Latest Forum Topics / Allgreen | Post Reply |
Allgreen - Can buy ?
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Hulumas
Supreme |
15-Sep-2009 10:46
Yells: "INVEST but not TRADE please!" |
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Okay, I 'll buy @Sgd. 1.16 lump sum or slightly above Sgd. 1.16 and sell at Sgd. 1.48 later on, I do not think more than one month.
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richtan
Supreme |
15-Sep-2009 10:32
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Hi Bintang, Many thanks for your reply n analysis. I wish u well n we HUAT together. Cheers
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Bintang
Elite |
15-Sep-2009 10:12
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Allgreen has fallen for four consecutive days , it created a gap at $1.26 n fell straight down to fill a gap at $1.12 which was created during the previous surging . So the next move is to go up to fill that gap at $1.26 , if at that time the volume done is large enough to overcome the resistance , then the new low would never be seen for the next few years . | ||||
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Bintang
Elite |
15-Sep-2009 09:49
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Hi richtan , sorry for late reply . I was almost to go in last week , by this week , Allgreen has pulled back 10 % n may be can slowly accumulate at this stage . From its DMIs , it may go sideway for some times , RSI is neutral at 46 which is suggesting price would hold in the tight range from now . Share price pulled back from the peak at $1.33 to $1.11 is a reasonable 23.6% retracemet . If from here after the consolidation ,it may double its share price in the longer term , so its time to accumulate now .
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Hulumas
Supreme |
15-Sep-2009 09:23
Yells: "INVEST but not TRADE please!" |
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I still believe buy on dip at the present situation, I have bought @Sgd. 1.16 today several lots for trial. Will buy again in the afternoon time.
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AK_Francis
Supreme |
15-Sep-2009 09:19
Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers." |
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Its fine. Newton Law, d higher it climbs, it feels more painful, if falls. D most earn less loh! |
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iPunter
Supreme |
15-Sep-2009 09:07
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City Dev plunged another 2% | ||||
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iPunter
Supreme |
15-Sep-2009 09:05
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City Dev too... today still falling below yesterday after rallying a bit at opening bell..... |
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retsel
Member |
15-Sep-2009 09:01
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Sian, one of the biggest droppers amongst pty developer counters, -7.9% yesterday. | ||||
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daphnecsf
Senior |
15-Sep-2009 08:33
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Sweet :) Based on the news and research report, Allgreen is very well positioned to capitalise on rising sentiment for mass-mid-tier properties. Sep 14, 2009 Government is banning interest absorption scheme (IAS) and interest-only housing loans (IOL) with immediate effect, i.e. Sept 14, 2009. This measure will apply to all private residential projects. The only exception will be uncompleted private residential projects where units had already been offered for sale under IAS before Sept 14. 'It is in everyone's interest to have a steady property market where prices move stably in line with economic fundamentals. If excessive speculation develops and a property bubble forms, eventually a severe correction must take place,' Mr Mah said in his speech. Demand for uncompleted private housing units has picked up strongly since February, and the proportion of buyers sub-selling their units has increased. Developers sold 10,000 units in the first seven months of this year, more than the 4,300 units sold for the whole of 2008. At this take-up rate, the total sales for 2009 may well exceed the historical high of 14,800 units in 2007, Mr Mah warned.
Allgreen - Insights from company visit (CIMB 28 August 2009), maintain Outperform One Devonshire. This project was launched in 2Q09 to extremely strong take-up. ASP achieved is S$1,800psf. To date, only three units are unsold in the 152-unit project. Management guided that the buyer profile is healthy, with a good mix of locals and foreigners. Most had taken up the Progressive Payment Scheme (PPS) as opposed to the Interest Absorption Scheme (IAS) and the Deferred Payment Scheme (DPS). We believe this bodes well for the quality of demand. So far, no purchase options have been returned. Viva. Over 84% of this project has been sold since its official launch in August. ASPs range from S$1,550 to S$1,600psf. We believe such prices are one of the highest among neighbouring projects. Interestingly, management guided that more buyers have taken up DPS compared to One Devonshire, at 60-70% of the total take-up. Proceeds from initial sales have yet to be recognised. Holland Residences. Allgreen plans to launch this project in 3Q-4Q09. Management is targeting ASPs of S$1,550-,600psf, a premium to recent sales such as The Verdure (S$1,400psf) and Lush on Holland Hill (S$1,500psf). We believe one reason for the optimistic pricing is the unit size. Management guided that units in this project will consist largely of smaller flats of 400-700sf, limiting the cost per unit to S$600,000-S$1.1m. Management believes that current demand for properties in the area istrending towards these types of product. We are positive that demand will be good. However, we are less comfortable about potential speculative demand if the units are resized. Cascadia. Over 30% of this project was initially sold to the MGPA fund in 2007 for S$1,550psf. Allgreen plans to launch this project to the public this year at ASPs of S$1,300-1,500psf. Management believes these are currently the fair value in the Bukit Timah area. Construction of Phases 1 and 2 is underway with completion due in 2010. Suites at Orchard. This is located at Handy Road, close to the Plaza Singapura Shopping Centre. Allgreen aims to launch the project this year. Our ground checks Indicate that show flats are being prepared. While no guidance has been given on pricing, we believe that final ASPs are unlikely to be low. Units in nearby Sophia Residences are going for S$1,600-1,700psf. We expect ASPs for Suites at Orchard to be benchmarked to this range. |
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richtan
Supreme |
10-Sep-2009 17:07
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Hi Bintang, How r u? I have this counter in my CPF investment, good FA n potential, I m holding this for as long as the long-term trend is up.
