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Swiber

zhixuen
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16-Nov-2010 21:32

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If You see from the chart when gaoxian share price goes up the volume increase as well and if the share price plunge down the volume decline also. You can see the past one month the volume and share price is correspondence by almost same wave.

[IMG]http://i234.photobucket.com/albums/ee11/nuflavors/2010Nov-ChinaGaoxian-800x600.png[/IMG]

This is a health and solid I guess unless the marriage deal is just to confuse investors.

I hope I'm right.

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zhixuen
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16-Nov-2010 21:15

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You're right the fundamental tells that this counter is not worth to invest but technical can see some sparkling in next few days.

1	PE	17.5	<15	OK
2	PRICE/REV	0.878	<1	GOOD
3	CURRENT RATIO	1.565	>2	OK	Current Asset / Current Liabilties
4	QUICK RATIO		>1		Current Asset - Invetories / Current Liabilities
5	PRICE TO CASH FLOW RATIO	5.331
6	ROA	3.702	>10% - 12&	BAD
7	revenue/total asset	0.65			revenue/total asset
8	Inventory Turnover	76.35	>9 depend on different business		Cost of Sales / Inventory
9	Net Earnings Margin [%]	8.814	>4% - 6%	OK
10	Long term Liabilites / Equity	80.34%	<75	GOOD
11	Long term Liabilites / Total Asset	27%	<50	GOOD
12	NAV	0.8957

Peg_li ( Date: 16-Nov-2010 21:11) Posted:

This one is really funny counter, many broker agent set a 1.30 to 1.4 even 1.5$

tartge price, but market never care about that, it always climb down. don't those BB want to sell it?

don't know.

anyway this counter is very lousy, the company management also maybe very lousy.

they don't know how to make their own stock up and also never send divident to shareholders.

no wonder, nobody like this counter. it is rubbish.

invest 20k more than 1 year, still lose money, if invest other counter, make a lot of money.

very very lousy counter and company.

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Peg_li
Master

16-Nov-2010 21:11

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des_khor
Supreme

16-Nov-2010 20:51

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Yells: "Tell me who is the God or MFT from this forum??"

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This one I bought $1.06 and cut $1.05 lost $500 exclude brokerage.... very disappointed about the cost saving.... need to go to ask RE for the course....

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enghou
Senior

16-Nov-2010 17:05

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Swiber Holdings: BUY; S$1.04; Bloomberg Code: SWIB SP
Margins expansion encouraging
Price Target : S$ 1.28

by: : Jeremy THIA +65 6398 7974

3Q10 adjusted PATMI of S$10.7m; slightly below expectations.

Expect strong seasonal order wins, potential award of contracts under
tender.

Lowered FY10 core PATMI by 2% on lower assoc/JV income.

Maintain BUY and TP at S$1.28.

Comment on Results
3Q10 slightly below. Swiber’s 3Q10 revenue came in at US$122.4m (+28% yoy).
Adjusting headline net profit of US$7.0m (-52% yoy) for one-off
exceptionals (Kreuz’s IPO-related costs, forex losses, fair value losses on
its CBs, disposal gains), recurring PATMI would be c. US$10.7m, slightly
below expectations. This was mainly due to lower contributions from
associates/JVs, some of which incurred start-up costs. Adjusted EBIT margin
was up 8.3ppt yoy to 14.3% on positive operating leverage, a positive sign.
Outstanding orderbook stands at US$800m vs. US$915m in August, with
visibility up to FY15. Net gearing stood at 0.86x vs. 0.91x as of 2Q10.

Expect strong finish to 2010. Swiber is bidding for 4 major contracts worth
at least US$1.5bn in total (refer to our 9 November update), based on our
background checks. This number should be significantly higher as management
guides that it is currently bidding for >15 projects in the region. Along
with the start of the contracting season for offshore field development
works in Southeast Asia, we believe these could make up the outstanding
order wins assumption of c. US$285-370m for FY10.

