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Implied Fed Funds Rate from Futures Contracts
KiLrOy
Master
27-Sep-2007 23:57     
 
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Take this with a pinch of salt (Fed Fund rate predictions are like Roulette).  I'd rather see the economic numbers month on month to determine the Fed Fund rate action.



14:47 US FED: Implied Fed Funds Rate from Futures Contracts Boston, September
27.

Fed funds futures prices are unchanged from Wednesday despite more weak
housing data. The November contract still holds 88% odds of a rate cut to 4.50%
and a further 25 bps cut is expected (with a 60% probability) by the end of the
year.  
.        4.950                                                               
  4.750                                                                      
                4.720                                                        
                       4.530                                                 
                              4.400                                          
                                     4.330                                   
                                            4.240                            
                                                   4.220                     
                                                          4.200              
                                                                             
'                                                                4.150  4.150 '
Target  Sep07  Oct07  Nov07  Dec07  Jan08  Feb08  Mar08  Apr08  May08  Jun08
!  Odds   -80%    12%    88%   140%   168%   204%   212%   220%   240%   240% !
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