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Dow Outlook
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CSH123
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22-Jul-2013 17:32
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STI still damn ku niang | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
22-Jul-2013 17:12
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
20-Jul-2013 08:49
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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S& P 500 gains Microsoft sinks 11%, hitting Dow ....
Another potential hit to tech: Apple results in the week aheadNEW YORK (MarketWatch) — The S& P 500 index eked out gains to end at another all-time high on Friday, while losses for the technology sector weighed on the Dow industrials and the Nasdaq Composite after disappointing earnings from Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and Microsoft Corp. The S& P 500 climbed 2.72 points, or 0.2%, to end at 1,692.09, an all-time closing high, its 22nd record this year. For the week, it gained 0.7%. Healthcare and energy were the top gainers among the S& P 500’s 10 major sectors, while technology was the biggest decliner. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 4.80 points, or 0.03%, to 15,543.74. For the week, it gained 0.5%. The Dow and S& P 500 posted a fourth straight week of gains. General Electric shares rose 4.6% after the jet-engine manufacturer and Dow component reported a better-than-expected profit in the second quarter. The technology-laden Nasdaq Composite fell 23.66 points, or 0.7%, to end at 3,587.61, leaving it down 0.4% for the week. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
19-Jul-2013 09:38
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Detroit files for bankruptcy protection ....
Chapter 9 filing is biggest-ever U.S. municipal bankruptcyDETROIT (MarketWatch) — The city of Detroit filed for federal bankruptcy protection on Thursday afternoon, making the automobile capital and one-time music powerhouse the country’s largest-ever municipal bankruptcy case. The case filed in U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Michigan came after Kevyn Orr, the emergency manager, failed to reach agreements with enough of the bondholders, pension funds and other creditors to restructure Detroit’s debt outside of court. The final decision rested with Republican Gov. Rick Snyder, who had appointed Orr as Detroit’s overseer in March. It was expected that the city would report long-term liabilities close to $20 billion. The city’s assets were less clear, but Orr had called the city functionally insolvent and recently missed a payment to the city’s pension system of nearly $40 million. The financial outlook has never been bleaker for the Motor City, which has shrunk from its peak of nearly two million people in 1950 to 700,000 today. Hurt by a flight of residents and businesses to the suburbs, cuts in state aid and a crash in real-estate values, Detroit borrowed to meet operating costs as well as long-term liabilities such as pensions and health care for retired city workers. |
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Tomique
Master |
19-Jul-2013 09:13
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Stock valuation bubble worries Nasdaq Chairman. I don't know if we should too. Enjoy the ride!! | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
19-Jul-2013 09:04
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Bullish Birinyi gores Shiller P/E and stock market bears ....Call it “Bullinyi” Associates. Birinyi Associates, market strategist Laszlo Birinyi’s respected research firm, is upbeat on U.S. stocks through 2013 — at least. Even though the S& P 500-stock index is up almost 20% so far this year, the firm says the market at year-end will be higher. Why? Money flows into stocks are encouraging, keeping pace with the market as it moves higher. “Despite all the vicissitudes, gyrations and issues, we have not seen any selling into strength,” note Birinyi strategists Jeffrey Yale Rubin and Kevin Pleines. And the firm is sinking sharp horns into the bears. “Bearish arguments have failed not only in execution but in conception,” Rubin and Pleines assert in a research report, published Wednesday. “From the start of this bull market the majority of commentators have been negative and more importantly wrong.” ....The firm is positive about stocks for historical reasons as well. The S& P 500 financial sector has soared over the past 12 months, up 41% compared to the benchmark’s 26% total return. When banks, brokers and other financial stocks do well early in a bull market, Birinyi says, “those markets have been protracted bull markets, lasting years.” |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
