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belgeran
Veteran |
17-Aug-2011 00:14
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France and Germany to Propose Tax on Financial Transactions: French President Sarkozy (to be updated) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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krisluke
Supreme |
17-Aug-2011 00:11
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Wall St slips as weak German data renews concerns
* Housing starts fall, industrial output rises
  * Home Depot, Wal-Mart rise on upbeat reports   * Fitch affirms U.S. 'AAA' rating with stable outlook   * Indexes off: Dow 0.2 pct, S& P 0.4 pct, Nasdaq 0.7 pct (Updates to late morning, adds quote, changes byline)   By Caroline Valetkevitch   NEW YORK, Aug 16 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Tuesday after three days of gains as weak German growth data renewed concerns about the euro zone debt crisis and the global economy.   The Dow average got some support after two components, Wal-Mart and Home Depot, rose on upbeat quarterly reports.   Worries about the euro zone troubles and a weakening U.S. economy have pushed U.S. stocks into correction territory after the S& P 500's closing high on April 29.   " I think there was still a little hope out there that Germany could remain strong and help prop up the European Union, but now it looks like Germany is going to have think about itself," said Bryant Evans, portfolio manager at Cozad Asset Management in Champaign, Illinois.   Investors awaited comments from a joint news conference with German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy, coming after they met to discuss measures to contain Europe's fiscal crisis. The news conference was set for noon EDT (1600 GMT).   Sluggish growth in Germany hobbled the euro zone economy, raising fears of a longer-term dip that could derail efforts to resolve the bloc's debt crisis.   Helping to limit losses, Fitch affirmed the U.S. credit rating with a stable outlook, in contrast to Standard & Poor's, which downgraded its top-tier credit rating on Aug. 5.   " The greatest concern for investors on sovereign debt issues related to the United States would be higher interest rates, and we're not seeing any of that," said Steve Goldman, market strategist at Weeden & Co in Greenwich, Connecticut.   The Dow Jones industrial average was down 27.70 points, or 0.24 percent, at 11,455.20. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was down 4.90 points, or 0.41 percent, at 1,199.59. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 17.51 points, or 0.69 percent, at 2,537.69.   Financials, seen as vulnerable to a European fiscal crisis, led the day's declines on the broad S& P 500. The S& P financial index was down 0.8 percent.   Stocks rose for the last three sessions, nearly wiping out last week's losses, but the S& P 500 is still down about 5 percent since the start of the year.   Stocks saw a massive selloff on the Monday following the S& P downgrade, with the S& P 500 dropping 6 percent in that session.   Wal-Mart Stores gave the biggest boost to the Dow, rising 3.9 percent to $51.92 after its profit beat expectations.   Home Depot Inc rose 5 percent to $33.01 after its profit came in better than expected, and the home improvement retailer operator raised its earnings forecast for the year.   In the latest U.S. data, industrial output rose at its fastest pace in seven months in July, while July housing starts fell, reflecting a sector continuing to bounce along the bottom. |
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krisluke
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16-Aug-2011 23:12
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Germany and Liechtenstein agree tax deal
BERLIN, Aug 16 (Reuters) - Germany and Liechtenstein have agreed a deal to prevent tax evasion and double taxation, the German finance ministry said on Tuesday.
