Latest Forum Topics / Metro Last:0.46 -- | Post Reply |
Metro
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shplayer
Elite |
28-Sep-2006 07:55
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lausk22, Mkt sentiment...yes..will agree that this is a factor. Players with own agenda???.....depends on how deep his pockets relative to the daily trading average of that counter. It needs to be sufficient to make an impact on the price of the counter. |
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lausk22
Veteran |
28-Sep-2006 00:01
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Besides TA and FA, stock prices are always driven by two other very important factors, which are market sentiment and players who have their own agenda. Agree? |
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Nostradamus
Supreme |
27-Sep-2006 10:59
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Shui On Land raised US$797m (HK$6.2b) when it priced its Hong Kong IPO at the top of an indicated range, a source close to the deal said. Shui On Land sold 1.16b shares at HK$5.35, compared with a range of HK$4.80 to HK$5.35, the source said. Shui On Land, which turned a cluster of dilapidated houses in Shanghai into the trendy Xintiandi bar and dining area, initially planned to raise up to US$986m but the deal was postponed amid deteriorating markets earlier this year. Investors may be rattled by a recent scandal involving Shanghai's top government official, who is accused of misusing social security funds for illicit loans and investments in real estate. Chen Liangyu was dismissed for corruption, making him the highest leader to be knocked out of power in national party chief Hu Jintao's campaign to root out abuses. Shui On Land has borrowed RMB875m through an entrusted loan from Shanghai Municipal Enterprise Funds Developments, and there had been local media speculation over whether those funds came from social security coffers. "It is an uncertainty ... it will have an impact on its debut price," said Peter Churchouse, a fund manager at LIM Advisors and a long-time Hong Kong-based property analyst. Shui On Land would repay the loan early to ease concerns arising from the scandal, Chief Executive Vincent Lo told reporters last week. Shui On is hoping for a strong first day opening, as its shelved offering aimed to sell 1.017b shares in a range of HK$5.60 to HK$7.55 each. The offering price of HK$5.35 values the company, founded by the well-connected Lo, at 15.2x forecast 2006 underlying earnings of RMB1.45b. Shui On's deal, including its IPO proceeds and a US$100m investment by global bank HSBC Holdings, values it at 35.2% below its NTA. The offering price range represented 32.9 to 39% below the NTA of RMB27.9b estimated by its underwriters. Rival Shanghai Forte Co. trades at about 45% below its NTA. Shui On Land will beging trading on Oct. 4 under the symbol "0272.HK". |
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singaporegal
Supreme |
26-Sep-2006 11:08
Yells: "Female TA nut" |
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cashiertan's right... doesn't look good in the charts. |
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Nostradamus
Supreme |
26-Sep-2006 10:56
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Shui On Land plans to set final pricing on Sep 27 and begin to trade its shares on Oct 4. |
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cashiertan
Elite |
26-Sep-2006 02:20
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doesnt look good. Wow Red spot on man |
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derekchong
Veteran |
23-Sep-2006 11:26
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for stock to move up or dowm 1cent - 2cents is very common. not a freak incident. |
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cashiertan
Elite |
23-Sep-2006 03:42
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the dip ro 81.5c should be a freak incident. i dun think we should worry too much as the big fish havent sell their stakes yet. i believe we can hold on for the moment. $1 shouldnt be a problem with the sucessful ipo lauched in HK. |
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cashiertan
Elite |
22-Sep-2006 16:27
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ok paiseh. i wanted to type 1.13 but i cant edit it after posting. |
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shplayer
Elite |
22-Sep-2006 14:06
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cashiertan, Where did you get the figure of Metro's NTA is $1.30? According to Metro's announcement of 21 Sep, after the SOL IPO, Metro's NTA will be about $1.13. Appreciate your clarification. Thank you. |
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lausk22
Veteran |
22-Sep-2006 13:19
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So at $1. Discount to NTA will be 23%. Quite good already. If retreat below 80c can buy some more liao. |
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cashiertan
Elite |
22-Sep-2006 01:25
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This counter NTA is appox $1.30 if i not wrong, however there is counters that are selling at below NTA. |
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lausk22
Veteran |
21-Sep-2006 23:28
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Wonder what the TA specialists will say about the counter? Can break the $1 mark? |
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Nostradamus
Supreme |
21-Sep-2006 19:36
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Depending on the actual price for Shui On Land (SOL), HK$4.80-5.35, Metro will realize profit of $23.9 - $29.2m (3.8-4.6 cents per share) from the sale of 70m SOL shares that it will receive from the mandatory conversion of the preference shares held. After onverting the preference shares and exercising the warrants, Metro will sell 70m during the IPO. The remaining 69.2-76.3m SOL shares that Metro is entitled to cannot, without the consent of SOL, be sold for a period of 6 months after listing. At HK$4.85 - 5.35, Metro has unrealized profit of $29.8 - 32.7m. And the unrealized profit from the shares arising from the exercise of warrants would amount to $5.0 - 5.8m. Assuming full divestment, Metro's NTA will increase by $0.087 - $0.101 to $1.122 - 1.136 from $1.035 per share. Metro's price has risen 7.5 cents to 84 cents on Sep 18/19, suggesting the market has been pricing in yet another generous payout by the company. |
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Nostradamus
Supreme |
20-Sep-2006 11:23
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It plans to sell 70m Shui On Land shares via IPO on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. Metro holds 30m senior convertible redeemable participating preference shares in Shui and On and another 20m junior convertible redeemable participating preference shares. In addition, Metro holds US$27m worth of Shui On senior notes due in 2008. Both the senior and junior preference shares will be converted into Shui On ordinary shares toalling 139.20-146.3m shares, depending on the IPO price of Shui On, it said. The senior notes, when converted, will give Metro an additional 8-8.1m Shui On shares. Shui On's indicative IPO price is between HK$4.80 and HK$5.35 per share. Based on the indicative IPO price, Metro said it hopes to raise anywhere from HK$336-374.5m from the partial sale of its Shui On shares Proceeds from the divestment will be used to repay existing debt as well as fund new investments and strategic alliances. |
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red1721
Senior |
18-Sep-2006 23:29
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I do not wanna take the risk since I already saw my profits today. Moreover, this counter having some mix signals last week, can just go either way if not careful. I say take profits and move on, even if it moves further north or south, you're already on the better side. |
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red1721
Senior |
18-Sep-2006 23:26
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I do not wanna take the risk since I already saw my profits today. Moreover, this counter having some mix signals last week, can just go either way if not careful. I say take profits and move on, even if it moves further north or south, you're already on the better side. |
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lausk22
Veteran |
18-Sep-2006 22:34
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Sounds like the doomsayer predicts again;) All pessimists better throw metro tomorrow while the going is still good!! |
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Nostradamus
Supreme |
18-Sep-2006 18:51
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The current market sentiment on China property market seems to be bearish. This is reflected in the recent IPO launch of Shui On Land. After postponing its IPO in Jun, it has relaunched in Sep and has been reduced significantly in size. The offer size has been reduced from the range of US$760m - US$989m to the current range of US$550m - US$650m and this will be achieved by cutting back the number of shares offered from 25% of the company to current 20%, and also by lowering the current price. Shui On Land may not perform well. And hence so will Metro's price. |
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red1721
Senior |
18-Sep-2006 16:12
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change of mind....letting it go at 0.83 |
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