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dealer0168
Elite |
29-Jul-2009 21:49
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U place bet today? My feel is negative fr Dow tonight. But will be like last night figure (somewhere there)
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idesa168
Elite |
29-Jul-2009 21:46
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The think the stock mkt is playing prenk on my boss. I told him that DJ might drop 80pts but he did not buy my idea and instead LONG the mkt. Now the mkt is dropping. I think I will need to work OT again tomorrow...sigh! | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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handon
Master |
29-Jul-2009 21:09
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my boss go long liao... hehe.... | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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dealer0168
Elite |
29-Jul-2009 21:03
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Today Dow should go south as well.......... | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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dealer0168
Elite |
29-Jul-2009 21:00
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U.S. June Durable Goods Orders Fall 2.5%; Ex-Transport Up 1.1% By Bob Willis July 29 (Bloomberg) -- Orders for U.S. durable goods fell more than forecast in June, depressed by declines in demand for volatile categories including automobiles, aircraft and defense equipment that overshadowed gains elsewhere. The 2.5 percent drop in bookings for goods meant to last several years was the first decrease in three months and followed a 1.3 percent increase the prior month, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. Excluding transportation equipment, orders unexpectedly climbed 1.1 percent, the most in four months. The figures used to calculate economic growth showed companies were planning to boost investment in coming months, adding to evidence the worst recession in five decades was starting to ease. Caterpillar Inc. is among companies seeing steadier demand as government stimulus plans here and abroad start to kick in, signaling an economic recovery is in sight. ``Manufacturing is still weak, but the weakness is abating,'' said Sal Guatieri, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto. ``We should see orders turning up in coming months, specially now with auto production ramping higher. That would set the stage for an upturn in business investment and an economic recovery.'' Economists expected a 0.6 percent drop in orders, according to the median of 73 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey, after a previously reported 1.8 percent gain in May. Estimates ranged from a decline of 2 percent to a gain of 2 percent. Excluding transportation equipment, orders were forecast to be unchanged, according to the Bloomberg survey. Commerce revised the May figures in this category to show a 0.8 percent gain, down from the 1.1 percent increase previously reported. Volatility in Transportation Orders for transportation equipment were down 13 percent, with commercial aircraft dropping 39 percent. Plane bookings had jumped 60 percent in May. Automobile demand dropped 1 percent after an 8.7 percent decrease in May, today's report showed. Factories at General Motors Co. and Chrysler Group LLC were closed for at least part of the month, worsening the slump in bookings for autos and parts. Orders excluding defense equipment decreased 0.7 percent as bookings for military gear slumped 28 percent. Bookings for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a proxy for future business investment, climbed 1.4 percent after a 4.3 percent increase the prior month. Shipments of those items, used in calculating gross domestic product, rose 0.1 percent, the first gain since December. Drop in Stockpiles Ongoing inventory drawdown in manufacturing is setting the stage for future growth. Stockpiles fell at an $87 billion annual rate in the first quarter, the biggest drop on record, according to figures from Commerce. Companies cut inventories by 0.9 percent in June, today's report showed. The economy will grow at an average 1.5 percent rate in the last six months of the year, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg in the first week of July. That follows a projected 1.5 percent decline in the second quarter and a 5.5 percent rate of contraction in the first three months of 2009. ``The pace of decline appears to have slowed significantly, and final demand and production have shown tentative signs of stabilization,'' Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke told Congress last week. Caterpillar, the biggest maker of earthmoving equipment, posted second-quarter profit that exceeded analysts' highest estimate and raised its full-year forecast, saying stimulus programs are starting to support global demand. ``We are seeing signs of stabilization that we hope will set the foundation for an eventual recovery,'' Chief Executive Officer Jim Owens said in a statement July 21. ``Fiscal policy and monetary stimulus have been introduced around the world, and we are seeing signs, particularly in China, that they are beginning to work.'' |
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dealer0168
Elite |
29-Jul-2009 18:34