  The ministry said the deal should be signed this year. The two countries still needed to clarify, in a separate agreement, what would happen with German assets held in the tiny principality that had not been taxed until now.   Germany and Switzerland last week agreed to tax money stashed by German citizens in secret accounts, in a deal that will net Berlin billions of francs.   It remains unclear whether Germany will reach a similar agreement with Liechtenstein. |
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krisluke
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16-Aug-2011 23:05
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Fitch affirms U.S. at AAA, outlook stable
(Adds details, analyst quote, market reaction)
  By Burton Frierson   NEW YORK, Aug 16 (Reuters) - Fitch Ratings said on Tuesday it affirmed the United States' top-notch credit rating at AAA, giving the world's largest economy a reprieve after it was downgraded by Standard & Poor's little more than a week ago.   Fitch said the outlook for the rating was stable.   However, it warned that the United States was falling behind its peers among the AAA-rated nations on fiscal matters and the country had to show tangible results in its efforts to reduce the budget deficit.   It said it would review its fiscal projections at the end of November and medium-term economic outlook by the end of the year.   " The affirmation of the US 'AAA' sovereign rating reflects the fact that the key pillars of US's exceptional creditworthiness remains intact: its pivotal role in the global financial system and the flexible, diversified and wealthy economy that provides its revenue base," Fitch said in its statement.   " Monetary and exchange rate flexibility further enhances the capacity of the economy to absorb and adjust to 'shocks'."   Financial markets showed little reaction to the news, which also coincided with the release of industrial output data.   U.S. government bonds pared some price gains slightly and the dollar edged up to the day's highs against the yen.   However, Fitch warned the outlook for the rating depended on the economy and the ability of the political process in Washington to reduce the public debt.   " S& P had a very specific basis for their concern which was that there was no long-run plan for budget control," said Pierre Ellis, senior economist, Decision Economics, New York.   " Fitch certainly is correct with respect to the breadth of the United States' potential revenue sources...it is putting a little more faith in the common sense of Congress and the Administration with respect to getting the budget situation under control."   Fitch said an upward revision to medium- to long-term projections for public debt either as a result of weaker than expected economic recovery or failure of the joint committee to agree on at least $1.2 trillion in deficit reduction would likely put the United States on negative outlook.   " The rating action would most likely be a revision of the rating Outlook to Negative, which would indicate a greater than 50 percent chance of a downgrade over a two-year horizon. Less likely would be a one-notch downgrade," the statement said. |
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krisluke
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16-Aug-2011 22:58
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Manchester United said to plan $1.2b Singapore initial sale Manchester United soccer club, the record 19-time English soccer champion, is planning a US$1 billion ($1.2 billion) initial public offering in Singapore , said a person familiar with the process.
 
Credit Suisse Group AG is working on the transaction, which may take place this year, said the person, who declined to be identified because the process is private. No final decision has been made. Manchester United declined to comment.
 
The club is examining how to lower financing costs, looking for extra money to expand and acquire more players, a person familiar with the matter said in June. This season, Manchester United won its fourth league title since the Glazer family’s 2005 buyout.
 
The Glazers, who also own the National Football League’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers, bought United for 790 million pounds ($1.56 billion) in a leveraged buyout. Forbes magazine estimates the team is now worth US$1.8 billion.
 
Dow Jones reported the story earlier today. A London-based spokeswoman for Credit Suisse didn’t immediately return a call seeking comment.
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krisluke
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16-Aug-2011 22:45
