Latest Forum Topics / Trading Techniques | Post Reply |
TRADING < WARRANT >
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
26-Sep-2011 14:05
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
12-Oct-2010 20:59
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
01-Oct-2010 14:57
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
## pUt warrants ##
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
22-Sep-2010 13:27
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Factors that affect warrant pricing Global markets continue to show volatility in the third quarter, with regional indices rebounding from earlier lows in general. Such movements present short-term opportunities for investors with a view on the market to engage in their respective positions through index warrants. When choosing warrants, investors should be aware of the five variables that affect warrant pricing. Underlying share price This is the key driver of warrant price. To choose warrants that offer better sensitivity, investors should avoid choosing far out-of-the-money warrants as its relatively low delta would result in lack of sensitivity of the warrant to underlying movements. Volatility The higher the volatility, the greater the risk on the underlying shares and therefore the more expensive the warrant will become. A change in volatility is likely to impact warrant pricing. Choosing warrants with medium to long tenor and closer at-the-money helps ensure that the influence of changes in implied volatility is lessened. Time to expiry The greater a warrant’s tenor, the higher its value, this is because the warrant has more time to trade. Time decay is a factor investors need to consider as it would lead to a decrease in the warrant price on a daily basis. Dividends Warrants investors do not receive the dividends paid on the underlying shares. However, in valuing warrants, the issuer will estimate the expected dividend stream. This means that warrants do not dramatically fall in price when the underlying share trades after the dividend of the underlying shares have been distributed. In the case where there is a rights issue or special cash, the terms of warrants (strike and divisor) are adjusted to accommodate the changes that may arise from these issues so that the warrant investor is not prejudiced. Interest Rates For each call warrant issued, the issuer allocates funds to purchase underlying shares. If the cost of borrowing (the interest rate) increases, this will be reflected as a corresponding increase in the warrant price. Similarly, a put warrant will decrease in value when interest rates rise. For detailed information on warrants, visit www.dbwarrants.com.sg. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
22-Sep-2010 12:07
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
21-Sep-2010 12:14
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
HIGHEST STRIKE PRICE S$2.50 WORST DEAL
BEST DEAL STRIKE PRICE *S$1.15* ONLY
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
21-Sep-2010 11:44
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Tuesday: 21 SEPTEMBER 2010 Macquarie is pleased to list the following new warrants this morning: Call GentingSMBLeCW110303 (L7JW) exercise price $2.25.* Long dated GentingSMBLeCW130104 (L7KW) exercise price $2.50.* Call MIDAS MBL eCW110303 (L7LW) exercise price $1.05.* Call SGX MBL eCW110303 (L7MW) exercise price $8.50.* |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
20-Sep-2010 12:39
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Land of the rising sun Despite current uncertainty over the global recovery, most markets around the world showed gains for the third consecutive week last week, with many Asian markets also trading well. At the end of Thursday, the week-on-week comparison saw the MSCI World Equity Index rose by 1.6 per cent to close at 1,157 points while the MSCI Asia-Pacific ex Japan Index closed at 430 points, an increase of over 2 per cent. Commodity prices were up too: The Dow Jones UBS Index rose 1.4 per cent to close at 135 points. The Japanese government’s intervention in the forex markets had caused the Yen to drop to its lowest against the US dollar in 22 months. This dip has spurred the Japanese market to rise to its highest in six weeks — the best performance by the Nikkei this year. Japan has also put in a rather consistent performance economically. Capital expenditure for the second quarter of 2010 grew faster than expected, pushing up the gross domestic product for the country. Core private sector machinery orders, regarded as a leading indicator of capital spending, rose 8.8 per cent in July — notably more than the initially expected 1.8 per cent. Government subsidies and incentives continue to drive domestic consumption, as manufacturers’ orders climbed 10.1 per cent in July. Economic data also showed that orders from the services sector grew 8.1 per cent — the first increase in three months — a sign of a stabilising domestic demand. The Japanese government’s intervention in the Yen showed that they are able and willing to support the recovery of its economy. Hence, the Japanese equity market might continue to react positively. Technical analysis also supports the recovery in the Japanese market. Both the Moving Average Convergence-Divergence and Stochastic indicators point to the recovery of the Nikkei. Momentum for the uptrend is also building steadily. With the uptrend currently in place, we can expect further gains in the Japanese market in the months to come. However, as there will still be expected volatility from concerns over the recovery of the world economy, The Singapore market has been on the uptrend over the past week and looks to continue into the coming week. With that in mind, investors should buy stocks that are still lagging slightly behind the general rally for greater upside potential. These include Ezra, Wilmar and NOL, which seem to have good upside potential. Traders can use call warrants to leverage and extend their positions in those counters. Visit www.siasresearch.com for daily market calls and investment strategies reports. investors interested in the Japanese market should consider Japan related Exchange Traded Funds such as the DBXT MSJAP 10US$, or the Lyxor Japan 10US$.Contributed by Edmund Seow from SIAS Research. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
