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Latest Forum Topics / Midas    Last:0.192 --  Post Reply
Midas
NGBC6666
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03-Oct-2012 20:39     
 
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CIMB 3 Oct 12

Current S$0.43   Target  S$0.63   Previous Target S$0.41   Up/downside 47.3%

Long Term: Outperform 

Maintain Outperform. We roll  forward to CY14 EPS, with our target  now based on 15.5x (10% discount to  its 5-year forward average previously  -0.5SD). Our target price increases  accordingly. We change our valuation  to account for potential ROE and  growth normalisation. Stock catalysts  are expected from order flows, while  operational risks are contained. 

Order outlook seems rosy 

China’s National Development and  Reform Commission (NDRC) has  planned close to Rmb1tr of urban  railway projects up until 2020. CSR is  expecting high-speed contracts by  4Q12 or 1Q13. It typically takes 3-6  months before contracts tickle down  to downstream players like Midas   this means that orders could come as  early as 1Q13. 

Balance sheet still strong   

Midas has been relying on short-term  loans and receivable securitisation to  fund its working capital due to  liquidity tightness in the railway  industry. It will be entering a  capital-intensive phase once it  commences the construction of its  new production facility. However,  with sufficient debt headroom and  relatively decent interest coverage, its  balance sheet offers some buffer in  any prolonged order drought/lack of  liquidity. In addition, the Ministry of  Railway has successfully tapped bond  markets in recent months. Efforts to  boost alternative financing (private  investors, local government financing  etc.) are underway.

Valuations 

We have applied a 10% discount to its  5-year forward average P/E on risks  of higher gearing. Nevertheless,  potential high-speed train-car  contracts could act as price catalysts.  Midas is trading at 10.65x CY14 EPS,  still attractive against its historical  forward average of 17.2x. Maintain  Outperform.    

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yabbest
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03-Oct-2012 19:33     
 
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http://info.sgx.com/webcorannc.nsf/AnnouncementToday/33605795B5D8D73D48257A8C00338B0D?opendocument

dun play play hor...this will boost prospective confidence in s chips 
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staphy82
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03-Oct-2012 19:22     
 
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staphy82      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 19:14) Posted:

Sorry, noob here. Why do the BBs need to "fake sell"? For what purpose?
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staphy82
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03-Oct-2012 19:14     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Sorry, noob here. Why do the BBs need to "fake sell"? For what purpose?
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khng2012
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03-Oct-2012 17:54     
 
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You know why you are panic? because after you buy and sell, you set your buying price at 42cents instead of 37 or 38cents. Once BB fake sell down to chase away the weak holder, you are the first one to be chased away.

We are calm, because we still hold 37cents. Even BB fake sell down to 40cents, we are still calm as usual and wait for next rally.

Hold tight and don't any how sell. Sell away cheap and potential  stock is very silly action.

khng2012      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 17:45) Posted:



No good to buy and sell, then buy and sell again. Ya lah, profit taking is good but also high chance to miss the rally. If price too expensive, you won't dare to go in. Then you will miss the whole rally and regret.

As per past 2 year  chart, technically the only resistance is at 43cents. The share price drop  2 years ago  since the  high speed train crash and  corruption. Now all case are closed and new transport ministers are selected, railway project are included in Infrastructure stimulation plan.

All those blur blur one never on board, it is their business. you are on board, you jump ship, you are going to regret in next 2 year in your life.

Technically, Midas has touched  2 times at 43cents (same as Ausgroup), I guarantee you, this is 3rd time, surely break the 43cents resistance. It will chiong all the way up without any resistance till 50 to 60cents and find a support there, after that continue chiong till 70cents and stay there for long. If high speed train project is recovered and add in to Midas order book, 1 dollars is possible.

Don't make yourself regret.

http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=5EN.SI#symbol=5en.si range=2y compare= indicator=volume charttype=area crosshair=on ohlcvalues=0 logscale=off source=undefined

gavinl      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 17:27) Posted:



Thanks for reminding.

Starve oso dun sell. Lol.


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khng2012
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03-Oct-2012 17:49     
 
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I thought I write before

3 month target achieve liao, which is about 40+cents

6 month target 70cents

9month target 1 dollar.

yabbest      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 17:39) Posted:



Khng2012

Friend what yr TP for Midas? Honestly my anyhow TP is 0.65 oso same as ausgroup haha

currently ausgroup still my biggest hold..but when it rch 0.60, i will take and whack more on midas

tmr both shld be quiet man ...ya man dont sell midas have not even really chiong yet lor

 
khng2012 
Senior		Posted: 03-Oct-2012 17:17
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Ausgroup rally will be faster to make me rich than Midas. Midas still has long journey. The floating share of Midas is about 3 times of Ausgroup. It means BBs has to spend 3 times effort and 3 times times to slowly build up confidence and push it higher. 

