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Sabana Reits - High Yield Div Play

New123
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10-Jan-2011 19:51

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Very positive analysis . Let's hope ppl will start to realize its true value and the great dividends yield of 8.22 % - 8.25%.

Good for long term steady returns.

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stockyd
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10-Jan-2011 18:20

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cut & copy

From the Regional Morning Notes

Sabana Shari’ah Compliant REIT Largest global shari’ah-certified REIT.
(S$0.97/BUY/Target: S$1.20)
FY11 P/E (x): 12.9
FY12 P/E (x): 12.8
Initiate with BUY. We initiate coverage on Sabana REIT with a BUY and a target price of
S$1.20, based on the dividend discount model with a required rate of return of 8% and a
terminal growth rate of 2%.

Above-average dividend yield of 8.9%. We forecast Sabana REIT’s 2011 dividend yield at
8.9%. This is higher than the average FY11F dividend yield of 7.9% for the industrial S-REIT
segment and higher than the 8.4% and 6.9% FY11F trading yields for the 2010-listed Cache
Logistics Trust and Mapletree Industrial Trust respectively.
Initiate with BUY. We initiate coverage with a BUY and a target price of S$1.20, based on the
dividend discount model with a required rate of return of 8% and a terminal growth rate of 2%.
We suggest a 50bp higher required rate of return to large industrial SREITs, such as A-REIT, to
account for various risks including the comparatively mid-sized capitalisation, together with the
lack of a track record and a strong sponsor.

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stockyd
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10-Jan-2011 16:35

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lol, if sabana reit will release a single good news, maybe we shall see 肚饿的小鱼吃大鱼.

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stockyd
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10-Jan-2011 16:26

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next target 1.03

Cheong Ar !!!!

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New123
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10-Jan-2011 14:13

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It may break-out $1 mark..

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stockyd
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10-Jan-2011 09:45

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yeah ! Cheong Ar!

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Bon3260
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10-Jan-2011 09:41

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Sabana Reit 1.00 liao!!!

Cheong Ah!!!

('',)

Bon3260 ( Date: 07-Jan-2011 16:36) Posted:

Sabana Reit Cheong Ah!!!

('',)

Bon3260 ( Date: 31-Dec-2010 22:12) Posted:

Sabana Reit only reached 1.03 record high on 1st day 26-Nov-2010 which was IPO px @ 1.05.

If Sabana Reit by yr 2011 still wun reach 1.20. Juz sell it away...

Note: On 31-Dec-2010, Sabana Reit was close @ 0.975

('',)

Bon3260 ( Date: 31-Dec-2010 22:12) Posted:

Sabana Reit only reached 1.03 record high on 1st day 26-Nov-2010 which was IPO px @ 1.05.

If Sabana Reit by yr 2011 still wun reach 1.20. Juz sell it away...

Note: On 31-Dec-2010, Sabana Reit was close @ 0.975

('',)

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stockyd
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08-Jan-2011 00:47

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Why 1.20 ?

Presently, it is @ only 0.98, seriously, the range of 1.03 - 1.05 will create a very strong resistant as well. ermmm not forgetting this reit IPO @ 1.05 which mean a lot of selling pressure (take little loss or break even when hit too :)

But of coz, bigger fish might come in @ that time to push further, woops.

anyway, patience is all we have to take now, whether is it supporter / investor, all we just need is a good physicological push from a good technical or fundamental :P

and heh, there are too many ways, so must as well just watch it daily and see what will happened next, cheers and hope everyone will get a big ang bao !!!

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angmohlin
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08-Jan-2011 00:20

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There were 12 consecutive days support at 0.965 whereby can say that nobody want to sell below this price at this moment. Hence, 0.965 should be very strong support. Now, hoping that the so called the "supporter" able to push the share price above water. However, I have noticed from the transactions of substantial shareholder interest announcements, the 'supporters' rather quite weak.