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* Late selling spree after German data adds to global fears * Export-dependant markets hit most S'pore falls 1.5 pct * Investors cash in quick gains in big-caps, banks By Viparat Jantraprap BANGKOK, Aug 16 (Reuters) - Major Southeast Asian stock markets retreated on Tuesday, giving up early gains as stagnant growth in European powerhouse Germany triggered risk aversion and prompted late selling in regional big-caps and financial stocks. Risk appetite appeared to be fading quickly as investors were less optimistic about regional growth on concerns about possible negative spillover of slack demand from the United States and Europe, which are plagued by public debt crises. Weaker confidence hit more export-dependant markets, with late selling pulling stocks in Singapore < .FTSTI> 1.5 percent lower, with smaller losses for Indonesia < .JKSE> , Thailand < .SETI> and Malaysia < .KLSE> . Brokers are more optimistic on markets relying on domestic demand, with expectations that near-term fund outflows may have bottomed out, given strong fund outflows from developed markets of the past week. Data from fund tracker EPFR for the week ending Aug. 10 showed net outflows for developed markets of $19.4 billion, with emerging markets seeing net outflows of $7.4 billion, while emerging Asia net outflows stood at $4.9 billion. CIMB Securities has 'overweight' for Indonesia and Thailand, citing more resilient domestic demand and earnings outlook, albeit with caution about Eurozone risk. " I think the risk remains on euro debt and the banking sector. The soft growth patch and euro concerns could continue to impinge on market sentiment near term," said regional strategist Chang Chiou Yi. Asian shares erased some early gains after data showed Germany's economy hardly grew in the second quarter, adding to global uncertainties ahead of French-German talks on the euro zone's worsening debt crisis. By 1008 GMT, the MSCI index of Asia outside Japan < .MIAPJ0000PUS> was up 0.32 percent. Singapore's cyclical stocks, which normally fall rapidly when growth slows down, erased early gains to fall, with oil rig maker Keppel Corp In Bangkok, investors looked for outperforming firms as the new Thai government pushed ahead with its pro-growth economic policy, with retailer Home Product Center |
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JUNWEI9756
Supreme |
16-Aug-2011 15:27
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Failure to close above 2850 is a sign of weakness. Careful. Good luck. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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bishan22
Elite |
16-Aug-2011 15:26
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Red tide sighted in Europe.......  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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bishan22
Elite |
16-Aug-2011 14:15
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Summertime is over again for hsi and sti. Good luck all.  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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louis001
Master |
16-Aug-2011 12:39
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(Reuters) 15/8- Warren Buffett has touched a national nerve. The 80-year-old " Oracle of Omaha," one of the world's three richest men, has taken to the pages of the New York Times to call for higher taxes -- yes, higher taxes -- for himself and his well-off peers. " My friends and I have been coddled long enough by a billionaire-friendly Congress. It's time for our government to get serious about shared sacrifice," he said. Buffett calling for a higher tax burden for the wealthy is nothing new last November, in a lengthy sit-down interview with ABC News, he insisted that the wealthy " have it better than we've ever had it" and that they had an obligation to pay substantially more tax. However, the timing of his latest appeal made people take notice. Washington lawmakers are fighting about how to reduce the nation's budget deficit and curb its massive debt burden, and the question of " added revenue" -- code for higher taxes -- looms larger than any other. Republicans have fiercely resisted any attempts by President Barack Obama and Democrats in Congress to make higher taxes for the wealthy part of any budget plan, insisting instead on all the deficit-curbing measures be made through spending cuts. |
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krisluke
Supreme |
15-Aug-2011 22:54
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  15 August 2011 ~ ~ ~ MACQUARIE SINGAPORE WARRANT DAILY TRADER Last week's market volatility helped some hotshot contestants to reap handsome profits. One of the weekly winners, Mr. Tan Gan Hong from NUS, placed all of his credits into buying on HSI put warrant OB8W. As the Hang Seng Index fell 6.3% week-on-week, the OB8W warrant almost doubled its price to $0.58, rising 96.6% within the week. Contestants with the highest weekly gains will each receive $420 cash prize from Macquarie.   Can Italians do the job? Last Friday, Italy’s cabinet approved a Eur 45.5 bn austerity budget after ECB’s move to buy its bonds earlier in the week. The plan which includes tax increases and spending cuts is well received by the German Chancellor Angela Merkel and ECB head Jean-Claude Trichet. Next Friday, Bernanke will be speaking again at the Fed's annual meeting in Jackson Hole, the place where he first announced the QE2 last year. Could this be the start of QE3? Quick glance of corporate earnings The following are some of the companies which reported earnings after Friday's market hours: STX OSV                      2Q11 net profit NOK 274mn, -21% year-on-year Genting SG              2Q11 net profit SG$ 243mn, -39% year-on-year UOB                                    2Q11 net profit SG$636mn, +5.6% year-on-year NOL                                    2Q11 net loss SG$ 57mn compared to net profit SG$ 100mn last year