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Asian Currencies Drop on U.S. Consumer Confidence, Intervention By Bob Chen July 29 (Bloomberg) -- Asian currencies declined, led by Malaysia’s ringgit, on speculation foreign funds will trim their local asset holdings after a more-than-forecast drop in U.S. consumer confidence raised doubts about an economic recovery. Taiwan’s dollar and Thailand’s baht weakened on speculation policy makers are stemming gains to help revive exports. South Korea’s fifth monthly current-account surplus helped limit the won’s losses. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index of shares snapped its longest winning streak in more than five years after the U.S. Conference Board yesterday reported the consumer sentiment index dropped for a second month in July. “It is negative for Asian exports and a surprise to the market,” said Dariusz Kowalczyk, chief investment strategist at SJS Markets Ltd. in Hong Kong. “That will affect Asian stocks and currencies.” The ringgit declined 0.7 percent to 3.5335 a dollar as of 5:17 p.m. in Kuala Lumpur, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Korea’s won fell 0.3 percent to 1,239.95. It earlier slid as much as 0.5 percent. The Taiwan dollar dropped 0.4 percent to NT$32.871, after touching NT$32.680, the strongest level since July 2. The Conference Board’s confidence index dropped to 46.6, following a reading of 49.3 in June, the New York-based research group said. Retail sales in Japan, the world’s second-largest economy, slid 3 percent in June from a year earlier, the Trade Ministry said today in Tokyo. It was a 10th month of declines. Taiwan Intervention South Korea’s current-account surplus widened to $5.43 billion last month from a revised $3.5 billion in May, the Bank of Korea said in Seoul today. The current account is the broadest measure of trade, tracking the international flow of goods, services and investment income. Taiwan’s dollar retreated from its strongest level in almost four weeks on speculation the central bank intervened to help combat a 10-month slide in exports. The island’s currency has rallied 7.4 percent from an eight-year low reached in March as data pointing to a global economic recovery bolstered the outlook for trade and spurred demand for emerging-market assets. Overseas investors added to their holdings of Taiwan stocks for an 11th day in a row. “The central bank has been buying and intervening to keep it stable,” said Wai Ho Leong, a Singapore-based economist at Barclays Capital. The Thai baht retreated from near a 10-month high. It slipped 0.1 percent to 33.99 a dollar. Central banks intervene to influence exchange rates by arranging sales or purchases of foreign currencies. Boosting Reserves The Indonesian currency fell for the first time in five days on speculation the central bank will step up dollar purchases to bolster its international reserves. The International Monetary Fund said today that Indonesia needs to gradually rebuild its assets and follow a “cautious” monetary policy to sustain investors’ confidence. The rupiah weakened 0.6 percent to 9,985 per dollar in Jakarta. “The rupiah is a bit lower after we saw some dollar buying from state banks yesterday,” said Wiling Bolung, head of treasury at ANZ Panin Bank in Jakarta. “It looks like Bank Indonesia is still trying to grow its reserves and even the IMF thinks they should.” Malaysia’s ringgit dropped from near a four-week high on speculation the central bank will slow the pace of the currency’s gains as a recovery lags behind other economies in the region. Rate Decision The currency snapped a four-day advance before a central bank policy meeting today. Governor Zeti Akhtar Aziz has said Malaysia’s economic performance in the second quarter was similar to the first, when gross domestic product shrank 6.2 percent from a year earlier. The pace of contraction in neighboring Singapore, Malaysia’s biggest trading partner, eased to 3.7 percent from 9.6 percent. “The ringgit needs to adjust to the fact that economic recovery is still weak,” said Irwaan Iskandar Abrahim, who helps manage $130 million at ASM Investment Services Bhd. in Kuala Lumpur. All 23 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News forecast Zeti will keep the overnight policy rate unchanged at 2 percent for a third straight meeting. The decision is due at 6 p.m. local time. Zeti said last month that Malaysia has the “flexibility” to lower interest rates should external conditions deteriorate. Elsewhere, India’s rupee declined 0.4 percent to 48.4175 against the U.S. currency, the Philippine peso fell 0.2 percent to 48.107 and Singapore’s dollar weakened 0.2 percent to S$1.4417. China’s yuan was little changed at 6.8315. |
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dealer0168
Elite |
29-Jul-2009 18:19
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Now Dow future is at -35.00. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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mirage
Veteran |
29-Jul-2009 11:51
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At 11:50hr today it's a SEA of RED. STI is down 3.83 to 2620.21.
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dealer0168
Elite |
29-Jul-2009 08:42
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I thk today the start may not be good (drop some), than latter part recover.
