Latest Forum Topics / Indofood Agri Last:0.32 -0.005 | Post Reply |
Indofoods ipo $1.25c (FYI)
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Nostradamus
Supreme |
18-Jun-2007 16:34
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Indonesian CPO export tax is upped from 1.5% to 6.5%, while export tax for crude olein, refined, bleached anddeodorised (RBD) olein is lifted from 0.3% to 6.5%. This also applies to crude stearin, palm kernel oil (PKO), RBD PKO and RBD stearin, which also saw export tax raised from 0% to 6.5%. At the current base CPO price of US$525 per tonne, CGK estimate the higher export tax will translate into additional costs of US$26.5 per tonne of CPO. They have lowered their EPS estimates for Indofood Agri by 3-6% for FY07-09 to account for the higher CPO tax.
CGK have cut their target price to $1.37 from $1.45 to account for their earnings adjustments. |
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spurs88
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29-May-2007 15:10
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Don't listen to others who are hoping for you to sell since they do not hold the stock. In fact Credit Suisse has just targeted this gem to reach $1.55!!! CHEONG AH!!!!!!!!!! Indofood Agri Resources Ltd ----------------------------------------- Upgrade to OUTPERFORM Proposed deal value LSIP equity at US$1 bn; IFAR trading 7.3x 08E EV/EBITDA post completion EPS: ◄► TP: ▲Haider Ali / Research Analyst / 62 21 2553 7974 / haider.ali@credit-suisse.com ● of IFAR?s proposed acquisition of a controlling stake in PT London Sumatra Indonesia (LSIP.JK, Rp6600.00, UNDERPERFORM [V], TP Rp5000.00). We issued a new flash report on the financial and valuation impact● LSIP at 08E EV/EBITDA of 7.3-7.8x and 08E P/E of 11.2-11.9x, which is at a discount to the 08E average multiples of LSIP?s peers. The proposed transaction values LSIP equity at US$1 bn, valuing● tender offer expected to be launched in 19 weeks (likely Oct 07) after acquisition of the 64.4% LSIP majority shareholding. IFAR expects to complete the transaction in two phases, with the● and 08E P/E range of 11.2-11.8, subject TO acceptance level. IFAR is trading at undemanding 08E EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.3x● on our estimated sum-of-the-parts value, assuming a minimum of 64.4% LSIP shareholding. For details refer to our flash note, 29 May 2007. Our rating is also upgraded to OUTPERFORM from Neutral. IFAR announced an offer to acquire a controlling shareholding in LSIP valuing LSIP equity at approximately US$1 bn. We have raised our TP for IFAR to S$1.55 (from S$1.35) basedFigure 1: Proposed offer structure LSIP shareholders LSIP share under offer Offer price Cash vs. Value (mn shares) (%) (Rp/share) share (Rp bn) Majority group 500 37 6,500 Cash 3,251 MCN conversion 269 20 6,500 Cash 1,751 ES shares 110 8 6,500 Share 712 Sub-total 879 64 5,713 Proposed TO 486 36 6,900 Cash - Maximum offer 1,365 100 - 3,351 Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates. The transaction is proposed to be completed in two phases: Phase I: Completion of conditional share purchase agreement. IFAR has entered into an agreement with LSIP?s majority shareholder group to acquire 879 mn LSIP shares at a value of Rp6,500/share, representing a 64.4% stake in LSIP on a fully diluted basis. Phase II: IFAR will make a tender offer (TO) for the remaining outstanding 486 mn LSIP shares (35.6% on fully diluted basis) at a TO price of Rp6,900/share. Amongst others, transaction completion is conditional upon gaining requisite shareholder and regulatory approvals, IFAR securing funding for the proposed cash portion of the proposed acquisition and IFAR?s completion of due diligence. Phase I is expected to be completed in 19 weeks from the agreement date of 25 May 2007. IFAR expects to make a TO following the completion of Phase I, possibly in Oct 2007. The following timetable is provided for illustrative purposes based on IFAR analyst briefing and press release. |
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zhuge_liang
Supreme |
28-May-2007 21:33
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Some words of caution. PT London Sumatra Tbk (Lonsum) is one of Indonesian's oldest plantation firms. It began operations in 1904. Analysts welcomed the logic of the deal, though some said the price may be too high. "This fits well with Indofood Agri, which has big downstream or refinery activity. With Lonsum's production, Indofood Agri will be outright self sufficient in CPO input for its refinery," UBS analyst Johannes Salim said in a client note. "Overall, we're slightly negative to neutral on implication to parent Indofood. The price paid for the acquisition looks steep," he added. Based on UBS' calculations, Indofood Agri will pay Lonsum around US$16,000-US$17,000 per hectare, compared to a cost of about US$3,500-US$4,000 per hectare to launch the plantation from scratch. |
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zhuge_liang
Supreme |
28-May-2007 21:27
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It will buy London Sumatra for $1.59 billion (US$1.05 billion). In a statement to the stock exchange dated Saturday, it said it will buy an initial 64.4% in London Sumatra from various controlling shareholders. It will then make an offer for the remaining stake for US$589 million dollars, said Indofood Agri. "The proposed acquisition will enable the group to expedite its strategy of increasing its oil palm planted area to 250,000 hectares (617,500 acres) and achieving self-sufficiency in meeting the group's CPO requirements," the company said. Analyst Robert Adair from CIMB brokerage said the acquisition was a good strategic fit for Indofood Agri Resources. "We believe London Sumatra is a good fit for Indo Agri as its estates are well managed and some of its oil palm estates are located in the same region as Indo Agri's current mature oil palm estates, providing opportunities for synergies," Adair said. He said in a report the deal will allow Indofood Agri Resources to "expand its planted oil palm estates by 84%." |
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lpkoh5
