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Latest Posts By niuyear - Supreme      About niuyear
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01-Mar-2010 15:28 Genting Sing   /   GenSp starts to move up again       Go to Message
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got profits, better take.
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01-Mar-2010 14:03 Others   /   Market News that affect STI       Go to Message
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By Agence France-Presse, Updated: 3/1/2010

Prudential buys AIG Asia arm for 35bln dlrs: source

US insurance giant AIG has agreed to sell its Asian arm, AIA, to British insurer Prudential for around 35 billion dollars (26 billion euros, 23 billion pounds), a source close to the deal said.



Prudential buys AIG Asia arm for 35bln dlrs: source

Prudential buys AIG Asia arm for 35bln dlrs: source



American International Group (AIG), which received a huge taxpayer bailout to stave off collapse during the financial crisis, had been persuaded to let Prudential take over its Asian businesses, said the source late Sunday.

The deal will transform Prudential into the world's top non-Chinese insurer by market capitalisation, ahead of major competitors Allianz and AXA.

It is understood the sale will be unveiled in the coming days, perhaps as early as Monday.

The purchase will be financed in cash, through a rights issue by Prudential, and through AIG taking a minority part of the British insurer, said the source.

Tidjane Thiam, who took up the job of Prudential chief executive in October, had never hidden his desire to expand the business in Asia.

The business chief, who has French nationality but was born in Ivory Coast, went to New York at the end of last week to persuade AIG's board to sell American International Assurance (AIA) to his company.

Prudential stepped in as AIG was planning an initial public offering for its Asian arm in Hong Kong in April.

Estimates had valued the market flotation at around 10 billion dollars -- which would have been the biggest of 2010 on global markets.

Prudential's shareholders, for their part, had welcomed the company's projects, said the source.

AIG was forced into giving up some of its assets after the company's near collapse in the depths of the financial crisis led the US government to hand it a bailout which totalled around 180 billion dollars.

In 2008, the firm tried to sell up to 49 percent of AIA through an auction process but had to drop the idea after failing to receive suitable offers. The company then turned to the idea of an initial public offering.

The US giant reported Friday a worse-than-expected fourth quarter net loss of 8.9 billion dollars -- still nearly 10 times less than in 2008, when AIG recorded 99.2 billion dollars in losses.

Prudential will be transformed by the deal to buy AIA, which will double its size. The company, founded in 1848, currently has a market capitalisation of about 23 billion dollars.

Sales in Asia already make up half of new contracts for Prudential across a number of countries including China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand.

The takeover also marks a success for Thiam -- who was the first black chief executive of a company listed on London's benchmark FTSE 100 index -- after leaving rival Aviva to join Prudential in 2008.

AIG almost went under in September 2008, unable to meet its obligations for contracts written to insure mortgage securities and related assets without sufficient capital.

The Federal Reserve, fearing a shock to the global financial system in the event of an AIG default, provided a loan of 85 billion dollars to AIG in September 2008 in what would be the first portion of the gigantic bailout.

AIG generated fresh controversy at the start of February when it revealed plans to pay 100 million dollars in bonuses -- a year after similar payments ignited a political firestorm.

"(President Barack Obama) is frustrated and angry that Wall Street continues to have the sense that excessive compensation should reward some of the excessive risk taking we've seen over... the last couple years on Wall Street," said White House deputy press secretary Bill Burton.
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01-Mar-2010 09:51 Genting Sing   /   GenSp starts to move up again       Go to Message
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why you never join in?  LOL!   nickyng and ozone playing (double) pingpong also with the uncle aunties.

AnthonyTan      ( Date: 01-Mar-2010 09:40) Posted:



Uncles & aunties are still playing ping pong.

Very slow moving, hahaha

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01-Mar-2010 09:28 Straits Times Index   /   4D to share in ShareJunction 2010       Go to Message
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Wow, your cai shen really in the west on that day!  Did you win ?  :)

street81      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 22:50) Posted:

today i said God of Fortune in the West...sure enough 2 people there become millionaires tonight....