Recommendation
Maintain BUY. We have lowered our core FY10 earnings by 2% to US$31m to
reflect lower associates/JV contributions; headline net profit adjusted
-15% to US$44m on 3Q’s one-offs/exceptionals as detailed above. TP kept at
S$1.28 on 10x diluted recurring FY11 PE. Maintain BUY on potential price
catalysts from order wins

Source: DBS Secs

Make Love More, Don't Make More Enemies

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edwinteo
Senior

15-Nov-2010 23:01

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that's ridiculous.....don't they know all go up will come down and all go down will go up? wait wait wait and still waiting....

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des_khor
Supreme

15-Nov-2010 22:52

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Still the same... peoples still prefer high PE and overprice stocks...

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edwinteo
Senior

15-Nov-2010 22:48

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damn sia...profit, revenue and order book all better then PEC..PEC run like hell...this one SINKING

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ozone2002
Supreme

15-Nov-2010 10:38

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Swiber Holdings: Operationally stable YTD

Summary: Swiber Holdings (Swiber) reported a 27.5% YoY rise in revenue to US$122.4m but saw a 51.8% fall in net profit to US$7.0m in 3Q10. Gross profit margin remained more or less stable in 3Q10 compared to 2Q10. What led to the fall in net profit was mainly due to foreign exchange losses and change in fair value of financial derivatives embedded in the group’s convertible bonds. Core net profit is estimated to be around S$9.9m, slightly better than expected. The group is currently bidding actively for a number of projects. Demand for the group’s assets and services is likely to remain good, and that has reinforced our positive outlook of the group, though 3Q10’s forex and accounting losses are dampeners to a certain extent. We maintain our BUY rating with S$1.33 fair value estimate (based on 11x FY11F core earnings). (Low Pei Han)

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Bluevaio
Senior

13-Nov-2010 21:09

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1 year from now rally already over lah...cant wait for so long.Plenty of other stocks out there...

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zhixuen
Veteran

13-Nov-2010 09:44

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Golden agri consolidate period longer than this.

Peg_li ( Date: 12-Nov-2010 23:22) Posted:

If you think the chart,you will be cheated, don't believe this counter chart.

one year consolidation????????????????????????

zhixuen ( Date: 12-Nov-2010 23:07) Posted:

This counter is on consolidation stage you can see the symmetric triangle with next support $1.03.

Over one year don't have any good news to push it up. Hope will get some tendering project to make it fly.

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edwinteo
Senior

13-Nov-2010 00:46

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haiz...

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Livermore
Master

12-Nov-2010 23:39

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This is one hopeless counter and for whole year stuck in this range

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lowchia
Veteran

12-Nov-2010 23:30

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On Friday, Swiber undergo heavy selling pressure and closed at $1.04 with HIGH volume of 7.83 million shares traded.

A black candle sticks with LONG upper/lower shadow indicates a great amount of indecision about the future direction.

RSI & MACD are turning bearish as MACD lines about to perform a cross down.

Resistance of Swiber: $1.09

Immediate Support of Swiber: $1.01

Currently prices are supported by 100 days MA while resisted by 20/50/200 days MA.

Today Swiber undergo heavy selling pressure but ended with a candle sticks similar to a “Doji”.

As of now, prices continue to remain supported at the rising line and technical support at $1.01 is expected to be very strong.

SEE ANALYSIS FOR SGX

Therefore do monitor if prices can consolidate near $1.01 for buying opportunities if interested.

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Peg_li
Master

12-Nov-2010 23:22

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If you think the chart,you will be cheated, don't believe this counter chart.

one year consolidation????????????????????????

zhixuen ( Date: 12-Nov-2010 23:07) Posted:

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zhixuen
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12-Nov-2010 23:07

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freeman_5js
Senior

12-Nov-2010 22:48

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totally when other counter chiong tis move like snail

other counter maintain tis counter drop like dun wht happen

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Peg_li
Master

12-Nov-2010 22:36

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This one is really lousey one, sometimes more worse than S-chips.

S-chips also can make some money if you can trade properly.

this one ,invest a lot more than one year, still lose moeny, is a sheet one!

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Bluevaio
Senior

12-Nov-2010 22:16

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Yes I agree with u !

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Peg_li
Master

12-Nov-2010 21:53

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This one is sheet one, similar chinese S-chips.

suggest to sell!

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