Latest Posts By elfinchilde
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| 16-Jan-2007 11:56 |
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hey awchyeong, your CES's going down a little. not sure if losing momentum (don't have access to charts at wk): do decide when you wanna call a sell; by abt the 20th wld be good. wld singaporegal or anyone like to help with the TA for this baby? better to be cautious at this pt in time. me, lkg at the counter now, heh, i wld most prob decide to sell abt 41-43. |
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| 15-Jan-2007 23:14 |
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here, billywows: @)----)---- *elf holds out a flower just for youuuuu!* hehe. ok must go zzz. nites! :) |
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| 15-Jan-2007 23:05 |
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..eh, my dear mister bear, you don't call it irrational sentiment when a bank says "properties are good!" and ppl just charge and buy? :P FA ppl must be dying in this kind of market man. how to even make a buy call.... |
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| 15-Jan-2007 23:01 |
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Plan your way to wealth
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complete agreement. my personal take is that diversification reduces risk but overdiversification dilutes profit. and yes. you diversify only if your holdings are so huge that you have to hedge against unnecessary risk. if you're just starting out, you _have_ to take chances. how else to grow a sufficient seed fund to start the road to financial independence? having said that tho, there's still a difference between a disciplined, consistent trader who knows what his long term goals are, and a heck-it-all gambler who just buys/sells on tips, hearsay etc. |
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| 15-Jan-2007 22:57 |
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yah. no colour. no fun. haha. pls do post the data as it comes yeah. nites! i so can't survive regular working hours. sigh. zzz. |
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| 15-Jan-2007 22:53 |
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Construction sector
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hm..this topic's a coincidence... had a conversation recently with a fund mgmr who heads a global bank's investment section for asia-pac, this was part of the conversation thread: that those in the know bought s'pore property/construction stocks 2-3 years ago already, and now, really, it's just short term traders and punters left, and a question of who will be left holding the baby. billywows...elf is getting nervy. unless the US data is that good, i'm seriously looking to out all positions by 1st week feb or so. rather a live chicken than a dead tiger. hahahaaaa... :P |
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| 15-Jan-2007 22:41 |
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oh yah, i forgot. pai seh pai seh. thanks ahbear! *patpatpat!* haha. :P good, can go zzz liao! tired man.... btw, once i've played a counter i don't tend to go back to its forum thread (love 'em and leave 'em *haha*), so for the benefits of the allgreeners still vested: counter will probably move sideways or slight dip tomorrow; and thereaft likely to be up--due solely to the irrational property sentiment. so do make your sell calls whenever you think profit is enough. 29th is your date to watch; it's anyone's call after that. awchyeong, i can't tell you when to sell CES since you're the investor :P but this is what i'd do---if vested at 30c, i'll call a sell this week btwn 44-48c, dep on the day itself. same thing as allgreen today: if it makes a sudden spurt, better to sell. if consistent up, let it up til it stagnates. difficult to catch a peak, so it's generally easier to sell a little _after_ the peak. ok? good luck! and ehhhh, it isn't kopi money already man...with these two counters alone it's bird's nest, with abalone, and sharks fin. superior grade, too. :P hehe. |
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| 15-Jan-2007 21:57 |
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hey. patseow, apologies but i'm not really familiar with the rights thing--would any expert like to comment on it? shplayer, if you could? :) bunbun, ahaha, yea, i ran. perhaps a little too early but no choice. no net access in office, so difficult. with this kind of spurt it can easily go up or sharp drop in afternoon; i had no access to vol charts so didn't want to take unnece risk. hey, looks like a lot of ppl made profit! :))) nevermind the size, a profit is a profit; live another day, trade another day. :) longster. haha, much as i'd like to, i can't stick my nose to the screen all day either. i have no net access!! argh, difficult to make buy/sell call decisions sometimes. but yea, normally i keep track of price at noon and end of day; if i'm looking to sell i'll call it from the charts the day before; the rest is wait and see. cut loss fast: queue at the current price. charts dropping implies sell. awchyeong; CES: still going up strongly. shd hit 0.45 tmrw. you sell when you think enough profit already; by 20th or thereabouts. pls take note all: watch US data tonight; it'll tell you if a correction is on the way. |
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| 15-Jan-2007 11:15 |
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hey all, Allgreen: divested: 1.51. note it might very well still go up, but enough for me alr. pls make own call. :) awchyeong: don't sell chipengseng yet. still have some upside to go. patseow8: you need to calculate your ave price per lot, and then decide what to do. not sure abt the rights subscription means you paid for them or they're the bonus? |
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| 14-Jan-2007 19:17 |
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ahh, my fav little bunnie is here! whee! haha. ehhh...if you all run before 1.53 then how am i going to get 1.53??! niama.... hahahaaaa. :P oh don't worry, like i said, cowards live longer. haha. yeesh. i hope not a lot bought on my words alone man. stress... 0_0 but too much talk, no point. watch the trend and see. that's the best thing to do. :) ok, gotta go for dinner now. man, hate this weather. i'm one miserably frozen elf. sigh. |
