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Latest Forum Topics / AusGroup    Last:0.009 --  Post Reply
AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m
xin9999
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06-Nov-2012 12:54     
 
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thanks for your analysis. i bought some @ 47.5cents.

only BB can move this, this counter has been dull for some time. 


khng2012      ( Date: 06-Nov-2012 11:49) Posted:



This is not my expertise to advise if it anybody will sell down 1 bit or buy 1 bit up.

Once I see positive trend, I will just rush in to buy or sell without considering the 1 bit different since It won't make big different in loss or profit (unless you buy 1000lots which may have 5000 dollar  different, but if I have money to buy 1000lots, I won't care about 5000dollar).

Just now I saw price at 47cents, actually I am quite regret to miss to buy below 46.5cents since I saw last friday chart that BB buy in at 46.5. After seeing today rally without  much selling, It tell me selling is dry and very difficult for me to buy at 46.5, so I just buy 47cents.

I am not BB can't decide their movement. However, I can see today or this week intention to push it till 50cents before coming result release.

All the best to all and wish all huat.

Now BB release some share at 47.5cents. It is up to you if you want to buy.

pcxiao2008      ( Date: 06-Nov-2012 11:22) Posted:

i queue at 47.5 to. is it still safe to buy at 47.5 or 48c now, khng2012
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khng2012
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06-Nov-2012 11:49     
 
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This is not my expertise to advise if it anybody will sell down 1 bit or buy 1 bit up.

Once I see positive trend, I will just rush in to buy or sell without considering the 1 bit different since It won't make big different in loss or profit (unless you buy 1000lots which may have 5000 dollar  different, but if I have money to buy 1000lots, I won't care about 5000dollar).

Just now I saw price at 47cents, actually I am quite regret to miss to buy below 46.5cents since I saw last friday chart that BB buy in at 46.5. After seeing today rally without  much selling, It tell me selling is dry and very difficult for me to buy at 46.5, so I just buy 47cents.

I am not BB can't decide their movement. However, I can see today or this week intention to push it till 50cents before coming result release.

All the best to all and wish all huat.

Now BB release some share at 47.5cents. It is up to you if you want to buy.

pcxiao2008      ( Date: 06-Nov-2012 11:22) Posted:

i queue at 47.5 to. is it still safe to buy at 47.5 or 48c now, khng2012?

xin9999      ( Date: 06-Nov-2012 11:10) Posted:

i queued @ .475..dont know can get it or not...


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khng2012
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06-Nov-2012 11:23     
 
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This round is totally different.

102lots, do you know what is it? This is the selling down lots so far from 47 to 48.

6175lots, this is the buy up lots from 47 to 48. This is not bought by you and me but BB!!!!

 
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pcxiao2008
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06-Nov-2012 11:22     
 
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 Alert Admin 		i queue at 47.5 to. is it still safe to buy at 47.5 or 48c now, khng2012?

xin9999      ( Date: 06-Nov-2012 11:10) Posted:

i queued @ .475..dont know can get it or not...

khng2012      ( Date: 06-Nov-2012 10:55) Posted:

When Ausgroup heat is ceased, that is the time to next rally. Now is the time!!!
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khng2012
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06-Nov-2012 11:19     
 
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queue or buy. 46.5cernts? you won't get it.

This is very obvious big buy from BB after last friday. As I said, 1Q result will be either this week or next week, result will not be bad.

Actually, no much time for BB to push up further. It may be another fast and furious round.

stevenlim109      ( Date: 06-Nov-2012 11:14) Posted:

  me queued at .465
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stevenlim109
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06-Nov-2012 11:14     
 
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 Alert Admin 		  me queued at .465
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ozone2002
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06-Nov-2012 11:14     
 
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dip is an opportunity to buy..

gd luck dyodd..

ozone2002      ( Date: 02-Nov-2012 13:32) Posted:

good news for ausgrp... price falling doesn't mean the business is no gd..

just that the sentiment of the players are not favourable at the moment..

will accumulate on dip on the fundamental news.. gd luck dyodd

AusGroup has secured fabrication, supply and installation

work with CSBP Limited for the prilling plant upgrade

associated with its ammonium nitrate expansion project. With

this contract award, AusGroup

AU$306m.’s orderbook now stands at
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khng2012
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06-Nov-2012 11:14     
 
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1172 sell down VS 9805 buy up.

