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China xlx climbing

GuavaXF30
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28-Jan-2011 08:24

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I am afraid I have to agree with Mr.Bon. I see this coming down before too long...

Bon3260 ( Date: 28-Jan-2011 08:20) Posted:

U shd buy during Mid Feb2011. Below 0.490 u might c...

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bradical ( Date: 27-Jan-2011 23:57) Posted:

This afternoon I went in to buy @ 51cts. I think it is close to bottoming as the MFI has fallen to the bottom and stochastic which is oversold is turning up. Also MACD appears to be close to indicating buy signal. Prices may fall a bit lower in a ranging manner as the EMAs are still downward pointing, but I believe it is bottoming. That's my view.

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Bon3260
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28-Jan-2011 08:20

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U shd buy during Mid Feb2011. Below 0.490 u might c...

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bradical ( Date: 27-Jan-2011 23:57) Posted:

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bradical
Member

27-Jan-2011 23:57

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Alert Admin This afternoon I went in to buy @ 51cts. I think it is close to bottoming as the MFI has fallen to the bottom and stochastic which is oversold is turning up. Also MACD appears to be close to indicating buy signal. Prices may fall a bit lower in a ranging manner as the EMAs are still downward pointing, but I believe it is bottoming. That's my view.

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des_khor
Supreme

27-Jan-2011 00:15

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Yells: "Tell me who is the God or MFT from this forum??"

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Real MFT !!

Bon3260 ( Date: 26-Jan-2011 14:55) Posted:

Bingo!!!

Stock Name

Buy

BuyVol

Last

Chng

Vol

Sell

SellVol

Lot Size

China XLX

0.520

512

0.525

+0.020

1,258

0.525

1000

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Bon3260 ( Date: 26-Jan-2011 08:28) Posted:

Shd b rebounce soon max can reach 0.525.

Once rebounce, fm there'll drop again till 0.490 worst 0.465...

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Bon3260
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26-Jan-2011 14:55

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Bingo!!!

Stock Name

Buy

BuyVol

Last

Chng

Vol

Sell

SellVol

Lot Size

China XLX

0.520

512

0.525

+0.020

1,258

0.525

1000

('',)

Bon3260 ( Date: 26-Jan-2011 08:28) Posted:

Shd b rebounce soon max can reach 0.525.

Once rebounce, fm there'll drop again till 0.490 worst 0.465...

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greendino ( Date: 25-Jan-2011 22:45) Posted:

When will this descending triangle breakout likely end? Techie experts...anyone? I est. at ard 51 -52 cts based on the triangle height

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Bon3260
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26-Jan-2011 08:28

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Shd b rebounce soon max can reach 0.525.

Once rebounce, fm there'll drop again till 0.490 worst 0.465...

('',)

greendino ( Date: 25-Jan-2011 22:45) Posted:

When will this descending triangle breakout likely end? Techie experts...anyone? I est. at ard 51 -52 cts based on the triangle height

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greendino
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25-Jan-2011 22:45

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Alert Admin When will this descending triangle breakout likely end? Techie experts...anyone? I est. at ard 51 -52 cts based on the triangle height

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bradical
Member

18-Jan-2011 16:20

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Alert Admin Today it seems to be more sellers, (both by those with big lots of 100 & more and those holding between 16 to 50 lots) than buyers.

Could be short sellers? Don't know. As for me, i wud wait till all the selling subside.

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kelvintyk74
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18-Jan-2011 15:36

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Alert Admin thks for your view. These few days ,someone keep buying in Vol??? wat do u think? regards

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bradical
Member

18-Jan-2011 11:10

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Alert Admin Tread carefully tho stochastic are now oversold and may turn up.

I read in the latest EDGE (17Jan) that CIMB Research on 7 Jan has downgraded China XLX to "Underperform" and cut its price target to 45 cts, as it (CIMB) expects the co earnings to fall due to persistent cost pressures.

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kelvintyk74
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17-Jan-2011 16:34

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Hi ,

Can anyone tell me now trading at 0.545...time to buy?

Regards

bsiong ( Date: 01-Dec-2010 11:46) Posted:

/CIMB/
	01 Dec 2010 Singapore

China XLX Fertiliser
Quick takes - Higher export tariffs in December? - by Gary Ng
(CXLX SP / CXLX.SI, OUTPERFORM - Maintained, S$0.58 - Tgt. S$0.71, Industrial Goods and Services)

There has been much talk that Chinese regulators could again be looking at regulating grain input costs to sustain China 's food expansion. The Chinese government could possibly bring forward the peak export tariff for urea from Feb 11 to Dec 10. We reduce our FY10 EPS estimate by 9.8% because of possible changes in CXLX's sales mix, as less urea could be transferred to the production of compound fertilisers in 4Q10. Our target price remains S$0.71, set at 7x CY12 P/E, a 50% discount to peers. We continue to anticipate stock catalysts from: 1) a favourable outlook for methanol; 2) strong urea ASPs driven by winter fertiliser applications; and 3) the possible tweaking of off-peak urea export taxes in mid- to late 1Q11 in favour of the group; and 4) robust international urea prices.