15-Sep-2010 08:23
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Index warrants ins and outs Hang Seng Index Warrants Warrant Stock Type Strike HSI 22000 MER ECW101029 ----- L5WW ----- Call ----- 22000 HSI 20500 MER EPW101029 ----- L5SW ----- Put ----- 20500 For more information, please visit www.mlwarrants.com.sg A warrant is a leveraged product that can allow investors to achieve high potential returns with a small capital outlay. It requires investors to have a strong view of the market at a specific time horizon. Investors generally prefer warrants with high turnover as they believe that warrant turnover is an indication of where the market focus lies. A Bloomberg report noted that there were 31 underlying assets related to warrants traded on the Singapore Exchange (SGX) as of September 6. Of these, warrants related to Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index (HSI) have the highest turnover in Singapore, as compared to warrants with other underlying assets. According to Reuters and Bloomberg, HSI-related warrants accounted for approximately 53.4 per cent of the total warrants turnover in Singapore from Sept 1 to 7; and 39 of the 217 warrants traded on the SGX as of Sept 7 were related to the HSI. Tenor and effective gearing From Sept 1 to 7, more than 90 per cent of actively-traded HSI warrants are those with shorter tenor, where the time to expiry is less than 60 days. The effective gearing of these warrants ranges from 11 to 22 times. Effective gearing is an estimate of how much the warrant price would change in percentage terms for a 1 per cent change in the share price. As the HSI ended 2.5 per cent lower in August, an investor can enjoy potential capital gains if he bought put warrants. Investors trading short-dated warrants should be mindful of the impact of time decay on the value of warrants. Another characteristic of HSI warrants is its bid-ask spread, which is comparatively tighter than other warrants. As the index has good liquidity, warrant issuers are able to provide a tight spread. Sensitivities Watch When trading index warrants, investors should find out about the sensitivity of the warrant price to changes in the index in order to understand the potential upside and downside. Warrant sensitivities watch is indicative and is based on the index trading around the specific Hang Seng index level, which is referenced to the closing level on the last day. Warrant prices are likely to change with movements in the index and changes in implied volatility. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
09-Sep-2010 11:14
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Thursday: 9 SEPTEMBER 2010 11:07am MARKET MAKER nOt pOstIng bId for GentingSMBLeCW120402 ? WHY ? WHY ? WHY ? WHY ?
GentIngSMBLeCW130103 is the mOst eXpensIve warrant fOr GENTING SP because it has the HIGHEST STRIKE PRICE S$1.800 and EXPIREY is actually in 2012 December and nOt in 2013. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
08-Sep-2010 21:03
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Warrant Stock Type Strike EXPIRY RANKING GentingSMBLeCW110202 (L2LW) ----- Call ------- $1.60 ----- 2011 JAN DC GentingSMBLeCW110201 (L6CW) ----- Call ------- $1.85 ------ 2011 JAN DC GentingSMBLePW110201 (L6FW) ------ Put ------- $1.80 ------ 2011 JAN GentingSMBLeCW130103 (L2PW) - LD Call* ----- $1.80 ----- 2012 DEC CB GOOD GentingSMBLeCW120402 (J2UW) - LD Call* ----- $1.15 ----- 2012 MAR AB BETTER GentingSMBLeCW130603 (L0QW) - LD Call* ----- $1.40 ----- 2013 MAY BA BETTER LD = [Long Dated] |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
08-Sep-2010 16:58
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Wednesday: 8 SEPTEMBER 2010 4:30pm nOt makIng market FAIRLY fOr
cOmpare bId and Offer prIce SPREAD
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
08-Sep-2010 16:53
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
MARKET MAKING UNFAIRNESS
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
02-Sep-2010 11:12
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
MARKET MAKING GAP
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
01-Sep-2010 15:49
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Time decay and other effects on warrants The leverage effect of warrants and its exposure to a range of foreign and local sectors and markets make it attractive for investors who want to expand their investment portfolio, with a small initial outlay. Warrants are usually priced at a fraction of the share price, using the leverage effect to result in a larger percentage gain, even at a small percentage share price gain. There are also index warrants that track emerging underlying markets, giving exposure to these less accessible markets for investment opportunities. However, before investors dive in, pay heed to the time decay on warrant prices, as noted by BNP Paribas. Like all types of options, the price of a warrant declines daily, if all factors such as underlying level, implied volatility, etc, stay unchanged. This is