The same thing will happen to gold stocks at the top of the bubble. 9. The “How To” Market Still Lags All investment manias have attracted the majority of investors at the top. And when these new speculators move in, they want to learn how to do it. A willing and ready publishing community has been there to sell the information at the worst possible time. For example, the top selling non-fiction books in 1999 included: #8: Wall Street Journal Guide to Understanding Money and Investing #9: Investing for Dummies #11: How to Get Started in Electronic Day Trading Those are very high positions for a segment normally dominated by high-profile biographies and self-help books. They also show how the top of the 90s was led by inexperienced day traders and first-time investors. At the height of the gold bubble in the late 1970s, the #3 best-selling non-fiction book was Howard Ruff’s How to Prosper During the Coming Bad Years. The book warned of social chaos, end of the family, and hyperinflation. It recommended “protecting” yourself by hoarding gold, silver, and dried food. The “safe” investments performed terribly for the next two decades. In 2010, no investment-themed books made even made it in the Top 10 of best-sellers. The masses still don’t want much to do with gold and learning about how to “get rich quick off of it.” There are so many fallacious arguments cited by the gold is a bubble crowd. But long time investors have seen all this before. A bull market rises. Investors jump on board. It corrects and the weak hands walk away. It sets new highs and attracts still more investors. It corrects and the weak hands walk away. The process repeats until euphoric highs attract everyone in. That’s when conviction is strong, everyone is betting on how much money they’ll make, and no one sees a bubble forming, they just a great opportunity for quick riches. There are a lot of signs when a bubble is peaking, but none of them are appearing right now. Good investing, |
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bsiong
Supreme |
26-Jan-2011 18:04
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Jan 26 (Reuters) - Gold firmed in Europe on Wednesday after four straight sessions of losses took prices to a three-month low, with physical demand rising in Asia, though gains were muted ahead of a Federal Reserve rate decision.
PRICES * Spot gold XAU= was at $1,335.85 an ounce at 0735 GMT compared with $1,332.75 late in New York on Tuesday. * Silver XAG= was at $26.95 from $26.84. MARKET NEWS * The dollar held near a 10-week low against a basket of currencies on Wednesday, with the market looking for confirmation from the Federal Reserve later in the day that its focus remains on supporting growth. * Oil rose in a technical rebound ahead of the Fed statement, which is expected to reaffirm an improved economic outlook for the world's largest oil consumer, while investors await weekly stocks data. * Japan's Nikkei average .N225 fell 0.5 percent, though other Asian markets ticked up slightly, with the MSCI index of Asian stocks outside Japan .MIAPJ00000PUS rising 0.1 percent. * European shares were set to rise after U.S. President Barack Obama stressed the need to lower corporate tax rates, and after Wall Street pared losses on optimism for the reporting season as most companies have beaten estimates. * German Bund futures opened flat ahead of a sale of 30-year paper and supported by a rise in U.S. Treasury prices since the close of the previous day's European trading session.
FUNDAMENTALS * SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 31.262 tonnes, the biggest one-day fall ever, to an eight-month low of 1,229.581 tonnes by Jan. 25. * A Japanese computer parts manufacturer and gold importer, Space International, has put gold into vending machines -- in the form of gold coins and bars -- in the hope of luring more customers to buy the metal. * Patagonia Gold PLC (PGD.L) said its final drilling results were to report exceptionally high grade gold and silver, while a potential new mineralised vein has been discovered at Cap-Oeste. * Holdings in the world's largest silver-backed exchange traded fund, iShares Silver Trust (SLV), fell to 10,447.70 tonnes on Jan. 25 from 10,478.08 tonnes.
TECHNICALS |
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bsiong
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26-Jan-2011 10:57
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold flat; ETF holdings post biggest one-day fallSINGAPORE, Jan 26 (Reuters) - Spot gold held steady on Wednesday, while the SPDR Gold Trust staged its biggest one-day fall ever, showing a decline in interest from investors as the latest U.S. data underscored an improved economic outlook. FUNDAMENTALS * Spot gold was little changed at $1,333.90 an ounce by 0033 GMT, off the three-month low at $1,322.70 hit on Tuesday. * U.S. gold futures was also little changed at $1,333.3. * SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 31.262 tonnes, the biggest one-day fall ever, to an eight-month low of 1,229.581 tonnes by Jan 25. * U.S. consumer confidence rose in January to its highest level in eight months, underscoring the brightening economic outlook, although declining housing prices still cast a cloud on the recovery. * U.S. President Obama is scheduled to make his State of the Union speech at 0200 GMT. Comments on U.S. government spending plans may move the commodities markets. * Gold prices are expected to average $1,450 an ounce in 2011, building on stellar gains from last year, boosted by low interest rates, dollar weakness and lingering worry over growth in major economies, a Reuters poll showed. * Europe needs to strengthen its financial rescue fund to reduce the risk of renewed global instability as U.S. tax cuts and buoyant emerging economies help propel the recovery elsewhere, the IMF said on Tuesday.MARKET NEWS* U.S. stocks erased losses in a late flurry of buying to end little changed on Tuesday as overall optimism about earnings offset disappointing results from blue chips 3M and Johnson & Johnson.* The euro climbed to a two-month high above $1.37 on Tuesday and looked poised to extend gains as momentum turned increasingly bullish after the currency's recent break above key chart levels. |
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bsiong
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26-Jan-2011 10:54
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report 1/25/2011January 25, 2011At 4 PM (CT) the APMEX precious metal spot prices were:
COMMENTARY: Precious metals continue to trade down today. Gold price fell to 3-month low, and is down 6% for the year. Experts say that the rate hike from the Reserve Bank of India (as well as rate hikes in China) has likely reduced the physical demand for precious metals. In a contrary view, Reuters released a poll today that shows the consensus among Wall Street analysts is that the gold prices for this year will average at $1,450 an ounce. Even though most news this week is focused on optimism and financial recovery, anti-government riots plague Egypt. Today tear-gas was released as thousands of rioters hurled rocks and climbed on police armored vehicles. About 10,000 protesters filled the Tahrir square chanting and raising flags in protest to the government. At least 3 known deaths have occurred in confrontations around the country. Geopolitical upheaval tends to send people running to the safety of precious metals. Gold spot price is down $12.50 – Silver price is down 50 cents – Platinum spot price is down $30.30 – Palladium price is down $34.60 |
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bsiong
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26-Jan-2011 01:26
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 1/25/2011January 25, 2011At 8AM (CT) the APMEX precious metal spot prices were:
COMMENTARY: Precious metals prices are dipping in early morning trading. Commerzbank analyst Daniel Briesemann explained that investors aren’t feeling as much of a need for safety as they were just a few short weeks ago, when things like the European debt crisis was still fresh news. In domestic news, President Obama’s State of the Union address is being given tonight. The main focus of this speech is expected to be on the economic recovery and job creation. Ben Westmore of National Australia Bank Ltd. said that the reason for the dip in prices “look[s] like it’s a result of stronger economic data.” He also noted four reasons that support gold prices on a longer horizon: Central-bank buying, inflation concerns, jewelry demand, and possible renewed weakness in the dollar. Gold spot price is down $16.40. Silver spot price is down 46 cents. Platinum spot price is down $31.20. Palladium spot price is down $32.40. // |
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