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01-Mar-2010 09:18 Genting Sing   /   GenSp starts to move up again       Go to Message
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"FA is the groundwork (FIXED) like a plot of land to build a house, TA is the house itself for everyone to re-design on how the outcome you want it to be based on the external factors,etc etc (DYNAMIC).. "

Same goes to :

speculators in property prices = BBs / shortsellers speculating in share prices

banks = brokerage houses

MAS = SGX

:)



star-trader      ( Date: 28-Feb-2010 11:28) Posted:

I agreed on the statement that FA is ok but TA plays the bigger role here.

Think of it, how many times you got a stock of a good FA but still on paper loss? If you know how to get on with the TA, you will be able to maximise the profit , won't say many times but at least you will the position of that particular stock.

When people asked me, I always give them the statement below:

"FA is the groundwork (FIXED) like a plot of land to build a house, TA is the house itself for everyone to re-design on how the outcome you want it to be based on the external factors,etc etc (DYNAMIC).. "

I believe in FA but the tool i am using is always TA.. that won't change for me..

rgds, star-trader

 



trader9988      ( Date: 28-Feb-2010 10:34) Posted:

I agree....no free lunch in the world....better do homework first....i use combination of FA/TA (nt foolproof always) but better than buy/sell based solely on insider trading , rumours etc....usually bang into wall hard.....if FA ok but TA tell you to sell better trust it....dont cling to slim hopes.....i learn it the hard way too..


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26-Feb-2010 16:04 Straits Times Index   /   4D to share in ShareJunction 2010       Go to Message
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He said maid is 40, 40, 40,  If top is 40 is like damn big huh?  what size is that? Bra size or what?



yummygd      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 15:54) Posted:

bon bon ur maid actually ur wife right so mean haha call her ur maid later kena wack den u know hahha

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26-Feb-2010 15:55 Straits Times Index   /   4D to share in ShareJunction 2010       Go to Message
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hahaha!  You are difinitely funny guy. You are one big joker.

Then you should buy 40 x 6 = 240

                                240 divided by 2 = 120

you shld buy 6, 24, 40, 2, 12 and add your age and your maid's age gives you a total number of 7 or 8 number to bet system 7 or system 8.    

 



Bon3260      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 15:51) Posted:



I was wanted 2 buy ToTo juz now too... But no number 2 buy ley.

When I wanted 2 use my Maid & myself's vital statistics (三围)... Still cnt buy ley...

 

Cos all same numbers... 40 40 40 40 40 40... ('',)

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26-Feb-2010 15:35 Straits Times Index   /   4D to share in ShareJunction 2010       Go to Message
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oh yes, may be , wish everyone luck!  I was told when queuing up to buy toto or 4-d, plse keep a $1 coin with you all the time becos our $1 is like a 'ba gua'.  I seldom queue, cos i use poolzconnect.  I must paste a $1 coin on my phone. 



street81      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 15:30) Posted:

and maybe pple living in the west will be millionaires tonight

street81      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 15:16) Posted:

Today God of Fortune in the west....must buy at a counter facing west lor...

hahaha...tonight see how, scarly....



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26-Feb-2010 15:20 Genting Sing   /   GenSp starts to move up again       Go to Message
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Though OCBC said it might touch 0.77 if 0.8x doesnt hold.  Playing with fire. hahaha!

niuyear      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 15:19) Posted:

brave !  I also bought few and try. 



Huhushares      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 15:15) Posted:

Just brought 10 lots... : ) at 0.885  hope market will close at 0.90


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26-Feb-2010 15:19 Genting Sing   /   GenSp starts to move up again       Go to Message
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brave !  I also bought few and try. 