called time decay. Investors face a trade-off when they consider warrants: Gain leverage over time decay. For example, an investor buys a call warrant XYZ on Stock W, which is currently trading at $10, with an Out-Of-The-Money strike price of $12. The warrant price is $0.25, with a one year expiry. Assuming an effective gearing of 8.7x and steady implied volatility at 22 per cent, if the price of Stock W rises to $11 six months from now, merely multiplying the underlying percentage change by the effective gearing would give a 87 per cent increase in value. However, the warrant price will only rise 14 per cent in value to $0.285 because of its time decay of $0.00113 per day over 180 days. Despite this, its increase of 14 per cent is still greater than the stock price’s 10 per cent. In that sense, it is still better than trading the stock directly. If the price of Stock W remains unchanged at warrant XYZ’s expiry, XYZ would expire worthless. In this case, paying the six-month time decay will make an originally profitable trade (buy at $0.25 and sell at $0.285 six months later) a total loss as XYZ expires Out-Of-The-Money with Stock W below the strike price. Time decay will add to the loss in value of a warrant if its underlying movement is unfavourable. When it is favourable, it will reduce the profit in the value of the warrant. Time decay is the most severe when a warrant is near its expiry, and when its underlying price is trading very close to the strike price. Investors who pick a short-term warrant for its high effective gearing, incur a higher risk of loss if they had made the wrong call, plus time decay.
Long-term warrants may be a wiser choice, even with lower effective gearing. If the market goes against the investors, the loss will be less than that of the short-term warrant.
Long-term warrants have less time decay, and its price will shrink less closer to the expiry date. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
junction
Senior |
30-Aug-2010 09:28
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Hear hear.
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pharoah88
Supreme |
30-Aug-2010 09:17
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Charting the recovery in India Uncertainty in the American market and the fear of a global slowdown in recovery spurred many equity markets around the world to decline over the past week. The MSCI World Equity Index ended Thursday at 1.5 per cent lower week on week to close at 1,077 points. Bourses in Asia weakened and the MSCI Asia-Pacific ex Japan index closed Thursday at 400 points, down 1.8 per cent week-on-week. In our earlier commentary dated June 21, we spotlighted India’s growth momentum. Since then, the CNX Nifty Index — one of the country’s key indices — rose by approximately 4 percent, from 5,262 points to 5,477 points last Thursday. The recovery was spurred on by its strong economic performance. India‘s exports rose 13.2 per cent year on year after recording its ninth consecutive month of growth in July. Robust corporate profits, growing investments due to favorable financing conditions and the International Monetary Fund’s revised growth projection from 8.8 per cent to 9.5 per cent also contributed. While the withdrawal of advanced countries’ stimulus measures might impact demand, it appears that the country is still on track to reach its 2010 fiscal year export target of US$200 billion ($265.2 billion). The consistency of the recovery of India’s stock market looks set to continue through the second half of the year. While the CNX Nifty underwent some consolidation over the last week, the market is ripe for continued recovery and technical signals are pointing to an end of the current downtrend. As such, investors who are interested in the India market should explore buying into Exchange Traded Funds such as the DBXTNifty 10US$ and the Lyxor India Nifty 10 — both of which track the Nifty Index, and the IS MSCI INDIA 100US$ which tracks the MSCI India Index. Traders who are looking for opportunities in the Singapore market can look out for call warrants on stocks that have been resistant to sell offs on the Straits Times Index. Stocks such as Noble Group and Wilmar seem to have bottomed out last Visit www.siasresearch.com for daily market calls and investment strategies reports. week and leveraged longs using call warrants would allow traders to take advantage of the volatility in the market for quick trades.Contributed by Edmund Seow from SIAS Research.
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
iPunter
Supreme |
16-Aug-2010 18:51
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Warrants have a limited shelf life... If OOTM and near expiry, they will become rotten fruit... But it is a good gambling tool, though. Anyway, no matter how we play the stock market, all is still betting... |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
zhangwuji
Member |
16-Aug-2010 18:12
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
iPunter, thank you for your comment. "sin jiao" will eventually becomes "lao jiao" one day( as long as you take care not to loss your "lan jiao"). Buy/sell buy/sell strategy incur high cost. It is no difference from gambling in casino. I don't mind spend some gained dividend buying some insurance. The problem is that most warrant tenure is too short. Only 6 months( am I right?). |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
iPunter
Supreme |
12-Aug-2010 13:25
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Warrants are for seasoned 'lao jiao' ('lao niao')... Stick to cash play, or use CFD, to simplify your stock market life...
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me |