Still at accummulation stage and very cheap to hold. Bro, don't any how sell. The next rally will be huge and you may be not  be so lucky to collect it back. You may have to pay more to buy back. We will not see 40cents soon. 

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khng2012
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03-Oct-2012 17:45     
 
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No good to buy and sell, then buy and sell again. Ya lah, profit taking is good but also high chance to miss the rally. If price too expensive, you won't dare to go in. Then you will miss the whole rally and regret.

As per past 2 year  chart, technically the only resistance is at 43cents. The share price drop  2 years ago  since the  high speed train crash and  corruption. Now all case are closed and new transport ministers are selected, railway project are included in Infrastructure stimulation plan.

All those blur blur one never on board, it is their business. you are on board, you jump ship, you are going to regret in next 2 year in your life.

Technically, Midas has touched  2 times at 43cents (same as Ausgroup), I guarantee you, this is 3rd time, surely break the 43cents resistance. It will chiong all the way up without any resistance till 50 to 60cents and find a support there, after that continue chiong till 70cents and stay there for long. If high speed train project is recovered and add in to Midas order book, 1 dollars is possible.

Don't make yourself regret.

http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=5EN.SI#symbol=5en.si range=2y compare= indicator=volume charttype=area crosshair=on ohlcvalues=0 logscale=off source=undefined

gavinl      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 17:27) Posted:



Thanks for reminding.

Starve oso dun sell. Lol.


khng2012      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 17:17) Posted:



Ausgroup rally will be faster to make me rich than Midas. Midas still has long journey. The floating share of Midas is about 3 times of Ausgroup. It means BBs has to spend 3 times effort and 3 times times to slowly build up confidence and push it higher.

Still at accummulation stage and very cheap to hold. Bro, don't any how sell. The next rally will be huge and you may be not  be so lucky to collect it back. You may have to pay more to buy back. We will not see 40cents soon.
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yabbest
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03-Oct-2012 17:45     
 
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friend sorry u drive cab right? will starve meh? i still think go take cab licence lor

 
gavinl 
Elite		Posted: 03-Oct-2012 17:27
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Thanks for reminding.

Starve oso dun sell. Lol. 

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yabbest
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03-Oct-2012 17:39     
 
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Khng2012

Friend what yr TP for Midas? Honestly my anyhow TP is 0.65 oso same as ausgroup haha

currently ausgroup still my biggest hold..but when it rch 0.60, i will take and whack more on midas

tmr both shld be quiet man ...ya man dont sell midas have not even really chiong yet lor

 
khng2012 
Senior		Posted: 03-Oct-2012 17:17
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Ausgroup rally will be faster to make me rich than Midas. Midas still has long journey. The floating share of Midas is about 3 times of Ausgroup. It means BBs has to spend 3 times effort and 3 times times to slowly build up confidence and push it higher. 

Still at accummulation stage and very cheap to hold. Bro, don't any how sell. The next rally will be huge and you may be not  be so lucky to collect it back. You may have to pay more to buy back. We will not see 40cents soon. 
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gavinl
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03-Oct-2012 17:27     
 
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Thanks for reminding.

Starve oso dun sell. Lol.


khng2012      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 17:17) Posted:



Ausgroup rally will be faster to make me rich than Midas. Midas still has long journey. The floating share of Midas is about 3 times of Ausgroup. It means BBs has to spend 3 times effort and 3 times times to slowly build up confidence and push it higher.

Still at accummulation stage and very cheap to hold. Bro, don't any how sell. The next rally will be huge and you may be not  be so lucky to collect it back. You may have to pay more to buy back. We will not see 40cents soon.

gavinl      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 17:06) Posted:



If break 0.43,next resistance is 0.45.

Then stay there for a while till china annouce stimulus or company release new contracts news.

Then u will be a very happy and rich man.
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khng2012
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03-Oct-2012 17:17     
 
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Ausgroup rally will be faster to make me rich than Midas. Midas still has long journey. The floating share of Midas is about 3 times of Ausgroup. It means BBs has to spend 3 times effort and 3 times times to slowly build up confidence and push it higher.

