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Latest Forum Topics / Genting Sing    Last:0.765    -0.005  Post Reply
GenSp starts to move up again
AnthonyTan
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22-Feb-2010 14:59     
 
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OK advise noted

I was thinking of either double your money

or quit
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smartrader
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22-Feb-2010 14:53     
 
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 Alert Admin 		stick to sell 10 lots and sleep well tonight...
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AnthonyTan
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22-Feb-2010 14:49     
 
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Bought 10 lot @ .955 am

Waiting to sell 20 lot later.

Which type do I belong, hahaha

Cheers and good luck



smartrader      ( Date: 22-Feb-2010 14:29) Posted:



there are two types of short sellers.. one type wins money and the other one type  loses money.... money changing hands only.....

Today, SGX buying in did not show Genting, so the 2nd type has to cover back position everytime they short.... so this morning many short at below 96 cts have to cover back fast if not they will miss the boat and lose money when it goes up to $1... 

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knightrider
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22-Feb-2010 14:45     
 
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Casinos & Gaming (GICS)  Gaming (Citi) :

 Investment strategy

We rate Genting Singapore as Sell/High Risk. We believe that the market's

expectations are far too high for Resorts World Sentosa, part of Singapore's

Integrated Resort (along with Marina Bay Sands). According to consensus,

RWS and MBS in their first full year of operations will achieve combined gross

gaming revenue equivalent to 50% of Las Vegas at approx US$4bn. We

estimate the total market size in 2011 will be US$2.8bn - ~30% below

consensus. We expect RWS will take significantly longer than is currently

forecast to achieve the level of visitor arrivals needed to meet the market's

revenue and EBITDA projections for its gaming and theme park products.

Valuation

Our S$0.76 target price for Genting Singapore is derived by assigning equal

weights to the equity values derived from our sum-of-the-parts (S$0.64/share)

and DCF (S$0.87) valuation methodologies.

Under the SOTP valuation, we value the group’s Singapore casino and

Singapore Theme Park at 14x 2011E EV/EBITDA (discounted back to 2010),

which is in line with the average multiple for the core Macau gaming names.

We value the UK casinos at 10x 2010E EV/EBITDA, in line with the multiple we

assign to lower growth US gaming names.

Our DCF valuation is based on a WACC of ~7% and a long-term growth rate of

2%. The WACC is derived from a cost of equity of 7% and an after-tax cost of

debt of 4.2%. The cost of equity is based on an expected market return of 9%

(in line with the long-term return of the S&P500) – which includes a 1% riskfree

rate based on current borrowing costs – and a raw adjusted beta of ~0.8,

as reported by Bloomberg. Using our WACC assumption and growth rate we

apply a 22x multiple to our terminal value. 
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smartrader
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22-Feb-2010 14:44     
 
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14:42:48 0.975 1,974,000 Sold To Buyer
14:42:47 0.975 200,000 Sold To Buyer
14:42:46 0.975 115,000 Sold To Buyer
14:42:45 0.975 4,700,000 Sold To Buyer
14:42:36 0.975 10,000 Sold To Buyer
14:42:25 0.975 62,000 Sold To Buyer
short sellers never give up....hehe
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KannaSze
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22-Feb-2010 14:36     
 
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 Alert Admin 		market is taking cue from you, except I don't know which way !! Smiley

dealer0168      ( Date: 22-Feb-2010 14:29) Posted:

Seems like Genting going to claim back its $1 status soon.
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KannaSze
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22-Feb-2010 14:34     
 
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smartrader      ( Date: 22-Feb-2010 14:33) Posted:

do not be misled by the huge sell vol at 98 cts and 98.5 cts.. it will disappear into thin air if there is momentum in buying..
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smartrader
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22-Feb-2010 14:34     
 
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See the queues...

Bid Bid Vol Ask Vol Ask
0.975 7,389,000 12,899,000 0.980
0.970 11,309,000 8,669,000 0.985
0.965 12,939,000 13,048,000 0.990
0.960 10,689,000 7,916,000 0.995
0.955 9,796,000 12,423,000 1.000
0.950 14,626,000 9,252,000 1.010
0.945 11,366,000 7,978,000 1.020
0.940 9,668,000 1,176,000 1.030
0.935 7,167,000 655,000 1.040
0.930 7,319,000 1,310,000 1.050
0.925 6,303,000 197,000 1.060
0.920 2,153,000 83,000 1.070
0.915 645,000 343,000 1.080
0.910 2,400,000 26,000 1.090
0.905 1,314,000 210,000 1.100
0.900 6,736,000 15,000 1.120
0.895 289,000 14,000 1.130
0.890 1,383,000 831,000 1.150
0.885 30,000 341,000 1.160
0.880 959,000 33,000
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smartrader
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22-Feb-2010 14:33     
 
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 Alert Admin 		do not be misled by the huge sell vol at 98 cts and 98.5 cts.. it will disappear into thin air if there is momentum in buying..
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vostro69
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22-Feb-2010 14:30     
 
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Meeting resistance at 0.985 (5 day MA). 

If can breach this level then might go up more. 
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dealer0168
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22-Feb-2010 14:29     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Seems like Genting going to claim back its $1 status soon.
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smartrader
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22-Feb-2010 14:29     
 
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there are two types of short sellers.. one type wins money and the other one type  loses money.... money changing hands only.....

Today, SGX buying in did not show Genting, so the 2nd type has to cover back position everytime they short.... so this morning many short at below 96 cts have to cover back fast if not they will miss the boat and lose money when it goes up to $1... 
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pharoah88
Supreme
22-Feb-2010 14:27     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Thanks for the posting

smartrader      ( Date: 22-Feb-2010 12:22) Posted:



Genting SP G13 i -- SGD 0.975
+0.035 +3.7 105,820,000 7,961,000 0.970 0.975 7,924,000

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OO123123
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22-Feb-2010 14:26     
 
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 Alert Admin 		0.99 will be next resistance....after lunch expecting more ups...huat ar...
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pharoah88
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22-Feb-2010 14:18     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Why did not buy S$0.90 instead?

winfully      ( Date: 22-Feb-2010 14:09) Posted:

hehehe...everybody so happy.....i just join in the fun...bought at 0.96Smiley
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winfully
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22-Feb-2010 14:16     
 
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 Alert Admin 		yaya...will monitor closely...
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smartrader
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22-Feb-2010 14:14     
 
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 Alert Admin 		watch carefully..the buy and sell volumes are manipulated or closely watched by syndicates.. it disappeared very fast when anything trade done about 1 mill was executed..
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nickyng
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22-Feb-2010 14:14     
 
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 Alert Admin 		SHORT for sure !! 

OO123123      ( Date: 22-Feb-2010 13:55) Posted:

the resistance 0.95  was broken...now should be testing 1.00....if break 1.00 today will be a beautiful marubuzu candle..hopefullly...then shall serve as confirmation as the reversal sign for last fri doji?

 

 

for those long: buy on support, sell on resistance...& this shall vise versa for those short...

but for nickyng, if it ever hit 1.05 & breaks it...should u be longing instead shorting?...just my humble opinion for sharing, hope you dun mind

 

 



nickyng      ( Date: 22-Feb-2010 12:42) Posted:

ok...give u chance...if it ever hit 1.05 ! i can start shorting !! :P


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winfully
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22-Feb-2010 14:13     
 
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 Alert Admin 		genting got dividend meh http://www.sharejunction.com/sharejunction/rssFeed.htm?id=0
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winfully
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22-Feb-2010 14:09     
 
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 Alert Admin 		hehehe...everybody so happy.....i just join in the fun...bought at 0.96Smiley
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