BB may be sell down later, if they don't sell down, it mean this week  will be super huge rally.
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xin9999
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06-Nov-2012 11:10     
 
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 Alert Admin 		i queued @ .475..dont know can get it or not...

khng2012      ( Date: 06-Nov-2012 10:55) Posted:

When Ausgroup heat is ceased, that is the time to next rally. Now is the time!!!
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khng2012
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06-Nov-2012 10:55     
 
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 Alert Admin 		When Ausgroup heat is ceased, that is the time to next rally. Now is the time!!!
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khng2012
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06-Nov-2012 10:20     
 
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Hi All, it is time to load back Ausgroup since quarter result will release next week. There are few transaction  was big buy without releasing out.

I load some, all the best to all.
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xin9999
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06-Nov-2012 10:19     
 
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 Alert Admin 		it started to awake?
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Peter_Pan
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05-Nov-2012 23:47     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Umm...o...k....hmmm..

teeth53      ( Date: 05-Nov-2012 23:43) Posted:



SG was v.right, vol traded in Ausgrp is low. - all gone i guessed otherwise will call for don sell...buy more,..then later panic again.
teeth53         ( Date: 01-Nov-2012 23:02) Posted:
Today AusGroup       Last:0.445     Vol:14610k     -0.02
Mkt players needed badly, more then good luck to take cover...Happi speculating.
teeth53 thot -  Strong optimistic players - MIA..??.
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teeth53
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05-Nov-2012 23:43     
 
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SG was v.right, vol traded in Ausgrp is low. - all gone i guessed otherwise will call for don sell...buy more,..then later panic again.
teeth53         ( Date: 01-Nov-2012 23:02) Posted:
Today AusGroup       Last:0.445     Vol:14610k     -0.02
Mkt players needed badly, more then good luck to take cover...Happi speculating.
teeth53 thot -  Strong optimistic players - MIA..??.
teeth53         ( Date: 09-Oct-2012 08:57) Posted:
I see optimistic players promoting buy more, oso mentioned don buy n don sell advise.
Which mean hold, it may oso mean unable to off load, but just buying more.
Just hard to fathom players mind, given it is with a  good intention.


Peter_Pan      ( Date: 05-Nov-2012 23:25) Posted:

Wah...you talk very chim.

teeth53      ( Date: 05-Nov-2012 23:09) Posted:



Today Summary - Optimistic players  while support @lower px,  stronger players gone  MIA...liao. 
Op-0.455 Cls-0.455 -0.005c -1.1% Volume-4,157,000


Last Trades Volume Bid Volume Mid Ask Volume
0.455 176 2,989,000 2,803,000 0 186,000
0.460 198 1,159,000 161,000 0 998,000
0.465 3 9,000 0 0 9,000
TOTAL 377 4,157,000 2,964,000 0 1,193,000


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Peter_Pan
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05-Nov-2012 23:25     
 
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teeth53      ( Date: 05-Nov-2012 23:09) Posted:



Today Summary - Optimistic players  while support @lower px,  stronger players gone  MIA...liao. 
Op-0.455 Cls-0.455 -0.005c -1.1% Volume-4,157,000


Last Trades Volume Bid Volume Mid Ask Volume
0.455 176 2,989,000 2,803,000 0 186,000
0.460 198 1,159,000 161,000 0 998,000
0.465 3 9,000 0 0 9,000
TOTAL 377 4,157,000 2,964,000 0 1,193,000

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teeth53
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05-Nov-2012 23:09     
 
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Today Summary - Optimistic players  while support @lower px,  stronger players gone  MIA...liao. 
Op-0.455 Cls-0.455 -0.005c -1.1% Volume-4,157,000


Last Trades Volume Bid Volume Mid Ask Volume
0.455 176 2,989,000 2,803,000 0 186,000
0.460 198 1,159,000 161,000 0 998,000
0.465 3 9,000 0 0 9,000
TOTAL 377 4,157,000 2,964,000 0 1,193,000
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teeth53
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03-Nov-2012 00:23     
 
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Same msg again?,  for this coming week trading, with alittle optimtistic, there's hope for players  to hand on.

" AS ALWAYS SOME WILL WIN FROM SOME WHO LOST."

LEARN to respect mkt share behavior...Happi trading. Do trade with care.


teeth53      ( Date: 29-Oct-2012 16:44) Posted:



Still this same msg..now last done, trading at 0.490 cts.

" PLAYERS WHO HAV A CHOICE TO RESPECT MKT SHARE BEHAVIOR CAN SAVE SOME LOSSES."

" AS ALWAYS SOME WILL WIN FROM SOME WHO LOST."

