Latest Posts By richtan - Supreme About richtan |
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16-Aug-2009 01:01 | Trading Techniques / Advices to newbies Go to Message | |||||||
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Hi wongmx6, There is no hard n fast rules about cut-losses, the strategy varies depending on the risk/reward ratio and a person's risk-aversion level. The strategy I used does not mean it is applicable to everyone as every individual has their own different threshold of pain. Eg, 2 scenarios: Scenario 1: In a candle reversal pattern, if the candle close below the low of the candle b4 the peaking candle and the nearest support line is far down, I will exit instead of exiting when it breaks and close below the support, to minimise my risk. Scenario 2: In a candle reversal pattern, if the candle close below the low of the candle b4 the peaking candle and the nearest support line is quite nearby, I will exit only when it breaks and close below the support, as my risk is not tat great. As I said, this is my strategy, so do not follow me blindly, as wat works for me may not work for u as I said, everyone has different threshold of pain., so dyodd n BOSAYOR.
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16-Aug-2009 00:21 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||
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In another words, trade like a hermit.
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16-Aug-2009 00:19 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||
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Hi rachael, U r most welcome. we r here to learn from each other, hope I too can learn from u. Personally, I hold a maximum of not more than 3 counters, all must be with good FA (1st criteria, a must compulsory) as wat people, good durian, one or 2 is good enuf, for me, 3 is good enuf. I think u r refering to Straits Asia right, which I m still holding , trading in n out though I dun post often there nowadays as time is a real constraint to me.
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16-Aug-2009 00:10 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||
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Hi Bintang, I m really so sorry, I m not trying to be funny with u but I tried real hard following your descriptions and tried to trace it on the weekly chart but still failed to see any inverse H&S and still dun get wat u mean. I hope u can kindly try to post your chart analysis as a picture tells a thousand words, never mind, no hurry, take your time. I thank u in advance n sorry for inconveniencing u.
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15-Aug-2009 23:46 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||
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These are those without foresight, follow herd instinct, last to get in and first to mati
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15-Aug-2009 23:44 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||
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Slow but steady, dun get heart attack, durian "pow chia" wan
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15-Aug-2009 23:39 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||
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I fully agree with, without any slightest doubt tat Midas is indeed a gem, an yet unpolished gem to reveal its true lustre. With China's stimulus infrastructure spending, more contracts are coming.
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15-Aug-2009 23:33 | Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors Go to Message | |||||||
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Golden mantra number 1: "The trend is your friend" - dun fight against the trend, dun surf against the onslaught of the incoming ocean waves, sur to die wan.
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15-Aug-2009 23:19 | Others / DOW Go to Message | |||||||
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My advice is only read analyst report on the FA of the counter but dun follow blindly their buy/sell call, dyodd n ownself analyse the chart..
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15-Aug-2009 17:51 | Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors Go to Message | |||||||
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U r right, tats is wat I always emphasise, never pre-empt, always wat for EOD confirmation as intraday can be a fake.
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15-Aug-2009 02:11 | AusGroup / AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m Go to Message | |||||||
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Hi dionnazhao, I had previously created a thread under "General", "Trading Techniques", "Learning TA" I had just compiled and created 2 more new threads for all forumers and especially dedicated to newbies under (1) "General", "Trading Techniques", "Some recommended good Trading and TA books" (2) "General", "Trading Techniques", "Advices to newbies"
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15-Aug-2009 02:03 | Trading Techniques / Some recommended good Trading and TA books Go to Message | |||||||
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Some recommended good Trading and TA books: (1) Technical Analysis of the Futures Market by John Murphy (applicable to equities) (2) Japanese Candlestick Charting" by Steve Nison. (3) Candlestick Charting Explained by Gregory L. Morris. (4) Trading for a Living by Dr. Alexander Elder. (5) 7 Chart Patterns That consistently Make Money by Ed Downs. (6) How To Make Money In Stocks (National Bestseller) by William J. O'Neil (7) Market Wizards, interviews with Top Traders by Jack D. Schwager. (8) The New Market Wizards, conversations with America's Top traders by Jack D. Schwager |
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15-Aug-2009 01:38 | Trading Techniques / Advices to newbies Go to Message | |||||||
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15-Aug-2009 01:23 | Trading Techniques / Advices to newbies Go to Message | |||||||
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Hi xxxxxxxx, Just look at any stock charts and u will notice tat stocks dun go up in one straight line, bound to have profit-taking, corrections and consolidation. To succeed in trading, I always said: "Learn to master TA n u are the master of your own trades." "Learn how to fish n u can fend for yourself forever, relying on tothers n forever u r dependent on others n at their mercy" "There is no easy way n short-cut to success in life, including trading, all are own hardwork" I had created a thread dedicated to newbies: "Learning TA" under "General", "Trading Techniques", where u can learn TA for free, of course u can also buy TA books, I had recommended a few, click on my nick to search for it n also read my past advices n my 3 golden mantras. Take your time to read, dun rush, keep track where u started n stopped, not forgetting newer posts, remember "Rome was not built in one day" |
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15-Aug-2009 01:20 | Trading Techniques / Advices to newbies Go to Message | |||||||
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richtan ( Date: 04-Jul-2009 22:21) Posted:
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15-Aug-2009 01:00 | Others / If I had $100K for pennies long term Go to Message | |||||||
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Wow!!! good story. Thank you for sharing this story. As "Tan Ah Teck" said: The moral of the story, be alert like the birds as wat cheongwee said. Never throw caution to the air, tats why, everyday without fail, after mkt close, I practice one of my golden mantras ie. i will review my stocks chart to "Plan my trade and trade my plan" the next trading day, ie should I or should I not take action, very mechanical, no emotion involved.
