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Nikkei Outlook
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guoyanyunyan
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30-May-2013 09:01
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Nikkei Tua Lao On Weaker Wall St, DollarTOKYO (NQN)--Tokyo stocks opened lower Thursday, with the Nikkei Stock Average dropping 253 points to 14,072 at the open before extending its losses more than 400 points. It is the first time in two trading days for the benchmark index to fall below 14,000. The overnight slide in the Dow Jones industrial average and the dollar's depreciation to the upper-100 yen level prompted selling of blue-chip exporters, including automakers. The June contract for Nikkei Stock Average futures stood at 13,985 Wednesday in Chicago, slipping below the psychologically important 14,000 line, encouraging selling of Nikkei index futures. The fall in futures is triggering selling of cash stocks, including Fast Retailing Co. , a Nikkei component that has a big influence on the benchmark index. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
29-May-2013 15:16
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Nikkei Ends Tad Higher In Choppy TradeTOKYO (NQN)--Tokyo stocks closed slightly higher Wednesday after swinging in a 270 point range, with the Nikkei Stock Average rising 14.48 points to end the day at 14,326.46. Overnight gains in U.S. stocks helped push the dollar briefly to the mid-102 yen range, sparking buying of blue chip issues in Tokyo. But momentum faltered midmorning and the benchmark index fell into the red. In the afternoon stocks again rallied, only to give up nearly all their grains late in the session as the yen rebounded against the greenback, resulting in another volatile day. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
29-May-2013 12:01
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Kuroda Says Global Econ Hasn't Yet Completely Shaken Off Effects Of Financial CrisisTOKYO--Bank of Japan Gov. Haruhiko Kuroda said Wednesday that the global economy has yet to shake off completely the effects of the global financial crisis about five years ago, warning that no financial system is immune to a possible crisis in the future. " Even if we could establish a global financial system that is robust at this time, such a system is unlikely to last forever, given that a financial crisis beyond our imagination may occur in the future," Mr. Kuroda said at the opening of an international conference at the central bank's headquarters in Tokyo. Mr. Kuroda said building a new global financial system is " no easy task," citing the so-called trilemma of international finance that no economy can simultaneously achieve the three goals of capital mobility, financial stability and financial policy. Mr. Kuroda said, however, that " I am convinced the great challenges posed by the crisis will give us new insights and help us create a new and better world" . About 50 academics, officials and economists from overseas central banks and international organizations are attending the conference, titled " Financial Crises and the Global Financial System." |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
28-May-2013 20:32
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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World Stocks Gain as Nikkei ReboundsInvestors seeking bargains helped push world stocks higher on Tuesday, particularly in Japan, where trading has been hugely volatile since last week amid concerns over the success of the country's stimulus program.The Nikkei has been dictating market sentiment since Thursday, when it plummeted more than 7% after interest rates on the country's benchmark 10-year bond spiked to above 1% for the first time in a year. The swing in Japanese bonds unnerved investors at a time when Japan's already overburdened government finances are vulnerable to rises in interest rates.The Nikkei 225 index rose 1.2%  to close at 14,311.98 as the yen slipped against the dollar the benchmark fell 3%  on Tuesday. Overall, however, the index has soared 37%  this year, a show of investor support for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and his aggressive policies aimed at reversing years of economic malaise and deflation.The recovery helped European stocks rise   ...more... |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
28-May-2013 20:18
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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BOJ Won't Conduct Policy Rigidly For 2% Price Target: PolicymakerTOKYO (Kyodo)--A Bank of Japan policymaker said Tuesday the central bank will not conduct monetary policy " rigidly" to achieve its 2% inflation target " at any cost" as the goal should be accompanied with a sustained economic recovery. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
28-May-2013 17:04
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Nikkei Ends Higher On Buying Of Blue Chips, FuturesTOKYO (NQN)--Tokyo stocks rebounded Tuesday, with the Nikkei Stock Average climbing 169.33 points, or 1.2%, to end the day at 14,311.98. The benchmark index followed the recent downtrend in the morning, opening below 14,000. However, the index quickly recovered. As market volatility gradually subsided, overseas investors who have remained confident that Japanese stocks will rise and retail investors began buying stocks on dips. In the afternoon, the Nikkei average widened its gains to more than 250 points, supported by intermittent buying of stock index futures and blue chips. Toyota Motor Corp. attracted buyers, briefly jumping 6%. The trading value on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange totaled about 3.17 trillion yen on a preliminary basis.   |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
28-May-2013 12:56
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Amari Says Stocks In Adjustment Phase From Recent Sharp GainsTOKYO--Japan's economy minister said Tuesday that the nation's stock market is in an adjustment phase, adding that it should stabilize soon as other equity markets are calming down. " We have been experiencing some turbulence, but there will no problem continuing our journey and we should leave this area of turbulence soon," Akira Amari 甘 利 明 said, using a colorful flight attendant metaphor. The Nikkei Stock Average was up 0.2% at 14,166 at 0142 GMT, after falling 3.2% on Monday. Last Thursday it shed 7%, its worst fall since the aftermath of the March 2011 disasters. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
28-May-2013 10:59
