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Latest Forum Topics / Golden Agri-Res    Last:0.27 --  Post Reply
GoldenAgr
leonwangls
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01-Nov-2012 15:42     
 
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 Alert Admin 		The price already factor in the news when GAR   fell from 77 to 62 cts. Price will likely to remain stable here on unless Palm oil rebound
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ShareWithMe
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01-Nov-2012 15:37     
 
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Goldman tips downside risks to Golden Agri earnings
Written by Dow Jones & Co, Inc    
Thursday, 01 November 2012 15:08
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Goldman Sachs tips downside risks to Golden Agri’s earnings after its subsidiary, Sinar Mas Agro Resources (SMART), reported 3Q12 results.

It notes SMART, which comprised about 32% of Golden Agri’s 2011 fresh-fruit-bunch production and owns all of its refineries, reported 3Q12 core net profit excluding forex rose 1% on-quarter to IDR513 billion ($65.2 million), with 10% on-quarter FFB production growth and 29% on-quarter sales growth offset by EBIT margins’ decline to 10% from 2Q12’s 12%.

While noting SMART is only one part of Golden Agri’s operations, with its earnings trend not necessarily reflecting the wider group, GS adds the flat on-quarter performance indicates downside risks to its 2012 forecasts, which are in-line with consensus, especially if the refineries didn’t sell through and liquidate as much inventory as expected.

The house expects Golden Agri to report 3Q12 core net profit of US$151 million ($184.3 million), up 33% on-quarter, on seasonally higher production and strong volume sales offset by lower CPO prices results are due Nov 12. Goldman keeps a Neutral call. The stock is down 1.6% at $0.62 with 59.5 million shares changing hands.
Home THE DAILY EDGE Business Goldman tips downside risks to Golden Agri earnings
Goldman tips downside risks to Golden Agri earnings


Tags: Golden Agri-Resources
Written by Dow Jones & Co, Inc    
Thursday, 01 November 2012 15:08
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Goldman Sachs tips downside risks to Golden Agri’s earnings after its subsidiary, Sinar Mas Agro Resources (SMART), reported 3Q12 results.

It notes SMART, which comprised about 32% of Golden Agri’s 2011 fresh-fruit-bunch production and owns all of its refineries, reported 3Q12 core net profit excluding forex rose 1% on-quarter to IDR513 billion ($65.2 million), with 10% on-quarter FFB production growth and 29% on-quarter sales growth offset by EBIT margins’ decline to 10% from 2Q12’s 12%.

While noting SMART is only one part of Golden Agri’s operations, with its earnings trend not necessarily reflecting the wider group, GS adds the flat on-quarter performance indicates downside risks to its 2012 forecasts, which are in-line with consensus, especially if the refineries didn’t sell through and liquidate as much inventory as expected.

The house expects Golden Agri to report 3Q12 core net profit of US$151 million ($184.3 million), up 33% on-quarter, on seasonally higher production and strong volume sales offset by lower CPO prices results are due Nov 12. Goldman keeps a Neutral call. The stock is down 1.6% at $0.62 with 59.5 million shares changing hands
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bbwolf82
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01-Nov-2012 14:55     
 
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Anyone knows the reason for the fall?

Seems like heavy selling down.. But who are buying?

There are people also buying in big volume..

Confused..
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ShareWithMe
Veteran
01-Nov-2012 10:46     
 
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Waiting to buy this baby at 0.59
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Peter_Pan
Supreme
01-Nov-2012 09:12     
 
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Yells: "did you order dunkin' donuts"
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 Alert Admin 		Looking weak, may break 0.60
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Peter_Pan
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01-Nov-2012 08:21     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Hope so.......

Super.White      ( Date: 01-Nov-2012 08:15) Posted:



$0.625 is quite a good price to enter but that depends on what your target is.

 

 

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Super.White
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01-Nov-2012 08:15     
 
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$0.625 is quite a good price to enter but that depends on what your target is.

 

 
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bbwolf82
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31-Oct-2012 14:48     
 
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Is it time to buy?

Can buy at 0.625 and target sell at 0.68?
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catalyst
Senior
24-Oct-2012 07:27     
 
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 Alert Admin 		GAR may see 0.62 today.
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krisluke
Supreme
23-Oct-2012 23:10     
 
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[Trading Central] Golden Agri-Resources: short term rebound towards 0.679

23 Oct 2012 08:51

Our preference: short term rebound towards 0.679.

Short Term View
(Rise, Limited Rise, Consolidation, Limited Decline, Decline)		 Limited Rise
Change In Short Term View None
Medium Term View
(Bullish, Range, Bearish)		 Bearish
Change In Medium Term View None


Our pivot point stands at 0.606.

Our preference: short term rebound towards 0.679.

Alternative scenario: the downside breakout of 0.606 would call for 0.582 and 0.568.