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chenzehou
Member |
10-Sep-2009 16:59
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what's wrong with Allgree? cannot sustain 1:30 and above? | ||||
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Bintang
Elite |
09-Sep-2009 09:41
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It would go to $1.47 , I would comment on its TA later .
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yipyip
Master |
08-Sep-2009 16:43
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Hope Allgreen will reach $1.30! | ||||
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yipyip
Master |
08-Sep-2009 16:38
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Wow! | ||||
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retsel
Member |
08-Sep-2009 16:28
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All green break out!!!! hit 1.28 liao | ||||
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yipyip
Master |
08-Sep-2009 14:42
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+$0.02 now... | ||||
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yipyip
Master |
08-Sep-2009 01:28
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28 August 2009 Allgreen Properties Ltd S$1.21 Target: S$1.50 Source: Company, CIMB-GK Research, Bloomberg Insights from company visit We recently met Mr Khor Thong Meng, Executive Director of Allgreen, to discuss the group’s plans and strategies. Key issues raised were Allgreen’s property developments in China and Singapore, and management’s future focus. China Projects: Financing update; Allgreen has eight sites in China, six through a JV with Kerry Properties and Shangri La. For JV projects, total equity commitment is around S$700m, of which around S$450m is for the land and S$250m for construction. In the last two years, Allgreen has paid down the bulk of the land-cost commitment. We expect proceeds received from recent property presales in Singapore to take care of the rest. Management guided that Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio for its China developments ranges from 40% to 50%. Assuming a 40% LTV, we estimate a total development cost of S$1.1bn-1.2bn. Our model accounts for this. We believe financing for the bulk of the debt component is already in place. Planning to push out projects soon; selling price targets bullish; Allgreen plans to release two residential projects in the near term: a site in Tianjin and a site in Chengdu. For the former, construction is underway. Management guided that residential prices in Tianjin have gone up from Rmb8,000psm to Rmb16,000psm. We believe it plans to use this as a benchmark for its Tianjin project. For its Chengdu project, Allgreen is looking at Rmb12,000-14,000psm. Management believes that units in certain projects in the area are now commanding as much as Rmb17,000psm. While the tone of the guidance is positive, our cross checks with our China analyst, Alice Chong, suggest that optimism should be kept in check. For properties in Tianjin, ASPs of Rmb16,000psm are achievable, but only for high-end projects that are located in very good districts. As a reference, Yanlord, a high-end developer in China, recently launched and sold a project in Tianjin at Rmb16,000psm while Guangzhou R&F also achieved ASPs of Rmb10,000-16,000psm. For Chengdu, she believes ASPs of Rmb17,000psm are mostly reserved for super-luxury projects. By and large, properties in the area are still fetching Rmb6,000-8,000psm. China strategy; Allgreen plans to expand its China operations, likely through JVs with Kerry Properties and Shangri La again, with Allgreen taking up minority stakes. We are unsurprised, given Allgreen’s relative inexperience in China’s property sector. A consortium could also yield pricing advantages in land-banking. Valuation and recommendation: Raising RNAV estimate and target price; maintain Outperform. We raise our ASP assumptions for Allgreen’s Singapore and China projects, based on the latest guidance. In particular, our China ASPs have been raised from Rmb10,000psm to Rmb12,000-14,000psm, to reflect optimism on China properties. Our estimates are still 10-15% below guidance. Our FY09-11 core EPS estimates have been raised by 8-30% as a result. We raise our end-CY10 RNAV estimate and target price (parity to RNAV) from S$1.38 to S$1.50 to factor in the above, offset by lower capital values for Allgreen’s investment properties. While the stock is up 134% YTD, we believe positive take-up of planned launches in 2H09 could lift its valuations further. Allgreen is best positioned to capitalise on rising sentiment for mass-mid-tier properties, in our view, given its large inventory in this segment. Maintain Outperform. |
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yipyip
Master |
08-Sep-2009 00:40
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Property - CIMB 7 September 2009 Race is on for GLS sites Valuation and recommendation: Triggering of GLS sites to provide positive newsflow. The general environment for land-banking has improved considerably compared with the beginning of the year. Funding spreads have begun to narrow while developers’ balance sheets have been strengthened through recapitalisations. These, combined with significant improvements in capital values in the physical market, have made land acquisitions interesting again. At the right prices, we believe the trigger of GLS sites could provide positive newsflow for developers. We retain our Neutral position on the sector simply because of our negative view on heavily weighted CapLand. We maintain our positive view on specific residential players under coverage. CityDev remains our top pick in the sector with Allgreen and Ho Bee remaining our small-mid favourites. Heat is on for GLS sites in reserved list: Developers motivated to land-bank again. Property sentiment is currently sky-high. As property launches continue to sell out, we believe developers’ next step will be to replenish land banks more aggressively. The motivation comes from depleting inventories and falling construction costs. System inventory has fallen to 2006 levels (about 35,000 units) with unsold inventories for purer developers under our coverage substantially dwindling from a year ago. Our recent meetings with developers and contractors also suggest that the magnitude of the decline in construction costs is significant, over 25% down from the peak levels for all segments. Given that the private en-bloc market is still rather unattractive, developers are likely to turn their attention to Government Land Sale (GLS) sites currently in the reserved list. |
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tkimcs
Member |
07-Sep-2009 23:40
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is there any other China property counter not cheong yet?
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