  Macro announcements this week Mon 15 Aug: SG Retail Sales (Jun) Tue 16 Aug: PRC Leading Economic Index (Jun), US Housing Starts (Jul), US Building Permits (Jul) Wed 17 Aug: SG Non-oil Domestic Exports (Jul), US PPI (Jul) Thu 18 Aug: US CPI (Jul), US Initial Jobless Claims, US Leading Indicators (Jul), US Existing Home Sales (Jul) Fri 19 Aug: US Advance Retail Sales (Jul), US U. of Michigan Confidence |
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krisluke
Supreme |
15-Aug-2011 22:47
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Oil jumps more than $1 as risk aversion eases
* Weaker dollar, stronger equities support commodity gains
  * Concern over faltering U.S., European economic growth   * Investors awaiting detail on euro zone debt talks   * Coming Up: Euro zone Q2 GDP on Tuesday at 0900 GMT (Updates detail, prices)   By Christopher Johnson   LONDON, Aug 15 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose more than $1 per barrel on Monday as economic data helped ease concerns over a looming recession despite worries over the euro zone debt crisis and outlook for global growth.   Stock markets rallied and safe-haven assets such as gold, the dollar and the Swiss franc all fell after last's week's wild swings.   But analysts were cautious over the state of global oil demand and awaited first indications from the euro zone on second-quarter economic growth due on Tuesday at 0900 GMT.   Euro zone industrial output posted a surprise decline in June, boding poorly for second-quarter gross domestic product, which is forecast to have expanded by just 0.3 percent compared with the first quarter.   German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy will meet in Paris on Tuesday to hammer out a solution to the debt crisis which threatens to engulf the economies of Italy and Spain and has heightened strains in money markets to levels not seen during the 2008 crisis.   North Sea Brent crude oil futures < LCOc1> for September rose $1.32 to $109.35 by 1403 GMT, after dipping earlier to $107.40. U.S. crude < CLc1> was up $1.69 at $87.07 a barrel.   Both crude oil benchmarks recorded their third straight weekly loss in volatile trading last week, as a downgrade of U.S. credit worthiness by ratings agency Standard & Poor's and fears that France might suffer the same fate sparked selling.   " It is much too early to call this a bottom to the market," said Eugen Weinberg, head of commodities research at Commerzbank in Frankfurt.   " But losses have been so substantial, even with the recovery last week, that I wouldn't be surprised if we saw some recovery in the short-term. It will be very difficult to surprise the market to the downside," Weinberg added.   While weak data out of the United States or Europe this week could send markets down again, the bar for disappointment has been set higher after last week's turmoil.   Ben Westmore, commodities analyst at National Australia Bank, said a lot of bad news had already been priced in and there was some expectation weakness would not be sustained:   " At these levels, oil looks cheap and we could see some buying activity," Westmore said.   Investors were heartened by several sets of data suggesting the developed economies may not be slowing as much as feared.   U.S. retail sales on Friday posted their biggest gains in three months in July, although this was partly overshadowed by a slump in consumer confidence.   The Japanese economy shrank much less than expected in the second quarter as companies made strides in restoring output after the earthquake in March.     RECESSION WORRIES   In the longer-term, economists worry that as a U.S. economic rebound stalls and threatens to spiral into recession, oil demand in the world's top consumer may be slipping into an irreversible decline.       Brent is expected to retrace to $104.43 per barrel as the rebound that started from the Aug. 9 low of $98.74 is ending, while U.S. crude could fall back to $81 per barrel as it faces a strong resistance at $86.79 per barrel, Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao said.   Renewed fears of further supply disruptions in the oil-producing region of North Africa and the Middle-East also supported prices.   Muammar Gaddafi urged Libyans on Monday to free the country from " NATO and traitors" , as rebels in the west began to strangle a major lifeline to his capital.   In Syria, government forces shelled residential districts in Latakia, residents said, the third day of an assault on Sunni neighbourhoods of the port city which had seen mounting protests against President Bashar al-Assad's rule. (Additional reporting by Francis Kan in Singapore editing by Anthony Barker) |
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krisluke
Supreme |
15-Aug-2011 22:46
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US stocks rebound for a 3rd day oil up too
* Wall St. up, bucking weak New York manufacturing index