19-Jul-2013 08:28
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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U.S. stock indexes climb to record highs Fed chairman talks monetary policy with Senate Banking Committee ... “The top line is the biggest issue that a lot of these companies are facing,” said Paul Nolte, managing director at Dearborn Partners. “The general take is that revenue growth is generally weak, so companies are not selling more stuff. But we’re still making the bottom line work out OK through cost cutting and other methods,” Nolte added. The Nasdaq Composite gained 1.28 points to 3,611.28. More than 668 million shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange. Composite volume approached 3.4 billion. Unlike the volatility inspired by Bernanke’s past public statements, Wall Street remained little changed during his appearance Wednesday before a House panel. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
19-Jul-2013 08:19
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Dow, S& P 500 close at all-time highs ....Stocks rallied Thursday with the Dow Jones industrial average and S& P 500 index closing at all-time highs. The tech-laden Nasdaq composite index hit a 13-year high. But tech powerhouse Google took an immediate hit in after-hours trading after releasing its earnings report. Its stock plunged 5% on news the search giant's average ad rate fell 6% from the same period a year ago. The Dow and S& P 500 retreated from their session highs a bit but closed well up for the day, each gaining 0.5%. Closing levels for each were 15,548.54 for the Dow -- a gain of 78.02 points -- and 1,689.37 for the S& P 500 -- an 8.46-point climb. Investors were in a buying mood a day after Ben Bernanke reaffirmed the ongoing need for the central bank's massive bond-buying stimulus and said there was " no preset course" for raising interest rates and reducing the monthly bond purchases. Several major companies reported better-than-expected second-quarter earnings and an economic report showed that companies are doing more hiring and less laying off than in recent weeks. Benchmark crude for August delivery was up $1.59 cents at $108.07 in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose 48 cents to settle Wednesday at $106.48. The yield on the 10-year treasury note was sitting at 2.53%, up from 2.49% on Wednesday after investors began buying U.S. bonds in response to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's testimony to Congress. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
18-Jul-2013 18:06
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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...radio channel 95.8 guest speaker mentioned that.. ... after recent correction...DOW back to 15,000... NASDAQ to 3,600 and S& P to 1,600 .... ... and base on statistic ... likely another 20% upside is possible....we can expect these targets... ... DOW 18,000 NASDAQ 4,320 S& P 1,920 .... |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
18-Jul-2013 11:28
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Guess Which Generation Will Drive Stocks Higher …Wall Street’s finest spent the last few years telling us to buy stocks because interest rates were so low. Now they want us to buy stocks while interest rates are rising. Their logic goes like this … Investors fled to bonds out of desperation. The dot-com collapse and then the 2008 financial crisis burned people. After all that pain, they just wanted safety. Bonds gave it to them. Now, with the Fed taking its foot off the gas, those same investors realize they can lose money in bonds, too. For lack of a better answer, they have to reconsider stocks. I’m bullish on stocks, too, but for entirely different reasons. I think Wall Street is missing a much-bigger trend. This trend is far more important than whatever Ben Bernanke does. This trend was locked in place decades ago — and it will be with us for decades more. Every story has a “what” and a “who.” We know what is happening: Investors are fleeing bonds and buying stocks. Who are these investors? The picture below is worth more than a thousand words. Take a look, and then I’ll tell you what I see. U.S. BIRTH RATE TRENDS |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
18-Jul-2013 09:21
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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U.S. stock indexes edge up on flexible Fed ....