/CIMB//

/ireadiposted/

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bsiong
Supreme

01-Dec-2010 11:46

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/CIMB/
	01 Dec 2010 Singapore

China XLX Fertiliser
Quick takes - Higher export tariffs in December? - by Gary Ng
(CXLX SP / CXLX.SI, OUTPERFORM - Maintained, S$0.58 - Tgt. S$0.71, Industrial Goods and Services)

There has been much talk that Chinese regulators could again be looking at regulating grain input costs to sustain China 's food expansion. The Chinese government could possibly bring forward the peak export tariff for urea from Feb 11 to Dec 10. We reduce our FY10 EPS estimate by 9.8% because of possible changes in CXLX's sales mix, as less urea could be transferred to the production of compound fertilisers in 4Q10. Our target price remains S$0.71, set at 7x CY12 P/E, a 50% discount to peers. We continue to anticipate stock catalysts from: 1) a favourable outlook for methanol; 2) strong urea ASPs driven by winter fertiliser applications; and 3) the possible tweaking of off-peak urea export taxes in mid- to late 1Q11 in favour of the group; and 4) robust international urea prices.

/CIMB//

/ireadiposted/

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bsiong
Supreme

25-Nov-2010 15:55

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Alert Admin China XLX : BUY S$0.59; Bloomberg: CXLX SP
Possible new export tariff;
Price Target: S$0.66
By: Pei Hwa HO

Potential new export tariff commencing 1 Dec. There have been talks
relating to revision of existing export tariff to cool off recent spike in
fertiliser prices. Based on China Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry Association,
"China Fertiliser Web" (中国化肥网) and "Agriculture Web" (农博网), Chinese
government is close to finalising the new export tariff policy, which
involves the change in classification of peak and off-peak seasons while
maintaining the tax rate. The peak period, which usually commences from
spring planting season in February, may now be brought forward by two
months to December. Please refer to Fig 1 for details of the potential new
export tariff.

Implications on urea industry:
1) No more export in Dec. The new tariff will wipe out export opportunities
from Dec'10 to Jan'11, which was previously classified as off-peak season
that enjoys low tariff of 7%. Note that current international price of over
US$320/ton is only marginally higher than domestic price of RMB2000/ton.

2) Shortened export window. With the new tariff, export window would be
shortened from 6 months to 4 months for 2011.

3) Price pressure in immediate term. China exports about 10% of its urea
output. If the new tariff is implemented, there will be additional capacity
channeled back to domestic, which will increase local supply of urea. This
will thus put an end to the recent rally of urea prices, from <RMB1700/ton
in 3Q to current RMB2000/ton, and impose downward pressure on urea prices
immediately.

4) Promote consolidation in the long run. On a positive note, government's
tight control in ensuring stable fertiliser prices and sufficient domestic
supply may help to encourage industry consolidation and phase out
inefficient small players. This should benefit the industry leaders like
China XLX.

Neutral; Not unexpected. We take a neutral stance on this market
speculation. This is in line with our expectation that the margin spread
between urea and coal price will remain at RMB500/ton, the breakeven price
for the urea industry, on average. In our view, any surge in urea price
will likely follow by reactive measures from government to ensure
affordability of fertiliser prices in favour of farmers.

Hence, no change to our earnings, recommendation and TP of China XLX. The
potential new tariff does not have direct impact on China XLX as all its
products are sold domestically. However, the unexpected "extra profits"
resulted from recent rally of urea prices would end with this new policy.
We expect China XLX to emerge stronger with capacity expansion and industry
consolidation in the long run on the back of its market leadership and cost efficiency.

/dbsV

/i came i read i posted for your info ONLY/

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bsiong
Supreme

22-Nov-2010 21:17

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Alert Admin Fertiliser manufacturer China XLX Fertiliser (CXLX SP; S$0.605; TP $0.71; Outperform).

With measures to boost agricultural production, we believe the outlook for CXLX remains stable. Incidentally, the strong urea average selling prices driven by fertiliser application for winter wheat planting in northern China in 4Q will also augur well for the company. That said, going forward, sales mix could change, as less urea could be transferred to the production of compound fertilisers (peaked in 3Q) in the next quarter. Therefore, margins could be a tad weaker in 4Q10.

/cimb

i came i read i posted

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teeth53
Supreme

21-Oct-2010 22:13

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From SJ forum

IPO IPO- Anchun by Kim Eng Underwriter

Date: 17-Oct-2010 15:29 Posted: See page 10 -

“Pre-IPO Investors” :- Sinostate Management, Able Gallery, Vision Top, China XLX, GoPower, SkyVen, Naresh Nanubhai Desai, Wong Chao Hsiung and Quek Yiang Hang

teeth53 - Anchun ipo closing on Oct 21, 2010 (Thus)

Look like China XLX is one of the major investor who stock is listed in SGX Stocks Exchange

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teeth53
Supreme

21-Oct-2010 21:56

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Alert Admin One of the Anchun ipo biggest supporter....

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ronleech
Master

07-Oct-2010 09:39

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Yells: "Believe in yourself. Ride with the waves......"

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Alert Admin Watch out...coming!!!

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ronleech
Master

06-Oct-2010 22:02

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Yells: "Believe in yourself. Ride with the waves......"

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Alert Admin Something brewing here...watch out!!!! Manybe this counter will be the next jumper like JES and others....

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swkhoo81
Member

15-Sep-2010 00:22

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Alert Admin Technical Breakout. Possibility of upside potential!

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swkhoo81
Member

13-Sep-2010 18:54

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Alert Admin Possibility of breakout soon? Resistance at 0.555-0.56.

Let's see...

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