ShareJunction ( Request & Review ) ? 2 ( Sat )( 3 Feb 07 )

Forumer 6 ? ?Enyato? :

1.  Jurong Tech à ?Dividend is nothing, profit gain is everything?,  You bought $0.35, currently $1.13, you made 223%  & still not selling ?. ? ? ?  Maybe you will wait till it drop back to $0.35 ?. Then you celebrate ? ? ? ? DO NOT turn from a Winner to Looser !  Many people already suffered & regret that !  By then, you will regret your whole life ? !   You should not hold back your stock just because of dividend gain, cos the profit gain itself with the multiple in & out stagedy, I believed is far far exceeded as compared to your dividend gain !  Think twice !
   
   

2. Longcheer & Gent Int à It seems like you are using ?Cost Averaging Down Concept?.  Bad bad stagedy, try to use  ?Cost Averaging UP Concept? instead !  Averaging down concept is only good if you know where is the rock bottom price and is reaching soon, whichever the reason, not a good idea to use !
   
   

3. Starcruise, Sapphire, Bio-Treat à Your ?Greed Factor? killed you !  Greed & Fear Factors are the 2 greatest killer for any investor.  Try to overcome this !  Stocks move in cyclical cycles, if you don?t sell at the high, it will come down again after some time, that defeats the whole purpose of investment !  The right concept should be  à nibble a bit & go away just like the sparrow, stay there too long, you it will get caught and killed, and there goes all your capital, not worth !  Once cycle low again, you can always come back again & EAT MORE and MANY MORE TIMES !
   
   

4. Chartered & StatsChipPac à Both lost 73% to date !  You bought all these during the high time & in the down trend mode.  Wrong Concept !  Try NOT to buy any Stocks that is in the down trend mode ? you will get caught or stuck there easily ?!  It?s like trying to catch a falling knife !  Unwise !
   
   

5. Asiapharm à  You did not state the bought timeframe, it?s difficult for me to analyze !  I think you got it somewhere between Feb to Jul 06?.  This is one example why it is NOT advisable to hold long timeframe.  You don?t know when it?s going to drop, and when it drops ?. You got no time to run, by then you discover ? it?s too late to exit !  You should also buy when it?s in the low & NOT high cycle !  That way is safer & much higher chance of winning !
   
   

6. Ellipsiz à Bad timing, you bought this during the high cycle ? which should NOT be !  You should buy only when it is in the low cycle ? and when there is blood on the street ? !
   
   

7. Adv Hldg à You did not state the bought timeframe, it?s difficult for me to analyze !  To date you lost about 18%.  This counter has been in the down trend mode for the last 7 mths.  And It?s still bleeding ? you have NOT lost too much yet, try to bite the bullet & cut loss.  That way you can still  ?PRESERVE? much of your cash, re-stategize & make a come back !  If you don?t ? you will only get stuck there forever  ?. For how long ?  I don?t know either !  Try to select a good one & re-enter.  Remember, time is money !  If you don?t ? you not only lost opportunity cost but recovery opportunity as well ! This is unwise !
   
   

Forumer 7 ? ?Ysh2006? :

1. Addvalue Tech à You bought at $0.095 on 2 Feb 07 ?. Which bought at a cycle high, WRONG STAGEDY !  You should have move in at $0.075 anywhere from 19 ? 31 Jan 07 ( 1.5 weeks duration ) which was a cycle low price !  That way, you made an INSTANT 27% in about a week time ( eg. 107% per mth ).  Super Wise investment STAGEDY !  Now, you can do nothing but to wait ? and yet NO profit to take !  You have 2 choice à cut loss or wait, you decide yourself !  If you can wait a little longer ? for the next 3 ? 6 weeks, this counter has high chance of going up !  Good Tips ? ? ? ?
   
   

2. Global Test à  You bought at $0.36 on May 06 ( 8 mths ago ).  You actually have an Opportunity to sell at $0.39 on 3, 10 & 11 May 06 ( 8% profit gain )  ?. But you didn?t take profit !  Thereafter, it go down all the way till now at $0.24.  To date you lost 33% in 8 mths.  Looks like it going to be down for quite some time ? !  You can either cut loss or hold, but I would advise you to cut loss.  Select another better stock & play like I thought you in your ?Addvalue Tech Counter? ? ( 107% gain pe mth ).  In that way, in no time, you will recover all your lost very fast ?. And only if you do it right !  The choice is yours !
   
   

3. UTAC à  You bought at $0.94 on May 06 ( 8 mths ago ).  You bought on the strong down trend mode.  Avoid that, bad stagedy !  Once you do that, you hardly had any chance of recovery !  However, UTAC is currently profitable and making good money.  Its share price has also been making a come back since Jul 06 to now ( Up trend continueously for the last 6 mths ).  If it continue to be strong and show good sign, and if you are lucky, it may reach back your $0.94 in about 1 -2 mths from now.  If not, you either can wait or cut loss.  Current price $0.83, to date, you lost about 12%, still not too bad !  If you are confident of picking a good stock to recovery your lost, you may do so.  If not, you may have to wait a little longer ( in mths ) ? !
   