Last Trades Volume Bid Volume Mid Ask Volume
0.490 128 2,002,000 1,632,000 0 370,000
0.495 48 1,490,000 1,342,000 0 148,000
0.500 188 3,619,000 3,599,000 0 20,000
0.505 109 2,280,000 2,233,000 0 47,000
0.510 145 3,042,000 1,807,000 0 1,235,000
TOTAL 618 12,433,000 10,613,000 0 1,820,000


teeth53      ( Date: 14-Oct-2012 20:18) Posted:



Ausgroup - no news is good nor is bad. This week, Optimistic players would like to buy/sell beyond > 0.54, while players on the bench is awaiting opportunities buy  @< 0.51, there are however as many players will let go once reach their TP (buy/sell/ -- holding?. and or on contra). All pending mkt behavior...Happi speculating
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teeth53
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03-Nov-2012 00:07     
 
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MIA. Calling has gone to another counter and not Ausgrp liao.

How this wk performence?, same like  for last week? - right. This coming wk (trade)  can see Ausgrp seeing some action on volume.  (Upside is limited as players sell into strength, today most stk  is in  +ve territoties).

teeth53 thot -  Trade with care. Happi speculating.

teeth53      ( Date: 02-Nov-2012 15:36) Posted:

THOT, THEY NEED SOME $600 MILLION TO BREAK EVEN, $300 MILLION IS ONI HALF OF, NEED ANOTHER 100% TO BREAK EVEV...HAPPI SPECULATING

Sgshares      ( Date: 02-Nov-2012 12:49) Posted:



teeth53 thot -  Strong optimistic players - MIA..?? - all gone i guessed otherwise will call for don sell...buy more...then later panic again.
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khng2012
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02-Nov-2012 21:16     
 
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9.48. My call buy was at 6.38.

3Q result finally is out, no so bad result but critical is coal is recovering in the global market. Situation is changed as compared 1 to 2 month ago. This 3Q result and recovering market will push Alpha to my 6 month(13dollar) to 1 year(23dollar) target price.

khng2012      ( Date: 09-Oct-2012 13:40) Posted:



Reason for choosing Alpha Natural Resource

1) Obama may lose this election. Obama won the 90% of vote  of  coal mining states in last election since all these people are middle class people and support Obama since they believe Obama  will take care them. But, their dream doesn't come true. Obama will be die on the hand of all  these coal mining states  which is about 30% of vote right in US

2) Alpha Natural Resource 60% revenue from coking coal and 40% revenue from thermal coal. They idle 8 mines and retrench 1200 workers who are working in thermal coal mine. The revenue percentage of thermal coal will cut down further.

3) Coking coal price currently is about 2 times higher than thermal coal price now although drop massively from 330per ton(2011, Australia  flood)  to 170perton (Japan recently record). However, the operation cost for coking coal is only about 20% more expensive than thermal coal. So profit margin is still quite high. 330 per ton to 170 per ton vs the share price of 66 dollars(2011) to 6.78 dollars.

4) Natural gas are up till 3.40 per mmbtu vs 2.13 per mmbtu of thermal coal price (converted as per energy burning figure)

5) Evidence show that Japan are working closely with Russia to obtain the Natural gas instead of relying on the LNG source from Australia. 40% of natural gas supplied from Russia to Europe will jack up the energy price in Europe. Recent figure show that Europe purchased thermal coal from US in Aug which is about 13% production of thermal coal in US in August. Natural gas price in Europe will be higher and higher and the immediate replacement which is not affected by season is only thermal coal since oil price is even higher for electric generation.

6) Coking coal are used for steel making. The period of downturn cycle of steel demand is about 6 months, now is 3rd month.

7) Alpha Natural resource having the lowest debt ratio among its peers listed in US like arch coal, peabody, Waltersol and etc.

8) Alpha Natural resource price are the most pressured price among all its peers during this downturn which is drop from peak in 2011 66 till 6.78 dollars.

I would like to take the risk to earn big. Info provided for reference and trade with own risk.

merlin_magic      ( Date: 09-Oct-2012 13:18) Posted:

Khng: Coal related stocks cannot go far due to Obama introduction of clean energy... However, it will cheong when winter approaches... The US commodity stock I prefer is Alcoa....However, I have sold off my stake as I am worried that Q3 results to be announced tonight falls short of expectation....
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ozone2002
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02-Nov-2012 16:41     
 
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up to 46.5c now.. vol looks better..

gd luck dyodd

ozone2002      ( Date: 02-Nov-2012 13:32) Posted:

good news for ausgrp... price falling doesn't mean the business is no gd..

just that the sentiment of the players are not favourable at the moment..

will accumulate on dip on the fundamental news.. gd luck dyodd

AusGroup has secured fabrication, supply and installation

work with CSBP Limited for the prilling plant upgrade

associated with its ammonium nitrate expansion project. With

this contract award, AusGroup

AU$306m.’s orderbook now stands at
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