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Latest Posts By risktaker - Supreme      About risktaker
First   < Newer   1001-1020 of 4828   Older>   Last  

13-Jun-2012 18:02 Vard   /   STXOSV       Go to Message
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U know there's hardly any order recently in the industry ...... Not a wise move to enter at 1.20....,,, me looking at 0.80-1.00

littleboi      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 14:53) Posted:



No longer trust such reports...

they like roti prata..flip here flip there...

Waiting for it to go 1.2X... wont' hesistate to go back  in...

However,Italy next in line in EU crisis... and who knows, Greece decide play punk'd this sunday.

sgnewbie      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 12:57) Posted:



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13-Jun-2012 18:00 Yanlord Land   /   Lord of China Prop       Go to Message
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Not yet......

ozone2002      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 14:59) Posted:



1.18 fly to the sky..

gd luck dyodd...:)

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13-Jun-2012 17:57 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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When u have 100 lots of genting brought @ 1.75 = 175000 dollar value .... If u cut .... 1.45 u lose around 31500
Then if market is really bad and genting drops below 1.25-1.30 u can buy back 110 lots this time...... Anyway ur gonna hold why not sell first and buy back more later ? ..... This is just example ..... U can even switch to other stocks..... I cannot be 100% sure next week will have a big fall..... Like I say most likely ...... Will genting falls to 1.2x range ??? I won't say 100% but there's a chance ........ Good luck .....
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13-Jun-2012 17:51 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Just stating the fact that market will most likely to have a deep fall next week...... Just becareful

alexchia01      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 17:47) Posted:

U are over analyzing. We are traders, just act accordingly. Market will tell u what to do. In fact, market is already telling us a lot of things these few days and probability more the next few days.

risktaker      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 12:32) Posted:



What will happen after June 17?

Case 1: (40%)

What will happen if Jun 17 greek failed to form a coalition that support austerity............


1) Greek has a very high chance being  force out of Europe.
2) if Greek being kick out and greek default on all its existing loans  it will soon felt throughout Europe...... then spread globally -- Super Chain reaction and this will be worse than lehman brothers.
3)  interest rate will surge to a level we have never seen before expecially for Spain, France, italy and portugal..
4) Massive  panic sell down in stock markets  globally. Gold may surge as Investors turn  to precious metal......
5)  Tension will rise to extreme levels as EU  members started to point  fingers ...........
6) Theres a  30% chance EU will not survive ............ and if it did not survive this.... there  have a  high chance war will erupt in Europe.........


Case 2: Chance of happening (20%)

What will happen  on Jun 17 if greek failed to form a coalition that support austerity with a twist.......
if Germany change its stance ....... and soften on its position .........   

1) Greek stayed in EURO.
2) Greek manage to negotiate a new growth plan as well with spain, italy  etc  ...
3)  Borrowing cost will drop to comfortable level.
4) Massive  Rally in stock markets  globally.
5) How long this rally will last will depend how the world act together as one to fight the crisis....

Case 3: Chance of happening (30%)

What will happen if Jun 17 greek failed to form a coalition that support austerity............


1) Greek has a very high chance being  force out of Europe.
2) if Greek being kick out and greek default on all its existing loans  it will soon felt throughout Europe...... then spread globally -- Super Chain reaction and this will be worse than lehman brothers. This will test the EU firewall that being setup to contain the crisis from spreading....... did it work? 60%  will work.......
3)  borrowing cost for EU will surge a little...... but will soften once aftermath is fully felt and contain.....
4) Massive  panic sell down in stock markets  globally until effects of the aftermath is fully felt...... but will rally once  things seems contained........ 
5)  Extreme pressure will be  rested on Spain  the others trouble  members  ........... and this will test the faith of all leaders in EU .... if they united as one fast ... EU will survived..... if  EU will not survive ..... there  have a  high chance war will erupt in Europe.........


