Latest Posts By FearValueGreed
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| 24-Sep-2010 00:32 |
Swiber
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Swiber
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buy at 1.03 if you can, no hurry , it will fall first before marching up. 4Q is always a good bet for Swiber as it has most orders in this season, ma jiam like durian season. |
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| 14-Sep-2010 00:48 |
Q&M Dental
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Potential Gem
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good busineess model but price expensive unless expansion is massive, price should not go up. Only thing good is that it is not capital intensive and practically wont go bankruot in bad times. But price shows me it is more a dividend play if expansion fails |
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| 14-Sep-2010 00:34 |
Fuxing China
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FUXING China No.2 zipper firm 2Q net nearly tri
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forget this one, profit margins not very attractive. better buy M1 safer | ||||
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| 14-Sep-2010 00:21 |
RafflesEdu
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Raffles Edu
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ITs hey day is over. buy informatics more chance of higher profit than this one though the downside is limited. Once GIC dump this shit, you know ITE |
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| 14-Sep-2010 00:08 |
Informatics
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Road to recovery in next 1-2 years
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stay calm , gentlemen, dun buy blue chip anymore, too dangerous. Limited upside. two weeks later, TA shows there will be some breakthrough in chart formation for informatics Though personally against penny stock, think this one TA looks a good bet for short term. When STI doesnt move much and verything else stay equal and market are confident of not slumping near term, penny will run Place some chips on it. Just dun throw in your coffin money. So that you dun lose sleep and shit thinking as well Easily 20% upside. From a billionaire perspective, would you throw in good money after bad, unless you know something good is behind the cooks, and this one seems to be preparing for some juicy news. If I am a billionaire like PL, I would not invest unless I know it makes economical sense.You see, afterall all these screwd business men only screw up people, not the other way round. So enter the dragon when the tiger still not around. Once the news is out better dun buy cos dun trap in a bull trap. Though the company P&L is like shit, it has a lot of franchises and if a good stead captain takes over the helm of running with some new courses in a big international big way capturing ASia market, maybe selling the Asia story, the potential profit can be easily ten times and will easily bring the the high PE. Who knows GIC may be buying some for divestment, after Raffles Edu screw themselves up these few years?? |
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| 05-Sep-2010 23:41 |
Informatics
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Road to recovery in next 1-2 years
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Dun worry, as long as STI hang around this level, ie noaction from big cap, small cap like informatics will move and punter like MBS chips. Just dun hold too long once you hit your intended target This one not for the faint hearted investor. |
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| 02-Sep-2010 23:08 |
Yanlord Land
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Lord of China Prop
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already price in stock valuation.. Wait for next year this time and see if similar deal will happen.
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| 01-Sep-2010 18:24 |
Straits Times Index
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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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For STI to go down to next bottom, it will be another year, probably next Sep. NOw market busy collecting those fools who think it will shoot up to 3800 next year, but instead dumping them at one go when no one believe them anymore |
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| 01-Sep-2010 18:12 |
Informatics
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Road to recovery in next 1-2 years
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scoope up 20k of MBS chips. insider buying based on volume. Will be announced next mon. If this buying continue, M&A is possible behind the plot of PL. Only hope DJ dun crash these few days. Vested not on fundamental but experience. Good luck and heng heng. |
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| 28-Aug-2010 00:42 |
Straits Times Index
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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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Come on, this is another bear trap, dun buy till DJ hit below 9000 | ||||
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| 28-Aug-2010 00:26 |
Ying Li Intl
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Ying Li
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Dun buy till it reaches 20cents | ||||
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| 28-Aug-2010 00:11 |
Yanlord Land
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Lord of China Prop
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$1 coming soon |
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| 04-Aug-2010 23:03 |
Yanlord Land
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Lord of China Prop
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This one really a tricky one. Like a time bomb both way , kill enemy and friend./
But still sell, my call
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| 04-Aug-2010 22:51 |
Ying Li Intl
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Ying Li
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20 cents then buy. Loon tiao tiao!!!!!!!
