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bsiong
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29-Mar-2012 19:20
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Last Updated : 29 March 2012 at 02:05 IST
Source :Commodity Online
Goldman maintains its 12 month gold price forecast of $1,940/ozNEW YORK (Commodity Online): Goldman Sachs is maintaining its outlook for gold prices, forecasting the yellow metal at $1,785 an ounce in three months, $1,840 in six months and $1,940 in 12 months, citing subdued U.S. economic growth and further quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve later this year. “We acknowledge, however, that continued strong U.S. economic data poses growing risk to our forecast for rising gold prices,” they added. “Net, we reiterate our view that at current price levels gold remains a compelling trade but not a long-term investment, and we continue to recommend a long position in December 2012 Comex gold futures,” Goldman concluded. |
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bsiong
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29-Mar-2012 18:22
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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US Interest Rates “Should Support Gold”, Euro Optimism “Misleading” with Leaders “Kidding Themselves” that Crisis Has Passed |
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bsiong
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29-Mar-2012 18:08
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Gold gives up early gains tracks equities lower * Gold hits a high above $1,664, then slips * Coming Up: U.S. weekly jobless claims 1230 GMT
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bsiong
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29-Mar-2012 18:03
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold bounces on bargain hunting, U.S. dollar watched SINGAPORE, March 29 (Reuters) - Gold regained some strength on Thursday as bargain hunters resurfaced after prices slipped more than 1 percent in the previous session, but gains may be capped by a rebound in the U.S. dollar against other currencies.             FUNDAMENTALS       * Spot gold hardly changed at $1,662.71 an ounce by 0040 GMT, having hit a high of $1,664.79. Gold had fallen 1.3 percent on Wednesday after data showing a smaller-than-expected rise in new U.S. manufactured goods orders spurred selling in the yellow metal and other commodities.       * U.S. gold rose $4.30 to $1,662.20 an ounce.       * New orders for long-lasting U.S. factory goods increased only modestly in February, supporting the view that economic growth in the first quarter could be lackluster.                              MARKET NEWS       *  Early in the week, the dollar took a hammering after Bernanke gave a cautious outlook on the economy that kept alive expectations of further stimulus. The dollar index fell to a near one-month low of 78.770 on Tuesday, but has since recovered to 79.158.       * Asian shares eased for a second day in a row on Thursday, as investors limited their risk exposures on concerns about growth prospects in the world's two largest economies, the United States and China.       * U.S. crude futures steadied on Thursday, trading little changed after a 1.8 percent drop the day before due to a big rise in U.S. crude inventories and talk of a release of U.S. and some European strategic reserves.                 DATA/EVENTS (GMT)       0755 - GERMANY MARCH UNEMPLOYMENT DATA            0830 - UK CONSUMER CREDIT FOR FEBRUARY            0900 - EURO ZONE BUSINESS CLIMATE FOR MARCH            0900 - EURO ZONE ECONOMIC SENTIMENT FOR MARCH            1230 - U.S. FINAL Q4 GDP          1230 - U.S. WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS    |
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bsiong
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29-Mar-2012 08:48
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold retreats from 2-week high after US orders data  * Gold's decline leads to 4-day low * Weaker-than-forecast U.S. durable goods orders sparks risk off selling * Commodities, equities under pressure as euro slides By Jan Harvey and Carole Vaporean NEW YORK/LONDON, March 28 (Reuters) - Gold prices fell on W ednesday, unwinding the previous day's advance to a two-week peak, after data showing weaker-than-expected U.S. manufactured goods orders and cautious comments from an ECB official spurred a flurry of selling. Bullion lost ground with base metals, crude oil, equities and the euro after the report showing a moderate, though disappointing, gain in February U.S. durable goods orders ignited selling. " There's some dollar strength, it's also a risk-off kind of a day. We're seeing a lot of commodities down and stocks are down," said Rick Bensignor, chief market strategist at Merlin Securities in New York. Spot gold was down 1.3 percent at $1,658.30 an ounce by 2:50 p.m. EDT (1850 GMT), after hitting its lowest since March 23 at $1,654.50 an ounce. U.S. gold futures for April delivery slipped $27 to end at $1,657.90, a 1.6 percent fall. On Tuesday, spot prices rose as high as $1,696.20 after the Federal Reserve suggested a continuation of easy monetary policy may be necessary to support growth and bring down unemployment. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Tuesday it is too soon to declare victory in the U.S. economic recovery, warning against complacency in policymaking as the outlook brightens. But gold's rally proved short-lived. Merlin Securities' Bensignor cited the worse-than-expected durable goods orders report and Bernanke's comments for gold's reversal. " Bernanke's speech is one of those things that has two sides. You could say lousy economic numbers are going to make him more likely to run stimulus. At the same time, lousy economic numbers are just that, and the market is reacting to them," the analyst said. From a technical view, momentum sparked by expectations for further U.S. monetary easing faded after prices failed to breach key resistance at $1,700 an ounce. " Notice how $1,700/1,690 held sturdy," VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov said. " (This is) not a massive pullback, $1,640 will certainly hold for now, but a tad more is possible." Also pressuring gold were the dollar's gains on the euro as traders focused on comments from an ECB official warning about resolving the debt crisis. European Central Bank Governing Council member Jens Weidmann's cautious euro zone comments came before a meeting of European Union economic and financial affairs ministers in Copenhagen on Friday and Saturday. Nonetheless, expectations for a continuation of super-loose monetary policy and ongoing official sector buying is supporting the medium-term outlook for gold. " I have a positive view of gold from these levels," BNP Paribas analyst Anne-Laure Tremblay said. " Fundamentals are still supportive and we assume some form of monetary policy accommodation to take place in the United States by mid-year."   PRICES STRUGGLE Goldman Sachs said in a research note that, as gold prices are closely linked to U.S. real interest rates, they may have been suffering from expectations for stronger growth. " The gold market may have been expecting that real rates would soon be rising along with improving economic growth, leading to a sharp decline in net speculative length in gold futures," it said. " As we look forward, our U.S. economists forecast subdued growth and further easing by the Fed in 2012, which should push the market's expectations of real rates back down near zero basis points and gold prices back to our six-month forecast of $1,840 an ounce," it added. Physical gold demand has come under pressure this week from an ongoing strike among jewellers in India, the world's largest bullion consumer, who are protesting against a hike in import duty for bullion. India's Finance Minister said on Tuesday the country will not cut import duty on gold, which it doubled to 4 percent this month, although it is considering jewellers' demands for the removal of a 0.3 percent excise duty on unbranded jewellery. By late trade, silver was down 1.8 percent at $31.93 an ounce, spot platinum fell 1.2 percent to $1,627.38 an ounce, and spot palladium lost 1.9 percent at $640.38 an ounce.   |
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bsiong
Supreme |
29-Mar-2012 08:45
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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March 28, 2012 |
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bsiong
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29-Mar-2012 08:43
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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eport 3/28/2012March 28, 2012AMERICANS SEE GOLD AS BEST INVESTMENT, SURVEY SHOWS      According to Goldman Sachs,  Gold’s price is too low  compared to real interest rates. Gold is an asset that protects an investor against the possibility of the unknown, such as a Black Swan event. Recently, Matthew Lynn of Strategy Economics commented on the buying power by central banks in regards to Gold. Lynn said, “By holding more Gold, central banks are insuring themselves against their own profligacy. They print money. The price of Gold goes up. And if they hold a lot of the stuff in their vaults, they are the big winners from the rise in price.” Malcom Norris of Solomon Gold predicted the precious metal could even reach $2,000 per ounce.  An interesting survey conducted by CNBC shows that Americans feel that  Gold is the best investmentat this time. Also, the poll confirmed that 65 percent of Americans believe it is better to own a home rather than renting. The purpose of the survey is to see how the populace feels about the economy’s improvement.  The increase in crude oil prices has left former General Electric CEO Jack Welch distraught regarding the condition of the  U.S. economic recovery. “It’s not taking off. We’re sort of relatively strong but not booming,” Welch said in a CNBC interview. “I am normally to one extreme or another, and I’m a little shaken about not knowing where this is going.” He said he has a lot of uncertainty about the economic recovery. The rising gasoline costs and tax uncertainty are key components to his opinion. “Gasoline prices — you can't have this jump and not think that it affects the pocketbook,” Welch said. This is already starting to affect consumer confidence. At noon (CDT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
Supreme |
28-Mar-2012 09:34
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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bsiong
Supreme |
28-Mar-2012 09:17
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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bsiong
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28-Mar-2012 09:13
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold drops more in late trade after options expiry 
