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krisluke
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12-Jul-2013 10:03
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Dollar falls on shifting Fed look, but bullish trend intact
* Fed dents hopes of stimulus reduction in coming months
* Dollar hits 3-week low vs euro, 2-week low vs yen * BOJ holds rates, sounds optimistic on economy By Wanfeng Zhou July 11 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar fell to multi-week lows against the euro and yen on Thursday as traders scaled back expectations that the Federal Reserve will slow its asset purchases in the coming months. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Wednesday the U.S. central bank would continue its accommodative monetary policy because of low inflation and weakness in the labor market. Investors had driven the dollar to three-year peaks against a basket of currencies this week on bets the Fed will start reducing its stimulus as early as September. The Fed's $85 billion monthly bond-buying has pressured the dollar because it is tantamount to printing money. " The dramatic drop in the dollar highlights how one-sided the market had become and how quickly traders raced to close out long dollar positions," said Camilla Sutton, chief foreign exchange strategist at Scotiabank in Toronto. Minutes of the Fed's June meeting, released Wednesday, also supported the view of the Fed keeping the status quo for longer, with many policymakers wanting reassurance the U.S. jobs recovery was on solid ground before any policy retreat. The euro rose 0.9 percent to $1.3095, having climbed to $1.3201, according to Reuters data, its strongest since June 21. The euro zone common currency has been under pressure as the European Central Bank last week clearly indicated it would keep interest rates low for an " extended period." ECB policymaker Jens Weidmann, however, said Thursday the central bank could hike rates if inflationary pressures re-emerged. The dollar lost 0.8 percent to 98.88 yen after hitting a two-week low of 98.27 yen. Chartists said a weekly close above 98.75 in dollar/yen would be a signal that the dollar is retaining its upward bias. The dollar extended losses against the yen after the Bank of Japan kept its policy on hold and made its most upbeat assessment in two and a half years. But analysts said the fall in the pair was likely to be short-lived. The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six currencies, fell 1.6 percent to 82.712. It had hit 82.418, its lowest since June 25, retreating further from a three-year high of 84.753 touched on Tuesday. In data released on Thursday, U.S. jobless claims showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week, although the level still pointed to healing in the job market. Separate U.S. data showed prices for imports and exports fell in June for a fourth straight month, a sign of cooler economic growth worldwide that could weigh on the American economy and unnerve policymakers. Despite the sell-off, analysts said the dollar remains poised to gain further against most major currencies. Debates in the United States have focused on the timing of a reduction of central bank stimulus. In contrast, central banks in the euro zone, UK and Japan remain biased for further easing. Strategists at Citigroup said the dollar's weakness in response to Bernanke and the Fed minutes may look overdone relative to the moves in other currencies. " We suspect that drivers like market-long dollar positioning may have played a role," they wrote to clients. " Despite Fed's cautiousness last night, the U.S. growth story is still the most compelling in G4. The U.S. cyclical leadership will continue to support the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields in our view." The dollar's moves have been highly correlated to Treasury yields, which move inversely to price. Treasuries, as well as stocks, rallied on the perceived dovish comments from Bernanke. Any push back in the timeline of Fed tapering will probably put downward pressure on yields and the dollar in the near term. China supports U.S. plans to end its loose monetary policy as conditions permit, but urges Washington to weigh the impact on the global economy of its exit from so-called quantitative easing, Finance Minister Lou Jiwei said on Thursday on the sidelines of annual U.S.-China economic talks. |
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krisluke
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12-Jul-2013 10:02
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FOREX-Dollar licks its wounds after painful reversal
(Corrects Wednesday yen rate in paragraph 12 to 101.21 from 121.21)
  * USD consolidating around $1.3090 per euro, 98.90 yen   * Speed of retreat leaves USD bulls chastened for now   * Asia turns cautious ahead of Chinese growth data   By Wayne Cole   SYDNEY, July 12 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was quietly nursing its losses on Friday as the smoke cleared after a couple of sessions of wild action that left markets hoping for a bit of calm and consolidation.   The general sentiment was still that the Federal Reserve was likely to start winding back on stimulus before any other major central bank, and so underpin the dollar over the long term.   But after some of the fastest falls seen in years, investors could be more cautious about piling into long positions - making the dollar's uptrend less of a one-way bet.   " It's going to be more of a zig-zag than a straight line," said a dealer at an Australian bank in Sydney. " The fact that Bernanke could sink the dollar with just a few well-chosen words was a warning to bulls not to get too carried away here."   Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke sparked the rout late Wednesday when he emphasised that stimulus was still needed given low inflation and weakness in the labour market, and pledged to push back against any unwarranted tightening in financial markets.   The dollar index, which tracks it against a basket of six currencies, flattened out at 82.755 on Friday, after diving all the way from a three-year high of 84.753 touched on Tuesday.   The euro was camped at $1.3091, having been as high as $1.3201 the previous session. That left its gains since late Wednesday at 2.5 percent, the biggest two-day jump since 2011.   Support was now seen at $1.3005/10, with talk of stop-loss sell orders under there, while resistance lined up at $1.3123.   Analysts at JPMorgan noted the impulsive nature of the dollar's retreat had muddied the technical waters for the currency and increased risk of a deeper pullback.   " As short-term momentum studies have yet to fully unwind the overbought setup for the dollar, additional follow-through seems likely in line with the impulsive reversals," they said in a note to clients.   " Moreover, closes around current levels today should confirm bearish USD weekly reversal patterns for most G10 pairs."   The dollar did find a ledge of support against the yen at 98.90, after falling from 101.21 on Wednesday to as far as 98.27. Support was seen at 98.15 with resistance at 99.51.   While markets hail the U.S. economic recovery, it is Japan that is actually outperforming, with a string of strong numbers recently. The IMF this week revised up its forecast for Japanese growth to 2 percent for this year, even as it again trimmed the global outlook.   These are still very early days in the Bank of Japan's grand experiment in reflation and it remains firmly committed to massive stimulus for many months to come.   Dealers emphasised that the huge trading range on the dollar in recent days had taken out orders and stops on both sides, leaving desks with little in the books for the near term.   Japan was also heading into a holiday weekend and caution was high ahead of a key reading on the Chinese economy due on Monday.   Median forecasts are that growth in gross domestic product (GDP) slowed modestly to 7.5 percent in the second quarter , but many see risks to the downside after a run of soft numbers.   Apprehension of a nasty surprise was one reason the Australian dollar ran into selling in New York on Thursday which saw it recoil to $0.9168, from a $0.9306 peak.   China is Australia's single biggest export market and the Aussie is often sold as a liquid proxy when investors want to hedge against weakness there. (Editing by Eric Meijer and Paul Tait) |