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| 14-Jan-2007 19:02 |
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hi ace6868, i'm a foremost proponent of the take-money-and-run-first-ask-questions-later school of thought. hehe. yea, if you've read my previous posts here, i'm act looking to let go at abt 1.53. but it depends entirely on the trend. if AllG goes consistently up 2-5c a day, you can hold it til it naturally peaks since it means sentiment is bullish on this counter. (a lot of FA targets have been called for this counter). if it keeps lingering at this range tho, will havta watch for signs of change. also, sudden sprints aren't reliable. So on my part, would rather cash out and keep profit safe than wait for it to wave down and up again. and yes. i'm def going to let go before the 29th. it might go up aft that, but who knows now? tomorrow belongs to tomorrow, and hindsight is always perfect. what we only know is today. So take confirmed profit and run first better. cowards survive longer than heroes. haha. :P |
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| 14-Jan-2007 18:42 |
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hey ahbear (ahhhh so cute! :P), 15th jan would be interesting to watch 'cos the dow closed higher on fri (and s'pore looks to the dow for leads); property's still bullish if you look at the sector, TA shows that vols went down fri but A/D and chaikin consistently up--all these are plus factors. but that stacks up against the psychological factor of tomorrow being the last day for the rights to be chosen--meaning that tomorrow night will be when you know how much dilution of the main price there'll be. investors might get nervy. 15th's less impt than 29th jan tho. that's when the rights start trading as the main. Just doing a rough price estimate from the last closing of 1.82 before the XD, plus that $300, means the 'fair value' that the market perceives allgreen to be is between 1.21-1.53, dep on whether ppl chose the rights or the money. your AllG R500 is currently at 0.78, meaning the market perception is higher end--in the 1.50s range. so if the motherstock somehow hits the 1.60 range, implies 29th it'll likely drop back to 'fair value'. If it's lower, it will most prob not go up tho. note figures given are just rough estimates, and less to do with the fair value derived via FA but more the 'fair value' via market perception. |
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| 14-Jan-2007 16:21 |
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yep noted, thanks sporeguy. :) my pref of the 3 is actually PDC. but ok, we better keep spc thread to spc. hehe. |
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| 14-Jan-2007 15:32 |
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ooh. we gotta get ya a Jerry Mouse then. :P man, i love these colours. heehee. yea, guess it's only human to regret the one that got away tho. am currently operating on the principle that a profit is a profit; don't care what the run-up is after you've sold, except to learn all the arcane mathematics of the TA lesson that you exited too early. |
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| 14-Jan-2007 15:26 |
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hey longster, no prob at all. :) awchyeong, in case i can't get net access tomorrow: if allgreen does a slow runup tomorrow, don't sell yet. but if it does a sudden spurt ala wing tai and its 17c sprint in one day, sell! sorry for being kancheong. am just a little afraid that ppl will lose money on my words. *touch wood* we have til the 29th to sell. should like to out by this coming week tho. |
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| 14-Jan-2007 15:05 |
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Riding High On The Sentosa Wave
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what does your nickname stand for, tabbykat? keke oh yea. sold off ho bee too (but missed that 1.50 peak 'cos was away *argh*), and sitting pretty in other counters now. hehe. ooh yes. singaporegal. my favourite. :)))))) |
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| 14-Jan-2007 14:59 |
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hm. concur, billywows. looking to lock in all positions by end jan actually; TA, FA or whatever holdings. not unless it happens to be an exceptional counter... |
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| 14-Jan-2007 14:56 |
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hey giantlow, am in total agreement with Livermore and iPunter. Even if you want to short, it might not be wise to try it on SPC. You're concentrating too much of your funds into one counter; which is risky if you cannot afford to lose that sum of money. yea, in a bull market, it makes no sense to short. Check the risk/reward ratio carefully. you're probably better off just buying the construction sector pennies for next week, rather than shorting SPC. My picks: PDC corp, see hup seng, lum chang. |
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| 13-Jan-2007 12:11 |
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hey cashiertan...actually, what i'm sensing is akin to your intuition...it's as though the market is currently dancing on the fragile knife edge of sentiment, and the euphoria somehow seems unreal. and yea, agree TA of not much relation to the actual market now; if you've being screening stocks (just did a batch yesterday), what i found was that lead indicators are not accurate for a lot of counters; am depending on the lag indicators and going by instinct mainly. eg LumChang--its lead indicators are all reading down, but sentiment dictates it'll move up next week. |
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| 12-Jan-2007 23:51 |
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Nooooooooo.......meh. c'mon Dow....be good...meh. or it's gonna be one sleepy sad elf here. meh. meeehhhhhhhh. sighhhhh.. have been screening the pennies just for fun; just to see how accurate TA can be on them. haha. ok nites billywows and maxsyn and all the dowsters here. :) |
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