For Reit counter, how much share price they can push up. I am doubt the Sabana's share price can go up to $1.20.

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Bon3260
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07-Jan-2011 21:48

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If I'm not wrong... 大鱼s r @ counter 29 & 121 for Sabana Reit...

No. Counter Party Code Member Companies

1 01 AmFraser Securities Pte Ltd

2 05 UOB Kay Hian Pte Ltd

3 08 Credit Suisse Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd

4 11 MF Global Singapore Pte Ltd

5 12 Lim & Tan Securities Pte Ltd

6 13 SGX BI Dept

7 17 CIMB-GK Securities Pte Ltd

8 20 Phillip Securities Pte Ltd

9 21 Kim Eng Securities Pte Ltd

10 24 Fortis Clearing Singapore Pte Ltd

11 25 Daiwa Securities SMBC Investment Services Pte Ltd

12 26 BNP Paribas Securities Pte Ltd

13 28 OCBC Securities Private Limited

14 29 DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd

15 31 DMG & Partners Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd

16 39 Instinet Singapore Services Pte Ltd

17 40 Goldman Sachs Futures Pte Ltd

18 70 CLSA Singapore Pte Ltd

19 71 Nomura Securities Singapore Pte Ltd

20 73 Macquarie Capital Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd

21 77 The Royal Bank of Scotland Asia Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd

22 78 Merrill Lynch (Singapore) Pte Ltd

23 79 J.P. Morgan Securities Singapore Pte Ltd

24 82 Morgan Stanley Asia (Singapore) Securities Pte Ltd

25 83 Citigroup Global Markets Singapore Securities Pte Ltd

26 84 UBS Securities Pte Ltd

For 3-digit counterparty codes, the first two digits may be used as a reference for the above

('',)

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stockyd
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07-Jan-2011 21:35

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heh interesting

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Bon3260
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07-Jan-2011 21:31

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Stockyd,

I saw 大鱼s 1 2 make pple chase stock @ 0.995 tis aftnoon.

Below's my explainations as follows;

Time Last Vol Buy/Sell
17:05:03 0.980 212 S <---- 大鱼s left / rite pocket & purposely made it close 0.980.
16:59:59 0.985 30 S
16:58:45 0.985 20 S
16:58:15 0.985 216 B <---- 3rd sells dwn 0.985 by 大鱼s. Shd b left / rite pocket during dat time.
16:56:23 0.985 20 B
16:51:57 0.985 20 B
16:49:25 0.990 4 S
16:46:25 0.985 10 B
16:45:53 0.990 27 S <---- Muz b pple chase stocks.
16:43:55 0.985 50 B <---- 3rd sells dwn 0.985 by 大鱼s. Shd b left / rite pocket during dat time.
16:43:50 0.990 10 S <---- Muz b pple chase stocks. 大鱼s oredi removed fake Buy Q 0.990 wif in 3 sec.
16:43:47 0.990 150 B <---- 2nd sells dwn 0.990 by 大鱼s. Shd b left / rite pocket during dat time.
16:43:25 0.995 20 S <---- Muz b pple chase stocks.
16:43:21 0.995 10 S <---- Muz b pple chase stocks.
16:43:08 0.995 10 S <---- Muz b pple chase stocks.
16:43:00 0.995 6 S <---- Muz b pple chase stocks.
16:42:41 0.995 10 S <---- Muz b pple chase stocks.
16:42:27 0.995 10 S <---- Muz b pple chase stocks.
16:42:15 0.995 100 S <---- 4th buys up 0.995 @ Sell. 大鱼s were there Q'ing few hundreds lots Q Buy @ 0.990 so dat pple'll chase 0.995.
16:41:38 0.995 1 S <---- Dat was 2nd test water by 大鱼s juz a single lot @ 0.995. & there were a few hundreds lots Q Buy @ 0.990 by them.
16:41:23 0.990 71 S
16:40:33 0.990 20 S
16:40:08 0.990 20 S
16:40:05 0.990 80 S
16:40:00 0.990 20 S
16:39:50 0.990 10 S
16:37:13 0.990 5 S
16:37:03 0.990 37 B
16:36:59 0.990 7 B
16:36:58 0.987 46 X
16:36:52 0.990 10 S
16:36:50 0.990 20 S
16:36:48 0.990 100 S
16:36:45 0.990 2 S
16:36:37 0.990 10 S
16:36:34 0.990 5 S <---- There were 1,000 lots Q Buy 0.985. So dat pple'll chase 0.990.
16:36:00 0.990 105 B <---- 1st sells dwn 0.990 by 大鱼s. Shd b left / rite pocket during dat time.
16:35:45 0.995 1 S <---- Dat was 1st test water by 大鱼s juz a single lot @ 0.995. & there were a few hundreds lots Q Buy @ 0.990 by them.
16:35:31 0.990 155 S
16:35:29 0.990 50 S
16:35:26 0.990 10 S
16:35:24 0.990 100 S
16:34:05 0.990 35 S <---- 3rd buys up 0.990 @ Sell. 大鱼s hv oredi Q 1,000 lots @ Buy 0.985. So dat pple'll chase 0.990.
16:33:27 0.985 190 S
16:33:26 0.985 10 S
16:33:24 0.985 100 S
16:33:23 0.985 30 S
16:33:21 0.985 200 S <---- 2nd buys up 0.985 @ Sell. 大鱼s hv oredi Q 1,000 lots @ Buy 0.980. So dat pple'll chase 0.985.
16:32:33 0.985 1 S
16:31:30 0.980 706 S <---- 1st buys up 0.980 @ Sell was 大鱼s.

