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China correction and Subprime- believe / trust ?
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happyse27
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20-Dec-2007 22:05
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rally coming soon, as bargain hunters are picking good stocks and also fund managers are coming back from holiday... |
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happyse27
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19-Dec-2007 22:17
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for oil, the wars and nations quarrelling / arguing always tense up the price, the OPEC which accounts for 60% of world oil(gold, commodities or precious metals would increase) would be always seeing whether to increase price / increase production, due to whatever reasons, so the analysts with something to write about would focus on this issue to panic / make markets satisfied or happy... The next is inflation, since oil increase, therefore prices of food and logistics and commodities increases... THE point is, the more relevant bodies can do MORE to educating people about using lesser energy, saves balancedly and invest abit. HEY!!! But the root like globalization, global warming, food price control, how to reduce public lighting oil/energy comsumption, boldly introduce cars and train using alternative technologies although cost might be an issue, but some users that are rich would take the lead where the relevant bodies can cut taxes or give alternative fuel rebate to help(among other energy saving plans like planting more SEAWEEDS as proven by researchers and scientist that it absorbs five times more than normal plant or tree carbon dioxide which is Co2 )? Also, it would spur world economy by having industrial or technology revolution... STEPS by STEPS, we CAN make it to ASSIST this world, we are not helping this EARTH please remember, we are just ASSISTING as we need her more than she needs US!!! Cheers.... |
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happyse27
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19-Dec-2007 21:56
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Hi All, 1) No doubt subprime is not a small issues, but please do not forget banks usually have huge provisions for bad debt yearly, and they have huge deposits for other investments, saving, fixed deposited... etc .etc... They are rich fundamentally, unless poorly managed / not so efficient banks... The subprime have been used by big brothers / insituitation players / exchanges to help shorting and panicking the market... few reasons ： A) To hit quota for this YEAR(year end coming) either for buying at lower price / shorting to the price they want to buy B) To have a reason to correct the market by whoever involved... C) To have reason to shun off real market issues like credit risk issue like home loan policies, be it banks, financial insitute, lenders, etc and educating people attitude on not so good house investment, saving investments, investment investments, etc.... THEY could have actually helped poorer people to stop the default by asking users to pay principal only or half the principle(better than default everything_, and if they can afford, lesser interest... It is matter of the flexible structures of banks and related bodies(be less greedy to make the money and allow people to pay), reduce the FEAR of countries and people. 2) HK / China market have corrected about 30%-100% or more for some stocks(the China index rised about 1-3 times from last year,HK about 20%), so China is still poised to fluctate to reasonable lower level or rise even some if not much next year... Alot of people in China treating Stock market as savings rather than the banks that they have money because if they don't invest / specualate, most of them would actually like to spend away as a habit... China still have great populations living under poor and proverty conditions, so especially the rural is supporting directly or indirectly, they are fundamentally too much money, not like .com in 1997 where the websites / technologies companies are very very very much overpiced and people needed money for other loans, China people are generally more speculative and can afford to lose more, having said that, maybe a very huge obstacle in China Stock Boom might come, but probably not so fast as HK is the proxy, they could actually invest in USA, Europe and Japan, and other regions funds to heat off, among the other monetary, financial and property policies to ward off the overheating... Please : the request for constructive comments for all users to see how to alleviate this pain of subprime especially by suggesting to the world leaders?, China Correction is inevitable, probably bottomed to about there already?... ... Cheers... |
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