Still at accummulation stage and very cheap to hold. Bro, don't any how sell. The next rally will be huge and you may be not  be so lucky to collect it back. You may have to pay more to buy back. We will not see 40cents soon.

gavinl      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 17:06) Posted:



If break 0.43,next resistance is 0.45.

Then stay there for a while till china annouce stimulus or company release new contracts news.

Then u will be a very happy and rich man.


khng2012      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 17:00) Posted:

Don't worry be happy...

Just now BB test the selling at 41.5 to 42 cents. Now 43 cents, will break 43 cent resistance in 3 day time, next resistance will be found above 44 cents level
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gavinl
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03-Oct-2012 17:06     
 
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If break 0.43,next resistance is 0.45.

Then stay there for a while till china annouce stimulus or company release new contracts news.

Then u will be a very happy and rich man.


khng2012      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 17:00) Posted:

Don't worry be happy...

Just now BB test the selling at 41.5 to 42 cents. Now 43 cents, will break 43 cent resistance in 3 day time, next resistance will be found above 44 cents level.

gavinl      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 16:53) Posted:



Ha ha ha,0.43 already.

Go go go Midas.


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khng2012
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03-Oct-2012 17:00     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Don't worry be happy...

Just now BB test the selling at 41.5 to 42 cents. Now 43 cents, will break 43 cent resistance in 3 day time, next resistance will be found above 44 cents level.

gavinl      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 16:53) Posted:



Ha ha ha,0.43 already.

Go go go Midas.

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gavinl
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03-Oct-2012 16:53     
 
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Ha ha ha,0.43 already.

Go go go Midas.
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rutheone1905
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03-Oct-2012 16:47     
 
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can tell if u flick it over.

but those sold in mkt r meant to be big so the producers use homones or some technics to make all male so they grow big size.

i need females fast otherwise my full pond of males gonna........heeeee 

dingbat      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 13:04) Posted:



lol. Sidetracking here but how can you tell the gender of the tilapia, by the marking , colour or shape?

Some fish can be hemaphrodites as well so you can't find any egg sacs  in those sold at the mkts.

rutheone1905      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 12:13) Posted:



u r like 老 顽 童 。 。 。 。 。 u r rite mkt unpredictable.  

sigh me also long little short little to earn kopi lui.

last week my pond done up with water n some tilapia from Seng shong.   then my son told me those tilapia r all male one, they r called super males meant for selling in mkt.

aiyo i bought so many males!!!!   %^& & ($^@%!#@

so now instead of deep sea fishing i go long kang fish for females sigh damn hot....... 
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khng2012
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03-Oct-2012 15:55     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Sleeping giant....
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gavinl
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03-Oct-2012 15:53     
 
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Yup.Still holding.

Part CFD and part cash.

Midas strong ba,from 0.415 an hour ago to 0.425 now.

The most drive more hours taxi loh.


stockmarketmind      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 14:32) Posted:

still holding?

gavinl      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 13:27) Posted:



My big mistake to clear my 0.38 at 0.42 and 0.425  earlier.

Then bought back at higher price at average 0.413.

My broker must be laughing at me.
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Sgshares
Elite
03-Oct-2012 15:52     
 
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 Alert Admin 		No explanation? What made u decide to buy at $0.43 & sell @ $0.435 for 150 lots?

Sgshares      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 12:13) Posted:

Can u explain why buy @ $0.43?

stockmarketmind      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 10:53) Posted:



Thank you. Forgot to post my previous link with trade records.

http://stockmarketmindgames.blogspot.sg/2012/10/sti-big-move.html 
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stockmarketmind
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03-Oct-2012 14:32     
 
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 Alert Admin 		still holding?

gavinl      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 13:27) Posted:



My big mistake to clear my 0.38 at 0.42 and 0.425  earlier.

Then bought back at higher price at average 0.413.

My broker must be laughing at me.


khng2012      ( Date: 03-Oct-2012 13:10) Posted:



I also hold Midas but at 37cents. Whoever scare and sell your Midas share today are  not wise. Look at the volume and price. 42cents with 2000+lots transacted. What this tell you? selling is dry, breakout 43cents soon.

Shall load more...

 


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yabbest
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03-Oct-2012 14:07     
 
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bro, i was like that before, yr broker shld be happy, its pple like us gv them $ comm...hahaha

no right no wrong as mrkt so volatile unlike donkey yrs back

waitg to load more

 
gavinl 
Elite		Posted: 03-Oct-2012 13:27
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My big mistake to clear my 0.38 at 0.42 and 0.425  earlier.

Then bought back at higher price at average 0.413.

My broker must be laughing at me.
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