Latest Forum Topics / Delong | Post Reply |
Good buy??
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limkt009
Veteran |
21-Feb-2007 11:03
Yells: "Watch your front, grab $$$$$ at your own time" |
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High volume and strong price movement is seen today... cheong... |
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eventine70
Member |
16-Feb-2007 22:43
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Target Price: 0.25 CIMB - GK Raising target price to S$0.25 from S$0.23 (7x CY07 P/E maintained). This sets Delong roughly in line with its Asian peers? historical average. Delong will enjoy the full year benefit from the Dec 06 capacity expansion (from 1.6mt to 2.4mt). Beyond that, we believe there will be enough expansion opportunities (organic and via acquisitions) to catalyse its stock price. A 1.5 Scts dividend representing a 60% payout (vs. our expected 20%) was declared. This will be paid in two tranches (0.6 Scts in May 07 and 0.9 Scts in 2H07). Maintain Outperform. Raising target price to S$0.25 from S$0.23 (7x CY07 P/E maintained). This sets Delong roughly in line with its Asian peers? historical average. Delong will enjoy the full year benefit from the Dec 06 capacity expansion (from 1.6mt to 2.4mt). Beyond that, we believe there will be enough expansion opportunities (organic and via acquisitions) to catalyse its stock price. A 1.5 Scts dividend representing a 60% payout (vs. our expected 20%) was declared. This will be paid in two tranches (0.6 Scts in May 07 and 0.9 Scts in 2H07). Maintain Outperform. |
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zhuge_liang
Supreme |
16-Feb-2007 21:39
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It rose to its highest level since October 2003, after its quarterly profit jumped by more than four times. "Delong's 2006 results (were) well within expectations; Despite the rise in resource prices, we expect Delong to deliver sustained growth going forward," said OCBC analyst Ng Teck Choon in a client note. Ng raised his price target to $0.26 from $0.18 and kept a "buy" rating. |
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knightrider
Elite |
15-Jan-2007 13:26
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This is also a good counter but the share is too diluted. Can still go in, I think it will reached 0.20c and maintain strong when steel is a hot item. Good Luck. |
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maxtwl
Member |
15-Jan-2007 08:57
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CIMB and OCBC did analyst for delong. CIMB target price was 0.23 and OCBC was 0.18 Shld be going up. Good FA |
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AhBear
Member |
14-Jan-2007 22:09
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will this move up to 20 cents soon? Any comments? |
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iPunter
Supreme |
28-Dec-2006 22:27
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way to go!..... :) |
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singaporegal
Supreme |
28-Dec-2006 22:23
Yells: "Female TA nut" |
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From TA charts... Delong wait long long.... Hahaha... sorry.... couldn't help myself. |
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spurs88
Senior |
28-Dec-2006 21:08
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Looks undervalued according to CIMB. Price target $0.23.......... Maintain Outperform on Delong. Capacity expansion will kick in to boost
Delong?s earnings as we see a balanced Chinese steel market stretching into
FY07. Delong?s earnings as we see a balanced Chinese steel market stretching into FY07. ? A multi-year expansion story. Delong will see its capacity expand from 1.6mt to
2.4mt in Dec 06. Expanded capacity has already been fully booked by its
customers and will contribute for a full year in FY07. Utilisation rates are therefore
expected to remain at 100%. Management sees its current mill hitting a demand
saturation point. In a bid to grow earnings, a 500kt cold roll coil plant is slated to be
installed at its current mill by end FY07. Beyond that, Delong plans to expand
through M&A. With over 6,500 mills in China, it has no lack of targets. Expanding
beyond 2.4mt will also give it the economies of scale to expand vertically i.e.