Senior |
28-May-2007 17:24
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Just to share...one brokerage firm feels that the acqusition price is too steep...therefore they are unloading all their shares in the market...i went in last week at $1.28 and I sold off all in the morning at $1.31.... | |
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Pension
Elite |
28-May-2007 14:32
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after the aquistion of ...london, the size of palm oil planatation will be very big so reap in big money. cheong soon. |
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Pension
Elite |
28-May-2007 14:10
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coffee and sugar cane price go up very high today, I think the palm oil will go up soon, so share price also go up. |
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lpkoh5
Senior |
27-May-2007 09:09
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Yes, definitely a postive news...this counter will hit $1.50 in no time | |
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zhuge_liang
Supreme |
26-May-2007 22:30
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Good sign, of course. Indofood will issue 98,082,830 new ordinary shares at the issue price of $1.2758 to the Target Group. The Target Group is one of the largest producers of crude palm oil in Indonesia. The Target Group produced approximately 340,015 metric tonnes of CPO in 2006. The Target Group also has high fresh fruit bunch (?FFB?) yields, and CPO extraction rate of approximately 23.3%. Together with the Group?s CPO production of approximately 300,000 metric tonnes in 2006, the combined CPO production would be approximately 640,015 metric tonnes. Based on the latest annual report of the Target Group for FY2006, oil palm products and rubber accounted for approximately 69.6% and 22.3% of its total revenue, respectively. The balance was contributed by the sale of its other commodities (including cocoa, tea and coffee) and the oil palm seeds business of approximately 3.7% and 4.4%, respectively. |
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mysingtel
Member |
24-May-2007 20:25
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so is it a good sign or bad one? Any advise? | |
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zhuge_liang
Supreme |
24-May-2007 18:54
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First Golden Agri, then Wilmar and now it's Indofood's turn to rally! A unit of Indonesia's largest instant noodle maker, PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk, will acquire plantation firm, PT London Sumatra Tbk (Lonsum), a source close to the deal said on Thursday. Lonsum, one of the oldest plantation firms in Indonesia and focused on palm oil, said its parent company, First Durango Pte. Ltd., was in talks to sell a majority stake in the company, but declined to name the other party. The source said Indofood Agri Resources, the plantation arm of Indofood, was buying Lonsum's stake, but declined to give a value of the deal or the size of the stake. Both Indofood and Lonsum's shares trading in Jakarta and Indofood Agri's shares were suspended on Thursday. "London Sumatra has been an M&A target in the past 18 months," said Andreas Bokkenheuser, an analyst at UBS, in a report. London Sumatra has a stock market value of about US$800 million, while Indofood Agri's market capitalisation is about US$1.1 billion. Indofood's corporate secretary, Intan Fauzi, said one of Indofood's units was in the process of buying another company but declined to name either the target or the unit. Lonsum has 40 plantations mostly in Indonesia's resource-rich Sumatra island. After concentrating on rubber in the 1950s through the 1970s, it diversified into palm oil in the mid-1980s. According to data last year, it had around 59,000 hectares (145,800 acres) of palm oil plantations at the end of '05 that produced 328,688 tonnes of crude palm oil in '05, but had been looking for financing for expansion plans. |
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lpkoh5
Senior |
24-May-2007 09:11
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Any idea why trading halt? Some good news coming up? | |
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sports12
Member |
11-Apr-2007 23:15
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Think tomorrow can cheong above 1.3? What is a good price to sell? 1.35 - 1.4?? |
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mysingtel
Member |
11-Apr-2007 22:33
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I just receive Indofood's AGM today from my mailbox. |
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spurs88
Senior |
11-Apr-2007 09:22
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Kim Eng targets $1.62 this morning! CHEONG AH!!!
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alanllt
Member |
10-Apr-2007 23:35
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Any expert's advise ? Seem going downtrend. | |
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alanllt
Member |
09-Apr-2007 23:34
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couldn't find much info for this company. Website under construction. Able to advise ? | |
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zhuge_liang
Supreme |
09-Apr-2007 22:54
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alanllt, Pls get your facts right. Do a bit of research. IPO price of $1.25 will provide a bit of resistance. Should be able to break through with little effort. |
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alanllt
Member |
09-Apr-2007 22:09
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Didn't turn up to cheong as expected .. will tmr be another uptrend ? Instant Noodles ? What is the nature of this company ? Thought it is construction ? | |
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flare78
Member |
09-Apr-2007 22:09
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looks like heavy resistance at 1.25, any TA expert got any views? |
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