Comment: the RSI is below 50. The MACD is negative and above its signal line. The configuration is mixed. Moreover, the share stands below its 20 and 50 day MA (respectively at 0.64 and 0.67).

Supports and resistances:
0.693 *
0.679 **
0.664
0.635 last
0.616
0.606 **
0.582 *

Copyright 1999 - 2012 TRADING CENTRAL



Click to view chart in actual size.
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taybc1071
Senior
15-Oct-2012 09:30     
 
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Ozone, 0.65 already broken. What is the next resistance?

 

tks

ozone2002      ( Date: 14-Oct-2012 13:02) Posted:



Technicals looking oversold at the moment

with divergence seen in the RSI and price

a break above 65c convincingly with gd vol should confirm the breakaway from its recent downtrend...

gd luck dyodd
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ozone2002
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14-Oct-2012 13:02     
 
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Technicals looking oversold at the moment

with divergence seen in the RSI and price

a break above 65c convincingly with gd vol should confirm the breakaway from its recent downtrend...

gd luck dyodd
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skk888
Veteran
12-Oct-2012 17:56     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Me too! But a small bet. :)
Price now is good value, downside limited.

ozone2002      ( Date: 12-Oct-2012 16:49) Posted:



i'm betting on a rebound in CPO prices, hence GAR to benefit if the bet goes the right way.

gd luck dyodd.. only 64c.. gd luck dyodd
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ozone2002
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12-Oct-2012 16:49     
 
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i'm betting on a rebound in CPO prices, hence GAR to benefit if the bet goes the right way.

gd luck dyodd.. only 64c.. gd luck dyodd
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Emilyn
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10-Oct-2012 11:12     
 
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Hi Bishan22,

Noted. Thanks for the infor. Cheers.


bishan22      ( Date: 10-Oct-2012 10:56) Posted:

Always take news as a pinch of salt. Wait for upside before plunging in. Now it is still bottomless. The recent IMF downgrade added more salt to the wound. Good luck.  Smiley

scage11      ( Date: 10-Oct-2012 09:19) Posted:



Palm Oil bottoming out, Rally expected!

China demand returning as other oil imports unsustainable......

Advisable to buy some of its shares???
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scage11
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10-Oct-2012 11:10     
 
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 Alert Admin 		thnx bishan22 Smiley 11

bishan22      ( Date: 10-Oct-2012 10:56) Posted:

Always take news as a pinch of salt. Wait for upside before plunging in. Now it is still bottomless. The recent IMF downgrade added more salt to the wound. Good luck.  Smiley

scage11      ( Date: 10-Oct-2012 09:19) Posted:



Palm Oil bottoming out, Rally expected!

China demand returning as other oil imports unsustainable......

Advisable to buy some of its shares???
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bishan22
Elite
10-Oct-2012 10:56     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Always take news as a pinch of salt. Wait for upside before plunging in. Now it is still bottomless. The recent IMF downgrade added more salt to the wound. Good luck.  Smiley

scage11      ( Date: 10-Oct-2012 09:19) Posted:



Palm Oil bottoming out, Rally expected!

China demand returning as other oil imports unsustainable......

Advisable to buy some of its shares???
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scage11
Member
10-Oct-2012 09:19     
 
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Palm Oil bottoming out, Rally expected!

China demand returning as other oil imports unsustainable......

Advisable to buy some of its shares???
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KiLrOy
Master
07-Oct-2012 23:36     
 
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Yells: "I buy only what I can see."
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Brokage house usually  sell  before  the stock price reached  the  objective price thats why most of the time it hardly reach it.

When they call for a buy, its the same technique used.

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bh704428
Veteran
06-Oct-2012 00:21     
 
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Hence since got report say can buy  at any price below 60 cts, then I think maybe extremely high chance that Golden Agri may had bottomed at around 63 cts............(of course barring unexpected global sudden disasters)

Any way I'm not vested in this stock becos for penny stocks below $1 type I prefer other stocks

bh704428      ( Date: 06-Oct-2012 00:13) Posted:



I had observed analysts's such reports in the past 7-10 years,

I noticed whenever they say buy at a certain price for a stock, that price always will not be reached(barring unexpected global disasters such as that 911 attacks). Usually the stock will bottom at about 5% ABOVE the target buy price of the report. Many previous real examples, some are the 2009 many reports telling pple to can start buying DBS at $5, UOB at $7 and start buying when STI falls to 1300 in that same 2009 year and last year got report say can start buying yanlord at below 65 cts........But the prices bottomed at above those analysts's buy prices.

  Midas also same, few months ago got report said Midas can start buying at 25 cts or below, but Midas bottomed at 27-27.5 cts

KiLrOy      ( Date: 05-Oct-2012 13:09) Posted:

.60cts to .64cts is about 6% profit.  If you buy @ 0.64cts and it drops to 0.60cts, your 6% will be  the other way round. :)
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