Huhushares      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 15:15) Posted:

Just brought 10 lots... : ) at 0.885  hope market will close at 0.90

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26-Feb-2010 15:11 Straits Times Index   /   4D to share in ShareJunction 2010       Go to Message
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Why go there and buy?  this year God of fortune in south east direction. 



street81      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 14:55) Posted:

If you are thinking of queuing at 7-eleven yishun ave 5, u need 1.5 hrs to get the tickets.

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26-Feb-2010 14:48 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Shortists in action has influenced the Dipping of STI badly.



niuyear      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 14:11) Posted:

Who is pinning STI down to?   I think Genting short down its own share so that we lose money and must visit their casino instead of sitting infront of our computer buy/sell shares.    Singapore pools want us to go queue up and buy Toto.  Wall Street traders all flipping out.  So, we cld only see more movement next week.  lol1



noobnoob      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 13:33) Posted:

So does this means BB are accumulating? Don think retailers can move the heavy weights....

Just like Noble grp? Lately the fluctuation quiet fierce... push up n sell dwn.. but overall net buyers...

Seems like retailers keep getting screwed.. yet hve to pay high brokerage fees...



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26-Feb-2010 14:20 Straits Times Index   /   4D to share in ShareJunction 2010       Go to Message
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Anyone bought Toto today?

You care to share your number here? after tonite, you will know who strikes,

:)           
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26-Feb-2010 14:11 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Who is pinning STI down to?   I think Genting short down its own share so that we lose money and must visit their casino instead of sitting infront of our computer buy/sell shares.    Singapore pools want us to go queue up and buy Toto.  Wall Street traders all flipping out.  So, we cld only see more movement next week.  lol1



noobnoob      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 13:33) Posted:

So does this means BB are accumulating? Don think retailers can move the heavy weights....

Just like Noble grp? Lately the fluctuation quiet fierce... push up n sell dwn.. but overall net buyers...

Seems like retailers keep getting screwed.. yet hve to pay high brokerage fees...



Buzzoff      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 12:17) Posted:

My sentiments exactly!  It seems so weird that STI is doing not so good when the rest of the markets are up. 


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26-Feb-2010 13:56 Genting Sing   /   GenSp starts to move up again       Go to Message
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Personally, i have not been to Sentosa for few years already.  As for tourists, if they have visited once or twice the sentosa and universal studio,  they wouldnt want to go there unless they really enjoy the Sun, Sea, Sand and Moon and the resorts or perhaps, its Orchid Enclosure?  lol.  Not to forget, I could enjoy 'ice' in marina bay in its ice-skating ring. 

My dream is to travel to Genting Sentosa by UnderWaterWorld , on the way there, i cld see shark, stingray and dugon and many beautiful fish or bypass the pink dolphine.  hahaha!   It cld be possible if they re-do the UnderWater world and make an additional ending point at Casino and Universal studios, kids cld exit at Universal studios and the gamblers exit at Casino.



Sarahli      ( Date: 26-Feb-2010 09:51) Posted:



I do not buy this Sands competition will be detrimental to GS.  Initially yes but actually positive in the long run.  To think they are cannibalising each other would be like saying Ion or Somerset opening is going to hit all the shopping centres in town badly.  As we can see, each will find its own niche customers and pple will go wherever serves their needs ie, I will go to Ion if there is something I need to get there or I will pop in to Somerset if I just happen to be around there.  But the great thing is that they all make coming into Singapore more exciting and there are more reasons to visit Singapore now.  When MGM built the world's biggest hotel at that time ie, more than 5,000 rooms in one hotel, the initial sentiment from almost everyone is how are they going to fill it up and concerns prevail then over what will happen to the rest of the hotels along the strip.  Well, they not only fill it up easily through the years but the hotels along the strip came to like the idea whenever there is a new development coming up to give another reason for regular visitors to go to Vegas to look see.  Otherwise, it is like a stagnant town and pple will go to where things are happening.  All of them get to benefit with more tourists/visitors from f&b, shows' ticket sales, gambling receipts, etc.  So, I am sure GS will get to benefit from Sands' guests in some ways eg, Universal attendance, shows' sales, f&b, and even gaming, if they drop into Sentosa, which I believe quite a few will. 