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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China Hikes Japan Debt Holdings, Remains No. 1 Foreign OwnerTOKYO--China raised its Japanese debt holdings by 14% from a year earlier to Y20 trillion as of the end of 2012, maintaining its position as the biggest foreign holder of Japanese bonds, Bank of Japan data showed Tuesday. Beijing increased its holdings despite improved risk-taking sentiment in 2012 that reduced demand for safe haven assets such as Japanese government debt, as concerns subsided over the European sovereign debt crisis and a global economic slowdown. By contrast, the U.S. cut its holdings of Japanese debt by 15% to Y8.6 trillion from Y10 trillion, while the U.K. trimmed its amount by 23% to Y8.9 trillion from Y11 trillion. Besides improved risk sentiment, another factor prompting some foreign investors to shed Japanese debt was the weakening yen, which could cause valuation losses for Japanese debt holders. Expectations for a change of economic policy under a new administration helped weaken the Japanese currency toward the end of the year. The debt holdings include Japanese government bonds as well as local government bonds and corporate bonds. The BOJ doesn't offer breakdowns of the holdings. Foreign ownership of Japanese government debt is relatively small since domestic investors hold more than 90% of it. The balance of short- and long-term Japanese government debt held by foreign investors stood at Y84 trillion at the end of December, accounting for 8.7% of the total Y960 trillion in outstanding debt. That was down from a record 9.1% of the total at the end of September. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
28-May-2013 08:37
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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...open negative this morning, now positive ....later ....?... ...Nikkei: 14,196.31    +53.66..... |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
27-May-2013 11:31
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Nikkei Widens Losses On Margin CallsTOKYO (NQN)--Tokyo stocks were widening their losses midway through the morning session Monday, with the Nikkei Stock Average tumbling nearly 580 points to move around 14,000. An official at an online brokerage said investors are selling stocks to procure cash in response to margin calls issued Friday in response to the market plunge. The yen's appreciation is spurring selling of stock index futures, and selling to unwind arbitrage positions continues to weigh on blue chips. About 95% of all issues listed on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange were trading lower. ...Nikkei: 14,157.34    -455.11.....   |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
27-May-2013 09:28
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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No Sign Of Excessively Bullish Expectations In Asset Markets: KurodaTOKYO (Kyodo)--Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda expressed a view Sunday that current movements in asset markets do not reflect " excessively bullish expectations" after the central bank introduced aggressive monetary easing measures in April to fight deflation. ...Nikkei: 14,277.37    -335.08..... |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
27-May-2013 08:34
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Nikkei Opens Sharply Lower On Fall In Nikkei FuturesTOKYO (NQN)--Tokyo stocks were tumbling Monday morning, with the Nikkei Stock Average falling 238 points to begin the day at 14,373 before widening its losses to 390 points to trade around 14,220. The dollar weakened to the upper-100 yen level, pushing the June contract for Nikkei futures below 14,200 in Singapore before the bell in Tokyo. This prompted aggressive selling of cash stocks in Tokyo.   |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
27-May-2013 08:29
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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    ...Nikkei: 14,155.20    -424.25 (-2.90%) How Traders Are Playing Turbulent Japan Markets                      By: Brian Stutland As Japan finishes a tough week, options traders are loading on the bearish bets. One of the most actively traded equity options on Friday are the Japan Index ETF September 13-strike calls. These are being sold aggressively for $0.13, with more than 32,000 trading as of 12 p.m. EDT. The iShares MSCI Japan Index ETF (ticker symbol: EWJ) tracks the Japanese stock market, which has experienced unprecedented volatility this week, and this is a somewhat bearish bet that the EWJ will stay below $12.87 through September expiration. At its highs on Wednesday, the EWJ was up 24 percent year-to-date, in a rally driven by the Bank of Japan's massive stimulus plan. But on Thursday, unexpectedly hawkish comments from Ben Bernanke unsettled some traders. In addition, the Chinese Flash PMI came in lower than expected, and fell into contraction territory. This caused a run for the exits, and Japan's Nikkei closed down 7 percent on the day. On Friday, the volatility continued, with the index initially rallying 4 percent, only to fall 7 percent from its intraday high. A correction was long overdue in Japan, but the speed of the move has nevertheless caused some panicked selling. This appears to be the beginning of a volatile correction in the Japanese markets, but I would expect it to prove to be a fantastic buying opportunity by the end of the summer. The price action appears similar to that in the S& P 500 following the flash crash, which, in retrospect, provided a great buying opportunity in the weeks after. I remain long-term bullish on Japan, because despite this week's comments, the Fed continues to be on hold, and a tapering of QE is far from a sure thing this summer. Likewise, the Bank of Japan and European Central Bank stimulus polices are not going anywhere anytime soon. A weaker yen is already boosting corporate profits in Japan, and a revitalized Japanese economy will continue to drive the Nikkei and the EWJ higher. Because I see the potential for Japanese markets to rip back to new highs this summer, I would not be a call seller here. Instead, if I was worried about a preexisting long EWJ position, I would look at put spreads for an economical way to reduce downside risk. The key is to hedge enough so that you do not feel compelled to join the panic selling that has gripped the market over the past two days. If you can stomach the volatility and stick with the trade, I believe you will be rewarded later in the year. Of course, you might not already be in the trade. I have been waiting for a pullback in the Japanese markets, and my plan now is to throw in a bid below the market and hope I get hit on it. The upside-call selling doesn't necessarily tell me that the panic selling over the last two days will last forever, and although a new high might not be made this summer, I may have time to work a bid somewhere lower that will allow me to get upside exposure after the summer months. |
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