Bank of America reports earnings above analyst estimatesNEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks posted tepid gains Wednesday, with the S& P 500 up for a ninth session in ten after Ben Bernanke said the rate of bond purchases is flexible. The S& P 500 rose 4.65 points, or 0.3%, to 1,680.91, with materials pacing sector gains and utilities the only laggard. The Nasdaq Composite gained 11.50 points, or 0.3%, to 3,610. In testimony on Capitol Hill, Bernanke said the Fed’s $85 billion in monthly bond buys are “by no means on a preset course” and can be curbed further or extended, depending on the economic climate. The central bank’s stimulus program is meant to keep interest rates down and encourage borrowing. Bernanke’s comments reinforce “what we already know: that the Fed is looking at the broad economy, which is showing signs of improvement,” said Terry Sandven, chief equities strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. U.S. equities are in a holding pattern as the market digests recent gains, with the pattern likely to persist for another couple of weeks as “we await further guidance from companies and from the Fed,” said Sandven, who added that investors will likely learn more about the “timing of the tapering,” or reduced Fed asset purchases, at the next FOMC. On Wednesday, the blue-chip Dow industrials gained 18.67 points, or 0.1%, to 15,470.52, with DuPont leading gains. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
17-Jul-2013 17:26
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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BOE voted unanimously to keep QE unchangedLONDON (MarketWatch) -- The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee earlier in July voted unanimously to keep both interest rates and the asset-purchase program unchanged, according to minutes of the meeting published Wednesday. The interest rate was kept at a record low 0.5%, while the QE program stayed at 375 billion pounds ($566 billion). The vote comes after three members, including former Governor Mervyn King, at the June meeting voted in favor of increasing the size of the asset purchases by £25 billion to a total of £400 billion. This means that two doves, Paul Fisher and David Miles, changed their position on boosting the easing program. The July meeting marked the first meeting with new Governor Mark Carney at the helm. The pound rose to as high as $1.5245 after the minutes, up from $1.5115 on Tuesday. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
17-Jul-2013 16:53
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Europe stocks rise as investors await BernankeLONDON (MarketWatch) — European stock markets climbed on Wednesday, ahead of Ben Bernanke’s semiannual testimony, with investors looking for hints on when the central bank will start tapering its bond purchases. ...more... |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
17-Jul-2013 15:50
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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China ramps up Treasury purchases to record high ....China's holdings of U.S. Treasurys climbed to a record high in May despite a broad selloff in the country's government debt. China, the biggest foreign holder of U.S. sovereign bonds, raised its holdings of government debt by $25.2 billion to $1.316 trillion, according to the U.S. Treasury Department international capital (TIC) data published late Tuesday. Japan, the second largest holder, meantime, lowered its holdings by $1.7 billion to $1.11 trillion. Overall, foreign investors sold long-dated U.S. securities for the fourth consecutive month in May, dumping $27.2 billion worth of the securities in the month, compared with $21.8 billion in April. U.S. sovereign debt has suffered a steep selloff since the beginning of May on jitters surrounding the Federal Reserve's plans to scale back its bond buying program. The 10-year bond yields, which move in the opposite direction to prices, have risen from 1.7% at the start of May to as high as 2.74% in early July. " Chinese reserves are growing and they have to put it somewhere - there's a lot of confidence that the U.S. is doing a better job at mending its economy and its fiscal balance sheet is far stronger," said Nizam Idris, head of Strategy, Fixed Income & Currencies at Macquarie, explaining the demand by China for U.S. debt. China's foreign exchange reserves - the world's largest - rose to $3.5 trillion at the end of the second quarter from $3.44 trillion at the end of the first quarter. The country has accumulated high levels of foreign exchange reserves as a result of its large trade surpluses. The country's trade surplus widened to S27.75 billion from $20.43 billion in May, for example. " Central banks aren't like Pimco, their objective is not to maximize profit, it's for security and liquidity. Therefore, Treasury papers still look like attractive for 'buy and hold' investors like central banks," Idris said. Analysts expect the China's Treasury holdings to continue to rise further in the foreseeable future given the country's lack of feasible alternatives to park their huge foreign reserves and growing current account surplus. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
17-Jul-2013 08:39
