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Investors BEWARE
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elfinchilde
Elite |
18-Mar-2007 17:12
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hey bradical, where did you get the quote from? the tech guy is good. anyhow, going by the dow on friday, am expecting sti equivalent drop on mon of abt ~40 pts. Initial correction stage hovered at 3,100. I'm giving the new hummingbird range at ~2,950 for the next week/so. note just my opinion here. caveat emptor. (and hummingbird is not a proper market phrase yea. its just my own term for the index when it does a hummingbird, i.e., hover around a certain range and dip up and down around it.) |
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mwzl95
Member |
18-Mar-2007 17:11
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I think the next few weeks are going to be volatile, while the TA indicators stabilize. Be careful! |
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lucky168
Veteran |
18-Mar-2007 17:05
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I am not so optimistic about the past trading week. We have seen such volatile mkt within a short month with drops of close to 100points. Subprime problems should not be something to brush off so quickly. Even banking giant like HSBC have to re-access & re-look at their loan portfolio, which indicated to us how severe the situation is like now... We all know that the so-called news from newspaper are no longer first-hand or "new", but "late". This meant the housing problem existed long time, just that by the time the paper picked up the news, it is very late already. Of course, US housing mkt will not slump overnight, but be caution it slowing turn into terminal cancer stage, then it would be too late to pull out of the mkt. |
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singaporegal
Supreme |
16-Mar-2007 21:51
Yells: "Female TA nut" |
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Volumes on SGX today are extremely low... less than 800 million shares traded. This is less than half of the usual amount traded during the bull run a few weeks back. I agree with bradical on his first point... there may be a pullback |
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bradical
Member |
16-Mar-2007 16:35
Yells: "Strong TAbeliever but also on God's help & wisdom!" |
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Technical Quote from a broker (13 Mar) Brace yourselves for a pullback
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tuntan8888
Senior |
16-Mar-2007 16:29
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FALL in Nikkei / Asian Equity is due to unwinding of carry trade ($/Yen dropped to 116.9) & the subprime exposure is still not over yet.... |
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ROI25per
Master |
16-Mar-2007 16:08
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nikkei down and dow futures down also. |
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ju5t4fun
Member |
16-Mar-2007 13:16
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yesterday DOW is up but most of Asia markets are down, what is the reasons? |
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terencefok
Master |
16-Mar-2007 09:05
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STI down 17.3 |
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l_tan888
Senior |
16-Mar-2007 08:44
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Yo, Nikkei now down about 190 pts. Not a good sign today. |
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kovan8
Member |
16-Mar-2007 08:35
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quote: "Session marked by low volume, loss of momentum and short-covering; dealers doubtful about a sustained upturn" THE Straits Times Index yesterday recouped 41.39 of the 106 points lost during Wednesday's blowout, but dealers were unconvinced that this heralded the start of a sustained upturn. Low volume, loss of momentum as the day wore on, large amounts of short-covering and the nervousness surrounding Wall Street were cited as the main reasons why investors should probably proceed with caution until greater stability returns to markets. 'The index basically rose to its closing position during the first 20 minutes of trading and stayed there the whole day,' said a dealer. 'This suggests a healthy amount of short-covering took place because Wall Street stabilised.' |
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tuntan8888
Senior |
16-Mar-2007 08:22
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said on Thursday there was a risk that rising defaults in subprime mortgage markets could spill over into other economic sectors. Speaking to the Futures Industry Association, Greenspan conceded that it was "hard to find any such evidence" about spillover from housing yet. But he added: "You can't take 10% out of mortgage originations without some impact." Greenspan said the downturn in U.S. housing markets appeared to stem more from high housing prices than from a decline in mortgage quality but said he was not downplaying problems in so-called subprime loans. He said that subprime woes were "not a small issue" and seemed to result primarily from buyers coming into lofty housing markets late after big price run-ups that had left them vulnerable to hikes in adjustable mortgage rates. Default rates in the subprime segment of the U.S. mortgage market have jumped in recent months as the housing industry slowed and prices fell. At least 20 lenders in the subprime mortgage sector, which serves borrowers with poor