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Dow Outlook
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
10-Sep-2013 08:03
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Rally boosts Dow to close above 15,000Stocks jumped Monday, pushing the Dow Jones industrial average back above the psychologically significant 15,000. The rally was sparked by encouraging global economic data and several multibillion-dollar mergers. The Dow ended up 140.62 points, 0.9%, to 15,063.12. The benchmark S& P 500 closed up 16.54 points, 1%, to 1,671.71. The tech-laden Nasdaq composite index climbed 46.17 points, 1.3%, to finish at 3,706.18, pushed higher by Facebook shares that ended up 9 cents, 0.2%, at $44.04 -- after making a run at surpassing their IPO record high of $45. The yield on the bellwether 10-year Treasury ended at 2.9% from 2.94% Friday. The rally Monday surprised some market watchers who had predicted investors would stay near the sidelines ahead of an expected vote in Congress this week on proposed military action in Syria. And Federal Reserve policymakers meet next week to discuss interest rates and the timing of dialing back the central bank's massive monthly bond-buying program. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
07-Sep-2013 08:43
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Stocks close mixed after volatile sessionStocks were mixed Friday and closed relatively flat after a rocky session that was marked by volatile swings up and down in the major indexes. Traders weighed a mixed jobs report for August and tensions between the U.S. and Syria. The benchmark Dow Jones industrial average fell 14.98 points, 0.1%, to 14,922.50 after briefly rising above 15,000 for the first time intraday since Aug. 26. The S& P 500 index was flat, rising just 0.09 to 1,655.17 and the tech-laden Nasdaq composite index rose 1 point to 3,660. For the week, the Dow rose 0.8%, the S& P 500 gained 1.4% and the Nasdaq advanced 2%. The Dow initially rose at the open on optimism that the August employment report was weak enough to persuade the Federal Reserve to hold off reducing its massive monthly bond purchases. In August, the unemployment rate ticked down to 7.3% in August and added 169,000 nonfarm jobs, the Labor Department reported Friday. That was weaker than many economists expected. The early gains were hit by a sell-off in the first hour of trading, triggered by reports from the G-20 leaders summit in St. Petersburg, Russia, that Vladimir Putin said Russia would assist Syria if the United States launches a military strike against the Middle East nation. The losses moderated after President Obama laid out his case again in a St. Petersburg press briefing why he thinks the U.S. and others should take action in Syria. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
06-Sep-2013 22:19
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Stocks fell sharply Friday after Russia Premier Vladimir Putin said his nation would assist Syria if the United States launches a military strike against the Middle East nation. Earlier, stocks had jumped after the government said the unemployment rate ticked down to 7.3% in August and added 169,000 nonfarm jobs. But after word of Putin's remarks as leaders of the 20 top industrialized nations drew to a close in St. Petersburg, Russia, ended, the selling took hold. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
06-Sep-2013 09:57
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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U.S. stocks extend gains into third dayCaution amid Syrian uncertainty and before Friday?s jobs reportNEW YORK (MarketWatch) ? U.S. stocks on Thursday climbed for a third consecutive session, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average posting its longest winning run since the middle of July, as investors looked to the government?s monthly jobs report. ?Friday?s numbers will be closely watched, as that might influence the administration of the taper program,? said Jim Russell, senior equity strategist for US Bank Wealth Management, referring to signals from the Federal Reserve that it would start easing monetary stimulus later this month. Unless the August jobs report is a ?disaster, like some really weak number,? central-bank tapering in September is a done deal, said Doug Foreman, chief investment officer, at Kayne Anderson Rudnick. ?I?d be very surprised if the number was weak enough to get the Fed to change its mind.? ?What they say about any future plans will probably be more important,? Foreman added. The Labor Departments will release its August jobs report at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time. Economists polled by MarketWatch expect that the economy created 173,000 jobs and the unemployment rate remained at 7.4%. Economic reports ahead of the open Thursday had weekly jobless claims falling more than forecast and private-payrolls growth coming in slightly below expectations. Scaling back from a 57-point rise, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended at 14,937.48, up 6.61 points, or a gain of less than 0.1%. The S& P 500 index climbed 2 points, or 0.1%, to 1,655.08, with industrials and energy leading sector gains and telecommunications and utilities leading industry-group declines. Rising the most on the S& P, Fastenal Co. rose 6% after the construction-supplies retailer reported a jump in sales last month. The Nasdaq Composite advanced 9.74 points, or 0.3%, to 3,658.78. For every seven stocks rising, roughly eight fell on the New York Stock Exchange, where 630 million shares traded. Composite volume surpassed 2.9 billion. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
05-Sep-2013 07:16