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krisluke
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12-Jul-2013 10:00
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Nikkei edges up to 7-week high on robust Wall St Fast Retailing sinks
Prices are shown on the Tokyo stock exchange ticker board
* Global risk-on mood underpins market after the Fed chief's dovish remarks * Heavyweight Fast Retailing sinks By Tomo Uetake TOKYO, July 12 (Reuters) - Japan's Nikkei average edged up to a seven-week high on Friday morning, buoyed by a record finish on Wall Street but a sharp slide in heavyweight Fast Retailing weighed on the broader market. The benchmark Nikkei rose 0.4 percent to 14,530.56, a level not seen since May 24, in midmorning trade, after moving in and out of positive territory in the last hour. The broader Topix advanced 0.7 percent to 1,203.62. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's reassurance this week that the central bank will maintain its ultra-easy monetary policy for the foreseeable future has helped to calm investors worried about reduced liquidity, which has been a key driver of the recent global stock market rally. Fast Retailing tumbled 6.1 percent to a one-week low after Asia's biggest retailer disappointed investors by leaving its profit forecast for the year to August unchanged. The stock contributed 83 negative points to the Nikkei and was the second-most traded on the main board by turnover. " Although investors are cautiously watching foreign exchange and Asian stock markets, the global risk-on mood is supporting the market," said Mitsushige Akino, chief fund manager at Ichiyoshi Asset Management. " If the Nikkei can absorb the loss made by Fast Retailing today, I think the index may rise toward 15,000 next week ahead of the upper house election." Wall Street closed at record highs on Thursday as investors took comfort from Bernanke's comments that the U.S. central bank will keep a loose monetary policy for some time to lower the unemployment rate. On the day, the pause in the yen's rebound against the dollar also buoyed some exporters. Toyota Motor advanced 1.3 percent, while Nikon Corp and Daikin Industries rose 3 percent and 2.2 percent, respectively. The yen was quoted at 99.14 yen to the dollar in early Asian trade on Friday, according to EBS data, after rising to a two-week high of 98.20 yen on Thursday. The Japanese equity market has seen volatile trading in recent sessions on worries about slowing growth in China and the prospect of the Fed reducing its bond-buying programme in coming months. Still, the Nikkei is up 40 percent this year, boosted by the Japanese government's sweeping stimulus aimed at pulling the world's third-biggest economy from two decades of stagnation. |
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krisluke
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12-Jul-2013 09:59
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European stocks at five-week high as stimulus worries soothed
Business section of a newspaper with Euros
  * EuroSTOXX 50 closes June's bearish gap   * SocGen recommends European large caps in case Fed tapers   * Portuguese stocks hit by renewed political uncertainty   By Toni Vorobyova   LONDON, July 11 (Reuters) - European shares hit five-week highs on Thursday and broke above technical resistance to pave the way for further gains after the U.S. Federal Reserve allayed market concerns of an imminent start to its stimulus withdrawal.   Growth-sensitive stocks like miners took comfort from Fed chairman Ben Bernanke's pronouncement on Wednesday that a highly accommodative policy was needed for the " foreseeable future" .   The FTSEurofirst provisionally closed up 0.6 percent at 1,196.86 points, moving firmly above its 100-day moving average as gold miners like Fresnillo and Randgold rallied in tandem with metal prices .   Although many still expect the U.S. central bank to begin trimming bond purchases as soon as September, Bernanke affirmed that it will only consider such a move if the economy picks up.   " They're trying to remind the market that tapering is data-dependent - they're not going to remove it unless the economy improves. So you want the Fed to taper," said Andrew Goldberg, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management.   In a further upbeat technical signal, the EuroSTOXX 50 gained 0.8 percent to 2,681.32 points, closing a bearish gap opened in early June, when the Fed first officially raised the possibility of reduced stimulus.   " What the Fed is trying to do is bring forward as much of that volatility as possible now, by talking about it and getting the market focused on it ... They don't want to swing it out of the blue and suddenly shock the market," said Derry Pickford, macro strategist at investment management firm Ashburton.   " There absolutely was an over-reaction (in June) ... I think the markets are completely positioned for that tapering now."   Underscoring the shift in the market's attitude, European equities trimmed some of their gains in afternoon trade after news of a pick-up in U.S. weekly jobless claims.   JPMorgan Asset Management recommended investors focus on cyclical sectors that will benefit if the economy improves.   Societe Generale suggested positioning for an autumn pick-up in implied volatility and forecast European stocks, especially large caps, would outperform U.S. peers.   " Fed tapering will cause U.S. yields to rise faster than those of the euro zone, which should strengthen the dollar," SocGen's analysts wrote in a note. " This will benefit euro zone stocks in general but will be of particular benefit to companies with large exposure to the U.S. or dollar."   But euro zone political jitters could still cast a cloud over the region's stock market prospects. Portugal's blue-chip index fell 2 percent on Thursday after the president rejected a plan to heal a government rift, raising the prospect of early elections as the country tries to exit its EU bailout. |
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krisluke
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12-Jul-2013 09:57
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ECB's Constancio sees long period of slow euro zone growth
FRANKFURT, July 12 (Reuters) - The euro zone is likely to see an extended period of slow economic growth and European Central Bank's policy will have to stay loose for a long time, ECB Vice-President Vitor Constancio said on Friday.