* March volume close to September 2011 levels * Support seen at $1,660 - trader (New throughout, updates prices, market activity) By Josephine Mason and Jan Harvey NEW YORK/LONDON March 27 (Reuters) - Spot gold prices fell off two-week highs on Tuesday after failing to pierce the $1,700 per ounce mark and as bullion tracked a weaker euro. Losses accelerated in late New York trade after the Comex March options contracts expired. Interest ahead of the options expiry had pushed gold just $4 shy of key resistance, but prices weakened to an intraday low below $1,680 per ounce in late afternoon as the dollar strengthened against the euro. The slide erased the previous day's rally, falling below the 100- and 200-day moving averages they had breached on Monday. That rally came after Federal Reserve chairman Ben Benanke signaled U.S. interest rates would stay low. That would maintain the low opportunity cost of holding bullion. Spot gold was at $1,679.44 an ounce at 5:21 p.m. EDT (2221 GMT), down $12.3 or 0.73 percent, after hitting a two-week peak at $1,696.20 earlier in the day. U.S. gold  futures  for April delivery settled at $1,684.9 per ounce, down slightly from Monday's settlement of $1,685.6. With most call and put options concentrated around $1,700 an ounce, expiry passed with no buying materializing to provide any upside momentum. " Most of the open interest was at $1,700. It tried to force its way up there," said a Comex trader. There were spikes in volume during the day, the largest taking place at around 1:15 p.m. EDT (1755 GMT), as a broker unwound his options conversions ahead of the contract expiry, the trader said. Technical factors also held prices back after the market failed to settle above $1,690 per ounce, the trader said. " A lot of it was also technical. If it had settled above $1,690, it would have been very bullish," he said. The conditions are in place for it to break above the $1,700 mark, although there may be further pressure in the near term, he said, adding that bullion will find support at $1,660 per ounce. " Once it's through there ($1,700), it will get up to $1,730, $1,750," he said. Gold has not been at those levels since the end of February. A second trader said he expects a volatile market as traders square their books ahead of the end of the first quarter. Prices are up 7 percent since the start of the year. Daily volume was average, although activity levels so far this month have been higher than the previous months. With three days until the end of the month, volume is already at 3.13 million lots, close to exceeding February's level of 3.2 million lots. That would be the highest monthly volume since September, when prices hit the record of $1,920 per oz before plunging almost $400 by the end of the month. On Tuesday, gold surrendered early gains as the euro lost ground against the dollar after a two-day rally. The precious metal tends to benefit from weakness in the dollar, which makes it cheaper for holders of other  currencies. Monday's rally was triggered when Bernanke said the U.S. economy needed to grow more quickly to cut the unemployment rate. While he did not directly indicate the Fed was set to begin another round of bond purchases, he said a continuation of accommodative policies was needed to support faster growth. Appetite for assets seen as higher risk mostly held firm after strengthening the previous day. World stocks touched an eight-month high on the back of Bernanke's comments and on expectations the  euro zone  would agree to a bigger crisis firewall, while oil held above $125 a barrel. " Our economists believe that the market has been too aggressive in pricing in Fed rate hikes in 2013, while the Fed is more likely to push the hikes out to 2014 as indicated by the speech," said Barclays Capital in a note. " We believe low interest rates and longer-term inflationary pressures should remain supportive for gold prices."       ETFs RECORD INFLOWS Gold exchange-traded funds, which issue securities backed by physical metal, reported inflows on Monday. Holdings of the largest, New York's SPDR Gold Trust, increased by around 6 tonnes, reversing some of the previous week's 10 tonne drop. Demand for the yellow metal in major consumer India remained subdued, however, as a strike continued among jewelers in protest at a government import levy. " There is valid concern over Indian gold demand, which may decline on the back of higher domestic taxes on the gold industry," said Standard Bank in a note. " Indian buying has been notably weak as the strike by jewelers drags on for the 11th day today." Silver was down 0.88 percent at $32.54 an ounce. Spot platinum was up 0.32 percent at $1,648 an ounce, while spot palladium edged down 1.07 percent to $656. Platinum maintained an historically unusual discount to gold as buyers worried about demand for the white metal, which is chiefly used in autocatalysts. Platinum prices are up more than 18 percent this year after a poor performance in 2011 but have struggled to maintain traction as worries persist over growth in the euro zone, a major market for platinum-heavy diesel autocatalysts. (editing by Jane Baird and David Gregorio) |
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bsiong
Supreme |
28-Mar-2012 09:11
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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March 27, 2012 |
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bsiong
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27-Mar-2012 23:48
