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4Cents divident declared 50% yield!!!
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lawcheemeng
Master |
11-Aug-2009 15:30
Yells: "fly me to the mooon" |
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thks wil keep a look out on that.yah can see BB r accumulating. every time the 9.5cts Q reach a level it is buy off..
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pointer
Senior |
11-Aug-2009 15:23
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cheemeng, BBs will likely to corner the counter then push it to the next phase or price level. Usually, they will have some corporate announcement to support it. As for sell down, this is usually the last stage when the BBs start to unload the counter. Keep a look out for those huge volume -> follow them & things should be fine...:) Its alright to forgo that 1c or 2c run up if u sell early...u already get the majority of it...;) There is a 1000 lots buy up @ 9.5c (12:11pm) today...does it look like it is in accumulation stage? But it doesn't look easy to break 10.0c barrier. |
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clickshop1628
Veteran |
11-Aug-2009 13:38
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Yeah, bad news discounted, share price steady. Wait out the accumulation. Should be good going forward .... | ||||
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victorian2
Senior |
11-Aug-2009 09:34
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accumulation goes on today........ retail fellas will sell at collection price of 9.5c or 9c |
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lawcheemeng
Master |
10-Aug-2009 18:28
Yells: "fly me to the mooon" |
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why corner the share than sell down?
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pointer
Senior |
10-Aug-2009 18:03
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Worry not, the loss was expected already. It was already communicated in the Profit Guidance announcement. Its still in accumulation phase, BBs may not have cornered enough shares to take it to the next phase. So far, there is no major sell down yet...:) |
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lawcheemeng
Master |
09-Aug-2009 13:03
Yells: "fly me to the mooon" |
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wat r the 2 other phase that u mention. do you mind sharing? so more people can hold on to this baby n make some $$$. thks
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victorian2
Senior |
09-Aug-2009 11:26
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well cheemeng, it all depends on your holding power and horizon. For me and some others (not on SJ), we have holding power for this baby. For other stocks, we don't have so much holding power as we trade them a little more than we like but we've been handsomely rewarded before for holding power. One of my best one was singapore Ship 5years ago. steady accumulation of it over 8 months before it doubled in 5mths. Achieva to me is no different from Singapore Ship. It's Month 14 for me for this stock. For us,we've reaped 10c of dividend. Made tradnig profit on some contra positions but made the most from adding postions from 4.5c to10c before ex-div. So now some of us are back into the quiet hunt from day 1 of since 26th June for the 2nd phase of this baby. I've identified 4 phases of this stock so we are now in phase 2. This stock is not for the faint hearted who live for fast action. It's for those who appreciate a slow easy ride that can suddenly turn really violent :)))) |
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lawcheemeng
Master |
09-Aug-2009 11:08
Yells: "fly me to the mooon" |
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wow that real detail, if go below NTA can collect a bit more. thks Vic
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victorian2
Senior |
08-Aug-2009 23:15
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Here's my take on the situation: If one looks back at the events in the last few weeks. it is interesting. 1. Just 1 day before the dividend pay out June 26th, there was a run on the counter with 22m shares done with the price movig up from 7.5c to a intraday high and close of 9.5c. Prior that, ex-div date of 3 June, over 79m shares was traded from price price of 9.5c to a low of 7c and then a run on June 25th to 9.5c One can only conclude there was a lot of trading and accumualation of the stock going on during June 3 to June 26th after Ex-Dividend. 2. From June 27 to 17th July, the stock started to drift form 9.5c back down to 8c with just 2 days of 7.5c lows on 7 and 8th of July and then back to 8.5c on 17th July Volume was extremely during this period. About 19m shares in a tight trading range. 3. 23th July marked the start of hurried accumulation and trading till 7th August. This is where things are very interesting in the choices of dates of announcemnts of profit warning and the early release of the 2rd quarter results. 