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IRAN WAR
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tuntan8888
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01-Apr-2007 23:10
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Thursday, Mar. 29, 2007
Is a U.S.-Iran War Inevitable?But then again you'd be missing the grim fatalism that has settled over Iran of late, the resigned belief that a war with the U.S. is all but inevitable. This week Iranian diplomats are telling interlocutors that, yes, they realize seizing the Brits could lead to a hot war. But, they point out, it wasn't Iran that started taking hostages ? it was the U.S., when it arrested five members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Erbil in Northern Iraq on January 11. They are diplomats, the Iranians insist. They were in Erbil with the approval of the Kurds and therefore, they argue, are under the protection of the Vienna Convention. Iranian grievances, real and perceived, don't stop there. Tehran is convinced the U.S. or one of its allies was behind the March 2006 separatist violence in Iranian Baluchistan, which ended up with 20 people killed, including an IRGC member executed. And the Iranians believe there is more to come, accusing the U.S. of training and arming Iranian Kurds and Azeris to go back home and cause problems. Needless to say the Iranians are not happy there are American soldiers on two of its borders, as well as two carriers and a dozen warships in the Gulf. You call this paranoia? they ask. The Bush Administration is doing nothing to allay Tehran's paranoia. With the largest buildup in the Gulf since the start of this Iraq war, it's actually fanning it. You have to wonder if Bush is counting on the Iranians' overreacting the way they did when they seized our embassy in 1979. And lest we forget, this was driven by paranoia that we were plotting to destroy the revolution. Add this to the rest of the bad news coming out of the Gulf, and things look pretty grim. The "surge," despite what some claim, has barely made a dent in the violence in Iraq. Our Arab allies are jumping ship, apparently as fast as they can. At the opening of the Arab summit on Wednesday, Saudi King Abdallah accused the U.S of illegally occupying Iraq. The day before, the leader of the United Arab Emirates sent his foreign minister to Tehran to tell the Iranians he would not allow the U.S. to use UAE soil to attack Iran. That leaves us with Kuwait and Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki to face Iran. I called up an Arab Gulf security official and asked him what he thought about it all. He said the view from his side of the Gulf is that if Iran does not soon release the Brits, a war between the U.S. and Iran is in the cards. "I for one am taking all the cash I can out of my ATM," he said before hanging up. Robert Baer, a former CIA field officer assigned to the Middle East, is the author of See No Evil and, most recently, the novel Blow the House Down |
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bsiong
Supreme |
26-Mar-2007 12:28
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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http://www.reuters.com/news/video/videoStory?videoId=46545 |
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l_tan888
Senior |
26-Mar-2007 11:18
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On the contrary, I believe Iran is a more formidable threat than North Korea. Iran is rich with oil resources, whereas North Korea is in a famish state at best. Iran is also hostile to most of its neighbours. Anyway, to think of an attack by the US is also quite slim because Bush's financials are now tightly control by the Democrats. He has also lost much of his credentials after the failure in Iraq. The problem is that the Europeans, China and Russia are not firm with their sanctions against Iran. Their show of leniency will allow Iran to get bolder by the day and inevitable instability in the Middle East will result, spreading eventually to the world. |
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nickyng
Supreme |
26-Mar-2007 10:45
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since when there's an IRAN war?? hmm...anyway this Iran bugger trying to immitate North Korea to see if they can squeeze the best out of a deal lah..nothing to worry abt...now they are using those 15x captured British prawns as part of the pkg to exert pressure on Western nations/UN...haha...sit back n watch the drama unfold and as the CRUDE OIL prices rises :D |
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tuntan8888
Senior |
26-Mar-2007 10:24
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Oil Prices Near $63 as Iran Tensions Intensify
By CNBC.com | 25 Mar 2007 | 09:27 PM
Oil prices neared $63 on Monday, setting a fresh 2007 record, on heightened geopolitical tensions between Iran and the West after Tehran vowed to continue its atomic program despite new U.N. sanctions. U.S. crude oil futures rose to a three-month high of $62.73 a barrel in Globex electronic trading in the Asian morning session Monday, extending Friday's gain which saw prices closing 59 cents higher. Iran said on Sunday it would not stop its atomic program, which it insists is only for peaceful purposes, and that it would limit cooperation with the U.N.'s nuclear watchdog in retaliation for new financial and arms sanctions. The West fears the program could be used to develop nuclear weapons. Although the West has been locked in a protracted dispute with Iran over its nuclear ambitions, the latest developments have renewed market concerns that the world's fourth-largest oil exporter could one day cut its oil exports to strike back at the West if the quarrels exacerbated, analysts said. |
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billywows
Elite |
21-Feb-2007 23:41
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Relax .... read this news from CNN today: http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/meast/02/21/btsc.iran.amanpour/index.html |
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tuntan8888
Senior |
21-Feb-2007 23:39
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Will US attach Iran & cause World market correction next month (March 07).?? VIENNA, Austria (Reuters) -- Iran vowed on Wednesday to press on with its nuclear fuel program, ignoring a U.N. deadline to freeze uranium enrichment or face broader sanctions. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad remained defiant, even as a 60-day grace period -- that Iran had been given December 23 to stop enriching uranium for nuclear fuel -- was expiring (on Wed., Feb 21 2007). Iran "will continue our work to reach our right (to nuclear technology) in the shortest possible time," student news agency ISNA quoted Ahmadinejad as saying in the town of Siahkal. |
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