Case 4: Chance of happening (10%)

What will happen if Jun 17 greek form a coalition that support austerity............
1) Greek has  Stayed in EU.
2) But doing the same thing over and over again to expect different results is Crazy............ Its a sure gone  case scenario down the road........ unless they  EU changed their mindset.... Act together and encourage growth  instead of spending cuts......... 


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13-Jun-2012 17:46 China Taisan   /   chinataisan re-testing 10cents mark---watch OUT!!       Go to Message
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Rule number 1 - Buy on rumour sell on news ......

rutheone1905      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 10:11) Posted:



wait till the actual document publish by SGX safer.

dealt with Chinese ppl many times, any pattern unimaginable can come out. 

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13-Jun-2012 17:41 Dukang   /   Dividend & Share buy back       Go to Message
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Still cheap to collect ..... :)

khlixin      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 17:39) Posted:

After china Minzhong to-day, It is Dukang' turn  to chiong high and fast, be alert and good luck. 

khlixin      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 07:51) Posted:



Waiting for their announcement to declare dividend or share-buy-back. U may not able to collect cheap then


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13-Jun-2012 17:39 China Minzhong   /   China Minzhong Food forum       Go to Message
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Oversold .... But it's industry is good ..... Likely cap at 62-70 cents for now

tthsteve      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 16:13) Posted:

how come today cheong so fierce.  any good news ?

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13-Jun-2012 17:37 YZJ Shipbldg SGD   /   Cruising with the ship ..Yangzijiang       Go to Message
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Looks like con job.....

alanbiz      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 16:35) Posted:



Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings Ltd.

- Why weren’t investors informed about this donation earlier? (2012/06/13 09:45AM) Chairman donates 27.83% equity stake in the group [6/13/12] – Yangzijiang Shipbuilding’s founding Chairman, Mr Ren Yuanlin, has donated US$750 mln worth of his stocks in the group to Yuanlin Charity Foundation which helps senior citizens in China. According to a report in Irish Times, Mr Ren Yuanlin gave away 27.83% equity stake in the company in March this year. The report quotes the Chairman saying, “in China there is the one-child policy. All the babies are much loved by their parents. But eventually society will become old and there will be a lot of problems because [each of] those one child children will have to look after two old people.” This event is of significant importance to the shareholders of Yangzijiang Shipbuilding as it remains unclear if Mr. Ren will continue to serve as the Chairman and more importantly, when and how will the Yuanlin Charity Foundation monetise these shares? The sale of these shares in open market will have a major impact on the stock price. Also, the buyer(s) of this large equity will call the shots at the group. Many investors would also question if this was the right time to make such a philanthropic decision, given the global economic scenario? According to Wealth-X’s intelligence, the 27.83% stake is worth US$775 mln at S$1 per share. This represents 89% of Mr. Ren Yuanlin’s entire wealth and after this donation his net worth falls to US$95 mln only, adds Wealth-X. In 2011, Mr. Ren Yuanlin was ranked 84th in Forbes Billionaires list for China with US$1.1 bln net worth. The Forbes website also says that he has applied for ‘Hong Kong abode’. Investor Central. We ask the questions that need to be asked: 1. Mr. Ren Yuanlin has surprised everyone on the street by his philanthropy. More surprising is the secrecy about the deed which is a big development (might be biggest after the IPO) for the shareholders of the group. And this is the question haunting every mind, why weren’t the investors informed about this deed earlier? Why did it take a news report in Irish Times to reveal all? 2. Yuanlin Charity Foundation will certainly liquidate the equity investment as and when it needs. The bigger concern is the impact of any such move on the stock price and consequently, shareholders. Has Mr Ren signed any agreement to this effect? 3. Given that he has donated almost 90% of his equity stake in the group, will he still remain in charge of the business? Will he continue to serve as the Chairman of the group? Who will call the shots at the group now? 4. This raises a question that why did he not sell the investment to eligible investor(s) and then, donate the proceeds? 5. Was this the right time to make such a philanthropic decision, given the global economic scenario? 6. Did he not require any regulatory approval before taking such major decision? 7. The Forbes website says that Mr Ren has applied for ‘Hong Kong abode’. Is he planning for his retirement? Will he remain associated with the group? 8. How would Mr Ren justify his move to all those investors who bought shares in the IPO (in Singapore and Taiwan) only because of leadership qualities of Mr. Ren Yuanlin? What is the succession plan at Yangzijiang group? We are sending these questions to the company to invite them for an on-camera interview, and/or seek their written response. Key ratios: Price-book: 1.4x Yield: 5.45% Cashflow: (RMB5.58 bln) Total cash & equivalents: RMB3.15 bln Major shareholder(s): Newyard Worldwide Holdings (26.06%), Lido Point Investments Ltd (10.27%), Hong Kong Hengyuan Investment Ltd (8.28%) Management: Yangzijiang Shipbuilding was ranked 550th in the Governance & Transparency Index, with a score of 24points. DISCLAIMER: Information in this message is confidential. It is intended solely for the person or the entity to whom it is addressed. If you are not the intended recipient, you are not to disseminate, distribute or copy this communication. Please notify the sender and delete the message and any other record of it from your system immediately.