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Marc Faber: Three reasons a plunge is coming" In my view, we'll go back to the lows in November 2012?around 1,343" in the S& P 500, Faber said. Overall, he considers U.S. equities a " better sell than a buy." Reason one: The U.S. will follow emerging markets down It hasn't been an easy summer for emerging markets. In the period of a month and a half, the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (which tracks emerging markets' large- and mid-cap stocks) lost nearly 20% of its value and has hardly bounced back from the lows. That has made the U.S. market an outperformer, but Faber believes it cannot last. In fact, he said, U.S. equities could be hurt by their relative costliness. " When emerging markets go down and the S& P goes up, the asset allocators say, 'Do I want to buy the S& P near a high, or do I venture back into emerging economies that are down 50% from their highs, like India or Brazil and so forth?' So you understand that the pool of money can flow back into emerging markets," Faber said. Reason two: The Middle East will become a " disaster" The stock market has lately been hurt by the concerns about U.S. military action against Syria. In fact, the market lost half of its gains on Tuesday when House Speaker John Boehner (R.-Ohio) said that he would support President Barack Obama's plan to strike Syria. But Faber believes we haven't seen anything yet. " The Middle East is a powder keg, and it will go up in flames because the Western imperialistic powers, they still meddle into the local affairs," Faber said. " It's going to be a disaster. And it's going to strike from Syria and Egypt into Saudi Arabia, into the Emirates eventually, and so forth and so on, and you're going to have a huge mess." Reason three: Interest rates have become a headwind Before Syria became a concern for the market, the focus was clearly on interest rates. Though Fed easing has kept rates low by historical metrics, " the interest rate has doubled on the 10-year Treasury note" since the July 2012 low, " despite Mr. Bernanke's maddening asset purchases since September 2012," Faber said. So what does that mean for the market? " Interest rates are no longer a tailwind" but are now " a headwind," Faber declared, adding that yields will drop even further. In fact, he advocates buying bonds as a safety trade, because he thinks that after the market drops, deflation concerns will come to the fore. All in all, Faber contends that the market is well overdue for a correction. " We're up almost 70% in two years, and the economic expansion is 4-years-old already," he said. And with emerging markets a mess, the Middle East highly volatile and rising Treasury yields, " where are the earnings going to come from?" Faber asks. Of course, the question is rhetorical. And Faber thinks that by the time the market fully comes around to his line of thinking, it will have corrected by some 20%. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
05-Sep-2013 06:51
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Putin: Russia could approve a strike on SyriaLONDON (MarketWatch) -- Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned the U.S. and allies against launching a strike against Syria without United Nations approval, but added he " doesn't exclude" supporting military action if it's proved that the government of President Bashar Al-Assad used chemical weapons against civilians. However, he also said it was " ludicrous" to suggest Assad would launch such an attack while the Syrian government was on the offensive against rebels, speaking during an interview with the Associated Press and Russian television station Channel 1 late Tuesday. Although U.S. President Barack Obama canceled a one-to-one meeting with Putin ahead of the Group of 20 summit on Thursday, the Russian leader suggested the two could still have discussions about Syria and other issues during the St. Petersburg meeting. " I would like to repeat once again that global mutual interests form a good basis for finding a joint solution to our problems," he said. ludicrous: so foolish, unreasonable, or out of place as to be amusing. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
05-Sep-2013 06:38
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Stocks rise as automakers, tech post strong gainsStocks jumped Wednesday as traders digested improving economic data and grappled with the possibility -- somewhat postponed -- of a military confrontation in Syria. Automakers rose sharply after reporting strong sales gains in August, leading the industry toward its best month in six years. " Car sales were really impressive," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Rockwell Global Capital in New York. They're important for what they suggest about the larger economy: solid consumer spending and increased manufacturing. " It means the economy is holding up," Cardillo said. Investors were also scrutinizing President Obama's effort to win support in Congress for a military strike on Syria. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 96.91 points, 0.7%, to 14,930.87. The S& P 500 index gained 13.31 points, 0.8%, to 1,653.08 and the tech-laden Nasdaq composite index soared 36.43 points, 1%, to 3,649.04, on a slew of product unveils at major device makers. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note edged up to 2.89% from 2.86% late Tuesday. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
04-Sep-2013 08:52