  Constancio, in the text of a speech to be given in Singapore, also criticised the European Commission's proposal for shutting down failing banks, saying that the planned authority should be given access to a public credit line.   " Advanced economies, Europe in particular, face a long period of slow growth that will test the quality of our institutions," Constancio told the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum event, according to the text.   " The euro area is still facing a painful crisis of imbalances, financial fragmentation and low growth."   Constancio said the ECB's step in providing forward guidance about interest rates last week - abandoning its customary insistence that it never precommits on policy - had been successful in stabilising financial markets after the U.S. Federal Reserve indicated it would slow its asset purchases.   He said the ECB would not exit from crisis measures yet.   " Europe is behind the U.S. in economic recovery and inflation risks, which implies that monetary policy has to stay accommodative for a longer period of time," he said, adding that forward guidance was conditional on economic data.   Constancio said that while euro zone banks still faced headwinds, they were in better shape than commonly acknowledged, and their situation would improve with the planned banking union.   While he for the most part welcomed the European Commission's proposal on bank resolution, Constancio said he would have preferred it having access to a public backstop.   The new authority is supposed to wind down or revamp banks in trouble. It is the second pillar of a " banking union" meant to galvanise the euro zone's response to the crisis.   If agreed by European Union states, the agency will be set up in 2015 and will eventually have the means to impose losses on creditors of a stricken bank, according to the blueprint.   Officials foresee tapping banks to build a war chest of 55 to 70 billion euros but that is expected to take a decade, leaving the agency largely dependent on national schemes in the meantime.   " I would have preferred, however, that the proposal would have considered explicitly the issue of a public backstop for the resolution fund in the form of a credit line that would have to be repaid afterwards," Constancio said. |
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krisluke
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12-Jul-2013 09:56
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Oil extends fall towards $104, still heading for weekly gain
TOKYO, July 12 (Reuters) - U.S. crude futures extended falls toward $104 a barrel on Friday, weighed down by profit-taking after hitting a 15-month high above $107 a day earlier, though still on course for a third weekly gain.
  FUNDAMENTALS   * NYMEX crude for August delivery was down 46 cents at $104.45 a barrel by 0016 GMT. It settled down $1.61 at $104.91 on Thursday, pressured by a temporary closure of the Seaway pipeline that ships crude from Cushing to the Gulf Coast. Flows on the Seaway pipeline have resumed.   U.S. oil gave up about $2 of the $2.99 jump recorded on Wednesday after government data showed the biggest two-week decline on record in U.S. crude stockpiles. But it is still set for a third-weekly gain of about 1 percent.   * London Brent crude for August delivery was down 41 cents at $107.32 a barrel, after settling down 78 cents at $107.73.   * Also adding pressure was the closure of one of two small crude distillation units for a planned overhaul at BP's 405,000 barrel per day (bpd) Whiting, Indiana, refinery, which will reduce inland crude oil demand.   * The North American shale oil boom could spur the biggest rise in non-OPEC supply growth in decades next year, helping meet strong global demand and eroding the market share of OPEC countries, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday.   MARKETS NEWS   * U.S. stocks closed at record highs on Thursday. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 169.26 points or 1.11 percent, to 15,460.92. The S& P 500 gained 22.4 points or 1.36 percent, to 1,675.02   * The U.S. dollar fell to multi-week lows against the euro and yen on Thursday as traders scaled back expectations that the Federal Reserve will slow its asset purchases in the coming months.   DATA/EVENTS   * The following data is expected on Friday: (Time in GMT)   - 0900 Euro zone Industrial production   - 1230 U.S. Producer prices   - 1355 U.S. Univ of Michigan consumer sentiment (Reporting by Osamu Tsukimori Editing by Ed Davies) |
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krisluke
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12-Jul-2013 09:54
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Egypt braces for more protests, prays for calm
Supporters of deposed Egyptian President Mursi hold posters during a protest in Cairo
  CAIRO (Reuters) - Supporters of ousted President Mohamed Mursi called for protests on Friday, and Egyptians prayed there would be no repeat of clashes that killed more than 90 people in the last week and left the Arab world's biggest nation bitterly divided.   Mursi's Muslim Brotherhood movement wants people to join it on the streets to push for Egypt's first freely elected leader to be reinstated, an aim that now seems in vain.   Officials say Mursi is still being held at the Republican Guard compound in Cairo, where troops killed 53 Islamist protesters on Monday in a clash that intensified anger his allies already felt at the military's decision to oust him.   Four soldiers were also killed in a battle the military says was started by terrorists. Mursi's supporters say those who died were praying peacefully when troops opened fire.   Egypt's 84 million people have been shocked by the shootings, graphic images of which have appeared on state and private news channels and social media.   The incident came just three days after 35 people were killed in clashes between pro- and anti-Mursi demonstrators across the country.   " It's a very hard time for Egyptians, to see footage of blood and violence during the holy month of Ramadan, and everyone I speak to says the same thing," said Fateh Ali, a 54-year-old civil servant in Cairo.   " I really hope the situation gets resolved soon. I don't think we can afford this economically or psychologically."   The Brotherhood believes it is the victim of a brutal military crackdown, evoking memories of when it was suppressed under longtime autocratic leader Hosni Mubarak. He was toppled in a popular uprising in 2011.   But many of its opponents blame Islamists for the violence, and some have little sympathy for demonstrators who died, underlining how deep the fissures in Egyptian society are.   VIGIL, SONGS FOR THE DEAD   Outside the Rabaa Adawiya mosque in northeastern Cairo, thousands of Brotherhood supporters gathered to mourn the dead in Monday's attack.   Women wailed and men cried as they watched a large screen showing graphic footage of hospital scenes immediately after the shooting, with corpses on the floor and medics struggling to cope with the number of bloodied casualties being carried in.   Hundreds of Egyptian flags fluttered in the evening breeze. Songs of defiance were sung.   Many thousands of Islamists have camped out in the area, braving searing heat and, since Wednesday, daytime fasting during Ramadan.   It has become the de facto base of the Brotherhood, whose leaders live under the threat of detention after the public prosecutor ordered their arrests earlier in the week.   Judicial sources say authorities are expected to charge Mursi in the coming days, although it is not clear for what.   The detentions and threats of arrest have drawn criticism from the United States, which has walked a diplomatic tightrope to avoid calling Mursi's ouster at the hands of the powerful Egyptian military a coup.   U.S. law bars aid to countries where a democratic government is removed in a coup. Washington, which gives Egypt's military $1.3 billion (856.2 million pounds) in aid each year, has said it is too early to say whether the Egyptian events meet that description.   The Egyptian army said it was enforcing the nation's will after millions of people, fed up at economic stagnation and suspicious of a Brotherhood power grab, took to the streets at the end of June to demand his resignation.   State Department spokeswoman Jen Psaki said on Wednesday Mursi's government " wasn't a democratic rule."   Her words were warmly received by the interim government and swiftly denounced by the Brotherhood. But on Thursday, Psaki expressed concern over the crackdown on Brotherhood leaders.   " If politicised arrests and detentions continue, it is hard to see how Egypt will move beyond this crisis," she told a daily briefing on Thursday.   ALARM OVERSEAS   Underlining the level of concern overseas at Egypt's crisis, two U.S. Navy ships patrolling in the Middle East moved closer to Egypt's Red Sea coast in recent days, in what appeared to be a precautionary move following Mursi's ouster on July 3.   The United States often sends Navy vessels close to countries in turmoil in case it needs to protect or evacuate U.S. citizens or give humanitarian assistance. Their presence does not mean it is preparing for military action.   Rich Gulf states have thrown Egypt a $12 billion lifeline in financial aid, which should help it stave off economic collapse.   More than two years of turmoil has scared away tourists and investors, shrivelled hard currency reserves and threatened its ability to import food and fuel.   Speaking to Reuters in a tent at a vigil by thousands of Mursi supporters, the ousted president's supply minister, Bassem Ouda, revealed that government stocks held just 500,000 tonnes of imported wheat, less than two months' supply.   Crucial to longer-term stability will be holding new parliamentary and presidential elections, which the transitional authorities are hoping to achieve in a matter of months.   Adli Mansour, the interim president named by the general who removed Mursi, has announced a temporary constitution, plans to amend it to satisfy parties' demands and a faster-than-expected schedule for parliamentary elections in about six months.   He also has named liberal economist Hazem el-Beblawi as interim prime minister. Beblawi held his first meetings with political leaders on Wednesday and told Reuters that he expected the transitional Cabinet to be in place early next week.   Negotiations are difficult, with the authorities trying to attract support from groups that range from secularists to ultra-orthodox Muslims, nearly all of whom expressed deep dissatisfaction with elements of the interim constitution.   (Additional reporting by Alexander Dziadosz, Maggie Fick, Sarah McFarlane, Mike Collett-White, Tom Perry, Peter Graff, Ali Saed, Seham el-Oraby, Shadia Nasralla and Tom Finn in Cairo and Andrea Shalal-Esa and Lesley Wroughton in Washington Writing by Mike Collett-White Editing by Xavier Briand) |
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krisluke
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12-Jul-2013 09:52
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Hong Kong shares seen higher, HSI due for 3th straight weekly gain
Hong Kong night skyline
  On Thursday, the Hang Seng Index climbed 2.6 percent to 21,353.7 points in its biggest daily gain since Jan. 2. The China Enterprises Index of the top Chinese listings in Hong Kong surged 3.7 percent. On the week, they are now up 2.8 and 3.7 percent, respectively.   Elsewhere in Asia, Japan's Nikkei was flat, while South Korea's KOSPI was down 0.5 percent at 0051 GMT.   FACTORS TO WATCH:   * Lenovo Group Ltd, the world's top PC vendor, has no plans to issue bonds in the near term because it has sufficient cash in hand and because of the volatility in global markets, its chief financial officer said.   * A court has granted a unit of China Rongsheng Heavy Industries approval to proceed with legal action to reclaim a 630 million yuan ($103 million) security deposit a week after China's biggest private shipbuilder asked for financial help.   * Eight more cities in China, the world's biggest auto market, are likely to announce policies restricting new vehicle purchases, an official at the automakers association said, as Beijing tries to control air pollution.   * China's banking regulator is considering including three foreign banks among a list of two dozen domestic banks that could be permitted to trade in a new government bond futures pilot programme expected to be launched in September, three sources with direct knowledge of the matter said.   * Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd recorded a year-on-year increase of 20.1 percent in turnover and 17 percent increase in same store sales growth, due to growing demand for cosmetics products and strengthened penetration in non-traditional tourist areas.   * Belle International Holdings Ltd said its net increase in the total number of retail outlets in mainland China was 426 as at 30 June 2013, while it recorded a 0.5 percent increase in same store sales growth for footwear business and 2.5 percent growth for sportswear business.   * Daphne International Holdings Ltd recorded a 13.7 percent year-on-year decline in same-store sales for the second quarter ended 30 June 2013 due to weak consumer sentiment and poor weather.   * Asia Cement (China) Holdings Corporation is expected to record an increase of more than 100 percent year-on-year in unaudited net profit for the six months ended 30 June 2013 due to increase in sales volume and the decrease in coal cost compared with last year.(Reporting by Yimou Lee Editing by Eric Meijer) |
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krisluke
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12-Jul-2013 09:50
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krisluke
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12-Jul-2013 09:46
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SG Market: S’pore shares are likely to follow the lead of Wall Street as investors welcomed comments from Fed chairman Ben Bernanke that the central bank would maintain its loose monetary policy for some time, suggesting a slower time-frame for scaling back its bond buying program. Both the blue-chip DJIA and broader-based S& P 500 soared into record territory, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq climbed to a 13-year high. US stocks rallied even after jobless claims unexpectedly jumped 16,000 to a two-month high of 360,000 last week. Markets are also hopeful that the upcoming earnings season will surprise on the upside, given the low expectations. Treasuries rose, sending the benchmark 10-year yield down 5.5 bps to 2.57%, while the USD slid 1.4% against 10 major peers and gold rallied 2.6% for its longest winning streak since Apr. The volatility in stocks, bonds and currencies underscored the tightrope the Fed is walking in winding down their stimulus plans without causing serious disruptons to the markets. For now, the STI has hurdled above its 200-day moving average at 3,200, negating its corrective phase and putting it squarely back on the recovery path. This is confirmed by the bullish crossover of its ADX directional indicators. Next resistance for the index is seen at the 3,270 level, represented by the 50-day moving average. Sentiment is expected to be boosted by 2Q GDP, which expanded by a faster-than-expected 3.7% versus 2.1% forecast. Stocks to watch for: *Vard Holdings: Dismal 2Q13 results, well below estimates. Group sank into net loss of NOK20m in 2Q13 vs NOK279m profit y/y as revenue sagged 12% to NOK2.95b. 1H13 earnings plunged 75% to NOK168m, making up 23% of full year forecast. EBITDA margins for 2Q13 shrank to 4.1% from 11.1% in 1Q13 due to delays and cost overruns on four old vessels at its Niteroi yard and start-up costs at its new Promar shipyard in Brazil. Elsewhere, worlkload in Romania remained high but utilization in Vietnam was sub-optimal. Order intake was NOK1.2b in 2Q, down from NOK2.8b in previous quarter, lowering order book to NOK14b from NOK15.5b as at end of 1Q13. *Ezra: Awarded US$505m worth of new projects spanning North Sea, Africa, Gulf of Mexico and Asia-Pacific region, which adds to its order backlog of more than US$2b, and extending it till 2016. This may quell concerns over its weak 3QFYAug13 results, which saw net profit dive 68% y/y to US$7.2m, due to sharp spike in cost of sales and leading to a 95% collapse in gross profit to US$2.2m. Operations at EMAS Marine (offshore support) were impacted by vessel offhire, while EMAS AMC (subsea) faced some delays in project execution and additional costs for certain projects. *Triyards: 3QFY13 results slightly missed net profit of US$7.5m (-55% y/y) on revenue of US$65.7m (-61%). 9MFY13 net profit of US$21.1m reached 71% of full year estimates of US$30m. The revenue decline in 3Q was attributed to lower sales recognized for construction of subsea vessel Lewek Constellation, which peaked in 2HFY12. However, gross profit margin improved to 19% from 13% in 3Q12 due to the ramped-up work on three self-elevating units and better margins from two ship repair jobs and one offshore fabrication project. Its order book stood at US$264m as at end May 13. *ST Engineering: Its aerospace unit secured US$430m worth of new contracts in 2Q13 for services ranging from airframe, component and engine maintenance to interior modifications. It also launched three new initiatives to further expand its capabilities through 1) two long term agreements with UTC Aerospace Systems to provide MRO services for the B787 Dreamliner aircraft, 2) 16-month development effort to enhance its B757 freighter conversion solutions and 3) acquisition of Turbo Mach, a Texas-based designer and manufacturer of composite components and assemblies for the aerospace industry. *Dyna-Mac: Secured a new $135m contract from a regular client to fabricate topside modules, manifolds and flare towers for two FPSOs at its Singapore and Guangzhou yards. Production will commence in late 3Q13 and the orders are expected to contribute positively to the group’s bottomline in 2013. *OKP: Secured a $13.8m contract from PUB to improve roadside drains in the Geylang area. Work will start in Jul 13 with completion expected within two years. This brings the group’s order book to $428.8m. *Oxley Holdings: 49% associate has acquired two freehold land parcels in Phnom Penh, Cambodia for a total sum of US$62.4m. The first 3.8 ha plot costing US$13.2m is zoned for residential, while the second 1.2 ha plot costing US$49.8m is zoned for commercial purposes. The group plans to redevelop both