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15-Aug-2009 00:15 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||
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Hi Bintang, U are most welcomed, I too learnt a lot from your postings. No problem, take your time, no urgency. Are u refering to the cup tat I mentioned, if it is I post below the cup pattern for your info, correct me if u think I m wrong.
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14-Aug-2009 23:14 | Others / Market News that affect STI Go to Message | |||||||
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No New Normal JPMorgan Sees V-Shaped Recovery on Robust Growth Share | Email | Print | A A A By Steve Matthews Aug. 14 (Bloomberg) -- Instead of a so-called New Normal of subdued growth, the U.S. may be heading for a robust recovery. The worst recession since the 1930s has created a reservoir of demand that will buoy the economy, say a growing number of economists led by James Glassman at JPMorgan Chase & Co., former Federal Reserve Governor Laurence Meyer and Stephen Stanley at RBS Securities Inc. “Whenever we have plunged off a cliff and fallen into a deep hole in the past, for a while the economy has a tendency to bounce back very quickly,” said Glassman, a senior economist at JPMorgan in New York. Glassman and his colleagues this month said forecasts of 3 percent to 4 percent growth in coming quarters may be too low given “pent-up” consumer demand. JPMorgan’s outlook contradicts the view popularized by Mohamed El-Erian at Pacific Investment Management Co. that elevated unemployment and record wealth destruction will keep growth at 2 percent or less for years. The divergence highlights the dilemma for policy makers, who must decide whether to maintain record fiscal and monetary stimulus or begin to pull back and prevent a surge in inflation should growth accelerate. El-Erian, chief executive officer of Newport Beach, California-based Pimco, said “the indicators we follow continue to point to sluggish medium-term growth in the U.S.,” when asked to respond to arguments for a so-called v-shaped recovery. Retail Sales Retail sales figures released yesterday indicated that consumers have yet to ramp up spending. The Commerce Department said purchases fell for the first time in three months, by 0.1 percent. A Labor Department report showed 558,000 Americans, more than forecast, filed claims for unemployment insurance last week; the U.S. has lost 6.7 million jobs in the recession that began in December 2007. The New Normal theory predicts that the recession will leave unemployment, forecast to reach 10 percent for the first time since 1983 early next year, higher for years. Glassman and Meyer dispute that. “The thing I object to most about the New Normal idea is that we are stuck and have to accept higher unemployment --if you look at the Fed, they are doing everything they can to fight it,” said Glassman, who formerly worked as a Fed economist in Washington. Meyer’s Projections Meyer, who served as a central bank governor from 1996 until 2002, said he and his colleagues “don’t find any evidence” that the unemployment rate consistent with stable inflation is now higher. Meyer is now vice chairman of St. Louis-based Macroeconomic Advisers LLC, whose economic estimates are monitored by the National Bureau of Economic Research panel charged with dating U.S. recessions. Meyer expects gross domestic product to jump by 3.6 percent in 2010 and 3.9 percent in 2011. Annual growth surpassed 3 percent only once so far this decade, in 2004, and has averaged just 2.2 percent. “The big driver of that is home prices,” said Meyer, referring to his recovery forecast. “If home prices stabilize, that is a tremendous boost to housing that dominates every other variable in our equation. There is a lot of pent-up demand in that particular area.” Home construction has subtracted from GDP growth for a record 14 straight quarters through June 2009. Consumer spending has also dropped in four of the past six quarters, and is down 2 percent from its peak in July-to-September 2007, the biggest retrenchment since 1980. ‘Very Depressed’ Housing and automobile sales are at “very depressed levels” and are likely to contribute to growth even if they don’t reach prior peaks, said Stanley, chief economist at RBS Securities in Greenwich, Connecticut, who used to work at the Richmond Fed. “Consumers are holding off on practically all of their discretionary purchases,” said Stanley, who sees the expansion picking up from 2.9 percent next year to 4.4 percent in 2011 and “about” 3.5 percent in 2012. “There is a lot of pent-up demand.” Recoveries from the past two recessions were weaker than in previous decades. After the 2001 recession, the economy expanded just 1.6 percent in 2002, picking up to 2.5 percent the next year. The 1990-91 recession was followed by 3.3 percent growth in 1992 and a 2.7 percent gain in 1993. By contrast, the U.S. roared out of the 1981-82 recession. In 1983, GDP rose 4.5 percent, accelerating to a 7.2 percent pace in 1984, when Ronald Reagan won re-election with victories in 49 of 50 states. Blinder ‘Skeptical’ Alan Blinder, the former Fed vice chairman who is now an economics professor at Princeton University in New Jersey, has described himself as “skeptical” of the New Normal scenario. “To accept a 2 percent trend, you have to believe in about a 1.2 or 1.3 percent productivity trend -- I don’t,” Blinder said in an e-mailed response to questions. He added that he sees growth sustained at “closer, but not quite, to 3 percent” in coming years. Fed policy makers in their latest projections submitted in June anticipated an expansion of 2.1 percent to 3.3 percent from this year’s fourth quarter to the same period next year and 3.8 percent to 4.6 percent in 2011. Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and his Federal Open Market Committee colleagues two days ago said the economy is “leveling out.” The central bank has pumped about $1 trillion into the banking system in a campaign to end the crisis, triggered by mortgage defaults, that has caused more than $1.6 trillion in losses and writedowns among financial firms worldwide. Victory Call President Barack Obama last week said: “We are pointed in the right direction,” in remarks at the White House. “We’ve rescued our economy from catastrophe.” The administration anticipates a gathering impact from its $787 billion fiscal stimulus into next year. Some companies are also seeing signs of a turn in the economy. Karen Hoguet, chief financial officer at Macy’s Inc., the second-biggest U.S. department store chain, said on a conference call Aug. 12 that the Cincinnati-based company is “cautiously optimistic” its sales trends will improve. A rebound in equities in recent months will help repair households’ balance sheets and buttresses the outlook for spending, said Glassman at JPMorgan. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index has climbed about 50 percent from its low in March. U.S. stock-market capitalization has increased by almost $4 trillion in that time. Economists’ Forecasts Economists this month lifted their projection for third- quarter growth by 1.2 percentage points to 2.2 percent compared with July, according to the median of 55 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey. That is the biggest such boost in surveys dating from May 2003. Forecasts for 2010 were raised to 2.3 percent from 2.1 percent. Neal Soss, chief economist at Credit Suisse Group AG in New York, played down concern that the economy may suffer a “double dip” recession. “Historically these double dips are routinely forecast and actually very rarely come to pass,” Soss said in a Bloomberg TV interview this week. “Once the economy tends to get some upward momentum, it tends to keep going that way.” To contact the reporter on this story: Steve Matthews in Atlanta at smatthews@bloomberg.net. Last Updated: August 14, 2009 00:01 EDT |
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14-Aug-2009 23:04 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||
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Very hard to say, it may or may not drop, if drop, most probably drop to the 25ema, imo. Personally, if it closes below the 25ema for 2 days continuous, I will exit (as one day close below it could be a fake n may the next day pull up above it to fool and shake out those weak holders), Anyway, this is jmo, not a call to sell, dyodd n BOSAYOR and dun follow me blindly as everybody has their own strategy..
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14-Aug-2009 22:55 | Midas / Midas Go to Message | |||||||
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Hi Bintang, U r warmly welcome to Midas Land, the land of the midas touch. Firstly, lets together. I truly appreciate your dropping over to visit us and share n look forward to your future visits. Dun worry, we are here to share n exchange pointers. Likewise, feel free to point out my mistakes, I m very receptive and open-minded. Pardon my ignorance, as I tried to locate the large inverse H&S but just couldn't figure it out. Could u kindly post yor chart analysis to share as a picture tells a thousand words, I thank you 1st. But I could see a huge cup in formation, with the brim of the cup at around 1.19 and yet to form the handle. The handle will start forming once the brim of the cup is reached, first with a downtrend followed by the explosive upward formation of the handle (look at Straits Asia, now forming the handle of a smaller cup with a bigger cup yet to form, to get wat I mean) Correct me if I m wrong, ADX normally will turn up faster for energetic sprinter but Midas is more like a middle-age man clinbing up a flight of stairs, slow but steadily and gently upwards, with pause in betweeen n falling down occassionally but managed to stand-up on his feet n continue to climb. Looking from my ChartNexus Midas chart with 14RSI, it is now about 60, above the average strength of 50, not too hot and not too cold, but of course, I m not saying tat if it is too hot, it will definitely cool down bcos I know, wat is hot can be even hotter n vice versa.
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