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maxcty
Master |
29-Jul-2009 06:47
Yells: "always a learning day for me in trading" |
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yup..guess STI wont disappoint us also...
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ronleech
Master |
29-Jul-2009 06:21
Yells: "Believe in yourself. Ride with the waves......" |
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DOW's player is amazing.....die die also push it back up....it did come close to 9000 but was up again....
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tedlim_me
Senior |
29-Jul-2009 06:06
Yells: "there is no equity in the equity markets" |
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handon.. -11.79 pts only..
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tedlim_me
Senior |
29-Jul-2009 02:19
Yells: "there is no equity in the equity markets" |
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-30.38 as at now.. hmm.. not too bad.. time to slp! | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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petertan4949
Senior |
29-Jul-2009 01:14
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Three Bubbles Likely to Pop...
By Ian Cooper | Tuesday, July 28th, 2009
It's every investor''s dream — buy into a theme before any one else has caught on. . . ride it all the way up until it gets bubbly. . . and sell to the suckers who bought at the top. It's like buying housing names in 2004 (as we did), only to sell and go short in 2007 (as we did). . . or oil prior to the rise to $147 (again, as we did). . . or even dot-coms before the bubble burst. Yep, we've become all to familiar with the term "bubble" in recent years; that unsustainable phenomenon pumped full of irrationality and over-valuation only to burst and trigger monumental downturns that'll continue with Option ARM resets. We've seen it happen in Treasuries, financials, commercial real estate, autos, and credit. We watched in tortured silence, as an over-extended housing bubble popped, triggering a seismic credit meltdown. And pretty soon we'll have bubble bubbles, where our heads explode over the financial chaos. And now, unbeknownst to many, as we deal with banking and housing issues. . . are three more bubbles that'll pop. . . and soon. #1: Higher education will be next So say Joseph Marr Cronin, secretary of education in Massachusetts, and Howard E. Horton, president of Boston's New England College of Business and Finance. And we agree. The next bubble to burst will be higher education. No doubt about it. You see, higher education is big money for institutions and lenders alike. . . and they're in big trouble. What most people who are not directly involved with higher ed fail to understand is that these institutions and lenders are in the same sinking boat that banks and other financial companies are in. Assets are drowning. And debt and costs are rising. Under-capitalized colleges are staring down threats to solvency, as penny-pinching students and parents go for cheaper alternatives (community college, online colleges, etc.) and sources of funds dry up. Colleges are facing the same obstacles as banks, but the difference is. . . In the end it's the students that'll suffer, along with the colleges and universities. And that's not all. Lenders are about to take a hit, too. . . thanks to the Administration As President Obama urges an end to government subsidies for student loan providers, a number of education stocks could swan dive. Putting the kabash on these subsidies, according to Education Secretary Arne Duncan, could save the U.S. billions every year. The only roadblock is congressional approval. . . but this one looks imminent. Here's an excerpt from a recent New York Times editorial... The [new administration's] budget rightly calls for phasing out the wasteful and all-too-corruptible portion of the student program that relies on private lenders. And it calls for expanding the less-expensive and more-efficient program that allows students to borrow directly from the federal government. That means doing away with the Federal Family Education Loan Program, under which private lenders receive unnecessary subsidies to make risk-free student loans that are guaranteed by taxpayers. Worse for lenders, a bill that cleared a House Committee could remove private lenders from the federal student loan industry. It's a move that could generate $87 billion in savings over ten years to fund more government grants and loans. #2: Commercial Real Estate A crisis in the $6.7 trillion commercial real estate market looks like the next obstacle for the recession-weary. . . just as Steve Christ and I have been alerting readers. We're talking about $400 billion in commercial real estate loans that will mature this year and the billions more following. On top of that, banks could lose as much as $140 billion from construction loans that involve commercial real estate. And it's not likely to get any better any time soon. In fact, real estate experts and regulators just finished warning a U.S. Congressional committee that commercial real estate is headed for a crash that "could eclipse the devastating slump of the early 1990s."