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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* Fed boosts expectations real rates will stay low * Euro edges higher, stocks maintain upward move (Updates throughout, changes dateline, pvs SINGAPORE) By Jan Harvey LONDON, March 27 (Reuters) - Gold prices hit two-week highs above $1,690 an ounce on Tuesday after posting their biggest one-day rise since late January in the previous session, boosted by expectations that U.S. interest rates will stay lower for longer and gains in the euro. The metal held above the 100- and 200-day moving averages it broke through on Monday after the U.S. Federal Reserve's signal that it would keep interest rates near rock-bottom levels reassured buyers that the opportunity cost of holding bullion would stay low. Spot gold was up 0.1 percent at $1,693.50 an ounce at 0935 GMT. Earlier it hit a two-week peak at $1,696.20. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Monday that the economy needed to grow more quickly to cut the unemployment rate. While he did not directly indicate that the Fed was set to begin another round of bond purchases, he said a continuation of accommodative policies was needed to support faster growth. " The Bernanke comments suggesting the possibility of further quantitative easing of monetary policy... pushed the U.S. dollar lower and financial markets in general upwards, and so also gold," said Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch. " The prospect of further liquidity injections should put pressure on the U.S. dollar, and the prospect of continued negative real interest rates should also keep gold supported." The euro hit its highest in more than three weeks after Bernanke's comments, helping lift gold, and has since extended gains to a one-month peak. Appetite for assets seen as higher risk, which largely strengthened on Monday, also held firm, with European shares climbing and oil and base metals prices rising. U.S. gold  futures  for April delivery were up $7.70 an ounce at $1,693.30. Options expiry is due on COMEX later in the day, with most call and put options concentrated around the $1,700 an ounce level.     ETFs RECORD INFLOWS Gold exchange-traded funds, which issue securities backed by physical metal, reported inflows on Monday. Holdings of the largest, New York's SPDR Gold Trust, increased by around 6 tonnes, reversing some of the previous week's 10-tonne drop. Demand for the yellow metal in major consumer India remained subdued, however, as a strike among jewellers in protest at a government import levy continued. Silver was up 0.9 percent at $33.11 an ounce. Spot platinum was up 1.2 percent at $1,662.70 an ounce, while spot palladium was up 0.9 percent at $669.20 an ounce. Platinum maintained its historically unusual discount to gold, which briefly reversed earlier this month, as buyers worried about demand for the white metal, which is chiefly used in autocatalysts. Platinum prices are up more than 18 percent this year after a poor performance in 2011, but have struggled to maintain traction as worries persist over growth in the  euro zone, a key market for platinum-heavy diesel autocatalysts. " We remain of the view that the platinum market needs some production curtailments to improve the fundamentals over the next few years," said Deutsche Bank in a note. " The price recovery in the face of 'accidental' supply closures serves as a timely reminder of how susceptible the platinum industry is to disruptions," it added. " However, with the end of the Impala strike (earlier this year) and the reduced incidences of Section 54 stoppages, supply should recover, and the market is likely to end the year in another modest surplus - 105,000 ounces - in our assessment." (Additional reporting by Michelle Martin editing by Jason Neely) |
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bsiong
Supreme |
27-Mar-2012 23:45
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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March 27, 2012 |
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bsiong
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27-Mar-2012 09:25
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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March 26, 2012 • 08:32:03 PDTFed's Bernanke Says " Continued" Printing " Supports Production And Demand"QE-n makes appearance, " continued" printing, according to Bernanke, can improve job market. Read More |
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bsiong
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27-Mar-2012 09:24
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Last Updated :  26 March 2012 at 23:35 ISTSource :Commodity Online Gold bulls need move over $1,730/oz to reignite rally  NEW YORK (Commodity Online):  Last week's break and rebound was a test of the 61.8% retracement of gold's move from $1,523.90 to $1,792.70 an ounce, said Walter Zimmerman, Jr., chief technical analyst at United ICAP. For the rebound to have legs, bulls need gold to close over $1,730, he says. “ If that cannot happen, then gold is still in a neutral pattern, rather than forming a bottom,” Zimmerman concluded. |
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bsiong
Supreme |
27-Mar-2012 09:22
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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SINGAPORE, March 27 (Reuters) - Gold edged down on Tuesday, with speculators booking profits after prices jumped more than 1 percent in the previous session when the Federal Reserve signaled supportive monetary policy could continue in the United States. FUNDAMENTALS * Spot gold had fallen $2.60 an ounce to $1,689.14 by 0023 GMT. * Bullion rose to $1,693.39 on Monday, its strongest since March 13, after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke Bernanke said the U.S. economy needed to grow more quickly to further reduce unemployment. That fuelled bullion buying as a hedge against long-term inflation and economic uncertainty. * U.S. gold added $3.60 an ounce to $1,689.20 an ounce. MARKET NEWS * Japan's Nikkei average climbed more than 1 percent on Tuesday, following overnight gains on Wall Street after Bernanke's comments. * The euro advanced against the dollar and yen for a second straight day on Monday. DATA/EVENTS (GMT) 0600 - GERMAN CONSUMER SENTIMENT FOR APRIL 1145 - ICSC/GOLDMAN SACHS WEEKLY U.S. CHAIN STORE SALES 1255 - REDBOOK WEEKLY U.S. RETAIL SALES 1300 - U.S. S& P/CASE-SHILLER HOME PRICE INDEX FOR JANUARY 1400 - U.S. CONSUMER CONFIDENCE FOR MARCH   |