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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U.S. stocks drop Coca-Cola weighs on Dow ....Goldman Sachs Group hit as analysts ponder capital requirementsNEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks declined on Tuesday, with the S& P 500 breaking an eight-session winning streak after a Federal Reserve member urged reduced stimulus and Coca-Cola Co.’s profit fell. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 32.41 points, or 0.2%, to 15,451.85. Shares of Coca-Cola fell 1.9%, pacing the index’s losses after the beverage maker reported a drop in quarterly earnings. Intel Corp. rose 1.3%, the top Dow gainer ahead of the chip company’s results on Wednesday afternoon. Johnson & Johnson ended unchanged after the Dow component and health-care giant reported results that beat Wall Street estimates and raised its profit outlook. The S& P 500 index slipped 6.24 points, or 0.4%, to 1,676.26, retreating from the previous session’s record closing high. Materials paced declines that included eight of the S& P 500’s 10 major sectors. Telecommunications and information technology edged up. Shares of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. fell 1.7% after the investment bank reported quarterly profit doubled from the year-ago period, but analysts questioned how looming capital rules might affect the banking industry. The Nasdaq Composite declined 8.99 points, or 0.3%, to 3,598.50. On Tuesday, 617 million shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange. Composite volume topped 3 billion, a day after the lowest composite volume for the year, if only full sessions are considered. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
16-Jul-2013 17:02
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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...Dow future now -3.00.... lets see how it goes tomorrow .... | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
16-Jul-2013 16:48
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Europe stocks shaky ahead of German ZEW data ....LONDON (MarketWatch) -- European stock markets showed mixed moves in early action on Tuesday ahead of data on German investor confidence. The Stoxx Europe 600 index slipped 0.1% to 297.16, after closing at the highest level in almost six weeks on Monday. Shares of Telecom Italia SpA dropped 2.7% after the firm said late the prior day it has put plans to spin off its fixed-line copper network on hold. Shares of Rio Tinto PLC added 2% after the heavyweight miner posted record output of iron ore in the second quarter. Among country-specific indexes, the U.K.'s FTSE 100 index rose 0.2% to 6,600.46, while Germany's DAX 30 index slipped 0.2% to 8,222.84. France's CAC 40 index traded 0.3% lower at 3,867.53. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
16-Jul-2013 12:45
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Why one economist says higher Treasury yields can’t last ....Treasury bond yields sit a full percentage point higher than three months ago as the Federal Reserve signaled it want to start to pull back from its easy policy stance. But these higher interest rates can’t last, said David Levy, the chairman of the Jerome Levy Forecasting Center, on Monday. “Our conclusion is that these (higher) yields are unsustainable and, if they last long enough, will sow the seeds of their own destruction by weakening, and possibly terminating, the domestic and global expansions,” Levy said in his new July forecast released Monday. The Levy Institute focuses on the flow of funds that determine total business profits. It is closely tied to the work of Hyman Minsky, a 20th century economy. Minsky is becoming more popular as his views of financial instability seemed to predict the financial crisis. U.S. business profits are already under pressure coming off a soft second quarter, Levy said. “It is difficult to see what would prevent profits from falling alarmingly within months if yields were to stay where they are,” he said. The fall in profits in the second quarter, and a softer outlook in the second half , “is likely to mean decelerating hiring by autumn,” he said. Levy disputed the consensus view that the U.S. and global economy will improve going into next year. “The notion that global economic affairs will simply drift back toward normalcy is fundamentally flawed,” he said. “The global economy is more balance-sheet impeded and less stable than during most of postwar history.” Persistently high bond rates would hurt residential construction, personal spending, and exports, Levy said. |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
16-Jul-2013 11:16
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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Will Bernanke surprise markets again this week?June's softer-than-expected U.S. retail sales data suggest Ben Bernanke could reiterate that monetary stimulus will stay in place for now when he testifies to Congress this week, but don't bet on it, say some strategists. " Never say never with Bernanke and I think that was very much the case last week when he surprised markets," said Robert Rennie, global head of currency strategy at Westpac, talking about what to expect from this week's Bernanke testimony on CNBC Asia's " Squawk Box." " In recent weeks the message that he's given is that we have seen signs of improvements in the U.S. economy and we're going to move towards tapering. Then he gives us the message that we got last week, so I think markets will be cautious ahead of Bernanke's testimony," he added. ...more... |
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guoyanyunyan
Elite |
16-Jul-2013 11:11
Yells: "uncertainty always exist" |
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• Technical factors. Investors studying the movements of the stock charts are seeing the market's positive momentum having more steam. The stock market is breaking out of a trading range it's been trapped in since 2000, Johnson says. And market rallies can last much longer than many expect. The S& P has been above its average price the past 200 trading days for 162 trading sessions, which is a bullish sign, says Chris Verrone of Strategas. The past five rallies remained over their 200-day moving averages for 244 days, on average. And rallies can last much longer: Stocks stayed above the 200-day moving average for 627 days between November 1953 and May 1956, Verrone says. " The duration of this rally is nothing out of the ordinary," Verrone says. " It's time to stick with the trend."  |
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