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things every retail investor/trader should know
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Livermore
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15-Nov-2008 19:30
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Reading about the company's financial is important. You won't want to be trading in a stock and then it gets halted or delisted for financial problems. | ||
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elfinchilde
Elite |
15-Nov-2008 18:48
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i only read ARs (annual reports) for FA. i don't trust analysts reports: ARs are what give you the full figures and theoretically, the full disclosure. whereas analysts' reports will give you their interpretation of it: so trusting an analyst's report is like 2nd degree interpretation from the fact. Have never seen the numbers from poems/etc, so am not sure? Sometimes it may be old numbers, is my guess. Alternatively, the analysts may have deducted off main sums etc to show 'actual holdings'. best example of trusting only ARs and not tabulated financials/analysts reports: Ferrochina. Their Aug AR actually gave the debt figure already--which astute investors should have realised would drive the company into negative equity immediately. hope this helps.
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iPunter
Supreme |
15-Nov-2008 18:08
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Pardon me if I sound far out... |
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ojcurious
Member |
14-Nov-2008 09:05
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Hi Elfin, Is it possible to give me some insights? I'm trying to pick up some FA skill but is really confused by the different numbers I get from the tabulated finanicals (eg from Poems/shareinvestors) and the company's actual finanical reports. Eg, in the company's finanical report, cashflow is negative but in the tabulated finanicals from others, it's positive... so, is some of the figures "re-calculated" or something like that? I have no accounting background and such... so when I try to compare the figures... I get really confused with the different numbers posted... Any other experts out there care to advise me on this? Many thanks in advance.... |
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elfinchilde
Elite |
14-Nov-2008 04:54
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DJIA beautifully up ~430 pts as we speak, on back of a 200 pip rise in the UJ. near perfect bounce off its support line, though dropped below for a spell no thanks to a statement by Soros (who is, of course, a vested party). STI likely to gap up tomorrow. still holding a call of consolidation mode for now. 1700 to 2000, with 1900 being a resistance. as per blog post on 11th nov alr. http://elfinchilde.blogspot.com/2008/11/sti-and-djia.html (for those who wish to see the tech evidence). note that we've bounced off ~1700 three times in the last 9 trading sessions. no matter what the DJIA gyrations were. Again and again, it is about technicals, the trend. What does the trend say? Always, make sure you see what is, and not what your fear/greed leads you to see. same thing: for traders only. NOT for longterm investors yet. consolidation range => can go either way. caveat applies. |
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elfinchilde
Elite |
13-Nov-2008 18:07
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married trades = X trades. same thing reflected in BUSD. academics doesn't count in the market lah. look at economists. they always get it wrong. or as they themselves say, they're right, but only in the long, long run. |
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waverly
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13-Nov-2008 14:20
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Hi Elfin, is there a difference between cross and married trades? i thought married trades were also broker intiated. eg broker A has client B and client C who happens to want to buy/sell the same stock/volume. they then perform a cross trade for simplicity. bids/ask quotes are not put to the market, it is a private deal pls correct me if i'm wrong tks .
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waverly
Member |
13-Nov-2008 14:15
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all the more impressive since u said u have no degree or 'proper qualification' some of the foreign houses like to hire only first class hons/ ivy league grads. but looking at their calls (on hindsight many inaccurate calls) makes one wonder the usefulness of academics in the stock market.
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elfinchilde
Elite |
12-Nov-2008 23:47
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yah. was wondering the same thing too....*gasp* my thread is spooked! heavens.