 

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25-Feb-2010 22:55 Others   /   S-chips are still in the shit!       Go to Message
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I only can think of ghosts.....they have predictions and they always win. :)



senecus      ( Date: 25-Feb-2010 22:19) Posted:



Perhaps some investors belong to the extreme case of lady luck...who will not have investment when the counters are down...and...who will happen to have million dollars worth of the counters that are up......when some of the counters get suspended...these investors will happen to have sold the counters a day earlier...when the counters recover from suspension...these investors will have million dollars worth of these counters out of nowhere..........these are the investors who will never lose...and have endless flow of money...coming out of nowhere.......and I have to admit...this type of investors belong to the extreme case of lady luck.

Smiley

 

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25-Feb-2010 17:27 Genting Sing   /   GenSp starts to move up again       Go to Message
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Your are damn right! :)



GenghisKhan      ( Date: 25-Feb-2010 17:19) Posted:



Investment houses are working for the BBs or they are the BBs themselves. it is in their interest to recommend "sell' now so that the BBs can get it cheap or vice versa. They are not working for small retail investors. 

There is no such thing as a free lunch. 

 They need to have big bonus too. Look at Wall street investment banks (houses). Where do you think their bonus come from? From advising the small timers?

get real. It is a dog eat dog world.

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25-Feb-2010 17:22 Others   /   S-chips are still in the shit!       Go to Message
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It is enough said that China could be ruling the world in 20 or 30 yrs time, but, investing in S-chips, one has to know its culture and its book keeping system.  Will you be caught by surprise if you learn that the bank is keeping various books, LOL!  one for profit, one for losses? how to monitor then? Halleluyah........
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25-Feb-2010 11:23 Trading Techniques   /   S&P500       Go to Message
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I will surely wait till Citibank drop back to below US$1 (believe they will LOL).....  see below, how cld a bank make such a mistake? Time to look for other bank to part the US$.

 

Citigroup Warns Customers It May Refuse To Allow Withdrawals

 

Citigroup Umbrella eBay
The image of banks locking their doors to keep customers from making withdrawals during a bank run is what immediately came to mind when we heard that Citigroup was telling customers it has the right to prevent any withdrawals from checking accounts for seven days.

 

"Effective April 1, 2010, we reserve the right to require (7) days advance notice before permitting a withdrawal from all checking accounts. While we do not currently exercise this right and have not exercised it in the past, we are required by law to notify you of this change," Citigroup said on statements received by customers all over the country.

What's going on? It seems that this is something of an error. The seven day notice policy only applies to customers in Texas, Ira Stoll reports at The Future of Capitalism. It was accidentally included on customer statements nationwide.

"Whatever the explanation, it doesn't exactly inspire confidence in Citi," Stoll writes.  "But it's hard to believe a bank would be sending out a notice like that on its statements."

UPDATE: According to Stoll, Citi issued a statement saying that it has been required to make this change by Federal regulations--and it no longer sounds like it's limited to Texas:

Update: Citibank has now released the following statement by way of explanation: "When Citibank moved to unlimited FDIC coverage in 2009, we had to reclassify many checking accounts to allow for immediate withdrawals in order to ensure all customers qualified for the additional coverage. When we moved back to standard FDIC coverage with most major banks in 2010, Citibank decided to reclassify those accounts back to make them eligible again for promotional incentives. To do so, Federal Reserve Reg D requires these accounts, called NOW accounts, to reserve the right to require a 7-day notice of withdrawal. We recently communicated this technical requirement to our customers. However, we have never exercised this right and have no plans to do so in the future."



Hulumas      ( Date: 22-Feb-2010 16:51) Posted:

I am not vested at all, waiting for next four to seven years perhaps!

trendlines      ( Date: 22-Feb-2010 16:33) Posted:



Feel free to contribute in this thread on technical analysis relating to S&P500 and any other US market indices. 

