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The "What to Buy" Continues
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m2d4pc
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05-Sep-2006 09:27
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After a company release on news media that it will issue bonu share, the share price will usually go up a bit. Between the period of media annoucement and approval in the AGM, usually how will the share price behave ? After approve in the AGM how will share price behave ? When is the best time to sell the share ? |
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Warrek
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25-Aug-2006 14:38
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Thanks for all your comments & support of my post, I do share similar tots ... of cos I do used other strategies for higher returns at short time but for purpose of sharing in this forum, my principle is restrict in discussing counters that are too speculative, as the tides & wind changes rapidly...sometime so fast that when a post was read, the price was already shooting high or on downside... so opinion on value stocks will benefit better... as such, I prefer to discuss value stocks with high returns in the long run...with minimum or zero risks.... I'll be back next qtr. * Cheers guys * |
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ralphguy
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25-Aug-2006 10:19
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"hit and run" mostly occurs at speculative counters.. me also still learning and trying my luck.... so i wont dare to recommend, later get others in trouble... but definitely, reading from this forum do benefit me alot..... |
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allantanhc
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25-Aug-2006 10:00
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Thanks, tanglinboy, for your comment. There is still a lot to learn and share in stocks trading. I find this forum informative and educational. A lot of posts are genuine with very good reference value. So, I have been trying hard to play my part too. |
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kiwi77sg
Member |
25-Aug-2006 08:14
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Mi too. Prefer hit & go. So recently any gd counter to recommend ? |
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ralphguy
Member |
24-Aug-2006 22:38
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I do agree with tanglinboy. Me buy in on some fundamental strong/undervalued companies but it seems like their prices climb abit... and rest... then climb abit.. rest again... then before climbing the next one... it fell.... then i saw some counters.... huge volumes... highly invested... it take a short while to achieve a 5-10% profit... (but also 5-10% loss easily).... so it really depends... i felt jealous when i saw those high volumes counters flying... (while mine are crawling) but at times, i felt relieved when mine fell abit... while high volumes counters free fall... Now, me actually split the funds into 2 categories, 1 for high volume counters - short term... "hit & run"... the other is for "parking" - long term.... at least (hopefully) the returns will be much higher than bank interest rates... |
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tanglinboy
Elite |
24-Aug-2006 20:51
Yells: "hello!" |
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Good point allantanhc, I too have limited funds. That's why I believe more in intermediate trading. I don't have the luxury of parking my money in stocks for long term future gains when I may need the money soon. |
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allantanhc
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24-Aug-2006 14:58
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Hi, Warrek, thanks for sharing. I have no disagreement with what you post. There are 2 schools of thought. Either you pick the stock with values (FA) or you allow such values to exhibit in the form of price and volume movement (TA). I used to buy stocks on fundamental consideration but I realised that my limited financial resources were tied down when I bought them ahead of time. There was this frustration to see other stocks surging ahead while yours are still "marching on the spot". Hence, I have come to the conclusion that it is better to monitor charts of fundamentally sound companies but you will only buy when you see that price begins to move with good volume. In that way, you may gain less in absolute terms but you should stand to gain more in relative (percentage) terms. HTL and JEL are certainly good companies. However, buying now may be ahead of time. Just sharing my thoughts. |
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nsengkia
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24-Aug-2006 13:19
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HTL I agree (am vested). JEL will check out. But just to share (pun intended) wallstraits sold off 1 million shared of JEL @ 0.265 on 15 Aug 2006 (though they still hold 8 million). |
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scotty
Senior |
24-Aug-2006 11:24
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Solid post!! |
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Warrek
Member |
24-Aug-2006 11:20
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If you've read the post "WHAT TO BUY" 2 months back, I believed you may remember my post. Anyway, I thought of doing my Quarterly updates for the core Value stocks I am holding & those on my potential list, to share my opinion again. Note: This post merely reflects my own personal opinions and is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell any of the above mentioned securities. STI - The last couple of weeks, the market been moving more/less sideways (no conviction on bulls or bears). Once in a while, there was a brief rally after some good news. However, volume was low. The market is still in short-term up-down BUT we are in an overall long term uptrend. As a result, I have been focusing purely on value stocks and picking up some good deals along the way. If you've bought STI ETF after my last post, you shd have picked the stock at ard $24. The past few days, the stock is trading at above $25. SIA - Oil prices fell over $1 Wednesday after the government reported a high level of domestic petroleum supplies and tensions eased with Iran over its nuclear program. Remember, oil contributed to 35% SIA 2005-06 total expenditure, now the oil price is easing so can this stock go up. Not much yet, the recent UK airline terror have in other way prevented this fundermental good stock from shooting up rapidly. However, in longer term, this counter has upside potential going above the current trading value of $13.20. (My last post, this stock was fluctuating ard $12.20). Linkhi - Not much movement for this counter, still trading ard the price since last post. Nonetheless, I'm still confident of this counter upside in the long run due to the healthy PE, as discussed in my last post. Chinamilk - 1Q07 results exceeded our expectations. Net profit grew 58.1% year-on-year to 88.6M yuan, underpinned by a strong revenue growth of 37.1% year-on-year to 93.5M yuan, & helped by higher sales of pedigree bull semen & embryos. The group prospects remain favourable, with 10-15% sequential growth in quaterly earnings going fwd. This shd be led by the group's herd size thru organic growth & acquistions, as well as maiden contribution of the group's 150,000T milk processing facility coming on stream in FY 4Q07. Currently trading ard $1, during my last post this was fluctuating 85~90 cents. Business Times 9 Aug, Brokers' Take - target price of $1.85, based on 13 times FY08 PE, a 30% discount to dairy peers. Further supported by broker's DCF valuation of $1.94. Potential Remember my strategy is BUY good value stocks when there's a GSS & has been mostly right for me for the past decades. HTL -.It is currently trading at $1.15 (Intrinsic value is about $2.34 based on 10% cash flow growth rate). Way undervalued. In fact, last 6 mths, sales, profits and cash flow increased very well. So, there is no reason for this stock to be so undervalued. JEL Corp - This is a core holding on wallstraits.com. Curtis is betting the whole ranch on this one counter. Some of you may know, popular value investor Curtis Montgomery (wallstraits.com) invested $1.9 million of his own money into JEL. This represents about 79% of his total portfolio. Now, when someone invests 98% of his portfolio into ONE STOCK. It either means that he is nuts or he knows something that the market doesn?t. Intrinsic value is roughly $0.90 and stock is trading at $0.24. |
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