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13-Jun-2012 17:34 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Like I say buying stocks is ok ..... Just u have to trade both ways ....... If u buy 4D what's the odds of striking first prize ? 1/10000
What's the odds of buying shares and make money ...... Should be 50% either up or down ..... But with calculated risks (do ur homework) u can move the odds towards u......as long as u know ur stop loss and don't be greedy one should be ok ....... Also try to stay with local brokerage houses that has bank as backing...... We don't want a repeat of MF global ...... stock market is a very fair casino ...... If ur in my shoes and have my view u will agreed.... It's the best place ...... I will long SGX if there's a major sell down.....
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13-Jun-2012 17:24 Genting Sing   /   GenSp starts to move up again       Go to Message
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I think cannot buy....... Dead..... For now..... Next support 1.2x ...........

Flyordie      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 16:59) Posted:



ALL IN !!!!!

mati..... 

Isolator      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 15:32) Posted:



Rebound from the gap is the signal for trading buy....And also hit the channel support too.... MUST be a strong rebound from here.... lol


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13-Jun-2012 17:22 Chasen   /   Chasen Hldg       Go to Message
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It really doesn't matter what price ..... When BB dump the stock ..... It's dead until the trader who brought at high on Monday...... Sell off its share ...... Final Force sell day is coming Monday get ready to buy cheap stocks ...... Especially Greek got kick out ...... My view only not really this will happen......

New123      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 16:46) Posted:



18 cents then i think can consider to long..

Isolator      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 16:25) Posted:



Dumpe should be done when it is high.... Now is bargain buying....


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13-Jun-2012 16:33 Chasen   /   Chasen Hldg       Go to Message
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Haha yaya long long long..... Die die die

Isolator      ( Date: 13-Jun-2012 16:25) Posted:



Dumpe should be done when it is high.... Now is bargain buying....

Good Post  Bad Post 
13-Jun-2012 12:32 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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What will happen after June 17?

Case 1: (40%)

What will happen if Jun 17 greek failed to form a coalition that support austerity............


1) Greek has a very high chance being  force out of Europe.
2) if Greek being kick out and greek default on all its existing loans  it will soon felt throughout Europe...... then spread globally -- Super Chain reaction and this will be worse than lehman brothers.
3)  interest rate will surge to a level we have never seen before expecially for Spain, France, italy and portugal..
4) Massive  panic sell down in stock markets  globally. Gold may surge as Investors turn  to precious metal......
5)  Tension will rise to extreme levels as EU  members started to point  fingers ...........
6) Theres a  30% chance EU will not survive ............ and if it did not survive this.... there  have a  high chance war will erupt in Europe.........


Case 2: Chance of happening (20%)

What will happen  on Jun 17 if greek failed to form a coalition that support austerity with a twist.......
if Germany change its stance ....... and soften on its position .........   