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bsiong
Supreme |
27-Mar-2012 09:21
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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March 26, 2012 |
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bsiong
Supreme |
27-Mar-2012 09:20
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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March 26, 2012 |
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bsiong
Supreme |
27-Mar-2012 00:48
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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March 26, 2012 |
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bsiong
Supreme |
27-Mar-2012 00:45
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold up 1 pct as Fed comments support easing hopes 
* Euro climbs vs dollar, lifting gold to 2-week high * Speculators cut gold long bets for third week By Jan Harvey LONDON, March 26 (Reuters) - Gold prices rose 1 percent on Monday after comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke that faster growth will be needed to boost employment supported expectations that further quantitative easing measures may be necessary. Spot gold was up 1 percent at $1,678.86 at 1458 GMT. It earlier hit a two-week high of $1,683.79 after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. economy needed to grow more quickly if it is to produce enough jobs to bring down the unemployment rate. " I think it (rose) on the back of Bernanke's comments, which people have taken to mean that further funding might be required," Simon Weeks, head of precious metals at Scotia Mocatta, said. " I think people have taken that to mean that gold is still going to be in demand." U.S. gold  futures  for April delivery were up $18.70 an ounce at $1,681.10. The dollar slid against the euro and the Swiss franc after remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke spurred views that the bank could yet flood the market in another round of quantitative easing. Sentiment towards the euro remains cautious, however, as investors worried about the troubles facing the  euro zone  economy. While concerns over the bloc's debt crisis were a key factor driving gold to record highs last year, it has since re-established its usual inverse relationship with the dollar as the U.S. unit takes precedence as investors' haven of choice. " If the dollar is going to strengthen over the next couple of days, gold should see more downward pressure," said Standard Bank analyst Walter de Wet. " (But) looking past the next couple of weeks, I think the rally is not over," he added. " In real terms interest rates remain negative, and we expect them to remain negative for at least another two years."     SPECULATORS RETREAT Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Friday showed money managers in gold futures and options cut their bullish bets for a third straight week to the weakest level in two months. " Declining a hefty 3.1 million ounces, the Comex gold book now sits at a relatively modest 17.58 million ounces, bringing positioning to its lowest level since the week of Jan. 10 and some 53.1 percent of the all-time high," said UBS in a note. " In just three weeks, spec net longs have collapsed by 10 million ounces. So in theory, from a positioning perspective, gold's spec baggage looks relatively light... which suggests some upside price direction is possible." Volume data from the Shanghai Gold Exchange suggested demand from  China, the world's second largest consumer of the precious metal, is soft, the bank added. A Reuters poll suggested India's decision to double gold import duty to four percent could cut imports to the number one global consumer by a third in 2012, to their lowest level in two years. Chinese and Indian demand has a huge impact on gold prices. " Those two countries together make up about 42 percent of total demand, compared to 23 percent of total demand five or six years ago," Nick Holland, chief executive of miner Gold Fields, told the Reuters mining summit on Monday. " Those are two economies that are likely to grow at a significant pace, certainly relative to the West," he added. " They have a strong affinity for gold, and they also have an increasing number of the population who are being urbanised. Of the extra income they get, some will find its way into gold." " I believe that is a fairly good underpin for the gold price." A strike by jewellers to protest against a government levy entered its tenth day in most parts of India on Monday, bringing imports to a near standstill from the world's biggest buyer of bullion in the peak wedding season. Silver rose 1.5 percent to $32.68 an ounce. The gold/silver ratio, or the number of silver ounces needed to buy an ounce of gold, eased back to 51.48 from 52.1 on Friday. Coeur d'Alene Mines' Chief Financial Officer Frank Hanagarne said he saw the silver price at $25 an ounce or above over next 3 years, adding that silver industrial demand should support continued strong price. |
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