Bloomberg 4 Aug 2010 China’s banking regulator told lenders last month to conduct a new round of stress tests to gauge the impact of residential property prices falling as much as 60 percent in the hardest-hit markets, a person with knowledge of the matter said. Banks were instructed to include worst-case scenarios of prices dropping 50 percent to 60 percent in cities where they have risen excessively, the person said, declining to be identified because the regulator’s requirement hasn’t been publicly announced. Previous stress tests carried out in the past year assumed home-price declines of as much as 30 percent. The tougher assumption may underscore concern that last year’s record $1.4 trillion of new loans fueled a property bubble that could lead to a surge in delinquent debts. Regulators have tightened real-estate lending and cracked down on speculation since mid-April, after residential real estate prices soared 68 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier, according to estimates from Knight Frank LLP, the London-based property adviser. The China Banking Regulatory Commission said in a July 20 statement that banks should “continue to deepen” stress tests on lending to property and related industries, citing a speech by Chairman Liu Mingkang during a meeting attended by regulatory officials and bank heads. The release didn’t give details. Officials at CBRC didn’t return calls seeking comment. Results from previous stress tests show that the ratio of non-performing real estate loans among Chinese banks would rise by 2.2 percentage points if home prices drop 30 percent and interest rates rise by 108 basis points, the person said. Pretax profits would fall 20 percent under that scenario. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. Property Slowdown Measures to cool property-price gains included raising minimum mortgage rates and down-payment ratios for second-home purchases, and a suspension of lending for third homes. Property prices in 70 Chinese cities dropped 0.1 percent in June from the previous month, the statistics bureau said July 12. Prices rose 11.4 percent from a year earlier, the second monthly slowdown after April’s record expansion. Bank of China Ltd.’s bad-loan ratio would climb 1.2 percentage points under the worst-case scenario drawn up in the latest stress tests, Li Lihui, president of the nation’s third- biggest lender by market value, said May 27. Record lending last year in China and the ensuing surge in home prices have stoked concerns that a bubble is forming that may threaten the banking industry. Property stocks are the worst performers on the Shanghai Composite Index this year with an average 21 percent drop, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Rogoff’s Warning China’s property market is beginning a “collapse” that will hit the nation’s banking system, Kenneth Rogoff, a Harvard University professor and former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund, said July 6. Average prices may fall as much as 20 percent over the next 12 to 18 months, with declines of up to 40 percent in “big bubble” cities, Nomura Holdings Inc. said in a July 2 report. The impact on banks’ asset quality will still be “limited” as long as borrowers have adequate income to keep paying their mortgages, Nomura said. The banking regulator has reminded lenders that some developers with high debt burdens and large land reserves already face the risk of a funding collapse, the person said. Banks were told to gauge developers’ real borrowing needs by monitoring the progress of projects under construction and to “strictly” control the pace of lending, the person said. “Special mention” real-estate development loans have climbed in Shanghai since April and rose by 1.4 billion yuan ($207 million) in June, Xinhua News Agency reported Aug. 1, without saying where it got the information.
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| 24-Jul-2010 23:25 |
Entertainment
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Euro Zone Crisis
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Wa the stress test by Euro really a piece of shit. 7 banks in trouble only. Might as well declared none. Only need to raise 4.5B euros . Why dun Temasek loan them first? then we can become 8th member of G8!!! Really waste of tax payers fund. |
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| 24-Jul-2010 23:18 |
Entertainment
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Seven Sins of Stock Investing
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This is very true but sometime you know, things gone out of control, then terrible things do happen, Human nature are like that , when you think you are top of the world, you start to increase your chips , that;s where problem knock at the door. Of course, a rigid risk management system must be in place but mostly only 1 out of maybe 1000 has such discipline or is in the DNA to prevent a down fall. and of course you must be a full time rather than a fly by night trader. So to play safe, throw this worry away unless you are really Master of discipline. Shorting not for the amateur nor part time investor. Yours truly ::
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| 24-Jul-2010 23:01 |
Yanlord Land
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Lord of China Prop
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Wa lau, Yanlord $2 is dizzy, sell. Not making any move till it RIP. Patience. Cliff Hanger after July. I dun see how housing price that is 22 times of average annual income in China can sustain such property climate unless the government is part of the hidden hand. Patience. Petty gains I am not interested. I like big leap forward gains when things are cheap. The rest pls buy all you like but dun cry baby later on. |