1) Greek stayed in EURO.
2) Greek manage to negotiate a new growth plan as well with spain, italy  etc  ...
3)  Borrowing cost will drop to comfortable level.
4) Massive  Rally in stock markets  globally.
5) How long this rally will last will depend how the world act together as one to fight the crisis....

Case 3: Chance of happening (30%)

What will happen if Jun 17 greek failed to form a coalition that support austerity............


1) Greek has a very high chance being  force out of Europe.
2) if Greek being kick out and greek default on all its existing loans  it will soon felt throughout Europe...... then spread globally -- Super Chain reaction and this will be worse than lehman brothers. This will test the EU firewall that being setup to contain the crisis from spreading....... did it work? 60%  will work.......
3)  borrowing cost for EU will surge a little...... but will soften once aftermath is fully felt and contain.....
4) Massive  panic sell down in stock markets  globally until effects of the aftermath is fully felt...... but will rally once  things seems contained........ 
5)  Extreme pressure will be  rested on Spain  the others trouble  members  ........... and this will test the faith of all leaders in EU .... if they united as one fast ... EU will survived..... if  EU will not survive ..... there  have a  high chance war will erupt in Europe.........


Case 4: Chance of happening (10%)

What will happen if Jun 17 greek form a coalition that support austerity............
1) Greek has  Stayed in EU.
2) But doing the same thing over and over again to expect different results is Crazy............ Its a sure gone  case scenario down the road........ unless they  EU changed their mindset.... Act together and encourage growth  instead of spending cuts......... 
Good Post  Bad Post 
12-Jun-2012 07:47 Genting Sing   /   GenSp starts to move up again       Go to Message
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U woke up early or Can't sleep ?

iPunter      ( Date: 12-Jun-2012 06:12) Posted:



My order to short @1.50 yesterday was not hit...

    Missed by 2 clicks (high was 1.48)... lol...

          If not, today will be good chance to " tarn tio " ... Smiley


porky88      ( Date: 11-Jun-2012 17:50) Posted:

today up 3.5 cents.. tomorrow down 3 cents?


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12-Jun-2012 07:46 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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One question for u guys...... Greek has a lot more poor people than the rich...... So when the poor have nothing to lose ...... Alexis will be their choice ...... Good luck.
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10-Jun-2012 16:49 Sakari   /   Sakari       Go to Message
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Time to collect oversold - Sakari !! BUY COAL COUNTERS
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10-Jun-2012 16:48 Sakari   /   Sakari       Go to Message
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Export Tax Will Not Apply to Coal: Minister (June 09, 2012) - http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/business/export-tax-will-not-apply-to-coal-minister/523031

Responding to recent uncertainty about whether Indonesia will impose an export duty on coal and try to curb exports, the minister of energy and mineral resources said on Thursday that the government did not intend to do either.

“I have to confirm to all coal mining companies, there is no such plan to impose an export tax for coal. Who said there was?” Jero Wacik told reporters at the State Palace on Thursday.

Jero also denied that the government intended to curb coal exports, saying the “exports will keep on going, but at the same time, domestic stock must be secured.”

Coal miner stocks received a double gut punch on the stock exchange on Monday, experiencing losses after Jero was quoted by local media as saying that Indonesia aimed to impose an export duty on coal and curb exports. The industry was also hit by massive selling pressure as investors worried about economic developments in Europe.

On the Indonesia Stock Exchange, the mining sector dropped almost 8 percent that day. Bumi Resources, the country’s biggest coal miner by tonnage, saw its stock fall 14 percent to Rp 1,220 on Monday, while state-controlled coal producer Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam’s shares slid 12 percent to Rp 13,250.

Supriatna Suhala, the executive director of the Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI), said he was upbeat that the government would not follow through with a move to curb exports, which he said would “strangle the neck of coal miners.”

He said coal miners had contracts of work that differed in terms royalties and taxation schemes “which a ministerial decree can never alter” because they were backed by the law and government regulations, which rank higher.

Supriatna said that major coal miners that secured the first generation of contracts, such as Adaro Energy, Kaltim Prima Coal, Arutmin Indonesia and Indo Tambangraya Megah, were already paying 13.5 percent royalties to the government from their gross revenue.

