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BukitSem
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mirage
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19-Jan-2007 13:14
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Thank you EastonBay for the CIMB report, thank you sharejunction, I really learn a lot from this forum. This is good news for those vested. |
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EastonBay
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19-Jan-2007 12:23
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Maybe due to CIMB report today. It said that "stock has potential to trade up to $11.25" Bukit Sembawang Estates (S$9.40) - Laggard developer, anyone? Update Offering good mix of projects. While the prime luxury residential segment in Singapore While the prime luxury residential segment in Singaporeremains hot, the mid-end segment has started to play catch-up. Against this backdrop, BS has the potential to capitalise on its vast development land bank of 4.2m sf GFA. We visited the company recently and understand that BS will be launching at least three projects in the next 12 months, ranging from terrace houses in the suburban north to a luxury condominium in prime District 9. Launching last phase of Mimosa. There are altogether six phases to the freeholdThere are altogether six phases to the freehold Mimosa Terrace project along Mimosa Road in the Yio Chu Kang/Seletar area. BS will be launching Phase 6 (44 units) this quarter. BS launched Phase 4 (39 units) in April last year and the development has been fully sold at an estimated price of S$520 psf on average. As the annual absorption of terrace houses in Singapore is typically 200-300 units, we expect healthy take-up for Phase 6, as was the case in the previous five phases. Parc Mondrian to blossom. BS also plans to launch Parc Mondrian (freehold, 100 units),BS also plans to launch Parc Mondrian (freehold, 100 units), its condominium project at Woodleigh Close, soon. This mid-end development is within walking distance of the Woodleigh MRT station. We note the strong sales at nearby Blossoms@Woodleigh (freehold, 240 units), which was launched early this month. Some 100 apartments or 42% of the available units were sold in a week at an average price of S$650 psf. And now the crown jewel. BS?s luxury condominium project (freehold, 200 units) at theBS?s luxury condominium project (freehold, 200 units) at the junction of Paterson Road and Lengkok Angsa in prime District 9 is scheduled for launch soon (possibly in two phases in anticipation of further property price increases in that area). The residential component (99-year leasehold, 168 units) of the landmark Orchard Turn development further down Paterson Road is said to be ready for launch in the next two months at prices as high as S$3,000 psf. SC Global (SG SP, S$3.40, NR) has also announced that its project on Paterson Hill, marQ (freehold, 60-70 units) will be launched in 2Q or 3Q this year at S$2,800 psf. Given the proximity of BS?s project to these two developments (across Paterson Road from marQ), we expect its prices to reach S$2,500 psf by the time of its launch. Valuation and recommendation Positive news flow. As high-profile developments like Orchard Turn and marQ areAs high-profile developments like Orchard Turn and marQ are launched over the next few months and as the mid-tier segment?s recovery gains momentum, we anticipate favourable news flow to increase investors? interest in the stock. BS?s only investment property at 7th storey Tong Building, beside the prime shopping mall The Paragon in Orchard Road, could potentially add to the positive news flow, should a collective sale of the building take place. Stock has potential to trade up to S$11.25. Since November last year, the stock hasSince November last year, the stock has appreciated 9%. At the current price, we believe it remains undervalued. We have raised our fully-diluted RNAV estimate for BS from S$9.53 to S$11.25 to reflect higher selling price assumptions for its residential projects. This represents a 20% premium to the stock?s current valuation. Our RNAV estimate of S$11.25 is also 2.6x BS?s book value of S$4.30 as at end-Sep 06, which is in line with the highest P/B multiple that the stock traded at during the last property stock upcycle in 1998-1999. |
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mirage
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19-Jan-2007 11:38
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Any one have any idea, why Bukit Sembawang suddenly surge up to a high of 10.10 today? FA / TA gurus, masters, any views?? BukitSem up, up, up and away!!!!!!!! |
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