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Wilmar Intl
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Wilmar - Watch for a Strong Rally to Come!
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ynnek1267
Master |
21-Nov-2013 15:14
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3 major business division, Palm oil, sugar, soybean crushmeal + oil and flour. Palm oil and sugar are surely earn business since Wilmar has upstream plantation till down stream product distribution. They can save a lot of cost internally compared to their competitiors. However soybean crushmeal + oil and flour division is facing fierce competition due to they are losing the upstream plantation which have to rely on the soybean supply from US, Brazil and China. Furthermore, China government control the price of cooking oil against the inflation. upstream price high, downstream cannot sell high, those soybean crush players in China suffer huge loss in past 2 years. Anyway, worst is past for soybean cruchmeal + oil and flour division since quite a lot of players are flush out in past 2 years. So, those shortist want to find reason to short Wilmar down, also quite hard. Who short it have to be prepared the worst since past 9M result has show 22% net profit year to year. The last quarter is year end stocking and selling for Chinese New year and etc year end celebration always the best quarter for commodity company. Therefore CPO price is surging, Now the soybean crush margin maintain positive compared to big negative in same period last year. So I don't find single reason, Wilmar will perform badly in next 3 months at least. So somebody bearish on it. I really can't understand. The only for stopping Wilmar rally will be US debt ceiling talk in Jan to Feb 2014 break down again. See how lah. just keep and see. |
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ynnek1267
Master |
21-Nov-2013 15:02
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Wilmar has palm tree plantation and processing & merchant division. Palm tree plantation will benefit from CPO price. Processing & Merchant division may not be benefit due to raw material (CPO price higher). However, high CPO price can jack up the revenue for both division which allow higher cash flow among the company which is positive to the company. How to be more profitable in processing & Merchant division is subjected to the Wilmar management. Therefore, in overall, high CPO price is good to Wilmar and market always react positive on it to plam oil related counter.
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Rosesyrup
Veteran |
21-Nov-2013 14:22
Yells: "Get your own opinion, don't follow blindly." |
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Actually a low cpo price is morr beneficial to wilmar
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ynnek1267
Master |
21-Nov-2013 14:19
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http://www.palmoilhq.com/ CPO price break 1 year high, RM 2629. Just ignore the yesterday short down, It is not sustainable in short term. CPO price is on the rise. Wilmar as a palm oil giant will shoot fast soon!!! |
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ynnek1267
Master |
21-Nov-2013 10:36
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Let's do a logic price range for Wilmar based on financial result performance (although it doesn't work, just for fun) Wilmar share price trading ranges in past 1 year is 3.1 to 3.9. Just take the last result, 9M result as a compared, the EPS(earning per share) is 22% increase year to year. So we shall expect a 22% increase in next year share price trading range which is 3.782 to 4.758. This is newbie theory since it doesn't consider market wind trend, BBs holding and all other issues. However, It is more logic than somebody pure " Battle Prediction" Wahahahahaahahha!!!!!!!!!! |
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ynnek1267
Master |
21-Nov-2013 10:24
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Compared to lock in with small profit, I would prefer to wait and see if there is a window dressing by year end. Furthermore, I believe Wilmar will be back to above 5 dollar in 2014. Why I sell cheap??? If shortist think they can bring it down to 3.3, let them do it. I will see if they still can press down Wilmar share price with better performance in coming years. |
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ynnek1267
Master |
21-Nov-2013 09:44
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Wahahahhaahaha!!!!!!!! Let's see if it is year end window dressing or year end dumping in 4 to 6 weeks times.
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MetalTrader
Senior |
21-Nov-2013 02:32
Yells: "Let Your Ignorance Be Shown Tomorrow! ~ PredictorX" |
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Nice Song: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DW9U8FtTTB8 |
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MetalTrader
Senior |
21-Nov-2013 02:13
Yells: "Let Your Ignorance Be Shown Tomorrow! ~ PredictorX" |
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3.3 is not a good buy, as within speculation level. Lock in Profits & Sell down is to be expected that lies above $3.10. For TonyLim: Don't waste my precious time.
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tonylim
Master |
20-Nov-2013 22:56
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MetalTrader, can you stop being a silly joker and waste everyone time reading your baseless predictions and posts
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Sealteam6
Member |
20-Nov-2013 18:04
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鱼 市 场 还 没 关 门 啊 ！ aiyo, those that already trimmed, just wait for 3.3+ to buy again Lo. If go up more sell all Lo. What's there to predict? 不 明 白 ， 这 儿 也 拿 来 吵 ， | ||||
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MetalTrader
Senior |
20-Nov-2013 17:52
Yells: "Let Your Ignorance Be Shown Tomorrow! ~ PredictorX" |
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Battle of Prediction 19 Nov Afternoon- Market was at $3.63. I boldy predicted Wilmar will fall below $3.63, from this speculative price, in which shareholders only bought at $3, and anything above $3.15 is a speculative amount. Market closed at $3.62. [I warned that market momentum moving well far $3, and into speculative price of $3.15. The market is bound to suffer a major drop in weeks to come despite naive people insisted on uptrend] 20 Nov- Market fall to $3.52 from $3.63. (The first fall and significant losses of $0.11) On 20 Nov closing: I predicted that there will be several downfalls beneath $3.52. The downfall will continue with a bigger drop awaiting. |
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sportyboy
Member |
20-Nov-2013 17:36
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Perhaps it's to flush out the speculator ... | ||||
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overshoot
Member |
20-Nov-2013 17:14
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to be frank, not a good closing price... @metal trader, if u think ur prediction really correct why not short.... don't waste ur energy to predict... seems u prefer to be correct all the time... |
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ynnek1267
Master |
20-Nov-2013 17:11
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You mean he just learn how to use CFD account to play short??? So he happily short Noble, Wilmar, Swiber and etc. Then come here cau bei cau bo????
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trading4living
Member |
20-Nov-2013 17:09
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You know i'm really sceptical about our metal koko motive behind. 1. Why he wanted us to sell ? 2. Why our metal koko cun sleep at nite and busy doing research and ask us to sell it middle of the nite? i am really interested to know. He seems like very worry while all of us are sleeping tight.
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ynnek1267
Master |
20-Nov-2013 17:05
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I don't feel offended actually, just can't stop laughing, very interesting person. Wahahahaahah!!!!! Close at 3.52. Hope for the best tomorrow. If wilmar is real bull, tomorrow shall gap up at least half of what she lose today.
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Macadangdang
Member |
20-Nov-2013 17:01
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From Noble, I laugh to Wilmar thread. Omg we need more such fishmarket aunties in our lives.
Laughter is indeed the best medicine. |
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rayyeo
Senior |
20-Nov-2013 16:56
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I believe everyone reading your post is laughing at you.
Don't believe look at all the posting by others. Don't act as if you know everything. Pui* |
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MetalTrader
Senior |
20-Nov-2013 16:45
Yells: "Let Your Ignorance Be Shown Tomorrow! ~ PredictorX" |
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As predicted according to "Battle Prediction", Wilmar will expect greater fall because of speculation. The 1st day resulted in 10cent losses. The beginning & first fall. More details will be updated later. Note: Pls do not buy/sell based on my prediction. Thank You. | ||||
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