Those companies have also reportedly been hit with up to a 45 percent corporate income tax from their profit.

“If you want to tax them more, that’s so irrational, and then how would they live?” Supriatna said. “Such a taxation policy applied to these miners is already the highest in the world.”

The APBI is a group of the country’s coal miners and mining services companies, including Adaro Energy, Kaltim Prima Coal, Arutmin Indonesia, Berau Coal and Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam.

Supriatna reiterated his comment on Monday that if the government wanted to apply more taxes, then it needed to streamline all the rulings affecting the country’s coal industry before imposing any new regulations.

Indonesia recently imposed a 20 percent tax on exports for 65 ore minerals, including nickel and gold, but it left coal off the list. The tax was aimed to encourage producers to build smelters and stimulate investment in the downstream sector.

Regarding the government’s intention to secure domestic demand, Supriatna said coal mining production was already bound by a domestic market obligation to allocate a certain amount of output for sale on the local market.

Dileep Srivastava, a director at Bumi Resources, one of Indonesia’s largest coal miners, agreed with Supriatna. He said that two of its coal mining subsidiaries, Kaltim Prima Coal and Arutmin Indonesia, held first-generation contracts of work and already paid a corporate tax of 45 percent and royalties of 13.5 percent.

He claimed Bumi was among the highest-taxed companies in the world, paying far more than its counterparts in much of the metals and resource sector.

Speculation that coal would be included among the minerals charged with export duties began back in April, when Industry Minister M.S. Hidayat came up with proposal to impose a 25 percent tax on mining exports this year and a 50 percent tax for next year.

He said that with the move, the government aimed to take in more revenue from the nation’s natural resources sector, as well as create more jobs at domestic processing plants.

Indonesia is one of the biggest coal exporters in the world. It is expected to ship out about 300 million tons of coal this year to buyers around the world, including in key countries such as China, India, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan.z

Responding to recent uncertainty about whether Indonesia will impose an export duty on coal and try to curb exports, the minister of energy and mineral resources said on Thursday that the government did not intend to do either.

“I have to confirm to all coal mining companies, there is no such plan to impose an export tax for coal. Who said there was?” Jero Wacik told reporters at the State Palace on Thursday.

Jero also denied that the government intended to curb coal exports, saying the “exports will keep on going, but at the same time, domestic stock must be secured.”

Coal miner stocks received a double gut punch on the stock exchange on Monday, experiencing losses after Jero was quoted by local media as saying that Indonesia aimed to impose an export duty on coal and curb exports. The industry was also hit by massive selling pressure as investors worried about economic developments in Europe.

On the Indonesia Stock Exchange, the mining sector dropped almost 8 percent that day. Bumi Resources, the country’s biggest coal miner by tonnage, saw its stock fall 14 percent to Rp 1,220 on Monday, while state-controlled coal producer Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam’s shares slid 12 percent to Rp 13,250.

Supriatna Suhala, the executive director of the Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI), said he was upbeat that the government would not follow through with a move to curb exports, which he said would “strangle the neck of coal miners.”

He said coal miners had contracts of work that differed in terms royalties and taxation schemes “which a ministerial decree can never alter” because they were backed by the law and government regulations, which rank higher.

Supriatna said that major coal miners that secured the first generation of contracts, such as Adaro Energy, Kaltim Prima Coal, Arutmin Indonesia and Indo Tambangraya Megah, were already paying 13.5 percent royalties to the government from their gross revenue.

Those companies have also reportedly been hit with up to a 45 percent corporate income tax from their profit.

“If you want to tax them more, that’s so irrational, and then how would they live?” Supriatna said. “Such a taxation policy applied to these miners is already the highest in the world.”

The APBI is a group of the country’s coal miners and mining services companies, including Adaro Energy, Kaltim Prima Coal, Arutmin Indonesia, Berau Coal and Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam.

Supriatna reiterated his comment on Monday that if the government wanted to apply more taxes, then it needed to streamline all the rulings affecting the country’s coal industry before imposing any new regulations.

