Latest Forum Topics / Neptune Orient L Rg | Post Reply |
NOL
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khng2012
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11-Oct-2012 22:05
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Don't look down an industry forever. Have to continue monitoring it and find if it is recovering and get in with bottom price. | ||||||||||
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khng2012
Master |
11-Oct-2012 21:55
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Ya. There are few issues are on going in the container liners shipping companies which are moving toward more protectionism to the liners themself. As such, even though under very bad economic environment in Europe and container volumes are stagnant, the freight rate still can maintain higher than 2011 which the economic environment was much better than now. We really can see the sincerity that All these big container liners operators are moving to profitable direction instead of unlimited expansion with their fleet, especially Maersk who took the lead to raise freight rate, they owned the best efficient fleet but take the lead to raise freight rate since March 2012 is very good job. Till now moving to low demand season, the freight rate still stay at breakeven, slight profitable or slight loss level depend on the operation cost cutting of each liners. i hope this freight rate can maintain till 2013 March. Then start in April till Sept 2013 which are traditional  peak container shipping seasons which can hike the rate to even higher level and  prevent over-expansion of fleet. 
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Hihello
Member |
11-Oct-2012 21:46
Yells: "eat Sushi seat aeroplane is my dream!!!" |
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khng: tks for ur info,any info is gd n its up to the ri to digest n decide,  i guess its about waiting for the " global green light" & e arning reports from any " pure container" shipping company,      |
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khng2012
Master |
11-Oct-2012 21:15
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After seeing my post, you will buy, right. Hahaha... everyday talk nothing.
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khng2012
Master |
11-Oct-2012 21:08
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Waiting for tomorrow Shanghai Containerized Freight Index to be released.(Whoever pay to buy the service, actually can obtain on thursday, friday release free version.) http://www1.chineseshipping.com.cn/en/indices/scfi.jsp Bunker index go high due to oil price raise to 92 dollars but till below March 2012. As per current bunker price and freight rate, the container liners can only breakeven or loss a bit or profit a bit. As I mentioned previously, NOL record their quarter report 1 to 2 month late. So the coming 3Q quarter report will be Mid May to Mid August. This is where the freight rate stay high and bunker oil stay low which I mean the high profit margin period. So 3Q quarter report will be 100 to 150mil profit for NOL. I don't know  how the 500mil operation cost cut that announced by the MD from Temasek in end 2011 is going to benefit in this Q. I hope it does, at least the profit will stay above high side which is 150mil or even higher. http://www.bunkerindex.com/ Some good news for freight rate http://www1.chineseshipping.com.cn/en/news/newsinfo.jsp?id=306980 I post fact, some evil post nothing and talk nothing. Take it as reference and judge yourself. |
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khng2012
Master |
11-Oct-2012 20:45
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Today transaction look good. More weak sellers  sold their share today and BB  accummulated more. The volume is only 1/3 of 3 month average. Seem like a lot of weak holders don't have confidence with NOL. 2 weeks to go on 25 Oct which are 10 trading days. Don't know if any sell down will be done by BB within these 10 trading days to chase more weak holders away. However, 1.105 is considered a cheap price to buy in. Whoever expect to buy low can try but low chance. All the best, wish all huat. |
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khng2012
Master |
11-Oct-2012 17:17
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A low volume day. STI green but most shares are down. 3Q coming, everybody waiting for result.
Relax... Below 1.105 is a buy. |
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Hihello
Member |
11-Oct-2012 15:32
Yells: "eat Sushi seat aeroplane is my dream!!!" |
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as a retail investor, i hope its not high- volume uptrend selloff for any counter, a low vol high px surge early wld let most of the seasoned ri to unload n move on to another counter,, wen bb has lotsa share n able to reconsolidate their position, px could go side n px rally r draggy, im moving on to nas/nyse a bigger playing field for both players, any recommendation from anyone? |
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Sgshares
Elite |
11-Oct-2012 12:48
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Just not the right time to buy yet....not saying it will drop a lot from here but who knows....waiting to pick up at lower, if any.
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yabbest
Senior |
11-Oct-2012 12:43
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Khng2012 Friend...my guess correct lor...devil comes into this thread to pest you liao...whoakakaka Ignore ignore dont reply devil    |
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Sgshares
Elite |
11-Oct-2012 12:38
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$1.105 now... | ||||||||||
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khng2012
Master |
11-Oct-2012 10:53
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Low volume. Selling below 1.115 is dry. More up side to go soon. Loaded and prepare the rally. | ||||||||||
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wangerism
Veteran |
10-Oct-2012 17:55
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at support with engulfing candle...   |
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khng2012
Master |
10-Oct-2012 17:53
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Midas doesn't look good today. Hopefully, it is just action to chase more weak holders out. Have to be patient and wait long long...
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khng2012
Master |
10-Oct-2012 17:44
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My call is more on remind to buy since there are so many share in SGX. You still have to do homework and find a target price to exist and take the money on hand. Market change fast and must response fast. Sometime, I run road and post here but you are not here. You gonna trap also no good. I set target price at 1.3 to 1.4 but if the market trend so positive and I see strong interest from BB from transaction, the price is at 1.3 to 1.4, I want to take the risk and  I will not tell you since it is personnal risk that I would like to take. It is same as to cut and take profit. So I insist to buy call at bottom and give positive news continually till I feel no confortable. NOL show good today. It is also good gonna kick out by STI top 30. As such, NOL don't really need to follow STI to go and just go the direction it need to go.
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wangwang2012
Member |
10-Oct-2012 17:05
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yabbest, Tq for your reply. Appreciate that! Good luck to all :)
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yabbest
Senior |
10-Oct-2012 17:03
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wangwang2012 fyi, Khng2012 wrote in ausgroup thread, TP 1.3, 1.4 no problem if sti above 3000   i also find him gd, sincere...honestly so far over 1 mth i follow his calls for midas, ausgroup, anr all make me $...but sad some pple or ghosts like to disturb him...whoakakaka Friend wangwang2012, just do yr homework ya, dun just follow blindly. thks  
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khng2012
Master |
10-Oct-2012 17:01
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I thought I call buy today morning. No other than today since US is so red last night, good chance to buy low. My friends bought at low 1.095. He is save now. I bought 1.105 yesterday, now is 1.115 to 1.12. I am safe. It depend on you if you want to bet US red tonight. If not red, then, I think no more chance to load below 1.11 or lower. Only left 2 weeks to 25 Oct, very close. I believe a lot of people are same as me will load and bet for the good coming result in next 2 week.
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wangwang2012
Member |
10-Oct-2012 16:56
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Khng2012, you was right abt Ausgroup :) Very imrpessive. Btw, what's the good price to enter NOL? From now till b4 25 Oct, what's the TP ?
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khng2012
Master |
10-Oct-2012 16:43
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Bro. I monitor every single transaction since morning till now. No problem. We surely huat a bit till before 25 Oct. But whether want to bet on good result or not, is really what has good heart. I made mistake last Q to believe their report is up to date. After my detail study, I found NOL are 2 month late (may be their accountant is lazy and slow). This time I am confidence I will be right. Last time, I calculated Ausgroup last Q. At the end,  I  was right too. hope I am right too. 20% gain in share 100% gain CFD.
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