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| 17-Jul-2010 13:55 |
CityDev
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CityDev
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Economist: Singapore is the frothiest property market July 12, 2010 · Leave a Comment Kwek et al will not be happy with the recent issue of the Economist, since the dismal publication has pointed the big red finger at Singapore as having ‘overtaken Hong Kong to become the frothiest market among those we monitor’. Specifically, the Economist uses long term price-to-rent ratios as the indicator of under or overvaluation. We’re ranked number 1 (yay, number 1 for something again!) for having grown our overvaluation by the fastest among the economies that the Economist tracks. In terms of absolute ratios, Singapore property is just slightly more overvalued than China property – and in the same ball park as Canada (which has been pointed out by some as another bubble waiting to burst). Expect the Singapore developer drinking party to issue a strongly worded letter to the Economist letters page, followed immediately after by an internal memo to their respective marcomms departments to ‘cease and desist’ from all ad spend with ‘the blardy ang magazine’ hereafter. Don’t we just HATE it when our beer comes with too much foam? (Note to all drinkers of VB – in absolute terms, Australia’s propery market is by far and away the foamiest) From the Economist “Froth and stagnation – House prices in parts of Asia continue to soar, despite efforts to slow them” (ht Mish) IN RECENT months several countries have experimented with measures to cool bubbly property markets. Yet since The Economist’s global round-up of housing markets was last published in April, house-price inflation has accelerated in some of the very countries where the authorities have intervened to slow its rise. Asia has been at the forefront of such interventions. In February Singapore’s government raised down-payment requirements and imposed stamp duties on all residential properties sold within a year of purchase in a bid to curb speculation. Despite these steps prices in the island nation rose by nearly 40% in the year to the end of the second quarter, after a rise of just over 25% in the year to the end of the first quarter. Singapore has overtaken Hong Kong to become the frothiest housing market among those we monitor. House prices in Australia rose by 20% in the year to the end of the first quarter, faster than the 13.5% recorded in the 12 months to late 2009. More concerning, however, is our analysis of “fair value” in housing, which is based on comparing the current ratio of house prices to rents with its long-term average. By this measure Australian property is the most overvalued of any of the 20 countries we track. A frothy property market was one of the reasons for the Reserve Bank of Australia raising interest rates six times between October and May. Since then, the bank has become more sanguine about the state of the market. It cited “some signs that the earlier buoyancy in the housing market was easing” when keeping interest rates on hold in June. China’s property-cooling measures, meanwhile, which were similar to Singapore’s, were announced in April. Our house-price figures for China now extend to the end of May. They help explain why the Chinese government had become more concerned. Year-on-year house-price inflation peaked in April at 12.8%, but has since moderated a bit. The prospect that house prices in China are about to fall sharply worries some. Kenneth Rogoff, a Harvard professor, said this week: “You’re starting to see that collapse in property and it’s going to hit the banking system.” But Sun Mingchun, chief economist for China at Nomura, an investment bank, reckons that high down-payment requirements and the preponderance of cash purchases by Chinese homebuyers will help to limit the effects of any falls on the real economy. For America the balance of evidence points to a renewed housing slowdown. Although both the Case-Shiller national and ten-city indices are up year-on-year, the national index fell during the three months to the end of March. The FHFA index, which excludes houses that are financed with large mortgages, was still down compared with a year earlier. More recent home-sales data have been similarly downbeat. Sales of new homes declined by 33% from April to May, thanks to the expiry of a tax credit. Just 28,000 new units were sold during May, the lowest total on record for that month. In Asia policymakers are trying to prick a bubble. In America they are still dealing with the consequences of the last one. So you have a choice |
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| 16-Jul-2010 23:43 |
Ying Li Intl
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Ying Li
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The world is full of deception. Dun look into too much. Price will fall instead. |
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| 16-Jul-2010 23:25 |
Wing Tai
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Wing Tai
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The chart is looking for a strong support and that is 75cents-80cents. Stay tune. How can property keep going up or stay level. Did anyone see the sun never set ? Dump it before too late. Economy looking too good is a danger sign. Garment telling good economy is a dangerous thing. They know too well interest rate is too low and will push up prices. That why is selling land. Once too many pple on board. the only way is to plunge. Here we go again |
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