23 July, 19.9m shares alone was traded with price range of 8.5c to 9.5c closing at 9c. thereafter, the stock traded in a T+4/5 fashion. Classic BB accumulation patterns of pump and dump and reaccumulate within a tight rage of 8.5c to 9.5 and some at 10c. the 2rd quarter results would have been known and finanlised by this period as 2nd quarter ends in June 2009. Profit warning was issued on 30 July: 31July, 10.3m shares was done mostly at 9c. Prior to the profit warning, 21m shares was done between 8.5c to 9.5 with mostly done at 9c in 5 trading days. Before we know it, suddenly on 7th August (Friday), market closes and the 2Q results comes out. In just these5 trading days after the profit warning was issued, an amazing 61m shares was done with huge buy ups at the buyer price in just these 5 trading days. 4. My point: a. Funny concidence??? after dividend...quiet periodand low prices. b. after23th July.......things seem to really start coming alive. c. profit warning on 30 July...still high volume and higher prices d. 5th day clsoing August 7th, early announcement of 2Q results Prediction for next week: Panicky retail /weak holders are going to start selling down the stock from 9.5c to either back to NTA price of 8.5 or 9c or who knows... stillat 9.5c BB is going to have a field day collecting. My only conslusion is that BB has not cornered the stock so no dividend annucned. From my calculations, the remaining retained earnings will allow coy to distribute another max 3-4c so the wait will be another 2 .3mths for 3rd quarter in November but there is good amount of time to continue collecting the stock. There is still alot of shares out inthe market held by significant shareholders so BB have to pay higher to take out htese people. For some of us......I see the results as being overplayed. Coy is clearly still profitbale and cashflow positive barring forex losses on existing money in the bank. there is still 8.5c cash/NTA so any further discount to this price represents good opp to contiue adding position. So call me sick... there is light in this set of results.....I got more time like the BB to add position if the price goes below NTA in the weeks to come. This stock is not for contra players as I keep emphasising. |
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lawcheemeng
Master |
08-Aug-2009 11:08
Yells: "fly me to the mooon" |
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thks Vic for the details.and RO125per let me answer for vic . the 20million given out as D into our pocket.
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ROI25per
Master |
08-Aug-2009 10:01
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victorian any idea why 20m is gone? Cash & Bank Balance from 57.397m to 38.07m, therefore equity from 64.352m to 44.385m I dun see tis 20m go to non current assets;investment
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victorian2
Senior |
08-Aug-2009 09:27
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cheemeng, I hope you are able to read and understand the financial statements in detail. The loss was a result of a translation loss ie forex losses on their holding of US $ in the bank when they converted X amount in June for the dividend payout. When the proceeds came into the company's account in August last year, Sing Dollar was trading US1 to S$ 1.54-55. In June, it was trading at US1 to S$1.44 to 1.45. so they have a loss. In their balance sheet, the US$ holdings would have been pegged at a certain rate then and revalued every quarter hence translatiing into a Sing dollar loss in the Profit and Loss statements. However, on the balance sheet, it does not impact the amount assets other that the forex loss. But if u read deeper into their operating results. Company is operating operations are profitable. That is their core business eventhough has suffered a decline in business (ie revenue), it is still profitable. The other hard evidence is the operating cashflow. It is positive $1.5m. All i can say is the CFO has fallen asleep on the job by not hedging on the US$ or not converting the sale proceeds of the US$ sale of Arrow to Singapore Dollar immediately leading into this one off loss. BUT BUT now going forward, the remaining US$ in the bank is obviously going to be pegged in the balance sheet at the current rates so if the US$ increases in the next 3 months, the coy is going to have a translation gain hence adding to the profit and loss again. So in the short term, Kitty, you are right......it is going to be a crappy stock for many cos many are going to start selling on Tuesday but hell..........who cares, the BB is going to be very happy buying on tuesday onwards. I've never said this stock was a short term contra play. You must have the stamina to hold out for the BIG payout when the corporate story plays its story out.... good luck. At least I know I can continue to buy at NTA price for a good period of time more. |
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kittyhawk
Member |
08-Aug-2009 02:05
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I bought it at $0.09, lucky managed to sell off at $0.10 on Thursday. I think its a crapy stock | ||||
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tea444u
Master |
08-Aug-2009 01:46
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anyone still holding this one? |
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tea444u
Master |
07-Aug-2009 20:00
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oh no...how? | ||||
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stheng
Member |
07-Aug-2009 19:52
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$0.00 dividend |
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lawcheemeng
Master |
07-Aug-2009 18:33
Yells: "fly me to the mooon" |
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Achieva reports a loss for 2qtr. wat a suprise? Vic wats ur view on this. | ||||
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victorian2
Senior |
06-Aug-2009 22:40
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finally got some decent buys at 10c today | ||||
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clickshop1628
Veteran |
06-Aug-2009 07:20
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Ok, for a while, I thought CK Tang going to buy over
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