properties after getting all necessary approvals. *Jackspeed: Entered into non-binding letter of intent with China Harhour Engineering Co to jointly bid for the upcoming open tender for the design and construction of the elevated section of the Ho Chi Minh Urban Mass Rapid Transit Line 2. The estimated value of the project is US$47.4m. *Courts Asia: Soft opened its first big-box megastore in Malaysia ahead of schedule. The 108,000 sf megastore will be the group’s largest store in Malaysia and strategically located in the major township of Bandar Sri Damansara in Klang Valley. In all, the group operates 61 stores in Malaysia. *Genting S’pore: Broke ground for its 550-room hotel at Jurong Lake District, which is scheduled to open in 1H15. The area has been earmarked by URA as a new growth hub with commercial, business and leisure facilities. The hotel will be the 7th hospitality development for GENS, which owns six other hotel properties at Resorts World Sentosa. |
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krisluke
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12-Jul-2013 09:43
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25 minutes:                Click !!                                              http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OHBX73kk9uA |
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Aberdeen123
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12-Jul-2013 09:38
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Nice song.Thanks |
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krisluke
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12-Jul-2013 09:38
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Dying inside to hold you:                Click !!                                      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LpdOWiOwFFA |
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krisluke
Supreme |
12-Jul-2013 09:31
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Just give me a reason:                        Click !!                        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7qacobIePlQ |
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krisluke
Supreme |
12-Jul-2013 09:17
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Blurred Lines :                          Click !!                                        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kv4yLM-ysqU
STI: The key indicators are rising which bodes positively for near term momentum. The index popping back above the 200day MA is an added positive. The STI appears to be staging a sharp V-shaped recovery. If the index can hold above the key 3,230 level, this may propel it to trade within the next 3,230 to 3,330 range.   |
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krisluke
Supreme |
12-Jul-2013 07:49
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STOCKS RALLY, S& P CLOSES AT ALL-TIME HIGH: Here's What You Need To Know Thanks, Ben Bernanke!   First, the scoreboard:
And now, the top stories:
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krisluke
Supreme |
12-Jul-2013 07:45
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Brazil is pouring approximately $15 billion dollars into the 2014 FIFA World Cup and the 2016 Olympics.
  The sporting events are expected to generate a combined 3.6 million temporary and long-term jobs and to boost GDP growth by 0.4% every year through 2019. But after growing 7.5% in 2010, Brazil's economy grew just 0.9% in 2012. Q1 wasn't much better, with GDP rising 0.6% from the previous quarter. At 6.5%, inflation is high and hurting real wages. Which explains why consumption grew just 0.1% in Q1. Meanwhile, the Bovespa is down nearly 28% year-to-date. And all this has finally come to a head. Deep rooted issuesLast month, Brazilians took to the streets over high costs around the World Cup and the Olympics. Protestors have largely become tired of poor public services, corruptions, and rising costs. " There are deeper issues behind the riots, such as the erosion of income caused by high inflation, the bad quality of public services in general, and frustration of the “new middle class” about the lack of further improvement in living standards, despite high expectations generated  by the hype surrounding the Brazilian economy in the past few years," Deutsche Bank's Esteban Polidura wrote in a note to clients.  For many the idea of Brazilians protesting football is hard to wrap their head around. " It is not the game itself that they have forsaken, but rather the kind of game that football has become: a billion-dollar business, a prestige object for louche plutocrats, and an extravagant showpiece for corrupt governments and international sporting organizations," wrote Ian Buruma in a Project Syndicate column. And protests like the ones we saw last month are rare. " The protests are very peculiar but I think are very relevant especially considering Brazilian history," Fernando Losada, senior economist at AllianceBernstein told Business Insider. " Brazil is different from other countries in Latin America. You probably heard of the cases of Argentina, even Mexico, where people go out on the streets to beat pots and pans, to do the so called cacerolazo, to protest against the government. That's rather unusual in Brazil." Investment on the declineWhile the decline in credit-fueled consumption growth has been a large factor in Brazil's economic slowdown, so has the decline in investment. After Dilma Rousseff took office, the government veered towards more interventionist policies hurting investment, Losada said. And the slowdown in the global economy hasn't helped either. In an attempt to pacify protestors the government has made some changes. It rolled back the fare hikes that sparked the initial protests. It has since announced a bigger punishment for corrupt officials. Oil revenue will be channeled to improve education and healthcare, and Congress is considering a motion for a popular vote on political reform. Major fiscal policy changes are unlikely ahead of the 2014 presidential election. After that, all bets are off. " In her second term, Dilma will have no horizon to be re-elected, and the attitude of the government may change then," Losada told Business Insider. Monetary policy will likely be tightened to curb inflation and boost real income. To boost economic growth, the government will have to do more to attract investment. An improvement in the global economy will also go some way in helping GDP. But even if that were to play out, Brazil has one other problem to contend with. Major sporting events have often had a negative longer-term economic impact on the host country. |
