Dear Readers,

Below are my Reply to your Request !

ShareJunction ( Request & Review ) ? 4 ( Wed )( 7 Feb 07 )

?General Reply?

1.  Forumer ?idesa168? à Thanks for your beer treat offer but I don?t drink beer.  Maybe a COKE were do !  Or wait till if you can make ?LOT LOT? money from my stocks recommendation, then can you give me a ?BIG? dinner treat instead ? ha ha ha !

2.  Forumer ?ZhouYu? à CNA Stock Trend,  can be found on any RSI Charts.  The recommendation based on the below Study and Observation :

a.       The RSI looks low, and if it is low, means next stage, it?s has a higher chance of going up !

b.      It has also formed an Inverted ?Head and Shoulder? pattern on the RSI Charts to date 7 Feb 07.  An inverted head & shoulder means it?s most likely to go upward soon !

c.       The volume & other indicators also showed similar sign that it is in it?s low cycle mode !

d.     The drop period is also ?Short?, at only 3.5 weeks or 23 days and the ?drop magnitude? is also reasonable at about 26% from a cycle high of $0.745 to a cycle low of $0.555.  Also there is already ?BLOOD ON THE STREET? !  Logically speaking, it should do a ?rebounce? after so much ?blood? lost for the past 3 weeks or so ! ( Note : A down trend should only be called if it continues to drop more than 2 ? 3 mths onwards, in my own definition ).

Though I may not be 100% right but the chances of going up is higher and hence the recommendation.  However, if you disagree, you may also follow your own instinct and make your own investment decision from there !  In the investment world, ?NOTHING IS GAURANTEEN?, it all goes by analysis, study, prediction and forecast.  As long as the chances are high for us, it is good enough !  However, if we predict wrongly, we should also be swift to ?Cut-Loss? and change !  Be ready for that any one time !  A decisive decision is vital for any success in the investment world !  May profit be with us !

?Review Reply?

Forumer 11 ? ?Stevenkoh1981 ? :

Magus à

You bought ( Magnus Stock )( S$0.205 )( Mid Jan 07 )( 5 Lots )( S$1,025 )( CPF ).

Currently ( 7 Feb 07 )( S$0.195 )( Dropped 5% in 3.5 weeks )( Hence, drop per mth 6% ).

Your Losses  = $10 X 5 Lots = $50 ( Ex Comm ).

Your Intention à Hold for future for at least 3 yrs !

My Review & Advise :

If you planning to hold for the long term, it?s better you look at the financial health of the company ( Magnus ).  They are per below ( Consolidated Profit After Tax )  :

Jun 2002 à - S$1.21 Millions ( Loose Money )

Jun 2003 à - S$29.06 Millions ( Loose Money )

Jun 2004 à - S$1.00 Millions ( Loose Money )

Jun 2005 à - S$7.20 Millions ( Loose Money )

Jun 2006 à S$0.24 Millions ( Profit )

As you can see from above health data, it?s quite ?volatile?.  Jun 2006 data was better ( or improved ) from it?s previous yr.  It only came into profit form the last 1-2 yrs ago till now.  What is going to happen for the next few yrs ? we don?t know !  Stocks move in cyclical nature ( sine waves up & down ), the idea here is to make use of every up & down cycle to ?make profit?.  This up & down cycle can be in the long or short term.  Personally, I think it?s better to do in short cycles as it is MORE PROFITABLE and SAFER that way.  However, if you are those busy executive & have no time to monitor ?., then you may also park your money there for the long term !  As long as the company remains to be profitable and have no pther major issues in the local and global region, your stocks should still make for some money to come ? but NO GAURANTEEN whether you will be profitable in the long term !  However, if you do have the time and don?t mind doing some work, I would advise you to go for the short term cycle !  Since you use CPF money, you should know it can?t be taken out in the short term future and also note that after every sale, you have to wait about 3 ? 4 working days before you can re-use the money to re-invest again, you can check with your investment bank on the timing details !  You make your own decision fom here !  Good Luck !      

1.  NOL à

You bought ( NOL Stock )( S$2.44 )( 25 Jan 07 )( 5 Lots )( S$12,200 )( CPF ).

Currently ( 7 Feb 07 )( S$2.98 )( Up 22% in 2 weeks )( Hence, gain per mth 89% ).

Your Gain  = $540 X 5 Lots = $2700 ( $2.7K )( Ex Comm ).

Your Intention à Hold for future for at least 2 yrs !