   

Forumer 8 ? ?LookSeeOnly? :

1. Unifiber à  You bought at $0.28 but did not state the bought timeframe, I don?t know how long you have been holding ?. it?s difficult for me to analyze and advise also !  Currently at $0.28 and it has been on the up trend mode for the last 4 mths.  Good to buy Up trend !  It is also on the cycle low soon ? price dropped from a high of $0.31 to current level low ( dropped about 10% in 5 days or a week ) and seems to stabilized at $0.28 for now !  The next phase should be an up cycle, hence, you should continue to ?HOLD ON? to it.  Expected up side à $0.29 - $0.32 ( 4% - 14% gain in about 2 weeks time ).
   
   

Forumer 9 ? ?Idesa168? :

1. SMRT Corp à You had made the right move of bitting the bullet & cut the 8 yrs of bleeding lost.  If not, you would never been today.  Thanks to you wisdom !  You have also made the right move of buying stocks that is in the up trend mode !  The result can be seen by everybody today ! 
   
   

You bought at $1.12 for 5 Lots mid last yr.  Another 5 lots at $1.19 later.  Total SMRT portfolio cost $11,550 ( $12K ).  Current share price $1.45.  If you sell,  to date, you have $14,500 ( $15K ).  You made profit $2950 (  3K or 26% in about 7 mths ).  That is about 4% per mth or 44% a yr.  Not bad but could have been better ! 

SMRT counter has been around for the last almost 7 yrs. From a low of $0.50 to a current all time high of about $1.50.  On surface ? it looks good and wonderful ? but if you were to observe carefully, it seems to be on the ?Overbought? level or high side currently.  It is currently on a high or top cycle ?.. NOT a good sign !   A ?Triple Top? has already formed on the RSI Chart.  As the saying goes, ?What goes down must come up ?. And what came up must goes down again ? !?  This is the fear that I have ?. There is nothing that goes up forever or un-ending ?!  You asked whether should hold long long term ? the ?danger sign? has already started to appear ? it?s just a matter of time that the bubble will burst.  The question is WHEN ? ?  I myself don?t know, but it would be advisable for you to take profit & exit soon !  If you decide to hold LONG LONG ?. Then your profit and money may also LONG LONG goes ? becareful ! 

To me, it is very simple decision !  There are so many better stocks out there, with lower risk level and much better return ? !  Why should you take this kind of risk !  Take profit now, GARANTEEN PROFIT.  Delay further, Money NO GAURANTEEN !  You decide for your next move !

2. SPH à  Good stable Blue Chip, but also ?Slow & Steady? Stock.  In the immediate short term ( 2-4 Weeks ), it is on a high cycle now, means you should avoid to go in now !  However, in the long term ( 6 ? 12 mths ), I believe the fundamental are still sound and will continue to appreciate !  Hence, if you want to ?Accumulate?, you may ? but NOT now !  Try to be patience and wait till the cycle low then go in which is few weeks from now !  You may like to know that is may be quite a ?Slow Moving & Appreciating? counter.  If you want something of a faster return, try to pick another lower price counter, that can give you a better return ! 
   
   

Current Performance, you bought at $4.36 on early Dec 06 ( 2 mths ago ).  Current price $4.68, to date, made $960 ( 7% in 2 mths or 4% per mth ).  This is NOT really a fantastic figure but a so so one !  If you don?t mind this kind of return, carry on.  If you mind, change counter ! You decide the rest !

3.  SPC à  You bought at $4.14 on Jan 07 ( 1 mth ago ).  Current price $4.46.  You made $640 ( 8 % in 3 weeks or 10 % per mth ).  Not a bad deal !  This counter has been on the down trend mode for the last 7 mths since early May 06.  You are lucky that you went in at the RIGHT TIMING or cycle low ?. If not, there would be NO returning back for you !  Try to avoid buying stocks at the down trend mode ?. Very dangerous, not worth the risk !   Your Ques à do you think I can add on further this counter ??  The answer is NOT ADVISABLE !  You should only buy stocks that are sideway trend of up moving trend, AVOID down trend stock !

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Regards

Simon Loh

1. Jurong Tech.... not sell at 2.x but get dividend every year... I will consider to sell....thanks ...
2. Longcheer....1st bought at 0.89 ...immediately dropped to 0.7x... so 2nd bought at 0.795...average : 0.84....
3. Genting...1st bought at 1.17, 2nd bought at 1.14, 3rd bought at 1.01, 4th bought at 0.99.....average : 1.08......
4. Starcruise...1st bought at 0.335 and 2nd bought at 0.32....I did plan to sell at 0.345 but fail....suddently....halt and open at around 0.5x...not sell at 0.6x...too greedy...:(
5. Sappire - biught at 0.025 but did not sell at 0.06....too greedy..:(
6. Bio-treat - 1st bought at 1.03....did not sell at 1.3x....too greedy..:(
   
7. Actually, I am holding chartered (bought at 5.5) and StatsChP (bought at 4.9) for many years........don't know how to cut loss as well.....:(
8. China Energy....1.16
9. Asiapharm....0.78
10. Ellipsiz....0.81....
11. AdvaHLG....0.325.....