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elfinchilde
Elite |
12-Nov-2008 23:45
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X deals are married trades. they occur when someone sews up the quotes--ie, buy up or sell down consecutive quotes. eg, if you have 100 lots of sembcorp to sell, and the buy Q (ppl queuing to buy) at that point in time shows: 2.50 ---50 lots 2.49---30 lots 2.48--50 lots. in order to sell your 100 lots at one shot, you need to sell down the queue: 50 lots @ 2.5, 30 @ 2.49, 20 @ 2.48. So your sell px would be the average of all that---ie, 100 lots @ 2.493. That would be reflected in time of sales (or BUSD) as 'X' --100 @ 2.493 (SGX gives to 3 dec place, i think). The alternative is dealer-agreed. eg, two houses can agree to exchange the stock with each other at a certain price--usually offered to institutional players--and that deal is reflected as X as well. so that's why sometimes you'll see funny numbers and X's over the place. it's an indication of ppl sewing up quotes, as market lingo goes. Final end of day closing tends to be large lots, because that's exchange-matched. 1705 hrs, very liable to BB action as they are given those additional minutes. to know what the X deal is, you simply have to see the px before and after the X trade: if it's down, it means the X was a sell. if it's up, it means the X was a buy. hope this helps, cheers! |
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baseerahmed
Master |
12-Nov-2008 23:44
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Admin : .. noticed that something is wrong with this thread ...although the last post is by Farmer at 15.27 ... this thread is now at the top at 23.42 .... noticed similar thing yesterday ... or is it my pc ? |
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yipyip
Master |
12-Nov-2008 23:40
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3 Months Ended Sep 2008 q-o-q plunges below -10% Company % Change Current Net Profit (S$M) Allgreen -10.90% $31.19 Hwa Hong -10.95% $12.11 Oriental Century -11.19% $2.51 Hotel Prop -12.00% $13.37 See Hup Seng -12.50% $2.67 OCBC Bk -13.17% $402.00 Tsit Wing -13.31% $1.34 China Merchants (Pacific) -14.40% $13.57 Samudera -14.74% $8.18 IFS -15.55% $2.30 Midas -15.83% $8.01 HL Fin -16.19% $30.89 SBS Transit -16.99% $8.32 FibreChem -18.53% $22.19 Bright World -19.00% $7.24 Bonvests -20.92% $7.65 Interra Res -20.96% $0.92 MobileOne -21.10% $34.40 SP Chemicals -21.90% $9.24 Rotary -22.22% $9.67 Amara -22.37% $3.35 Haw Par Corp -22.59% $21.07 Dutech -24.72% $2.61 CapitaLand -25.62% $419.44 FrasersComm Trust -27.31% $8.08 China Lifestyle -28.35% $2.56 Gallant -31.60% $0.17 YHI Intl -33.17% $3.83 China Precision -35.38% $4.12 Federal Int -36.01% $1.11 DBS Grp -37.87% $379.00 Reyoung -38.32% $2.55 Nera Telecoms -38.73% $1.86 OKP Hldgs -39.21% $2.14 ZhguoPengjie -39.92% $1.59 Sing Inv & Fin -42.95% $2.14 Keppel Land -43.58% $46.17 Sky Petrol -43.77% $4.38 ChungHong -43.84% $1.10 Fuxing -44.13% $5.61 Chip Eng Seng -46.15% $11.37 Venture Corp -47.42% $40.13 Sarin Tech -48.97% $1.49 Full Apex -51.66% $4.73 Excelpoint -52.38% $0.13 Jadason -53.37% $2.09 Synear -54.95% $5.87 BBR Hldgs -55.02% $0.36 UMS -55.37% $0.91 CourageMar -57.05% $12.32 Lizhong -59.41% $2.15 Advanced Hldgs -63.13% $1.38 Kingboard -64.38% $5.73 GlobalTest -68.16% $1.75 Sunningdale Tech -68.36% $1.96 STATS ChipPAC -71.71% $11.26 Texchem-Pack -72.09% $0.29 UOB-Kay Hian -72.13% $19.65 United Engineers -74.51% $1.89 Multi-Chem -76.68% $1.37 NOL -81.66% $50.15 Memtech -82.18% $1.16 HL Asia -85.20% $3.74 Lee KimTah -88.06% $0.56 Kim Eng Hldgs -92.90% $2.23 Eucon -93.50% $0.51 IntRoller -93.77% $0.11 Hiap Hoe -94.26% $0.40 Tuan Sing -94.40% $0.81 Jurong Tech -94.69% $0.71 Parkway Hldgs -95.47% $10.17 InnoTek -97.33% $0.16 UIS -97.59% $0.14 Lafe Corp -98.11% $0.02 SPC -99.37% $0.62 C&G Ind nm $(0.12) CNA Grp nm $(0.13) Enviro-Hub nm $(0.17) Maveric nm $(0.20) Jurong Cement nm $(0.25) CHT Hldgs nm $(0.36) Europtronic nm $(0.57) JiutianC nm $(0.67) Hup Soon nm $(0.84) Mirach Energy nm $(0.91) HLH Grp nm $(1.14) AsiaPower nm $(1.34) Innovalues nm $(1.62) Anwell nm $(1.89) AEM nm $(2.04) China Dairy nm $(2.55) S Reinsurance nm $(2.68) Thakral nm $(2.99) Hotung nm $(3.01) ChinaAElec nm $(3.01) Plastoform nm $(3.17) Sapphire nm $(3.30) Ouhua nm $(6.38) Osim nm $(6.99) L-Jacob nm $(9.04) Sino-Env nm $(9.76) Delong nm $(11.88) United Food nm $(12.36) Chartered SemiCond nm $(38.41) G.K. Goh nm $(42.04) ChinaNTown nm $(97.67) |
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Farmer
Master |
12-Nov-2008 15:27
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Hmm...Dark pools huh! I think it's like those X-X-X deals we've seen everyday in SGX, only thing is that its done in private not under the public eyes with intentions. It will be bad news for SGX if left unfiltered...lets kiv. | ||
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elfinchilde