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krisluke
Supreme |
12-Jul-2013 07:42
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Bernanke's reassurance propels shares to record highs
The New York Stock Exchange building
  * Bernanke comments ease fears of stimulus cuts   * AMD jumps, semiconductors at highest in six years   * RadioShack tumbles after report   * Indexes up: Dow 1.1 pct, S& P 1.4 pct, Nasdaq 1.6 pct   *   By Rodrigo Campos   NEW YORK, July 11 (Reuters) - The S& P 500 index and the Dow industrials closed on Thursday at record highs, a day after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. central bank will keep a loose monetary policy for some time to lower the unemployment rate.   Bernanke said after the market's close on Wednesday the U.S. jobless rate of 7.6 percent overstated the health of the labor market. He said a " highly accommodative" policy is needed for the foreseeable future, triggering a rally in equity futures.   The S& P closed above its previous all-time high of 1,669.16 on May 21 and the Dow surpassed its high of 15,409.39 on May 28.   " Having Bernanke come out obviously worked, giving the market some stability," said Quincy Krosby, market strategist at Prudential Financial in Newark, New Jersey.   " It's almost as if the markets need to hear this over and over again."   After closing at its previous record, the S& P 500 in June posted its first negative month in eight as Bernanke hinted the U.S. central bank could begin this year to wind down a bond buying program partly responsible for the rally in stocks.   " The selling that we saw after May 22 was clearly the unwinding of leveraged bets which put tremendous pressure on markets," Krosby said.   More than 85 percent of shares on the New York Stock Exchange and almost 70 percent of those on the Nasdaq rose on Thursday. All 10 of the S& P 500 industry sectors advanced, with five of them rising more than 1.5 percent.   The Dow Jones industrial average rose 169.26 points or 1.11 percent, to 15,460.92. The S& P 500 gained 22.4 points or 1.36 percent, to 1,675.02 and the Nasdaq Composite added 57.55 points or 1.63 percent, to 3,578.3.   In late June, the S& P had fallen as much as 5.8 percent from its closing high after Bernanke's comments and the expectation of a winding down of the stimulus. Gains have come from improving economic data, anticipation of a better-than-expected earnings season and reduced concern about cuts to the Fed's $85 billion in monthly bond purchases.   Bernanke's remarks calmed concerns in the Treasuries market, and stock investors flocked to housing-related stocks on bets on a decline in mortgage rates.   The PHLX housing index jumped 4.9 percent, its largest daily gain since Dec. 20, 2011.   D.R. Horton jumped 9.2 percent to $22.98 and at least six other homebuilder stocks rose 7 percent or more.   Advanced Micro Devices Inc jumped 11.8 percent to $4.45 and was the S& P 500's top performer after Bank of America Merrill Lynch upgraded the stock. The PHLX semiconductor index rose 2.1 percent to its highest in almost six years.   Celgene Corp, up 7.9 percent to $134.90, was among the top performers for both the S& P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 after the company said a late-stage trial of a cancer drug met the main goal of improving survival in newly diagnosed blood cancer patients.   Microsoft rose 2.8 percent to $35.69 after the company announced a reorganization designed to streamline the software company's operations.   RadioShack Corp fell as much as 22.6 percent after trade publication, Debtwire, reported the electronics chain is considering hiring a financial adviser to help improve its finances. Shares closed down 7.1 percent at $2.63.   Earnings reports are expected on Friday from JPMorgan Chase& Co and Wells Fargo.   Thomson Reuters data show analysts expect S& P 500 companies' second-quarter earnings to have grown 2.5 percent from a year earlier, with revenue up 1.5 percent.   About 6.5 billion shares changed hands on the New York Stock Exchange, the Nasdaq and NYSE MKT, slightly above the 6.4 billion daily average so far this year. |
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krisluke
Supreme |
03-Jul-2013 17:02
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It's the day before the July 4 holiday, and US markets will be closed early.
  But sorry, it's going to be a very busy day. First of all, you have the mess in Europe, particularly Portugal, where the market is plunging thanks to the resignation of the finance minister. Then of course, there's all of the Egypt stuff to pay attention to. And on top of that, there's just a lot happening econ-wise. From SocGen's Kit Juckes:   The US has a very busy data calendar today, and an early pre-4 July close. Yesterday's car sales data showed annualized sales get back to their best levels since 2007, yet another sign of the slow rehabilitation of the US economy. SG forecasts a rise in US non-manufacturing ISM to 54.5, a ‘taper-consistent' outcome that would contrast sharply with the Eurozone's 48.6. We get mortgage applications, ADP, trade data and weekly claims, too but short Treasuries vs. Bunds/Gilts and long USD vs. pretty much any other currency I can think of, still seems the way forwards.
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krisluke
Supreme |
03-Jul-2013 17:01
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CAIRO (AP) — With a military deadline for a resolution to Egypt's political crisis looming, the country braced for a showdown Wednesday after embattled President Mohammed Morsi insisted he will not step down in the face of demands by millions of protesters, vowing to protect his " constitutional legitimacy" with his life.