acquire feedstock suppliers or downstream companies. 2.4mt in Dec 06. Expanded capacity has already been fully booked by its customers and will contribute for a full year in FY07. Utilisation rates are therefore expected to remain at 100%. Management sees its current mill hitting a demand saturation point. In a bid to grow earnings, a 500kt cold roll coil plant is slated to be installed at its current mill by end FY07. Beyond that, Delong plans to expand through M&A. With over 6,500 mills in China, it has no lack of targets. Expanding beyond 2.4mt will also give it the economies of scale to expand vertically i.e. acquire feedstock suppliers or downstream companies. ? The steel industry in FY07 is expected to be stable, with consumption closely
matching production. In FY06, Chinese steel production is expected to be roughly
around 415mt (up 16.6% yoy). The Chinese Iron and Steel Association (CISA)
expects this to climb 11% in FY07. At the same time, consumption is expected to
grow 10-13%. With demand looking to be roughly in line with supply, prices are not
expected to fluctuate wildly. matching production. In FY06, Chinese steel production is expected to be roughly around 415mt (up 16.6% yoy). The Chinese Iron and Steel Association (CISA) expects this to climb 11% in FY07. At the same time, consumption is expected to grow 10-13%. With demand looking to be roughly in line with supply, prices are not expected to fluctuate wildly. ? Costs not expected to balloon. As a private operator, it successfully kept tight
control over costs and managed to pass on a significant portion of cost pressures in
FY06. GP margin is not likely to decline below 18% for FY07. It was 20% in FY05. control over costs and managed to pass on a significant portion of cost pressures in FY06. GP margin is not likely to decline below 18% for FY07. It was 20% in FY05. ? Target price maintained at S$0.23, based on 6.6x CY07 P/E, in line with Asian
peers. Delong is cheap trading at just 3.9x CY07 P/E and has excellent prospects. peers. Delong is cheap trading at just 3.9x CY07 P/E and has excellent prospects. |
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lighthouse
Member |
13-Dec-2006 13:50
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it does not move much..... affected by the recent oil price... waiting for it to move out of the valley today volume increase. no news in SGX, wonder why |
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zhuge_liang
Supreme |
27-Nov-2006 22:19
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Rose on Friday after bellwether Baosteel of China raised its selling price of hot rolled coils by 3% for '07. |
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Nostradamus
Supreme |
04-Nov-2006 01:02
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Steel price has recovered strongly in 2Q06. Delong's ASP gained 21% qoq to RMB3,245/tonne in 2Q06. 3Q06's steel price has stabilised due to a balanced supply and demand landscape. Delong's ASP stayed at around RMB3,150. Margins are hence well supported by the recovering steel price. Earnings should be flat qoq as the average steel price in 3Q06 was almost the same as in 2Q06. However, the shift to its new plant has affected its output. As a result, revenue fell 8% qoq. Furthermore, financial costs grew faster than revenue as Delong has increased borrowings to fund its capex. Although Chinese steel producers posted very positive 3Q results on the back of firming steel prices, UOBKH are concerned about the over-capacity as well as the hike in raw material prices. A new round of iron ore negotiation is on track and Brazil's Cia Vale do Rio Doce (CVRD) has mentioned an increase of another 40% in iron ore price in 2007. Bao Steel also cut the 4Q06's price guidance by 5% given by higher output. UOBKH raise FY06 net profit forecast from $99m to $130.6m due to recovering steel price. Their DCF-based target price is also raised to $0.14, or 5.6x FY06 PE and 6.0 FY07 PE. However, for the rest of FY06, they see a slightly weaker trend in steel prices and further iron ore price hikes will add more uncertainties to this sector in 2007. |
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singaporegal
Supreme |
02-Nov-2006 21:56
Yells: "Female TA nut" |
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Inconsistent volumes for this counter... TA people should avoid. |
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sunview
Member |
02-Nov-2006 10:14
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Besides CIMB-GK, OCBC and SIAS have maintained Buy rating for the stock on the back of strong Q3 results and have upgraded target prices to $0.18 and $0.175 respectively. For some reasons, this stock lagged behind other steel stocks. On a historical basis, the stock looks cheap with 4.8x PER, 4.2 % dividend yield and ROE of 44.2 %. Net gearing stands at 0.6x. Company guided for a stable steel price in Q4. With phase II capacity expansion to 2.4m tons on track to commence production in Dec 06 and that these additional capaciaty are already fully booked, the outlook for FY07 is promising. |
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Nostradamus
Supreme |
01-Nov-2006 20:47
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CIMB-GK has raised its target price to $0.23 from $0.18, seeing strong earnings prospects for the company this year and beyond. It also lifted its net profit estimates for the Chinese steelmaker by 7-8% to $183.9 mln for 2007 and to $187.8 mln for 2008. "Delong is set to do well in 2006," CIMB-GK said in a note. "Beyond that, we believe there will be enough expansion opportunities to catalyze its stock price," added the brokerage which continues to rate the stock an "outperform". CIMB-GK said it is looking at longer-term expansion possibilities for Delong beyond 2007, given its plans to install a new 500,000-tonne cold-rolled coil plant in Xingtai, and likely interest in horizontal acquisitions. |
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Nostradamus
Supreme |
11-Sep-2006 16:27
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It is a major steel mill within 500km of Beijing and is an undervalued beneficiary of China's infracstructure development as a result of the 2008 Beijing Olympics. Currently trading at 4.2x CY06 PE. (7/9) |
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Nostradamus
Supreme |
09-Sep-2006 22:41
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Delong has been named amongst the top 500 companies in the PRC in the China Top 500 Enterprises 2006 Analysis Report. It has been placed 337th in the list, which ranks the top profit-generating companies in the country. It achieved a net profit of $121.5m for FY05. In 2005, the Top 500 companies reaped combined profits of RMB 642.8b and contributing 77.6% to China's GDP. |
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Nostradamus
Supreme |
30-Apr-2006 00:51
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Hi newmoon. I think you'll see weakness in the near term to $0.115 to $0.12. |
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newmoon
Veteran |
28-Apr-2006 12:24
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Did you mean good buy or good bye? next support at 12 cents and then 10 cents |
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newmoon
Veteran |
28-Apr-2006 12:13
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Did you mean good buy or good bye? next support at 12 cents and then 10 cents |
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