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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U.S. stocks edge up Syria neutralizes dataBenchmark indexes dial back gains as Obama talks military movesNEW YORK (MarketWatch) ? U.S. stocks rose modestly on Tuesday after upbeat data on global manufacturing and as the White House lobbied Congress for a U.S. military response to Syria?s use of chemical weapons. ?We?re looking at two days of trading wrapped into one. This morning we caught up with what world markets had done in our absence, the pent-up celebration of economic data out of Europe and Asia,? Art Hogan, market strategist at Lazard Capital Markets, said of the morning jump that had the Dow industrials rising 123 points. But stock indexes significantly cut their gains as President Barack Obama called for a quick congressional vote on his proposal for limited U.S. military action against Syria. The Dow industrials rose 23.65 points, or 0.2%, to 14,833.96. Microsoft shares fell 4.6% after the Dow component and software giant agreed to pay $7.2 billion for Nokia Corp.?s main handset business. Nokia?s Stephen Elop will return to the U.S. firm as head of its wireless-devices business amid talk he could replace Microsoft?s retiring CEO Steve Ballmer. Shares of Nokia rallied 31%. Up for a third session in four, the S& P 500 index climbed 6.80 points, or 0.4%, to 1,639.77, with consumer discretionary leading sector gains and telecommunications the poorest performer. The Nasdaq Composite added 22.74 points, or 0.6%, to 3,612.61. For every seven shares falling, roughly eight gained on the New York Stock Exchange, where nearly 781 million shares traded. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
03-Sep-2013 17:15
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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...future rather bright nah...
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
02-Sep-2013 15:37
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Europe stocks rally after China PMI, Vodafone dealLONDON (MarketWatch) -- European stock markets rallied at the open on Monday, after data from China confirmed the manufacturing sector in the country expanded in August. Both the official and HSBC's China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index, a gauge of nationwide manufacturing activity, rose in August. The Stoxx Europe 600 index jumped 1.3% to 301.33, erasing a 0.9% loss from Friday. Shares of Vodafone Group PLC gained 4% after sources said the telecom firm reached a tentative deal with Verizon Communications Inc. to sell its 45% stake in the joint venture Verizon Wireless for $130 billion. Mining firms were also on the rise, as metals prices moved mostly higher. Rio Tinto PLC added 2.8% and BHP Billiton PLC picked up 2.3%. Among country-specific indexes, the U.K.'s FTSE 100 index added 1.3% to 6,497.58. Germany's DAX 30 index put on 1.5% to 8,224.99, while France's CAC 40 index gained 1.5% to 3,993.47. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
31-Aug-2013 09:11
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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U.S. stocks fall as case against Syria madeNEW YORK (MarketWatch) ? U.S. stocks declined on Friday, with the Dow industrials and S& P 500 recording their worst month since May 2012, as Wall Street considered a possible U.S. strike against Syria. ?We?ve had a strong run this year and we are entering a seasonally treacherous time of year. Historically, Autumn and the months of September and October specifically, can be treacherous and unforgiving,? said Creatura. Up 13% for the year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average on Friday declined as much as 78 points, but closed down 30.64 points, or 0.2%, to 14,810.31, a level that left it with a 1.3% drop on the week and down 4.5% for the month. Consumer discretionary fed sector declines and consumer staples and utilities were the only advancing sectors among the 10 major industry groups on the S& P 500 index, which lost 5.21 points, or 0.3%, to 1,632.96, down 1.8% for the week and off 3.1% for the month. The Nasdaq Composite fell 30.43 points, or 0.8%, to 3,589.86. It slid 1.9% for the week and 1% for the month. For every stock advancing, more than two declined on the New York Stock Exchange, where 768 million shares traded. Composite volume approached 2.7 billion. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
30-Aug-2013 08:43
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Obama moving toward Syria strike without U.K.SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- President Barack Obama is prepared to go forward on a limited military strike on Syria, even with Britain's Parliament rejecting the action, said the New York Times on its website late Thursday. It cited anonymous administration officials. The officials said Obama had not made a final decision. But the report said indications suggest a strike could occur as soon as United Nations inspectors leave Syria, where they are investigating reports of a chemical attack against civilians last week. The inspectors are expected to leave the Syrian capital of Damascus Saturday. The White House is expected to present its case for military action to Congressional leaders Thursday night. Late Thursday, the U.K. Parliament voted against possible military action. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
30-Aug-2013 08:26
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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U.S. stocks rise on growth view energy fallsOil retreats as Syrian worries ebb Fed?s Lacker talks taperNEW YORK (MarketWatch) ? U.S. stocks on Thursday climbed for a second day, denting weekly losses, as better-than-expected economic reports trumped the belief that the data increase odds that the Federal Reserve will scale back bond purchases next month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended at 14,840.95, up 16.44 points, or 0.1%. It had initially dropped 32 points and had risen nearly 92 points. The S& P 500 index added 3.21 points, or 0.2%, to 1,638.17, with telecommunications and consumer discretionary the best performing and energy and utilities the sole laggards among its 10 major industry groups. The Nasdaq Composite gained 26.95 points, or 0.8%, to 3,620.30. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