Expecting a drop in the next couple of sessions, based on O/B indicators and the 'Shanghai Connection'. All the analysis is here:
http://trendlines618.blogspot.com/2010/02/s-short-term-drop-ahead.html



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25-Feb-2010 11:11 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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See below - how the market is being pumped and dumped.

A Simple Guide To How Algorithms Are Manipulating The Market Right Now

(This guest post originally appeared at the author's blog)

I am growing more and more tired of seeing what appears to be a very "helpful" algorithm running in the SPY. I am using the term "helpful" very lightly. I relate this algorithm to a jumper cable, your car will run once you get the jump if your battery is running low right?

Now lets say volume in our market is equivalent to a discharged but not quiet a dead battery yet. Symptoms of the market being a "dead battery" are sluggish movement through key pivot levels on a daily 1 min chart, along with violent price spikes within the 1 min candle.

So how do we fix a market which does not have the Umph it needs to stay liquid and trade while not remaining flat all day after the initial 30 min opening volatility? A quant algo of course!

First a little background on why the SPY would be a good target for some undercover manipulation. As you may or may not know ETF's run our retail markets. The S&P depository Trust buys and sells individual components of the S&P's based on movement within the index. Simple right? Well if you say, "Screw it, I am purchasing the 500 S&P components via the SPY ETF. Now i can buy little pieces of the components without laying out the cash to buy them individually." GREAT! If you are a buy and hold investor looking to leverage your hard earned dollar. Now lets think about how the normal operation of the SPY can cause manipulation...

*If there is a huge buyer day in and day out of the SPY whom has no interest in holding for a long period of time how would this affect the components? The direct affect of SPY purchasing would cause the cash market(individual stocks, not futures) to trade in a much more liquid manner in whatever direction the purchaser is leaning.

Now for the juicy stuff,...For months now i have been watching a specific algorithm push our markets around with great ease. It looks like this algo is giving the SPY a little push through support and resistance levels with massive size executed in seconds. Sometimes the push is tens of thousands of shares, the size all depends on the natural volume around the level which the SPY is trading at the time it may need a "Jump". For instance if the market is oversold on a 1 min time frame and is trying to break higher off lows but just cant get the party going on its own, the algo will come in and take offers until day traders, scalpers, swing traders jump in and chase the market higher. Once the price gets "jumped" the algo just sits and waits till natural buyers and sellers are few and far between and it either dumps or takes in more. Usually the program will reset itself after a trade, then will wait till it senses low volume once again.

For some concrete evidence of this action I have done a quick illustration, which includes Time & Sales which only display prints on the exchange the algorithm does business on. This exchange is used because of its very nice rebate structure, and it allows the algo to exploit the SOES, meaning it cannot trade in blocks larger than 10000 shares per order. So what does it do, it takes blocks almost 10,000 shares multiple times a second, this price action causes the market to lift violently. This is not small money, remember small money follows big money.

The algo in question starts buying at 110.04 with one block of 9999 shares, followed by 60k more shares all bought in under two minutes. You can see from the chart how the SPY reacted, it violently moved higher all the way up to 110.55, where the algo dumped just about all of the shares, you can see the prints in the "dump" prints window, again only showing the print from the exchange the algo does business on. The algo did its job, the cash market snapped back, the components again caught a bid and moved higher through resistance. I.E. they look alive and well... Natural buyers came in above the 110.55 level chasing the market up another 50 cents or so before they left and the SPY fell again because the volume was not there to support the massive run up which took place over 15 minutes. As you can see the algo works in two capacities, it manipulates the market to the upside along with keeping S&P500 components trading in a liquid orderly "non flat" fashion.

The 650,000,000,000$ question now is.. What would our markets look like if this "jump starting" was not taking place every day? I think you know the answer.

Click the image below to see how it really works.

 

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