My Review & Advise :

The financial health data of NOL are per below ( Consolidated Profit After Tax ) :

Dec 2001 à - US$55.26 Millions ( Loose Money )

Dec 2002 à - US$327.70 Millions ( Loose Money )

Dec 2003 à  US$434.24 Millions ( Profit )

Dec 2004 à US$946.36 Millions ( Profit )

Dec 2005 à US$811.53 Millions ( Profit )

The stock for this company is quite a ?volatile one?, clear up & down long cycles.  Dec 2005 data was DOWN by about 17% from it?s previous yr.  The company made some ?good profit? since Dec 2003 financial announcement till now ( Approx. for the last 3 yrs ).  With the good profit result,  from 2002 End to Early 2005, the stock has been sky rocketing gaining some 605% from a low of $0.595 to a high of $4.20 during that 2.5 yrs timeframe.  That is about 20% gain every mth or 242% gain per yr.  Quite a fantastic performance !  However, good time doesn?t last long ? what goes up must come down !  In Mar 2005 to Jun 2006, it dropped drastically from a high of $4.20 to a low of $1.62 loosing some 61% during that 1.3 yrs timeframe.  That is about losting 4% per mth or 49% lost per yr.  As you can see, stocks have up & down cycles, may be long or short cycles depending from stocks to socks.  As long as you know when the cycle is going to end or start, it?s good enough for you !

Currently, the stock is still in it?s ?long term? up trend mode and will probably carry on for another 6 mths to 1 yr timeframe I estimated.  This assumption is logical & possible if the company continues to be profitable with no bad news LOCALLY OR GLOBALLY ! However, there is NO GAURANTEEN for all this.

 Since you have already made quite a ?handsome profit? on paper,  I would encourage you to take profit soon and go for the short term cycles gain as there are more money to be made from there ( If you have the time ) and it?s a safer stagedy too.  Also not to forget about the ?TREMENDOUS COMPOUNDING EFFECT? that comes with it.  By then, your CFP account may have millions already for you to retire !  By then don?t forget to call me to join you along ? ha ha ha  !  You make your choice !  Good Luck !

     __________  END ___________

My review stops at Forumer ?Ed88ks? dated ( 4 Feb 07 )( 1522 hrs ). 

Will carry on Forumer ?ZhouYu? request dated ( 4 Feb 07 )( 1522 hrs ) on ?China Sun? Stock View  at a later stage as soon as I have the time !

The review will come on a ?first come first serve basis? !

Regards

Simon Loh

( Wed )( 7 Feb 07 )( 2245 hrs )

1. 
   
   Forumer ?Ed88ks? à Thank you for your recommendation format suggestion and good compliment !  Researching on all the counters here  ? One of the idea is to help others ? help them with the existing portfolio that they have !  If I keep recommending, may not be good for them too ? !
2. 
   
   tHANKS sIMON , like to know ayour opinion on GMG. YONGNAM, HG Mental, Trek and Gobal Test, I am stuck with these....Thanks in advance...
   
   
   

["Forumer ?iPunter Elite? à Thank you for your good compliment for having a huge following soon !  Regarding the suggestion of setting up a Website, I am not familiar with that and don?t have the resources too !  Perhaps you could recommend somebody who knows how to do it and willing to help out.  That way I can continue to provide this free service to help others too ! "]

                                                                        -by simonloh

I must say it's not often one comes across such a unique opportunity to see a person like SImon, who is obviously very helpful and kind.

May I suggest you stay on in this forum for the time being as you are doing now. 

Perhaps the Webmaster or any tech-savvy member can also suggest how Simon can be 'integrated' better into this forum for the benefit of all members and visitors. I also believe Simon should be appropriately rewarded for his great contributions whenever possible. Just my suggestions... :)

ShareJunction ( Request & Review ) ? 3 ( Mon )( 5 Feb 07 )

?General Reply?

1. Forumer ?Ed88ks? à Thank you for your recommendation format suggestion and good compliment !  Researching on all the counters here  ? One of the idea is to help others ? help them with the existing portfolio that they have !  If I keep recommending, may not be good for them too ? !
   
   

2. Forumer ?iPunter Elite? à Thank you for your good compliment for having a huge following soon !  Regarding the suggestion of setting up a Website, I am not familiar with that and don?t have the resources too !  Perhaps you could recommend somebody who knows how to do it and willing to help out.  That way I can continue to provide this free service to help others too !
   
   

?Review Reply?

Forumer 10 ? ?davecsh ? :

1.       Digiland à This counter is penny of the pennies ? !  Very small in price, currently only S$0.01 ( 1 Cent per share ).  You asked me if this counter has potential to go further than $0.015, my answer is YES and DEFINITELY.  It is just a matter of time, exactly when .. . ? I don?t know either ! 

This counter has been existing for about 5 yrs since 2002 and drop all the way till now !  From my analysis and observation, it bottom out on 14 Dec 04 ( 2 yrs ago ).  Big volume seemed to came in on 23 Mar 06 ( About 10 mths ago ).  The biggest one day volume was on 16 Jan 07 ( 3 weeks ago ) for 345, 513 lots closed at $0.015.  This is slightly more than S$5 millions in value.  Since the BIG volume has came in, it showed that there is interest in this counter.  If there is interest, it is just a matter of time that it will TAKE OFF very soon ! 

I don?t know what is your holding timeframe, but if you can hold on for long ( 2 ? 3 yrs ), very high chance of going up ?much much? from now ! Good Luck

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