  * Bargain hunting aids rebound after supportive Japan GDP   * Google bid for Motorola Mobility adds to investor fervor   * Oil prices up nearly 2 pct as risk appetite widens (Recasts and updates throughout with Wall Street's open changes dateline, previously LONDON)   By Barani Krishnan   NEW YORK, Aug 15 (Reuters) - Wall Street opened higher on Monday, defying an unexpected drop in New York state's key manufacturing index, as investors made a beeline for assets cheapened by last week's rout, including commodities.   World stocks climbed further out of their August hole, after Japan's economy shrank less than anticipated in the second quarter after companies made strides in restoring output following a devastating earthquake and tsunami.   " The Japanese news, while not overly encouraging, was another datapoint showing things are not nearly as bad as the selloff seemed to suggest," said Rick Meckler, president of investment firm LibertyView Capital Management in New York.   " This is an extremely jittery market, just looking to avoid significant bad news," he said. " I would expect there to be less volatility than we saw last week."   U.S. stocks opened higher with the Dow Jones industrial average < .DJI> up 108.53 points, or 0.96 percent, at 11,377.55. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index < .SPX> was up 10.77 points, or 0.91 percent, at 1,189.58. The Nasdaq Composite Index < .IXIC> was up 17.36 points, or 0.69 percent, at 2,525.34.   The S& P 500 hit near a one-year low last week as markets tumbled initially on the first-ever U.S. credit ratings downgrade and fears that Europe's debt woes may get out of hand, before rebounding with almost equal force on the notion the selloff was overdone.   Monday's rebound was fueled partly by news that Google Inc < GOOG.O> had offered to buy Motorola Mobility Holdings Inc < MMI.N> for about $12.5 billion in cash. Google was down almost 2 percent while Motorola Mobility jumped nearly 60 percent. [ID:nN16266170]   MSCI's all-country world stock index < .MIWD00000PUS> , a broad measure of global equity health, was up 1.5 percent, ratcheting up a 7 percent gain since hitting an 11-month low on Thursday. European stocks < .MSCIEF> rose 2 percent.   In the United States, a gauge of manufacturing in New York State showed the sector contracted for the third month in a row in August as new orders fell to their lowest level since November 2010, the New York Federal Reserve said in a report.   Separate data from the U.S. Treasury Department showed foreigners unloaded U.S. assets in June for a second straight month and were net sellers of Treasury securities for the first time in more than two years as concern about a U.S. credit downgrade soured overseas demand. [ID:nN1E77E0BT]   Among commodities, U.S. crude oil rose up to 2 percent, touching a session peak of nearly $87 per barrel, after trailing equity markets higher.   The dollar's drop against the euro < EUR=EBS> , to a one week low of $1.42550, lent further support to commodities.   On the euro zone crisis front, Italian economy minister Giulio Tremonti's call for common euro zone debt issuance was rejected by German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble, who said such euro bonds would undermine the basis for the single currency by weakening fiscal discipline among member states. [ID:nL6E7JD02L]   German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy are due to meet in Paris on Tuesday to discuss the crisis. Germany said not to expect any breakthrough agreement France said euro bonds were not on the agenda.   U.S. and core euro zone debt yields were flat. |
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krisluke
Supreme |
14-Aug-2011 23:31
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Nouriel Roubini : 2013 The year of The Perfect StormNouriel Roubini : My prediction for the perfect storm is not this year or next year but 2013 , because everybody is kicking the can down the road , we going to have a problem in the US after the election if we do not resolve our fiscal problem ,
China is overheating and at fix investment of 60 percent of GDP eventually it going to get a hard landing ,
The Europeans are pushing their problems but Greece Ireland Portugal need to restructure their debt they are insolvent that's going to be on 2013 ,
Japan is going to shorten its stimulus it is going to slack again in a year from now ,
so I see every country in the world trying to push their problems to the future , we started with private debt public debt super national debt we are kicking the can down the road and eventually all this is going to come to a an end in 2013 - in CNBC
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krisluke
Supreme |
14-Aug-2011 23:28
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Nouriel Roubini on the S& P debt downgrade and its implications on the marketNouriel Roubini : they (the S& amp P) went ahed now for a number of reasons first of all they downgraded a bunch of european countries and the Europeans were bashing the rating agencies ' why are you downgrading us and not downgrading the United States ? ' then they cornered themselves at the time of the debt ceiling debate by saying that unless there is a 4 trillion dollar deficit reduction we are going to downgrade you while the others were saying may be not an at this point given the market volatility in the last couple of days they can downgrade right now and if there is going to be a turmoil in the markets on Monday they could say ' hey it is not our fault it is may be because there is market volatility ' the reality is that they contributed to the crisis that caused them to then leading them to downgrade , there is no fundamental reason at this point compared to a few months ago for a downgrade the thing that has changed right now may be is a greater risk of deep recession and that's the only fundamental difference ....