Indonesia recently imposed a 20 percent tax on exports for 65 ore minerals, including nickel and gold, but it left coal off the list. The tax was aimed to encourage producers to build smelters and stimulate investment in the downstream sector.

Regarding the government’s intention to secure domestic demand, Supriatna said coal mining production was already bound by a domestic market obligation to allocate a certain amount of output for sale on the local market.

Dileep Srivastava, a director at Bumi Resources, one of Indonesia’s largest coal miners, agreed with Supriatna. He said that two of its coal mining subsidiaries, Kaltim Prima Coal and Arutmin Indonesia, held first-generation contracts of work and already paid a corporate tax of 45 percent and royalties of 13.5 percent.

He claimed Bumi was among the highest-taxed companies in the world, paying far more than its counterparts in much of the metals and resource sector.

Speculation that coal would be included among the minerals charged with export duties began back in April, when Industry Minister M.S. Hidayat came up with proposal to impose a 25 percent tax on mining exports this year and a 50 percent tax for next year.

He said that with the move, the government aimed to take in more revenue from the nation’s natural resources sector, as well as create more jobs at domestic processing plants.

Indonesia is one of the biggest coal exporters in the world. It is expected to ship out about 300 million tons of coal this year to buyers around the world, including in key countries such as China, India, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan.

genting^2      ( Date: 08-Jun-2012 00:59) Posted:

DJ MARKET TALK: Indonesia Coal Export Duties Likely Scrapped - UBS (2012/06/07 16:00PM) 0800 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Comments from Indonesia's trade minister Gita Wirjawan appear to have put another " nail in the export-tax coffin," with media reports quoting him as saying there is no plan to impose export duties, says UBS " Sakari Resources (AJ1.SG) is a primary beneficiary if the export tax proposal has indeed been scrapped given its full exposure to the mining law relative to it contract producing peers." While this won't impact the house's Indonesian coal earnings forecasts, since it didn't expect the tax proposal to gather sufficient support, it says earnings remain under pressure from declining coal prices, which could weigh stock valuations for the next few months. UBS adds, it believes a volume quota on low-grade coal is still likely, as the government appears set on preserving reserves for future use. It also notes the potential for royalties to be increased later to align low-royalty license holders with higher royalty contract holders. The stock is down 2.3% at S$1.25. (leslie.shaffer@dowjones.com)

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07-Jun-2012 22:14 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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So QE 3 is almost 100% because economy has weaken..... Possible they will discuss It coming FMOC meeting......

risktaker      ( Date: 07-Jun-2012 21:44) Posted:

So guess we may really see the low of the year already...... Mr Ben will confirmed it.

risktaker      ( Date: 06-Jun-2012 11:51) Posted:

A global coordinate actions coming ...... we may have seen the low of the year on Monday. Maybe ....


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07-Jun-2012 21:44 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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So guess we may really see the low of the year already...... Mr Ben will confirmed it.

risktaker      ( Date: 06-Jun-2012 11:51) Posted:

A global coordinate actions coming ...... we may have seen the low of the year on Monday. Maybe .....

JUNWEI9756      ( Date: 06-Jun-2012 11:36) Posted:

Slowly adding shorts... Short property... Lol


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07-Jun-2012 10:33 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors       Go to Message
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Ok.... Good luck guys...... I am off for today .....

SGG_SGG      ( Date: 07-Jun-2012 10:29) Posted:



agree ..   Singapore's com rates is steep. SG style is always cut throat as much as possible til they notice biz dyng then they soften.

BBs are given many advantages against retailers that's why retailers first to die. 

Tomique      ( Date: 07-Jun-2012 10:23) Posted:

Can they (the " chngK" ) be more pro-retailers if they still fix our commission at " cut-throat" high rates to prevent us (retailers) from actively trading in and out? How to churn out bigger volumes when we are restricted by high commission and all sorts of fees?  The king should please make more efforts and have a more retailer-friendly playing field and don't just stay in the dark ages


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