credit histories at high interest rates, have gone out of business as a result. The crisis has triggered broader concerns that the fallout may spread to mainstream lenders and damage the economy. Greenspan, whose words still move markets even though he gave up the Fed chairmanship more than a year ago, said that adjustable rate mortgages, or ARMs, have been moving up recently and that has made them a problem for homeowners who are stressed by higher monthly payments. He also noted the problem would be quickly resolved if the housing sector regained its footing and prices moved up by 10%. Meantime, though, Greenspan said much of the strength in consumer spending over the past five years can be traced to capital gains on surging housing prices, whether they were both realized or not. That means that if home prices keep falling, there could be more of an impact on the broader economy's momentum, he indicated, since consumer spending fuels two-thirds of national economic activity |
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mirage
Veteran |
16-Mar-2007 00:01
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Quotes: "Singapore''s benchmark Straits Times Index rose Thursday on a technical rebound as investors hunted for bargains following steep losses Wednesday. Still, traders said the rise was hardly well-supported and that there is a downward bias in the movement of the index in the near-term. "''Technical rebound'' is a very apt description of what happened today. But it''s a relatively weak rebound amid a climate of uncertainty," one trader said, adding that overnight gains in Wall Street helped push the STI higher. The STI rose 41.39 points, or 1.36%, to close at 3094.60 points Thursday, barely making up for the 105.69 points lost Wednesday. In the broader market, gainers led losers 494 to 179. But trading volume was low at only 1.24 billion - the sixth session in a row where volumes were below 2 billion shares. Some 1.59 billion shares were traded Wednesday. "That''s another unhealthy sign - that the STI is rising with lower volumes, but drops are accompanied by higher volumes. Investors are cautious," the trader said. Overnight, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 57.44 points, or 0.48%, to 12133.40 while the Nasdaq Composite Index gained 21.17, or 0.9%, to 2371.74, as investor concerns over a recent hike in U.S. mortgage delinquencies eased. In a report, Fraser Securities warned of more volatility in the Singapore market in the near-term. "Wednesday''s renewed global plunge signals that the reappraisal of market fundamentals is still in the early stages and a new type of volatility may last weeks or even a few months," Fraser said. Of the 50 STI component stocks, eight fell, five were unchanged and 37 ended lower. Among the biggest gainers were stocks which saw declines Wednesday. Singapore Telecommunications, the STI''s biggest company by market capitalization, rose S$0.10 or 3.2% to S$3.22, regaining the S$0.10 it lost Wednesday. Neptune Orient Lines rose S$0.08, or 2.5%, to S$3.24 after losing S$0.30Wednesday. SembCorp Industries rose 5.4% to S$4.72 after DBS Vickers upgraded its call on the stock to Buy from Hold and set a price target of S$5.15. DBS Vickers said SembCorp may benefit from a possible bid for a power-generation company to be divested by Temasek Holdings later this year." |
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Sporeguy
Elite |
15-Mar-2007 20:14
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Thanks, Sporegal. Have seen it before but can't remember what it is. |
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Livermore
Master |
15-Mar-2007 20:13
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Yeah, I am more fundamental:) |
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j3r0m3
Veteran |
15-Mar-2007 20:03
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Hi Livermore, so i take it that you are more of a Fundamentals kind of person, ya? |
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singaporegal
Supreme |
15-Mar-2007 20:02
Yells: "Female TA nut" |
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If I remember my Finance correctly - A stock with beta = 1 is one that correlates perfectly with the stock market or the STI (which is an approximation of the market in general). So if STI rises 1%, the stock is expected to rise 1% also. A high beta stock is one that rises more in proportion to the STI. A negative beta stock is one that moves in opposite direction with STI. |
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Sporeguy
Elite |
15-Mar-2007 19:58
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Hi victorian, can you explain what do you meant high or low beta stock? Where can these data be obtained or calculated ? Thx |
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Livermore
Master |
15-Mar-2007 19:33
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I have decided to just keep investment simple. I don't wish to do much trading. I just spend some effort to pick some but too many good stocks which has potential to grow despite all these bad sentiments. Once the "cloud clears", fundamentals will eventually reward the investors...... |
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alexpenel
Member |
15-Mar-2007 19:18
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I agree with Livermore. Study and know what you are buying. Have the mean to purchase it. Believe in the management of the company which suit you and have confident in them. Therefore a few is enough to go a long way. |
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