Roubini : The probability of a Double Dip recession is at least 50 percentNouriel Roubini : The probability of a Double Dip recession in my view is now at least 50 percent not just in the United States but also in most of the periphery of the Eurozone , there was too much debt in the private sector now there is too much debt in the public sector , the economic growth has now become so weak that most of there economies are now at stall speed
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krisluke
Supreme |
14-Aug-2011 23:08
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Quality of China’s exports to EU improvedQuality of China’s exports to EU improved in 1-H The quality of the products China exported to the European Union (EU) improved during 1-H of this year due to strict quality control measures, according to quality control authorities. The number of quality complaints made by the EU regarding Chinese imports declined by 45% in 1-H of Y 2011, according to the General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine (AQSIQ). The administration attributed the improved quality to its nationwide crackdown on counterfeited and substandard products. The administration launched a nationwide quality checkup in the first half of this year. Of the 4,815 batches of products that the quality control authorities checked between January and June, just 9.4% failed quality tests, 1.7 percentage points lower than that of the same period of last year, according to the administration. A total of 218,000 counterfeiting cases have been investigated so far this year, involving goods worth a total of 9.5-B Yuan (US$1.49-B), the administration said. |
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krisluke
Supreme |
14-Aug-2011 23:07
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Americans Against Obama ReformsConfidence in Barack Obama’s leadership falls The bad headline news, the wild market fluctuations, fear of a another recession, continuing high unemployment, and fallout from the debt Opera deal, has shaken confidence in President Barack Obama’s leadership, and now clouds his chances for winning re-election in Y 2012. Mr. Obama is seeking a 2nd term in office in an election that is a long ways off in November 2012, but a weak economy plus the rising perception of political dysfunction in Washington complicates his political fortunes. The political operatic spectacle that preceded a bi-partisan deal this month to raise the US government debt ceiling, and the subsequent down grading of America’s credit rating by S& P have brought on stories in the media about America’s decline as a World power under Mr. Obama. Opinion polls now show that Mr. Obama’s job approval ratings are headed Southward, as members of the Democratic Party whisper in the halls of Congress about his lack of leadership, and fault his willingness to make concessions to the opposition in Congress. A Reuters/Ipsos poll Wednesday found that 73% of Americans believe the country is off on the wrong track. This was the highest reading since October 2008 when the financial crisis was full on and just weeks before voters turned away from the Republican Party of former President George W. Bush to put Mr. Obama in the White House. In terms of pubic opinion Mr. Obama now has got a long, hard row to hoe IMO, as ultimately the Presidential election is a referendum on performance, he is failing and the voters are faulting his lack of leadership, some folks are saying Obama does not get it… Mr. Obama also faces the continuing criticism daily from the field Republicans seeking their party’s presidential nomination to face him in the Y 2012 general election. The field grew this week with Texas Governor Rick Perry, seen as a potential tough challenger, announced he is joining the race Saturday. There were huge swings in the World’s stock markets last week. The DJIA moved hundreds of points in either direction on concern over the economy, the debt crisis in Europe and the US credit downgrade. Something in the US has snapped in people’s minds and it is the sound of confidence in Mr. Obama’s leadership cracking. The US President has so far failed to produce a coherent explanation about where the US is, and what it really must to do, and Americans do not understand that their President is casting about without a rudder. Mr. Obama has promised to deliver a steady stream of good ideas to lift hiring, and will head out on a 3-day bus tour of the Midwest Monday to talk about his vision, but so far he has only renewed calls for action on the measures that he has talked about for months, including the extension of a payroll tax cut and unemployment aid, that’s not action, and the American voters know it. They want action not a PR trip to shake hands and raise money in the Heartland. Americans are worried by the recent unrest reminiscent of the Y 2008 financial crisis, with stock prices down by over 10% from last month on concern about another recession in the USA. Christina Romer, a former top Obama economic advisor, said the risk of a recession has increased and urged the President to think big about a program that could create the hundreds of thousands of jobs that she says the economy needs. “He has a unique opportunity now to really make the case to the American people. Congress is home and it is a chance for him to try to build consensus around a bold alternative,” said Ms. Romer, a professor of economics at the University of California, Berkeley. The Congress is on Summer recess, and the President is not about to call them back into session. What America needs structural reform along with the stimulus, thus making Strong long-term improvements in the Nation’s fiscal position that will deliver powerful short-term effects by lessening uncertainty about future tax burdens. Stay tuned… |