Elite |
12-Nov-2008 14:40
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excerpt from my latest blog entry. will be of interest to any invested in the market currently: longterm players may like to note the general increase in volume. Dark pools are here. Which is also why even though the economic front looks bad, the market moves differently. And this is why technicals rule. tread cautiously. to know more about dark pools: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_pools_of_liquidity http://www.portfolio.com/news-markets/national-news/portfolio/2007/07/06/Dark-Pools-Grow-Scrutiny-Does-Not |
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yipyip
Master |
12-Nov-2008 00:18
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3 Months Ended Sep 2008 q-o-q above 20% Company % Change Current Net Profit (S$M) Allied Tech + 7722.22% $3.52 Hi-P Intl + 5354.49% $25.53 ShangTurbo + 1559.73% $0.52 CWT + 719.20% $55.09 Baker Tech + 673.61% $8.50 MCL Land + 500.54% $18.97 Oceanus + 410.46% $33.17 ChinaSsine + 405.62% $9.41 IPC Corp + 393.87% $7.41 *Wee Hur + 291.39% $2.96 YHS + 284.12% $6.97 Roxy-Pacific + 239.31% $8.70 Soilbuild + 235.75% $15.35 K-Reit + 180.74% $15.19 Hyflux + 159.48% $17.33 PLife REIT + 153.87% $10.31 ARA Asset Mgt + 147.78% $9.09 GMG Global + 145.79% $19.48 Noble Grp + 145.31% $212.45 Spore Comp Sys + 118.82% $4.72 FirstRes + 116.97% $30.44 Yangzijiang + 111.49% $99.33 Orchard Parade + 93.99% $14.73 NSL + 87.08% $25.77 Furama + 86.11% $9.49 SembCorp Marine + 73.18% $140.89 SunVic + 69.57% $5.61 Engro Corp + 68.84% $4.57 SP Corp + 64.43% $0.49 AsiaEntH + 52.97% $8.16 Sihuan + 52.94% $13.90 CapitaRChina Trust + 52.59% $12.45 Elec & Eltek + 51.92% $17.47 Pan United + 51.87% $12.46 Beng Kuang + 51.26% $1.51 PSCCorp + 51.23% $3.20 Capitacommercial Trust + 46.05% $43.17 MAP Tech + 44.88% $5.57 FSL Trust + 36.90% $21.80 Jardine C&C + 35.72% $219.20 Cambridge Ind Trust + 35.49% $11.87 Pharmesis + 34.65% $0.03 Total Access + 34.60% $77.01 Adv Integrated + 33.57% $1.34 Mapletree Log + 33.07% $25.43 Shanghai Asia + 32.06% $4.84 Riverstone + 31.84% $3.01 Ascott REIT + 31.79% $15.86 China Fibretech + 30.99% $7.65 CDL H Trust + 29.72% $24.41 Raffles Med + 25.01% $8.19 Semb Corp Ind + 24.79% $144.93 ECS Hldgs + 22.84% $7.60 China XLX + 21.43% $20.19 Qian Hu + 20.90% $1.53 |
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oonyxiss
Member |
11-Nov-2008 16:41
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This Site is a Must-Have !!!!! Hope all of you will benefit from the trading resources.... http://www.streamingindices.blogspot.com Please post all the useful resources whereby everyone can share |
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baseerahmed
Master |
10-Nov-2008 09:30
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an excellent piece ... a must read http://elfinchilde.blogspot.com/2008/11/mindsets-and-mentality.html |
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elfinchilde
Elite |
10-Nov-2008 01:29
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http://elfinchilde.blogspot.com/2008/11/mindsets-and-mentality.html ahead of the trading week, a pause to consider the daises that grow between the pavement cracks. |
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elfinchilde
Elite |
10-Nov-2008 01:14
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hullo cashiertan, great to see you here. :) misread your meaning? i may have missed your post, i was responding to richtan/the rest asking abt CD/XD plays. but yea, personally, i prefer stop loss to DCA. and agree with the rest of what you said too. personally, i find forex better than stocks currently cos of the risk/reward ratio (tho forex is NOT for everyone pls, can be easy to lose money too if you don't know how to play it rightly). and yah, affected: cos the CBs have been intervening in the money markets. the japanese have a support for UJ at 92. completely concur with not taking positions at times too. no need to trade all the time anyway. one minor disagreeement though: TA rarely fails; usually if there's a failure, it tends to be more of human error than TA error. ya know, itchy fingers. cheers! |
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cashiertan
Elite |
10-Nov-2008 00:39
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hi elf, i guess u misread my meaning. I said DCA on the way up never DCA on the way down.. nevertheless, i never encourage DCA down to anyone. it is the fastest way to lose money. in this kind of market, the easiest way to make money will be the forex market where liquidity is not as affected. however i sense that even it may be affected somehow. well still can trust the good old TA rather than news. also, if TA dun works due to turmoil, i can also stop trading till norm are back. afterall no trading is also taking a position as a trader
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