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stockyd
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07-Jan-2011 20:31

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sorry, lazy to type out what i have input in another forum about this counter before 16:31 today, so i just cut and paste it here.

Sorry if anyone think it is wrong. however, from top till bottom of 1.05 to 0.925, the retracement level is 0.98, upon testing few times from the chart of 0.99 to 0.925, it retraced back to 0.965 with strong support on it few times. On the wave movements, seems like it is more to the uptrend thing. If this is correct. the next target level calculate from 0.99-0.925 will be 1.03, which means, 0.98 once broken, it will go all the way

additional edit:

If this is correct, though my next target price is 1.03, but this is consider only a third wave up. With confident, one can either hold it and wait for rebound and trust back to the fifth wave before taking profit.( Haha, personal point of view using Fibo and Elliot ) As for why recommending this ? On Technical it is going more to the upside. March coming with yeild of more than 8%. NAV is = 0.99. IPO@1.05

Sabana Gearing @ 26.5%
Assets @ 885M
Debt @ 215M

Comparing with MIT

Assets @ 2164M
Debt @ 833M
Gearing @ (((((38.5%))))

*No Risk No Gain* :P

Part 2

The last 29 minutes of Sabana is quite volatile after it break suddenly with a one trade buying of 706 lots moving up to highest 0.995 and then slowly back down to the opening of today 0.98 forming a doji. Will still maintain "buy" whether or not it rebound back to 0.97 level if it still can be seen on this coming Monday. If it is, the big wave 3 is not even started. anyway, 0.995-0.925, lvl 0.97 will be the next level of support.

correct me if i am wrong

1st condition - small wave 3 already started and is going up next week.

2nd condition - retraced back to 0.97 level and will also pick up in near future.

Still recommend accumulation on "BUY" for Sabana Reit.