Advertisement Are You Prepared For Oil's Second Super-Spike? ... The IEA, OPEC, and even presidential energy advisors agree... Oil prices will skyrocket over the coming months! In fact, considering the rapid surge from $33 in December to the near-$70s today, you could say that it already started. And there's nothing that you, me, or the president can do to stop it. Fortunately, while prices are still "low", there is time, however, for me to quickly share with you one investor's dirty little secret... One that pays you DOUBLE THE GAINS oil makes as prices soar higher and higher every day! Click Here For Your Free Report Now Worse, banks have been charing off "soured commercial mortgages at the fastest pace in nearly 20 years," according to the Wall Street Journal: "At that rate, losses on loans used to finance offices, shopping malls, hotels, apartments and other commercial property could reach about $30 billion by the end of 2009." In what's mirroring the residential real estate meltdown, the commercial market's bottom has been falling out. Delinquencies are beginning to rise. The meltdowns at some of the biggest commercial REITs could be another blow to a financial system teetering on the brink of disaster. Trust me, the Fed's shaking nervously over the prospect of a commercial real estate sector deteriorating sharply in the months ahead. That's because a large number of commercial real estate mortgages will come due at a time when:
Things are bad. . . and they'll only get worse before we see sustainable improvement. #3: Option ARM Bubbles The next phase of the disaster is upon us. . . and millions of investors are going to get wiped out, as more than $750 billion worth of Option ARMs (Adjustable Rate Mortgage) begin resetting later this year. But don't take it from me. The Wall Street Journal believes Option ARMs' "worst troubles may yet lie ahead. . . since the bulk are due to reset over the next three years or even earlier." And, says Goldman Sachs, which also just foolishly predicted 10% upside for the S&P 500, says that nearly half of all outstanding option adjustable rate mortgages — more than $375 billion worth — will eventually default. That's crazy. What should scare you to act quickly is this. . . Defaults on those loans will skyrocket as unemployment spikes. And it'll devastate the economy and the banking system. . . yet again. Really. . . how much more of this can we take, as economists predict that the U.S. unemployment rate could spike to 12% or higher? It's now at 9.5%. The Fed is even predicting that we're likely headed over 10%. Yep, just as 2007 and 2008 were the years of subprime woes, this one will go down as the year of Option ARM resets. With billions in Option ARM resets in 2009 and 2010, this crisis is about to unleash a fury no one's prepared for. It won't be as bad as subprime, of course. It'll be worse. That's because lenders created these ARMs with "teaser" features for borrowers, which included making lower minimal payments for the first few years before the loan reset to a higher payment schedule. And if that weren't bad enough, there was another feature called "negative amortization," which meant you weren't paying back any principal. What will happen is this: many borrowers, if they haven't already, will start throwing in the towel as they realize just how far under water they really are. And the likes of JP Morgan (JPM) could be heavily and negatively impacted. But two things are for certain. . . One, we'll be paying for someone else's mistake, yet again. And two, consumers could slow spending more than they already have. It's a Virtual Hit List of Real Estate, Education, and Housing Despite blind optimism on the economy that you're seeing throughout the financial press — especially CNBC — these three sectors are due for major downturns. . . and there are many way to profit from them. We're preparing a full analysis of these sectors and the companies to short for maximum gains in the next few days. But you can get a head start by becoming an Options Trading Pit member today. Good Investing, Ian L. Cooper
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petertan4949
Senior |
29-Jul-2009 00:28
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Everyone is talking abt housing, but the initial cause is creating havoc in other area 17 mthns later. Next comm real est. and prime morgagtes reset. credit card. student and auto loan. This one comm real est will be the next big crash, unless economy turn up fast, and american start to consume big as before How is this possible? well just wait for the bomb to drop. |
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dealer0168
Elite |
28-Jul-2009 23:43
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Maybe Dow may turn green again tomorrow haha............Time fr sweet dream investor...Time to sleep liao......oooo |
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handon
Master |
28-Jul-2009 23:41
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my boss decided to cover short n go long.... loss count 200 pts per contract... hehe... |
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dealer0168
Elite |
28-Jul-2009 23:40
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Today Dow may test the 9000 u hint yesterday
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dealer0168
Elite |
28-Jul-2009 23:31
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Now ~ -70 liao..... still not enough.....haha
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dealer0168
Elite |
28-Jul-2009 23:30
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Yup agreed with u. Cheers pal. In actual if Dow ended in red today, it is actually a healthy sign.
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Useful To Me Not Useful To Me |