29-Aug-2013 16:58
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Europe stocks break losing streak, Vodafone jumpsLONDON (MarketWatch) -- European stock markets rose on Thursday, after three days mired in the red, with shares of Vodafone Group PLC topping the benchmark index. The telecom firm rallied 8.4% after confirmation it's in talks with Verizon Communications Inc. to sell its 45% stake in their joint-venture company, Verizon Wireless. The Stoxx Europe 600 index climbed 0.5%, erasing a 0.4% loss from Wednesday. Trading volumes were thin, however, as many investors opted to stay on the sidelines amid fears of a military intervention in Syria. Oil firms, which have been tracking oil prices higher in recent days, were on the decline on Thursday. Shares of Royal Dutch Shell PLC dropped 1.4% and Total SA lost 1%. Among country-specific indexes, the FTSE 100 index rose 0.5% to 6,461.71, while Germany's DAX 30 index added 0.3% to 8,182.39. France's CAC 40 index picked up 0.2% to 3,969.93. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
29-Aug-2013 16:53
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
29-Aug-2013 08:42
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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U.S. stocks rise rebound as oil stocks rallyNEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- U.S. stocks on Wednesday advanced for the first session this week, with oil producers leading the gains as the price of crude settled at a more-than-two-year high above $110 a barrel. Oil costs escalated on the view that military action against Syria could be coming. Chevron Corp. and Exxon Mobil Corp. were among the leaders on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, helping the index rise 48.38 points, or 0.3%, at 14,824.51. With the price of oil at a more-than two-year high, Chevron and Exxon Mobil both rallied, the former up 2.5% and the latter 2.3%. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, oil futures for October delivery rose $1.09, or 1%, to end at $110.10 a barrel. The S& P 500 index gained 4.48 points, or 0.3%, to 1,634.96, with energy leading gains among its 10 major sectors. The Nasdaq Composite rose 14.83 points, or 0.4%, to 3,593.34. ?Today?s rally suggests that there is an underlying demand in the market ready to buy on drops,? said Michael Yoshikami, CEO of Destination Wealth Management in Walnut Creek, Calif., in an email interview. But he expects the market to be volatile ?until Syria is resolved and there is better visibility on emerging markets and the current currency crisis.? |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
28-Aug-2013 16:10
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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...future look even better now...
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
28-Aug-2013 12:41
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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U.S. to show Syria WMD evidence soon: reportLOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) -- The White House plans to publicly release evidence of how Syria's regime used chemical weapons against civilians, possibly as early as Thursday, the Washington Post reported late Tuesday. The Office of the Director of National Intelligence is assembling the report, which the Post said is one of the final steps before the U.S. commits to a military strike against Syrian government targets. The news report said an attack " now appears all but inevitable," quoting Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel as telling the BBC Tuesday that " we are ready to go." It said that ahead of an attack, the administration would need to finish consulations with Congress and with its international allies. The U.K., France and Turkey have all signaled they are willing to assist in a military strike, the report said. ...attack Iraq was based on solid WMD evidence as well... |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
28-Aug-2013 12:19
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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...future is green now... lets see how it go evening...
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
28-Aug-2013 08:28
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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A 160 points drop is never a good signal for the marketDear Friends, It does seem like Syria and the Debt ceiling bombshell is hitting the US market confidence hard, just when it shows a bit of recovery last week. One problem adds to another. At first, it was QE tapering. Then there is the treasury yield rise to 2 year high problem. Then today both Syria bomb uncertainty and debt ceiling issue is plaguing the headlines. With US having more questions and uncertainty, it does seem that local market will be affected. Today let us anticipate a selloff in Asia. Hopefully this Syria issue is solved without any brutality. A few hints I am looking at for a stop to this slide: 1) 3 consecutive up days on the DOW 2) A triple digit up day 3) An up day on next friday , the non farm payroll report day which will decide the fate of the QE tapering Rgds Daniel |
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