Part 3 (some records of the movement starting from 16:31)

M1GU (Sabana REIT)

DAY HIGH : 0.995 NET CHANGE : 0.000 TOTAL VALUE : 4,097,305
DAY LOW : 0.970 LAST DONE : 0.980 VOLUME : 4,168

Time Last Vol Buy/Sell
17:05:03 0.980 212 S
16:59:59 0.985 30 S
16:58:45 0.985 20 S
16:58:15 0.985 216 B
16:56:23 0.985 20 B
16:51:57 0.985 20 B
16:49:25 0.990 4 S
16:46:25 0.985 10 B
16:45:53 0.990 27 S
16:43:55 0.985 50 B
16:43:50 0.990 10 S
16:43:47 0.990 150 B
16:43:25 0.995 20 S
16:43:21 0.995 10 S
16:43:08 0.995 10 S
16:43:00 0.995 6 S
16:42:41 0.995 10 S
16:42:27 0.995 10 S
16:42:15 0.995 100 S
16:41:38 0.995 1 S
16:41:23 0.990 71 S
16:40:33 0.990 20 S
16:40:08 0.990 20 S
16:40:05 0.990 80 S
16:40:00 0.990 20 S
16:39:50 0.990 10 S
16:37:13 0.990 5 S
16:37:03 0.990 37 B
16:36:59 0.990 7 B
16:36:58 0.987 46 X
16:36:52 0.990 10 S
16:36:50 0.990 20 S
16:36:48 0.990 100 S
16:36:45 0.990 2 S
16:36:37 0.990 10 S
16:36:34 0.990 5 S
16:36:00 0.990 105 B
16:35:45 0.995 1 S
16:35:31 0.990 155 S
16:35:29 0.990 50 S
16:35:26 0.990 10 S
16:35:24 0.990 100 S
16:34:05 0.990 35 S
16:33:27 0.985 190 S
16:33:26 0.985 10 S
16:33:24 0.985 100 S
16:33:23 0.985 30 S
16:33:21 0.985 200 S
16:32:33 0.985 1 S
16:31:30 0.980 706 S <--------

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stockyd
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07-Jan-2011 20:26

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it is going up, just plan your exit point asap :)

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ysp3337
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07-Jan-2011 16:43

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wait long long .....

i also waiting for...

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Bon3260
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07-Jan-2011 16:36

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Sabana Reit Cheong Ah!!!

('',)

Bon3260 ( Date: 31-Dec-2010 22:12) Posted:

Sabana Reit only reached 1.03 record high on 1st day 26-Nov-2010 which was IPO px @ 1.05.

If Sabana Reit by yr 2011 still wun reach 1.20. Juz sell it away...

Note: On 31-Dec-2010, Sabana Reit was close @ 0.975

('',)

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New123
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07-Jan-2011 15:58

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I think this gives a better options as compare to CMA bond of 1 - 2.15%.

DPU of 8.22% per annum will be distributed quarterly.

New123 ( Date: 06-Jan-2011 11:32) Posted:

Gd dividend of about 8.6% ++ is so much better than fixed deposit. Is much better than putting money in the bank that earn so little interest 0.1 - 0.7%...

This is not a growth stock but mainly for higher dividends yield..

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New123
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06-Jan-2011 11:32

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Bon3260
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31-Dec-2010 22:12

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Sabana Reit only reached 1.03 record high on 1st day 26-Nov-2010 which was IPO px @ 1.05.

If Sabana Reit by yr 2011 still wun reach 1.20. Juz sell it away...

Note: On 31-Dec-2010, Sabana Reit was close @ 0.975

('',)

Bon3260 ( Date: 16-Dec-2010 22:32) Posted:

Sabana Reit's chart shown up trend liao...

1.20 shd b no problem...

('',)

Note: As @ 16-Dec-2010, Sabana Reit close 0.975.

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Bon3260
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24-Dec-2010 13:08

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On e 17-Dec-2010 (Fri), Sabana Reit's high was @ 0.990.

Today On Line Trade ctr players due & forse sell.

Shd b expecting 2nd attemps try hit 1.00 nxt wk.

('',)

Bon3260 ( Date: 16-Dec-2010 22:32) Posted:

Sabana Reit's chart shown up trend liao...

1.20 shd b no problem...

('',)

Note: As @ 16-Dec-2010, Sabana Reit close 0.975.

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