  On the streets, the sense that both sides are ready to fight to the end sharpened, with overnight clashes between supporters of the Islamist president and opponents that left at least 23 dead, most of them in a single incident of fighting outside Cairo University. The violence came just hours before a deadline set by the military was to expire Wednesday for Morsi to find a solution with the opposition or the army would impose its own political plan. The draft would see the military suspend the constitution, disband parliament and install a new leadership. With his political fate hanging in the balance, Morsi demanded in a speech late Tuesday that the powerful armed forces withdraw their ultimatum, saying he rejected all " dictates" — from home or abroad. In an emotional address aired live to the nation, the Islamist leader who a year ago was inaugurated as Egypt's first freely elected president accused loyalists of his ousted autocratic predecessor Hosni Mubarak of exploiting the wave of protests to topple his regime and thwart democracy. " There is no substitute for legitimacy," said Morsi, at times angrily raising his voice, thrusting his fist in the air and pounding the podium. He warned that electoral and constitutional legitimacy " is the only guarantee against violence." The statement showed that Morsi and his Muslim Brotherhood are prepared to run the risk of challenging the army. It also entrenches the lines of confrontation between his Islamist supporters and Egyptians angry over what they see as his efforts to impose control through the Brotherhood and his failures to deal with the country's multiple problems. As anti- and pro-Morsi supporters geared up for the fourth consecutive day of mass rallies Wednesday, it was clear that Egypt's crisis has become a struggle over whether a popular uprising can overturn the verdict of the ballot box. Morsi's opponents say he has lost his legitimacy through mistakes and power grabs and that their turnout on the streets over the past three days shows the nation has turned against him. On Tuesday, millions of jubilant, chanting Morsi opponents again filled Cairo's historic Tahrir Square, as well as avenues adjacent to two presidential palaces in the capital, and main squares in cities nationwide. After Morsi's speech, they erupted in indignation, banging metal fences to raise a din, some raising their shoes in the air in a show of contempt. " Leave, leave," they chanted. The president's supporters also moved out in increased marches in Cairo and other cities, and stepped up warnings that it will take bloodshed to dislodge him. While Morsi has stuck to a stance that he is defending democracy in Egypt, many of his Islamist backers have presented the fight as one to protect Islam. Political violence was more widespread on Tuesday, with multiple clashes between the two camps in Cairo as well as in the Mediterranean city of Alexandria and other cities. A march by Morsi supporters outside Cairo University came under fire from gunmen on nearby rooftops. At least 23 people were killed in Cairo and more than 200 injured, according to hospital and security officials who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to talk to the media. Most of the killings took place outside Cairo University in Cairo's twin city of Giza. The latest deaths take to at least 39 the people who have died since the first day of protests, Sunday. On Monday, the military gave Morsi an ultimatum to meet the protesters' demands within 48 hours. If not, the generals' plan would suspend the Islamist-backed constitution, dissolve the Islamist-dominated legislature and set up an interim administration headed by the country's chief justice, the state news agency reported. The leaking of the military's so-called political " road map" appeared aimed at adding pressure on Morsi by showing the public and the international community that the military has a plan that does not involve a coup. On his official Twitter account, Morsi urged the armed forces " to withdraw their ultimatum" and said he rejects any domestic or foreign dictates." In the 46-minute speech Tuesday, he implicitly warned the military against removing him, saying such action will " backfire on its perpetrators." Fearing that Washington's most important Arab ally would descend into chaos, U.S. officials said they are urging Morsi to take immediate steps to address opposition grievances, telling the protesters to remain peaceful and reminding the army that a coup could have consequences for the massive American military aid package it receives. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly. Morsi's adviser Ayman Ali denied that the U.S. asked Egypt to call early presidential elections and said consultations were continuing to reach national conciliation and resolve the crisis. He did not elaborate. The army has insisted it has no intention to take power. But the reported road map showed it was ready to replace Morsi and make a sweeping change in the ramshackle political structure that has evolved since Mubarak's fall in February 2011. The constitution and domination of the legislature after elections held in late 2011-early 2012 are two of the Islamists' and Brotherhood's most valued victories — along with Morsi's election last year. At least one anti-Morsi TV station put up a clock counting down to the end of the military's ultimatum, putting it at 4 p.m. Wednesday (1400 GMT, 10 a.m. EDT), though a countdown clock posted online by Morsi opponents put the deadline at 5 p.m. (1500 GMT, 11 a.m. EDT). The military did not give a precise hour. Morsi also faced new fissures within his leadership. Three government spokesmen — two for Morsi and one for the prime minister — quit on Tuesday as part of high-level defections that underscored Morsi's increasing isolation and fallout from the military's ultimatum. Five Cabinet ministers, including the foreign minister, resigned Monday, and a sixth, Sports Minister El-Amry Farouq, also quit Tuesday. One ultraconservative Salafi party, al-Nour, also announced its backing for early elections. The party was once an ally of Morsi but in recent months has broken with him. In a significant move, opposition parties and the youth movement behind the demonstrations agreed that reform leader and Nobel Peace laureate Mohamed ElBaradei would represent them in any negotiations on the country's political future. The move appeared aimed at presenting a unified voice in a post-Morsi system, given the widespread criticism that the opposition has been too fragmented to present an alternative to the Islamists. |
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