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krisluke
Supreme |
14-Aug-2011 23:05
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Light Sweet Crude The CL contract rose this past week, bouncing hard from the $80 level as value investors stepped into the market as the commodity is viewed as so cheap. The market has had a recent selloff, so while we are not looking for a major run, we feel that the market may still have a bit of steam left in it. We expect a pullback from this minor resistance area, and then a move back up. We feel it will more than likely end up being a range-bound market between the $80 – $90 levels.
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krisluke
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14-Aug-2011 23:00
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ENERGY MARKETS September crude oil closed slightly lower on Friday as it consolidates some of this week's rebound off the 62% retracement level of the 2009-2011-rally crossing at 79.49. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 86.86 would signal that a short-term low might be in or is near. However, it will take closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 93.07 to confirm that a low has been posted. If September renews this summer's decline, the 75% retracement level of the 2009-2011-rally crossing at 71.72 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 86.86. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 92.47. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 75.71. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2009-2011-rally crossing at 71.72. |
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krisluke
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14-Aug-2011 22:58
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Important week in the Asian financial market Last week saw many important events that had a heavy impact on global financial markets and prompted investors to pay attention to any official statements and economic data released from different countries. Currently, the Japanese economy is facing many problems that stand in the way of the economic recovery, where the Yen's appreciation is one of the nation's main problems. The Japanese government announced that the nation's currency is to harm growth as the currency strengthened against the dollar close to the level where authorities intervened last March. At the meantime, the global economy is in a hurdle phase, which is affected by the European debt crisis along with the sluggish U.S. economy as the government agreed to raise the debt ceiling and the investors saw the global economy losing momentum which increased demand for the precious metal as a haven.  On the other hand, the Chinese consumer price index extended its upside move in the second half of the year, where it accelerated at the fastest pace in more than three years during July, threatening economic growth as monetary policy makers might increase interest rates once again in the upcoming period. Inflation is still above the Chinese government target for the fourth straight month during April, after the China's consumer price index exceeded the government's target in July. Chinese consumer price index soared 6.5% during the year ended July, following the previous and expected 6.4%. Inflation is the most pressing problem that faces monetary policy makers in China, where the government is trying to contain inflation without hurting economic growth we can see that the government is in embarrassing situation to keep the economic growth on the right track. As for the Australian economy, the recovery is to face an aggressive pressure this time as the global economy falters, where the growth rates in Australia move in a very narrow track amid the global crisis that threatens the nation's recovery cycle. Australian employment change dropped by 100 workers in July, compared with a previous hiring by 23,400 workers in June that was revised to 18,200 workers. Furthermore, the Australian economic recovery moves into a narrow channel during the time as the nation is still suffering from first-half natural disasters, along with the European debt crisis and the sluggish U.S. economy that have a negative impact on the global economy. |
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